Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 103x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 137x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 105%
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2%
3  Key risks
XERS key risks include [1] its dependence on a limited product lineup and a history of unprofitability, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 103x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 137x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 105%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2%
5 Key risks
XERS key risks include [1] its dependence on a limited product lineup and a history of unprofitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XERS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The request asks to highlight key points for why Xeris Biopharma (XERS) stock moved by -10.7% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 18, 2025). As the specified time period is in the future, it is not possible to provide an explanation for a stock movement that has not yet occurred. However, based on available recent information, here are some key developments for Xeris Biopharma around the current date of December 18, 2025, that could influence stock performance: 1. 1. Q3 2025 Financial Results: Xeris Biopharma reported record financial results for Q3 2025, with total product revenue increasing 40% year-over-year to $74 million. Recorlev revenue grew 109% year-over-year to $37 million. The company updated its full-year 2025 total revenue guidance to $285-$290 million. However, despite the revenue growth and raised guidance, shares fell 30% on decelerating momentum, with investors reacting to slowing Recorlev growth and rising costs from Recorlev expansion and XP-8121 clinical trials. 2. 2. Analyst Rating Downgrade: An analyst downgraded XERS to a Hold rating in December 2025, recommending gradual accumulation on weakness. This downgrade was influenced by concerns about decelerating revenue growth and increasing costs. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XERS Return-30%-40%-55%77%44%109%1%
Peers Return50%31%13%60%24%19%424%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XERS Win Rate50%42%33%58%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate57%52%53%58%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XERS Max Drawdown-79%-63%-61%-23%-28%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-17%-20%-17%-17%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CORT, AMPH, LLY, CRNX, HALO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXERSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven623.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven953 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-78.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven373.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven324 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-74.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven286.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Xeris Biopharma's stock fell -86.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -86.2% loss requires a 623.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Xeris Biopharma (XERS)

Better Bets than Xeris Biopharma (XERS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to XERS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Xeris Biopharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XERSCORTAMPHLLYCRNXHALOMedian
NameXeris Bi.Corcept .Amphasta.Eli LillyCrinetic.Halozyme. 
Mkt Price6.9982.2826.071,041.7947.6965.7756.73
Mkt Cap1.28.51.2935.44.57.76.1
Rev LTM26674172353,25821,243732
Op Inc LTM106615022,882-478737108
FCF LTM10163111-50-35460260
FCF 3Y Avg-32153140-156-24244954
CFO LTM1116315210,938-348611158
CFO 3Y Avg-311541787,230-238461166

Growth & Margins

XERSCORTAMPHLLYCRNXHALOMedian
NameXeris Bi.Corcept .Amphasta.Eli LillyCrinetic.Halozyme. 
Rev Chg LTM42.0%17.9%-0.0%36.8%47.7%31.2%34.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg39.9%23.6%14.8%23.4%-12.6%29.0%23.5%
Rev Chg Q37.1%13.7%0.3%37.6%-22.1%22.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.2%3.5%0.1%8.7%10.3%5.4%6.8%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%8.8%20.7%43.0%-31,130.2%59.3%14.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.6%17.8%26.8%35.6%-21,683.3%49.8%22.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.7%-5.4%-4.4%1.8%-738.0%1.4%-1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM4.0%22.0%21.1%20.5%-22,649.4%49.2%20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-19.7%26.4%26.3%17.8%-15,175.8%46.3%22.0%
FCF/Rev LTM3.7%22.0%15.3%-0.1%-23,062.0%48.5%9.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-20.4%26.3%20.7%0.5%-15,462.1%45.0%10.6%

Valuation

XERSCORTAMPHLLYCRNXHALOMedian
NameXeris Bi.Corcept .Amphasta.Eli LillyCrinetic.Halozyme. 
Mkt Cap1.28.51.2935.44.57.76.1
P/S5.411.61.712.92,556.46.99.3
P/EBIT103.3131.27.738.6-8.211.324.9
P/E-92.481.111.149.6-9.314.412.8
P/CFO136.952.78.162.6-11.314.133.4
Total Yield-1.1%1.2%9.0%2.7%-10.8%6.9%2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.8%3.5%7.5%0.1%-8.0%6.5%1.8%
D/E0.20.00.50.10.00.20.1
Net D/E0.1-0.00.30.1-0.30.10.1

Returns

XERSCORTAMPHLLYCRNXHALOMedian
NameXeris Bi.Corcept .Amphasta.Eli LillyCrinetic.Halozyme. 
1M Rtn-3.7%9.5%0.2%2.0%9.6%-6.8%1.1%
3M Rtn-8.9%9.4%-3.4%37.3%39.4%-13.2%3.0%
6M Rtn52.6%15.5%2.9%33.2%56.4%23.7%28.5%
12M Rtn105.0%49.2%-36.2%34.8%-13.9%35.3%35.1%
3Y Rtn441.9%309.6%-9.1%196.4%183.0%15.7%189.7%
1M Excs Rtn-4.5%8.8%-0.5%1.2%8.8%-7.5%0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-17.1%1.8%-6.3%35.4%33.1%-15.6%-2.3%
6M Excs Rtn40.2%3.1%-9.5%20.8%44.0%11.4%16.1%
12M Excs Rtn102.0%37.4%-49.4%21.9%-22.2%25.9%23.9%
3Y Excs Rtn334.4%226.4%-77.4%122.1%126.7%-55.1%124.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gvoke675339  
Keveyis574910  
Recorlev307   
Royalty, contract and other revenue1110  
Single segment   203
Total16411050203


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,974,039
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.4%
Average Daily Volume1,777,937
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.98
Basic Shares Quantity177,617,307
Short % of Basic Shares9.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/6/20259.5%21.2%29.4%
11/8/20243.3%-9.2%7.4%
8/8/20244.7%19.7%17.8%
5/9/20241.6%7.0%25.9%
11/9/2023-8.8%-25.8%2.5%
8/8/20233.6%-9.6%-12.4%
3/8/2023-11.8%-15.0%23.5%
11/9/2022-1.3%-7.3%-2.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive768
# Negative453
Median Positive4.7%16.3%14.8%
Median Negative-5.9%-9.6%-2.7%
Max Positive13.5%21.9%29.4%
Max Negative-11.8%-25.8%-12.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021