Merit Medical Systems (MMSI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $87.9 | Market Cap: $5.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Supplies
Merit Medical Systems (MMSI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $87.9Market Cap: $5.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Supplies
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 42x |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% | Key risksMMSI key risks include [1] regulatory compliance challenges, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 42x |
| Key risksMMSI key risks include [1] regulatory compliance challenges, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MMSI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points that may have contributed to Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) stock moving by approximately -3.7% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:
1. Near-term Dilution from C2 CryoBalloon Acquisition: Merit Medical announced in October 2025 an agreement to acquire the C2 CryoBalloon device and related technology from PENTAX Medical for $22 million. This acquisition was projected to be dilutive to the company's non-GAAP net income and earnings per share in the short term, specifically for the fourth quarter of 2025 and the full year 2026, before becoming accretive thereafter. This anticipated dilution could have weighed on investor sentiment, leading to downward pressure on the stock.
2. Analyst Price Target Reductions: In November 2025, several analyst firms adjusted their price targets for Merit Medical Systems, with some notably lowering them. For instance, on November 14, 2025, Wells Fargo reduced its price target to $95 from $103, and Canaccord Genuity lowered its target to $93 from $104. Although many firms maintained positive ratings such as "Buy" or "Overweight," these downward revisions in price targets could signal a more cautious outlook on the company's future valuation or growth prospects, potentially impacting the stock price negatively.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MMSI Return | 78% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 27% | -10% | 178% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 20% | -22% | -1% | 10% | 12% | 19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MMSI Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 48% | 43% | 47% | 58% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MMSI Max Drawdown | -17% | -5% | -17% | -11% | -7% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -10% | -34% | -22% | -15% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDT, ABT, BSX, TFX, ANGO. See MMSI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MMSI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 153 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -68.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 219.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 638 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -54.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 118.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 765 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WST, HAE, QDEL, NEOG, COO
In The Past
Merit Medical Systems's stock fell -29.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -29.4% loss requires a 41.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MMSI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Merit Medical Systems
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 96.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 65.8 |
| Rev LTM | 11,270 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,141 |
| FCF LTM | 1,946 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,372 |
| CFO LTM | 2,508 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,891 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 65.8 |
| P/S | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | 23.3 |
| P/E | 21.6 |
| P/CFO | 18.1 |
| Total Yield | 2.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| 7/11/2025 | -0.0% | -11.2% | -10.1% |
| 4/24/2025 | -0.1% | -1.6% | 0.7% |
| 1/14/2025 | 4.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% |
| 10/30/2024 | 4.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| 8/1/2024 | 5.5% | 8.0% | 14.9% |
| 4/30/2024 | 3.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| 1/8/2024 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% |
| Median Negative | -0.5% | -3.8% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 9.3% | 11.2% | 18.0% |
| Max Negative | -2.9% | -11.2% | -22.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |