Cardinal Health (CAH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $199.01 | Market Cap: $47.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Distributors
Cardinal Health (CAH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $199.01Market Cap: $47.4 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CAH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Cardinal Health (CAH) experienced a significant stock movement of approximately 34.7% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Strong First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Results and Raised Outlook: Cardinal Health reported robust first-quarter fiscal year 2026 financial results on October 30, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.55 on revenue of $64.01 billion, surpassing consensus estimates of $2.22 EPS and $59.41 billion in revenue. This represented a 22.4% year-over-year revenue increase. Following these strong results, Cardinal Health raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance to $9.65-$9.85 EPS, signaling continued confidence in future performance. The company's management highlighted double-digit profit growth across all five operating segments, driven by strong demand and execution in its pharmaceutical and specialty services business, as well as significant profit growth in its "Other" segment, which includes At-Home, Nuclear and Precision Health, and OptiFreight solutions.
2. Strategic Acquisitions and Business Expansion: Cardinal Health advanced its strategic growth initiatives through key acquisitions and expansion plans during this period. On November 3, 2025, the company completed the acquisition of Solaris Health, a leading urology-focused Management Services Organization (MSO). This acquisition is expected to integrate over 750 providers into Cardinal Health's multi-specialty MSO platform, enhancing its leadership in the urology sector. Additionally, in September 2025, Cardinal Health announced plans to expand its pharmaceutical distribution network by establishing a new flagship forward distribution center in Indianapolis, Indiana, aimed at modernizing its national distribution capabilities. The company also emphasized its focus on specialty business expansion and operational efficiencies at the UBS Global Healthcare Conference on November 11, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAH Return | 10% | -0% | 54% | 34% | 19% | 76% | 375% |
| Peers Return | 92% | 32% | 6% | 8% | -2% | 3% | 192% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAH Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 60% | 53% | 57% | 53% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAH Max Drawdown | -19% | -12% | -2% | -10% | -6% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -5% | -19% | -18% | -13% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCK, BDX, HSIC, OMI, COR. See CAH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 368 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1596 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -62.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 165.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1785 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MCK, BDX, HSIC, OMI, COR
In The Past
Cardinal Health's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2021. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CAH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cardinal Health
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions | 29,149 | ||||
| Global Medical Products and Distribution (GMPD) | 7,047 | ||||
| Corporate | 6,319 | 5,210 | 5,837 | 5,421 | 3,677 |
| Other | 2,606 | ||||
| Medical | 10,130 | 11,632 | 15,408 | 14,691 | |
| Pharmaceutical | 28,077 | 26,409 | 23,624 | 22,398 | |
| Total | 45,121 | 43,417 | 43,878 | 44,453 | 40,766 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
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