Molina Healthcare (MOH)


Market Price (8/21/2026): $196.9 | Market Cap: $10.1 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Managed Health Care

Molina Healthcare (MOH)


Market Price (8/21/2026): $196.9
Market Cap: $10.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Managed Health Care

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -49%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.0 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Health Data Analytics, Telehealth Platforms, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 50x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.8%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 50%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%

Key risks
MOH key risks include [1] its extreme reliance on government-funded programs, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -49%
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.0 Bil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Health Data Analytics, Telehealth Platforms, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 50x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.8%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 50%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
8 Key risks
MOH key risks include [1] its extreme reliance on government-funded programs, Show more.

MOH in ETFs

Weight = MOH's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.29%
VB0.13%
IHF1.6%
MDYV0.60%
IJJ0.60%
+22 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/12/2026

Molina Healthcare (MOH) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Stronger-than-Expected Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance and Upgraded Full-Year Outlook.

Molina Healthcare reported robust financial results for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, announcing an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.51 on July 22, 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.39 by $0.12. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $10.87 billion against analyst estimates of $10.83 billion. This positive performance was reinforced by the company raising its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $5.25 per diluted share, an increase from its previous guidance of at least $5.00, driven by stabilized Medicaid medical cost trends and stronger Medicare performance.

2. Strategic Contract Wins and Enhanced Market Visibility.

The company bolstered its future revenue prospects by securing a significant Medicaid contract in Illinois on June 10, 2026. This strategic win signals continued business momentum and expansion in key healthcare markets. Further enhancing its profile, Molina Healthcare was slated to join the S&P MidCap 400 index on July 16, 2026, a move that typically increases a company's visibility among institutional investors and can lead to higher demand for its stock from index funds.

Show more
Updated on 8/12/2026

Molina Healthcare (MOH) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Stronger-than-Expected Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance and Upgraded Full-Year Outlook.

Molina Healthcare reported robust financial results for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, announcing an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.51 on July 22, 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.39 by $0.12. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $10.87 billion against analyst estimates of $10.83 billion. This positive performance was reinforced by the company raising its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $5.25 per diluted share, an increase from its previous guidance of at least $5.00, driven by stabilized Medicaid medical cost trends and stronger Medicare performance.

2. Strategic Contract Wins and Enhanced Market Visibility.

The company bolstered its future revenue prospects by securing a significant Medicaid contract in Illinois on June 10, 2026. This strategic win signals continued business momentum and expansion in key healthcare markets. Further enhancing its profile, Molina Healthcare was slated to join the S&P MidCap 400 index on July 16, 2026, a move that typically increases a company's visibility among institutional investors and can lead to higher demand for its stock from index funds.

3. Increased Investor Confidence and Analyst Optimism.

Investor sentiment received a notable boost from influential market participants and positive analyst revisions during the period. "Big Short" investor Michael Burry expanded his stake in Molina Healthcare on August 13, 2026, purchasing shares at $198, citing long-term confidence and the potential for favorable policy shifts impacting Medicaid and Medicare providers during the upcoming election season. This confidence was mirrored by several analysts, with firms like Bernstein raising its price target to $286 from $208 and Royal Bank of Canada boosting its target to $248 in mid-July 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.2% change in MOH stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 2.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268202026Change
Stock Price ($)194.62196.941.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)45,07544,522-1.2%
P/S Multiple0.20.22.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5151-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution1.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOH1.2% 
Market (SPY)6.1%4.5%
Sector (XLV)18.1%25.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.7% change in MOH stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268202026Change
Stock Price ($)179.59196.949.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)44,55044,522-0.1%
P/S Multiple0.20.26.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)52512.7%
Cumulative Contribution9.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOH9.7% 
Market (SPY)10.5%-7.8%
Sector (XLV)11.9%8.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.7% change in MOH stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258202026Change
Stock Price ($)157.87196.9424.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)43,41344,5222.6%
P/S Multiple0.20.216.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)54514.9%
Cumulative Contribution24.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOH24.7% 
Market (SPY)21.7%-2.3%
Sector (XLV)33.9%15.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -35.3% change in MOH stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238202026Change
Stock Price ($)304.49196.94-35.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)32,62644,52236.5%
P/S Multiple0.50.2-58.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)585112.9%
Cumulative Contribution-35.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOH-35.3% 
Market (SPY)72.5%4.1%
Sector (XLV)34.5%27.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MOH Return50%4%9%-19%-40%16%-5%
Peers Return39%4%-8%-25%4%32%38%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MOH Win Rate75%42%58%33%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%52%42%45%57%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MOH Max Drawdown-17%-28%-21%-34%-62%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-20%-22%-36%-41%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CNC, UNH, ELV, CVS, HUM. See MOH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMOHS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-12.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven29 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven41 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-29.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.7%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven16 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-26.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven53 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-26.6%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.3%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven40 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-37.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven700 days62 days

