Medpace (MEDP)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $557.02 | Market Cap: $15.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Medpace (MEDP)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $557.02Market Cap: $15.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 33x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% | Key risksMEDP key risks include its high concentration of small and mid-sized biopharmaceutical clients, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 33x |
| Key risksMEDP key risks include its high concentration of small and mid-sized biopharmaceutical clients, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MEDP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting why Medpace (MEDP) stock experienced a significant positive movement of 17.2% for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.
Medpace announced robust financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, which were reported on October 22, 2025. The company reported a substantial increase in revenue, net income, and diluted earnings per share (EPS), with revenue growing by 23.7% to $659.9 million compared to the prior-year period. Net income also saw a significant rise to $111.14 million, up 15.25%, and diluted EPS reached $3.86, surpassing analyst estimates.
2. 2. Significant Revenue and Net Income Growth.
The strong performance in Q3 2025 was driven by a considerable 23.7% year-over-year increase in revenue and a 15.25% increase in net income, showcasing the company's operational efficiency and strong market demand for its clinical research services. This growth indicates healthy underlying business fundamentals.
3.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MEDP Return | 66% | 56% | -2% | 44% | 8% | 68% | 565% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | -20% | 5% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MEDP Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 58% | 75% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 44% | 37% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MEDP Max Drawdown | -27% | -5% | -40% | -18% | -7% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -27% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IQV, CRL, LH, FTRE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MEDP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 261 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 181 days | 120 days |
Compare to PTGX, ANIK, CHRS, AVRT, BLLN
In The Past
Medpace's stock fell -42.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -42.9% loss requires a 75.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MEDP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| 04302025 | MEDP | Medpace | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 89.6% | 81.2% | -6.4% |
| 08312022 | MEDP | Medpace | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 33.0% | 83.1% | -1.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| 04302025 | MEDP | Medpace | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 89.6% | 81.2% | -6.4% |
| 08312022 | MEDP | Medpace | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 33.0% | 83.1% | -1.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Medpace
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 221.43 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.7 |
| Rev LTM | 4,024 |
| Op Inc LTM | 507 |
| FCF LTM | 677 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 530 |
| CFO LTM | 749 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 748 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.7 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 17.9 |
| P/E | 25.2 |
| P/CFO | 13.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 43.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 11.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 30.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| 7/21/2025 | 54.7% | 46.7% | 49.6% |
| 4/21/2025 | -2.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% |
| 2/10/2025 | -7.5% | -3.9% | -8.3% |
| 10/21/2024 | -7.5% | -6.7% | -10.8% |
| 7/22/2024 | -18.3% | -11.9% | -10.9% |
| 4/22/2024 | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| 2/12/2024 | 12.3% | 18.5% | 25.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% |
| Median Negative | -6.2% | -6.4% | -9.9% |
| Max Positive | 54.7% | 46.7% | 49.6% |
| Max Negative | -20.3% | -19.6% | -30.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7222025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4222025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10222024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7232024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4232024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |