Tenet Healthcare (THC)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $196.18 | Market Cap: $17.3 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities
Tenet Healthcare (THC)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $196.18Market Cap: $17.3 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 8.7% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil | Short seller reportFuzzy Panda Research report on 6/11/2025. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | Key risksTHC key risks include [1] significant labor cost pressures from its 21% unionized hospital workforce, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 8.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59% |
| Short seller reportFuzzy Panda Research report on 6/11/2025. |
| Key risksTHC key risks include [1] significant labor cost pressures from its 21% unionized hospital workforce, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
THC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining significant movements in Tenet Healthcare (THC) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Earnings and Upgraded Full-Year Outlook.
Tenet Healthcare reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.02 for the second quarter of 2025, substantially beating analyst expectations of $2.88. Revenue also surpassed estimates at $5.27 billion. Following these strong results, the company raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook to a range of $4.40 billion to $4.54 billion and adjusted earnings per share to $15.55 to $16.21, both significantly above analyst consensus, signaling a robust financial trajectory.
2. Strategic Focus on Ambulatory Care and Impactful Divestitures.
Tenet Healthcare continued its strategy of divesting less-profitable hospitals and expanding its higher-margin ambulatory surgery center (ASC) business. Throughout 2024 and 2025, the company sold multiple hospital facilities, including six in California, with proceeds used to reduce debt. This strategic shift is aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and making the company more resilient to potential regulatory changes in healthcare policy, such as site-neutral payments and Medicaid cuts.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| THC Return | 5% | 105% | -40% | 55% | 67% | 54% | 411% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| THC Win Rate | 58% | 92% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| THC Max Drawdown | -71% | -2% | -54% | 0% | -2% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UHS, ENSG, SGRY, NHC, AMTU. See THC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | THC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 143.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 488 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -71.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 248.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 267 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 717 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 747.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 753 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to UHS, ENSG, SGRY, NHC, AMTU
In The Past
Tenet Healthcare's stock fell -58.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/3/2022. A -58.9% loss requires a 143.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to THC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| 10312023 | THC | Tenet Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 109.1% | 194.4% | -1.9% |
| 10312022 | THC | Tenet Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 62.9% | 21.1% | -13.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| 10312023 | THC | Tenet Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 109.1% | 194.4% | -1.9% |
| 10312022 | THC | Tenet Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 62.9% | 21.1% | -13.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Tenet Healthcare
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 181.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.4 |
| Rev LTM | 4,829 |
| Op Inc LTM | 499 |
| FCF LTM | 194 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 168 |
| CFO LTM | 481 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 385 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.4 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 7.2 |
| P/E | 12.8 |
| P/CFO | 7.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 29.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 88.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 20.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -5.3% | -6.8% | 1.1% |
| 7/22/2025 | -10.7% | -10.4% | 1.9% |
| 4/29/2025 | 11.7% | 20.3% | 32.9% |
| 2/12/2025 | -9.1% | -2.3% | -13.9% |
| 10/29/2024 | 16.7% | 16.4% | 4.4% |
| 7/24/2024 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 14.1% |
| 4/30/2024 | 13.3% | 23.4% | 32.7% |
| 2/1/2024 | 7.7% | 6.5% | 14.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 20 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -8.5% | -17.0% |
| Max Positive | 16.7% | 23.4% | 32.9% |
| Max Negative | -31.0% | -21.7% | -54.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |