Tearsheet

American Water Works (AWK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $134.16 | Market Cap: $26.2 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Water Utilities

American Water Works (AWK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $134.16
Market Cap: $26.2 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Water Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
  Key risks
AWK key risks include [1] regulatory pushback on rate hike and multi-state acquisition approvals essential for recovering costs and growth, Show more.
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Wastewater Management.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Wastewater Management.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
9 Key risks
AWK key risks include [1] regulatory pushback on rate hike and multi-state acquisition approvals essential for recovering costs and growth, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AWK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that could explain a -6% stock movement for American Water Works (AWK) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Lowered Analyst Price Targets and Cautious Outlook.

Barclays lowered its price target for American Water Works from $134 to $122 on December 17, 2025, while maintaining an "Underweight" rating, reflecting a more cautious outlook on the stock. Similarly, UBS lowered its price target from $156 to $151 on August 12, 2025. 2. Concerns Regarding High Leverage and Financial Risks.

Despite strong earnings, a TipRanks' AI Analyst noted that high leverage and negative free cash flow pose financial risks for AWK. The company's debt-to-capital ratio was also highlighted as high, although within its target range.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AWK Return27%25%-18%-12%-4%9%21%
Peers Return4%32%-15%-14%-9%3%-5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AWK Win Rate75%58%42%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%67%47%45%43%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AWK Max Drawdown-21%-14%-32%-23%-13%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-9%-30%-22%-17%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WTRG, CWT, AWR, MSEX, YORW. See AWK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAWKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven281 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-29.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven563 days1480 days

Compare to WTRG, AWR, CWT, AWK, HTO


In The Past

American Water Works's stock fell -38.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -38.8% loss requires a 63.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Water Works (AWK)

Better Bets than American Water Works (AWK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AWK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
AWK_1312024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312024AWKAmerican Water WorksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
16.1%2.0%-7.7%
AWK_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022AWKAmerican Water WorksDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.6%-3.1%-3.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
AWK_1312024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312024AWKAmerican Water WorksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
16.1%2.0%-7.7%
AWK_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022AWKAmerican Water WorksDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.6%-3.1%-3.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Water Works

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AWKWTRGCWTAWRMSEXYORWMedian
NameAmerican.Essentia.Californ.American.Middlese.York Wat. 
Mkt Price134.0139.0143.9674.1253.4133.9148.69
Mkt Cap26.111.02.62.91.00.52.7
Rev LTM5,0702,3801,00263719577820
Op Inc LTM1,8749211891975428193
FCF LTM-1,097-428-18135-31-21-106
FCF 3Y Avg-1,006-422-173-47-30-27-110
CFO LTM2,0359523232676632295
CFO 3Y Avg1,8868632691655830217

Growth & Margins

AWKWTRGCWTAWRMSEXYORWMedian
NameAmerican.Essentia.Californ.American.Middlese.York Wat. 
Rev Chg LTM12.3%21.4%-2.6%10.3%6.2%3.6%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.0%5.0%8.2%10.2%7.3%9.5%8.9%
Rev Chg Q9.7%9.6%3.9%12.9%-1.8%3.3%6.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%1.8%1.2%3.4%-0.5%0.8%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM37.0%38.7%18.9%30.9%27.6%36.4%33.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg36.1%34.9%17.0%31.3%26.3%38.7%33.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.1%-0.3%0.0%0.2%-0.5%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM40.1%40.0%32.2%41.8%33.6%41.1%40.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.3%39.1%28.4%27.1%31.8%40.5%35.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-21.6%-18.0%-18.0%5.5%-16.0%-27.6%-18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-22.0%-19.4%-18.9%-8.2%-16.6%-37.0%-19.2%

Valuation

AWKWTRGCWTAWRMSEXYORWMedian
NameAmerican.Essentia.Californ.American.Middlese.York Wat. 
Mkt Cap26.111.02.62.91.00.52.7
P/S5.44.72.74.45.05.74.9
P/EBIT13.411.812.513.416.014.913.4
P/E24.416.820.021.722.821.921.8
P/CFO13.311.88.510.615.013.912.6
Total Yield5.8%9.2%7.6%7.2%6.9%7.4%7.3%
Dividend Yield1.7%3.3%2.7%2.6%2.5%2.9%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.8%-4.1%-6.1%-1.5%-2.7%-5.3%-3.9%
D/E0.60.70.60.30.40.50.5
Net D/E0.60.70.50.30.40.50.5

Returns

AWKWTRGCWTAWRMSEXYORWMedian
NameAmerican.Essentia.Californ.American.Middlese.York Wat. 
1M Rtn1.0%-2.3%-3.3%0.4%3.5%6.2%0.7%
3M Rtn-0.9%5.5%-2.2%4.0%2.0%12.2%3.0%
6M Rtn-3.9%6.2%-3.4%-3.6%-3.6%7.2%-3.5%
12M Rtn6.3%6.4%-5.7%-7.7%-7.0%-0.6%-3.2%
3Y Rtn-6.0%-7.5%-22.1%-14.7%-35.2%-19.7%-17.2%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%-3.1%-4.1%-0.3%2.7%5.4%-0.0%
3M Excs Rtn-1.7%4.4%-4.3%2.4%-0.1%10.1%1.2%
6M Excs Rtn-16.3%-6.2%-15.7%-16.0%-16.0%-5.1%-15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-5.1%-6.6%-18.0%-19.7%-18.8%-11.0%-14.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-77.2%-79.9%-94.6%-86.8%-105.9%-89.8%-88.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Regulated Businesses3,9203,5053,3843,2553,094
Other314287546-18-23
Market-Based Businesses   540539
Total4,2343,7923,9303,7773,610


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Regulated Businesses971854789715654
Other-27-34474-97-79
Market-Based Businesses   9146
Total9448201,263709621


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Regulated Businesses27,48025,03823,36522,35720,318
Other2,8182,7492,7101,5181,356
Market-Based Businesses   8911,008
Total30,29827,78726,07524,76622,682


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,278,356
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.7%
Average Daily Volume2,315,404
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.58
Basic Shares Quantity195,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-2.6%0.7%1.4%
7/30/20250.4%1.6%2.9%
4/30/2025-0.4%0.7%-2.2%
2/19/20250.6%5.6%10.9%
10/30/20241.8%-1.6%1.5%
7/31/20241.5%1.0%0.2%
5/1/20240.7%6.2%5.1%
2/14/20243.1%-0.7%-2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141112
# Negative91211
Median Positive1.6%3.2%5.0%
Median Negative-1.2%-2.1%-3.9%
Max Positive4.8%6.2%12.8%
Max Negative-5.0%-11.9%-6.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Wikle Melissa K.SVP, Chief Accounting Officer6022025Sell143.282,825404,7661,084,916Form