Compare to CNC, UNH, ELV, CVS, HUM

In The Past

Molina Healthcare's stock fell -1.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 1.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMOHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven41 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-29.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.7%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven16 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-26.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven53 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-26.6%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.3%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven40 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-37.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven700 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-40.0%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.6%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven94 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-58.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven142.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven840 days1085 days

Compare to CNC, UNH, ELV, CVS, HUM

In The Past

Molina Healthcare's stock fell -1.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 1.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Molina Healthcare (MOH)

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Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) is a managed healthcare services company that primarily serves low-income families and individuals. The company provides health plans and services through government-sponsored programs, focusing on vulnerable populations who rely on public assistance for their healthcare needs.

Molina Healthcare's main products and services are health plans offered through the Medicaid and Medicare programs, as well as via state insurance marketplaces. The company caters to individuals eligible for these specific government healthcare initiatives, serving approximately 5.2 million members across 18 states as of December 31, 2021.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Analogies for Molina Healthcare (MOH):
  • UnitedHealthcare for government-sponsored health programs.
  • Elevance Health (formerly Anthem) for Medicaid and Medicare members.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Medicaid Managed Care Plans: Molina Healthcare provides comprehensive health coverage and coordinated care services to low-income individuals and families eligible for the Medicaid program.
  • Medicare Managed Care Plans: The company offers health insurance plans for seniors and individuals with disabilities who qualify for the Medicare program, often including additional benefits beyond traditional Medicare.
  • Marketplace Health Plans: Molina Healthcare provides health insurance options to individuals and families purchasing coverage through state-run health insurance marketplaces.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Molina Healthcare (MOH) sells primarily to individuals rather than other companies. The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Medicaid Members: Low-income families and individuals who qualify for healthcare services through state Medicaid programs.
  • Medicare Members: Individuals, typically seniors and certain disabled individuals, who receive healthcare services through the federal Medicare program.
  • Marketplace Members: Individuals who purchase health insurance plans through state-based public health insurance exchanges or marketplaces.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Joseph Zubretsky, President and Chief Executive Officer

Joseph Zubretsky has over 35 years of experience in the insurance and financial services sectors. Before joining Molina Healthcare as President and CEO in November 2017, he was President and Chief Executive Officer for The Hanover Insurance Group. He previously held senior executive roles at Aetna, including Chief Executive Officer of its Healthagen Holdings subsidiary. Zubretsky was also a partner at Brera Capital Partners, a global private equity firm, and served as executive vice president of business development and chief financial officer at MassMutual Financial Group. He began his career as an insurance partner at Coopers & Lybrand.

Mark Keim, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mark Keim became Molina Healthcare's Chief Financial Officer in February 2021. He joined the company in January 2018 as Executive Vice President of Strategic Planning, Corporate Development, and Transformation. Keim possesses decades of experience in the managed care and financial services fields, having held significant roles at Aetna and GE Capital. He also built and financed a health analytics company.

James Woys, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

James Woys leads all of Molina's health plan support functions, encompassing information technology, claims processing, and pharmacy operations. Prior to his tenure at Molina, he served as executive vice president, CFO, and COO at Health Net.

Jeff Barlow, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary

Jeff Barlow has been with Molina Healthcare since 2004.

Debra Bacon, Executive Vice President, Medicaid

Debra Bacon serves as the Executive Vice President for Medicaid at Molina Healthcare.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Molina Healthcare (MOH) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its heavy reliance on government-sponsored healthcare programs and the inherent volatility of medical costs. The three most significant risks are:
  • Medical Cost Inflation and Margin Pressure: Molina Healthcare is highly susceptible to rising medical costs and increased healthcare utilization, which can outpace premium adjustments and compress profit margins. The company has repeatedly revised its earnings guidance downward due to unexpected spikes in healthcare utilization, particularly post-pandemic, leading to higher Medical Care Ratios (MCRs) across its segments (Medicaid, Medicare, and Marketplace). This directly impacts profitability as it means a larger share of premium dollars is being spent on patient care.
  • Regulatory and Policy Changes in Government Programs: As a pure-play on government-sponsored health insurance, Molina's business model is significantly exposed to changes in healthcare policies, funding mechanisms, and eligibility criteria for Medicaid, Medicare, and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces. Potential tightening of Medicaid eligibility (e.g., redetermination rules, work requirements), changes to ACA subsidies, or shifts in administration could reduce membership and revenue. Furthermore, the company's concentration risk, with a heavy reliance on Medicaid, makes it vulnerable to the loss of major state contracts or adverse changes in state-level reimbursement rates.
  • Fraud, Abuse, and Compliance Risks: Operating within a heavily regulated healthcare environment, especially with government programs, exposes Molina Healthcare to substantial compliance risks. These include potential violations of complex regulations such as the False Claims Act, Anti-Kickback Statute, and Stark Law, as well as issues related to billing and coding practices, data privacy (HIPAA), and overall regulatory adherence. Non-compliance can lead to severe financial penalties, recoupment demands, legal actions, reputational damage, and even the termination of participation in federal healthcare programs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Molina Healthcare, Inc. operates within the United States, providing managed healthcare services across three primary addressable markets: Medicaid, Medicare, and the state insurance marketplaces. The estimated addressable market sizes for Molina Healthcare's main products or services in the U.S. are as follows: * Medicaid: As of November 2025, approximately 68.8 million people were enrolled in Medicaid across the 50 states and the District of Columbia. * Medicare: The total Medicare market in the U.S. included an estimated 62 million residents in 2023 and 2025. Within this, Medicare Advantage enrollment reached 34.1 million beneficiaries in 2025, representing 54% of all eligible Medicare individuals. * ACA Marketplace: Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace enrollment reached a record high of 24.3 million people in 2025. This figure includes plan selections through the end of the open enrollment period for 2025 coverage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Molina Healthcare (MOH) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Significant Medicaid Contract Wins and Reprocurements: Molina Healthcare anticipates substantial revenue growth from new and renewed state Medicaid contracts. A notable example is the historic RFP win in Florida for the Children's Medical Services (CMS) contract, projected to generate $6 billion in annual premium revenue starting in late 2026. The company also maintains a robust pipeline of $50 billion in new opportunities over the coming years and boasts high win rates on both renewal and new contracts.
  2. Targeted Medicare Growth with a Focus on Dual-Eligible Members: Molina is strategically shifting its focus within the Medicare segment to prioritize dual-eligible members, with plans to exit the traditional Medicare Advantage Prescription Drug (MAPD) product by 2027. This move is designed to concentrate growth in a segment offering potentially higher value, building on previous expansions such as the acquisition of Bright Health's California Medicare Advantage units.
  3. Strategic "Tuck-in" Acquisitions: The company plans to pursue accretive "tuck-in" acquisitions of regional Medicaid plans, behavioral health assets, and duals capabilities. Molina has allocated $1 billion to $3 billion for cumulative mergers and acquisitions capacity over the next 12-24 months, aimed at expanding its membership base and diversifying revenue streams.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Molina Healthcare reported annual share buybacks of $1 billion in both 2025 and 2024.
  • A new share repurchase program, authorized up to $1 billion through December 2026, was announced in August 2025 and was partially funded by a new $500 million term loan.
  • Between July 1, 2025, and September 30, 2025, the company repurchased 2,849,000 shares for approximately $499.99 million under a program announced on April 24, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Molina Healthcare's shares outstanding declined by 8.32% in 2025 to 0.053 billion, following a 0.69% decline in 2024 and a 0.68% decline in 2023, indicating net share repurchases over issuances.

Inbound Investments

  • Cobalt Capital Management initiated a new stake in Molina Healthcare, acquiring 115,000 shares valued at approximately $22.01 million in November 2025.
  • Union Square Park Capital Management LLC purchased 10,000 shares, valued at approximately $1.914 million, during the third quarter of 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • Molina Healthcare acquired ConnectiCare for $350 million in July 2024.
  • The company has expanded its market presence through strategic acquisitions, including Bright Health Medicare and ConnectiCare, and continues to eye additional opportunities.
  • Net spending on acquisitions was approximately $344 million in 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were approximately $101 million in 2025, $100 million in 2024, and $84 million in 2023.
  • Consistent capital expenditures, such as $100 million in 2024, reflect the company's commitment to future growth.

Better Bets vs. Molina Healthcare (MOH)

Peer Outperformance in Managed Health Care

MOH has trailed 86% of its 7 Managed Health Care peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are HQY, CNC and UNH. Managed Health Care ranks 3rd of 10 industries in Health Care by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Managed Health Care constituents that MOH has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
0%
of 7 industry peers · 13.4% return
3Y
0%
of 7 industry peers · -38.5% return
5Y
14%
of 7 industry peers · -26.2% return
Managed Health Care peers with revenue growth within 4pp of MOH's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
MOH Molina Healthcare 11.1% -1,437.7x 13.4%-38.5%-26.2%
HQY HealthEquity 14.2% 38.2x 17.1%49.3%65.2% +91pp
CNC Centene 11.2% -6.2x 118.2%0.5%-0.3% +26pp
UNH UnitedHealth 8.9% 24.6x 31.8%-17.8%-2.2% +24pp
HUM Humana 13.9% 35.7x 33.2%-19.6%-3.2% +23pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Health Care sector, ranked by 5Y. Managed Health Care is MOH's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Health Care Distributors 7 4.4%78.3%158.4% CAH 396% · MCK 329% · COR 178%
Health Care Services 20 19.5%43.7%9.3% HIMS 348% · RDNT 152% · DGX 75%
Managed Health Care ← 8 32.5%-5.1%-1.2% OSCR 132% · HQY 65% · ELV 13%
Health Care Facilities 24 8.3%-2.6%-16.6% THC 275% · NHC 266% · ENSG 123%
Health Care Equipment 50 -1.5%-8.1%-22.2% POCI 10975% · UFPT 368% · GKOS 278%
Health Care Supplies 12 37.0%-13.7%-25.8% LNTH 301% · HAE 82% · MMSI 30%
Pharmaceuticals 63 6.0%-1.5%-32.0% LQDA 2643% · INDV 1326% · ETON 1259%
Health Care Technology 21 -17.7%-55.4%-70.5% SPOK 117% · HSTM -3% · VEEV -22%
Life Sciences Tools & Services 108 -0.5%-33.8%-71.0% SNWV 1900% · ELMD 249% · MEDP 243%
Biotechnology 365 10.3%-24.9%-77.8% BRTX 110200% · CELZ 1729% · DNTH 1587%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MOHCNCUNHELVCVSHUMMedian
NameMolina H.Centene UnitedHe.Elevance.CVS Heal.Humana  
Mkt Price196.9464.14384.85396.2893.65380.73288.84
Mkt Cap10.131.7347.186.0119.845.765.9
Rev LTM44,522202,938450,129201,113415,086145,679202,026
Op Inc LTM2961,61621,676-14,013-7,814
FCF LTM2708,95123,6176,28911,7581,9497,620
FCF 3Y Avg2904,09718,3654,1497,270-2224,123
CFO LTM3659,74927,0177,46414,7802,5398,606
CFO 3Y Avg3854,81221,8585,32810,1404085,070

Growth & Margins

MOHCNCUNHELVCVSHUMMedian
NameMolina H.Centene UnitedHe.Elevance.CVS Heal.Humana  
Rev Chg LTM2.6%13.9%6.5%6.3%7.4%18.3%6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.1%11.2%8.9%6.7%7.0%13.9%10.0%
Rev Chg Q-4.8%9.9%0.4%1.4%7.3%26.2%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.2%2.4%0.1%0.3%1.8%6.2%1.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-82.1%-18.0%-29.5%-38.3%--23.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-25.0%-20.9%-9.5%-0.8%--15.2%
Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.8%4.8%-3.4%-2.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.9%1.3%6.8%-3.1%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.8%0.6%-0.5%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM0.8%4.8%6.0%3.7%3.6%1.7%3.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%2.5%5.1%2.8%2.6%0.1%2.6%
FCF/Rev LTM0.6%4.4%5.2%3.1%2.8%1.3%3.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.7%2.2%4.3%2.1%1.8%-0.4%2.0%

Valuation

MOHCNCUNHELVCVSHUMMedian
NameMolina H.Centene UnitedHe.Elevance.CVS Heal.Humana  
Mkt Cap10.131.7347.186.0119.845.765.9
P/S0.20.20.80.40.30.30.3
P/Op Inc34.019.616.0-8.5-17.8
P/EBIT49.6-8.016.311.813.519.314.9
P/E-1,437.7-6.224.617.324.535.720.9
P/CFO27.63.212.811.58.118.012.2
Total Yield-0.1%-16.1%6.4%7.5%6.9%3.7%5.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.3%1.8%2.9%0.9%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%12.9%5.5%4.7%7.2%0.4%5.1%
D/E0.40.50.20.40.60.30.4
Net D/E-0.5-0.30.1-0.10.5-0.2-0.1

Returns

MOHCNCUNHELVCVSHUMMedian
NameMolina H.Centene UnitedHe.Elevance.CVS Heal.Humana  
1M Rtn-13.1%-5.1%-11.8%0.7%-14.8%-5.8%-8.8%
3M Rtn8.7%11.0%1.2%2.1%1.0%25.7%5.4%
6M Rtn32.9%46.8%34.5%15.0%22.9%101.3%33.7%
12M Rtn13.4%118.2%31.8%30.5%36.4%33.2%32.5%
3Y Rtn-38.5%0.5%-17.8%-10.7%56.5%-19.6%-14.3%
1M Excs Rtn-13.1%-4.6%-12.7%-0.0%-14.7%-6.1%-9.4%
3M Excs Rtn5.3%7.3%-1.8%-2.4%-1.8%22.7%1.7%
6M Excs Rtn21.5%35.5%23.2%3.6%11.6%90.0%22.3%
12M Excs Rtn-5.9%99.5%10.7%10.5%17.0%14.8%12.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-109.8%-73.9%-91.5%-83.2%-29.0%-92.5%-87.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Medicaid32,24030,57926,32724,82721,231
Medicare6,2355,5424,1793,7953,379
Marketplace4,4872,5062,0232,2613,091
Other operating revenues2,2871,9421,4671,020 
Other17781767170
Total45,42640,65034,07231,97427,771


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Medicaid2,6522,9792,9732,9812,322
Other operating revenues2,2871,9421,4671,020846
Medicare475603388437430
Marketplace423617499290399
Other23891114
Other operating expenses-5,079-4,442-3,763-3,566-2,991
Total7811,7071,5731,1731,020


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20202019201820172016
Health Plans8,3595,2656,1656,3475,897
Other1,1731,5229891,9051,285
Molina Medicaid Solutions   219267
Total9,5326,7877,1548,4717,449


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$196.94 
Market Cap ($ Bil)10.1 
First Trading Date07/02/2003 
Distance from 52W High-18.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$211.01$174.72
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-6.7%12.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility45.5%53.4%
Downside Capture21.55-30.49
Upside Capture57.20-9.32
Correlation (SPY)5.5%-3.5%
MOH Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.370.310.12-0.35-0.110.12
Up Beta-0.96-1.82-1.22-1.73-1.170.16
Down Beta2.481.611.561.301.140.14
Up Capture-101%88%0%-22%-5%-0%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days10212863134388
Down Capture132%8%-3%-68%-64%35%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days12223563118364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOH
MOH13.3%53.3%0.43-
Sector ETF (XLV)27.8%15.9%1.3514.3%
Equity (SPY)20.3%12.9%1.16-3.3%
Gold (GLD)36.2%28.7%1.07-1.4%
Commodities (DBC)44.1%20.2%1.694.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.3%13.8%0.6610.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-38.8%43.2%-1.01-10.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOH
MOH-4.0%40.4%0.02-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.0%15.1%0.2836.3%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.2%0.5715.8%
Gold (GLD)20.4%18.6%0.89-1.4%
Commodities (DBC)10.2%19.6%0.402.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.0220.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.3%52.7%0.363.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOH
MOH13.4%40.9%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.6%16.7%0.5245.1%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7231.2%
Gold (GLD)12.4%16.2%0.63-0.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%18.1%0.379.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2029.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.0%66.1%1.012.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-12.0%
Average Daily Volume2.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity51.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/21/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/2026-9.7%-10.2%-11.2%
4/22/202614.2%28.4%18.5%
2/5/2026-25.5%-28.3%-17.4%
10/22/2025-17.5%-17.9%-31.1%
7/23/2025-16.8%-15.9%-9.2%
4/23/2025-5.5%-1.5%-6.7%
2/5/2025-10.1%-15.9%3.3%
10/23/202417.7%17.9%7.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91313
# Negative151111
Median Positive5.4%7.3%7.1%
Median Negative-4.1%-7.8%-9.2%
Max Positive17.7%28.4%19.1%
Max Negative-25.5%-28.3%-31.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/2026-9.7%-10.2%-11.2%
4/22/202614.2%28.4%18.5%
2/5/2026-25.5%-28.3%-17.4%
10/22/2025-17.5%-17.9%-31.1%
7/23/2025-16.8%-15.9%-9.2%
4/23/2025-5.5%-1.5%-6.7%
2/5/2025-10.1%-15.9%3.3%
10/23/202417.7%17.9%7.7%
7/24/202412.3%18.2%19.1%
4/24/2024-4.1%-7.8%-7.2%
2/7/20245.4%10.5%8.4%
10/25/2023-1.5%0.1%9.3%
7/26/2023-1.2%-2.1%2.2%
4/26/20237.7%7.3%-0.8%
2/8/2023-1.9%-4.3%-14.9%
10/26/2022-4.7%-5.1%-11.4%
7/27/20223.7%7.3%7.1%
4/27/2022-2.6%-3.6%-7.7%
2/9/2022-0.4%4.9%1.9%
10/27/20210.5%2.8%-1.1%
7/28/2021-1.5%7.6%1.9%
4/28/20212.1%5.8%0.7%
2/10/20214.9%4.8%12.7%
10/28/2020-3.2%12.3%7.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91313
# Negative151111
Median Positive5.4%7.3%7.1%
Median Negative-4.1%-7.8%-9.2%
Max Positive17.7%28.4%19.1%
Max Negative-25.5%-28.3%-31.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/23/202610-Q
03/31/202604/23/202610-Q
12/31/202502/10/202610-K
09/30/202510/23/202510-Q
06/30/202507/24/202510-Q
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/13/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/13/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/23/202610-Q
03/31/202604/23/202610-Q
12/31/202502/10/202610-K
09/30/202510/23/202510-Q
06/30/202507/24/202510-Q
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/13/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/13/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/28/202210-Q
12/31/202102/14/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202107/29/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202002/16/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/14/202010-K
09/30/201910/30/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/22/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Premium Revenue 42.00 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 42.00 Bil for 2026
2026 GAAP EPS 2.15 13.2% RaisedGuidance: 1.9 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS 5.25 5.0% RaisedGuidance: 5 for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/22/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Premium Revenue 42.00 Bil   AffirmedGuidance: 42.20 Bil for 2026
2026 GAAP EPS 1.9 -40.6% LoweredGuidance: 3.2 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS 5 0 AffirmedGuidance: 5 for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Premium Revenue 42.20 Bil -0.7% Lower NewActual: 42.50 Bil for 2025
2026 Total Revenue 44.50 Bil 0.0% Same NewActual: 44.50 Bil for 2025
2026 GAAP Net Income 164.00 Mil -74.0% Lower NewActual: 630.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted Net Income 256.00 Mil -65.5% Lower NewActual: 742.00 Mil for 2025
2026 GAAP EPS – Diluted 3.2 -73.1% Lower NewActual: 11.9 for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPS – Diluted 5 -64.3% LoweredGuidance: 14 for 2026

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/22/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Adjusted EPS 0.35    
2025 Premium Revenue 42.50 Bil 1.2% RaisedGuidance: 42.00 Bil for 2025
2025 Total Revenue 44.50 Bil 1.1% RaisedGuidance: 44.00 Bil for 2025
2025 GAAP Net Income 630.00 Mil -30.9% LoweredGuidance: 912.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted Net Income 742.00 Mil -27.8% LoweredGuidance: 1.03 Bil for 2025
2025 GAAP EPS 11.9 -29.6% LoweredGuidance: 16.9 for 2025
2025 Adjusted EPS 14 -26.3% LoweredGuidance: 19 for 2025
2025 MCR 0.91    
2025 Medicaid MCR 0.92    
2025 Medicare MCR 0.91    
2025 Marketplace MCR 0.9    
2025 GAAP G&A Ratio 0.07    
2025 Adjusted G&A Ratio 0.07    
2025 Effective Tax Rate 21.7%    
2025 GAAP Pre-tax Margin 1.8%    
2025 Adjusted Pre-tax Margin 2.1%    
2026 Adjusted EPS 14    

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hebert, MauriceChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell5152026191.55600114,9302,454,713Form
2Barlow, Jeff DChief Legal OfficerDirectSell5132026186.1217,8113,314,98312,502,611Form
3Romney, Ronna Held by trustSell3132026146.9250674,3422,530,991Form
4Zoretic, Richard C Held by trustBuy2122026125.16800100,1281,094,775Form
5Schapiro, Richard M DirectSell11242025143.0235751,0581,623,563Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hebert, MauriceChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell5152026191.55600114,9302,454,713Form
2Barlow, Jeff DChief Legal OfficerDirectSell5132026186.1217,8113,314,98312,502,611Form
3Romney, Ronna Held by trustSell3132026146.9250674,3422,530,991Form
4Zoretic, Richard C Held by trustBuy2122026125.16800100,1281,094,775Form
5Schapiro, Richard M DirectSell11242025143.0235751,0581,623,563Form
6Romney, Ronna Held by trustSell8082025153.74700107,6182,633,720Form
7Woys, JamesChief Operating OfficerDirectBuy8062025155.9410,0001,559,36511,590,916Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 21, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Investment Management Associates Inc /Adv$31.1 Mil8.4%27Hold13F
Redwood Capital Management, LLC$41.3 Mil6.1%22ADD +181.8%13F
Madison Avenue Partners, LP$84.5 Mil3.7%27Hold13F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$25.7 Mil3.6%31ADD +125.2%13F
Kopernik Global Investors, LLC$38.9 Mil2.7%27ADD +132.6%13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$22.6 Mil0.7%44TRIM -25.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Redwood Capital Management, LLC$41.3 Mil6.1%22ADD +181.8%13F
Kopernik Global Investors, LLC$38.9 Mil2.7%27ADD +132.6%13F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$25.7 Mil3.6%31ADD +125.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
8 Knots Management, LLC$198.9 Mil22.9%12ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$22.6 Mil0.7%44TRIM -25.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Madison Avenue Partners, LP$84.5 Mil3.7%27Hold13F
Redwood Capital Management, LLC$41.3 Mil6.1%22ADD +181.8%13F
Kopernik Global Investors, LLC$38.9 Mil2.7%27ADD +132.6%13F
Investment Management Associates Inc /Adv$31.1 Mil8.4%27Hold13F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$25.7 Mil3.6%31ADD +125.2%13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$22.6 Mil0.7%44TRIM -25.0%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/20/2026