Cardinal Health (CAH)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $201.91 | Market Cap: $48.1 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Distributors
Cardinal Health (CAH)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $201.91Market Cap: $48.1 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.4 Bil | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, Show more. | Key risksCAH key risks include [1] substantial financial and operational strain from ongoing, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9% |
| Key risksCAH key risks include [1] substantial financial and operational strain from ongoing, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CAH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. <b>Strong Q4 and FY 2025 Financial Results & Raised FY 2026 Guidance.</b> Cardinal Health reported strong fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results on August 12, 2025. The company announced non-GAAP operating earnings increased by 19% to $719 million and non-GAAP diluted EPS rose by 13% to $2.08 in Q4. For the full fiscal year 2025, non-GAAP operating earnings grew 15% to $2.8 billion, and non-GAAP diluted EPS increased 9% to $8.24. This performance led to Cardinal Health raising its fiscal year 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance to $9.30-$9.50, up from the preliminary outlook of $9.10-$9.30.
2. <b>Acquisition of Solaris Health.</b> Cardinal Health announced the acquisition of Solaris Health, described as the country's leading urology Management Services Organization (MSO). This acquisition is expected to enhance Cardinal Health's multi-specialty growth strategy and bolster its leadership in MSO platforms.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAH Return | 10% | -0% | 54% | 34% | 19% | 71% | 361% |
| Peers Return | 92% | 32% | 6% | 8% | -2% | 4% | 195% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAH Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 60% | 53% | 57% | 53% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAH Max Drawdown | -19% | -12% | -2% | -10% | -6% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -5% | -19% | -18% | -13% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCK, COR, OMI, BDX, HSIC. See CAH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 368 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,596 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -62.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 165.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,785 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MCK, BDX, HSIC, OMI, COR
In The Past
Cardinal Health's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2021. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CAH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cardinal Health
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 199.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 52.2 |
| Rev LTM | 122,209 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,655 |
| FCF LTM | 2,260 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,554 |
| CFO LTM | 2,914 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,203 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 52.2 |
| P/S | 0.2 |
| P/EBIT | 19.8 |
| P/E | 28.1 |
| P/CFO | 16.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 52.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 13.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -18.5% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| ANDA213615 | SODIUM IODIDE I 131 | sodium iodide i-131 | solution | 6122025 | -4.7% | 24.3% | 24.8% | 24.8% | 24.8% |
| ANDA203603 | FLUDEOXYGLUCOSE F18 | fludeoxyglucose f-18 | injectable | 11132015 | -7.4% | -10.0% | -14.8% | -28.4% | 210.1% |
| ANDA203780 | SODIUM FLUORIDE F-18 | sodium fluoride f-18 | injectable | 7302015 | 0.1% | -4.3% | 2.3% | -2.8% | 219.7% |
| NDA202207 | LYMPHOSEEK KIT | technetium tc-99m tilmanocept | injectable | 3132013 | 1.3% | 12.9% | 58.4% | 96.1% | 497.8% |
| ANDA203700 | AMMONIA N 13 | ammonia n-13 | injectable | 2252013 | 5.0% | 14.2% | 63.0% | 103.5% | 519.2% |
| ANDA078809 | TECHNETIUM TC 99M SESTAMIBI | technetium tc-99m sestamibi kit | injectable | 4282009 | -0.8% | 21.4% | 54.8% | 89.5% | 1,176.7% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions | 29,149 | ||||
| Global Medical Products and Distribution (GMPD) | 7,047 | ||||
| Corporate | 6,319 | 5,210 | 5,837 | 5,421 | 3,677 |
| Other | 2,606 | ||||
| Medical | 10,130 | 11,632 | 15,408 | 14,691 | |
| Pharmaceutical | 28,077 | 26,409 | 23,624 | 22,398 | |
| Total | 45,121 | 43,417 | 43,878 | 44,453 | 40,766 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 15.4% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| 8/12/2025 | -7.2% | -5.0% | -5.3% |
| 5/1/2025 | 3.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| 1/30/2025 | 0.4% | -0.2% | 1.3% |
| 11/1/2024 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% |
| 8/14/2024 | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% |
| 5/2/2024 | 0.8% | -4.6% | -2.8% |
| 2/1/2024 | -3.7% | -3.2% | 3.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -6.4% | -5.4% |
| Max Positive | 15.4% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| Max Negative | -14.3% | -12.4% | -13.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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