Cardinal Health (CAH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $198.38 | Market Cap: $47.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Distributors
Cardinal Health (CAH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $198.38Market Cap: $47.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.4 Bil | Key risksCAH key risks include [1] substantial financial and operational strain from ongoing, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9% |
| Key risksCAH key risks include [1] substantial financial and operational strain from ongoing, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CAH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q4 FY2025 Earnings and Raised FY2026 Guidance.
Cardinal Health reported robust fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2025 results on August 12, 2025, with non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increasing 13% to $2.08, surpassing analyst estimates. Non-GAAP operating earnings also saw a 19% increase. Critically, the company raised its fiscal year 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance to $9.30-$9.50, an increase from its previous outlook, signaling strong future performance expectations.
2. Continued Positive Momentum with Q3 CY2025 Earnings Beat and Further Guidance Increase.
The positive trend continued into Q3 CY2025, with Cardinal Health reporting results on October 30, 2025, that exceeded market revenue expectations. Sales grew 22.4% year-over-year to $64.01 billion, beating analyst estimates. Non-GAAP profit per share was $2.55, 17.3% above consensus. Following this strong performance, management further raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $9.75 at the midpoint.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAH Return | 10% | -0% | 54% | 34% | 19% | 70% | 358% |
| Peers Return | 92% | 32% | 6% | 8% | -2% | 4% | 196% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAH Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 60% | 53% | 57% | 53% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAH Max Drawdown | -19% | -12% | -2% | -10% | -6% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -5% | -19% | -18% | -13% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCK, COR, OMI, BDX, HSIC. See CAH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 368 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1596 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -62.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 165.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1785 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MCK, BDX, HSIC, OMI, COR
In The Past
Cardinal Health's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2021. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CAH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cardinal Health
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 196.90 |
| Mkt Cap | 51.6 |
| Rev LTM | 122,209 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,655 |
| FCF LTM | 2,260 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,554 |
| CFO LTM | 2,914 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,203 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 51.6 |
| P/S | 0.2 |
| P/EBIT | 16.9 |
| P/E | 23.8 |
| P/CFO | 15.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 53.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -16.3% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions | 29,149 | ||||
| Global Medical Products and Distribution (GMPD) | 7,047 | ||||
| Corporate | 6,319 | 5,210 | 5,837 | 5,421 | 3,677 |
| Other | 2,606 | ||||
| Medical | 10,130 | 11,632 | 15,408 | 14,691 | |
| Pharmaceutical | 28,077 | 26,409 | 23,624 | 22,398 | |
| Total | 45,121 | 43,417 | 43,878 | 44,453 | 40,766 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 15.4% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| 8/12/2025 | -7.2% | -5.0% | -5.3% |
| 5/1/2025 | 3.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| 1/30/2025 | 0.4% | -0.2% | 1.3% |
| 11/1/2024 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% |
| 8/14/2024 | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% |
| 5/2/2024 | 0.8% | -4.6% | -2.8% |
| 2/1/2024 | -3.7% | -3.2% | 3.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -6.4% | -5.4% |
| Max Positive | 15.4% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| Max Negative | -14.3% | -12.4% | -13.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |