Trevi Therapeutics (TRVI)
Market Price (2/21/2026): $10.64 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Trevi Therapeutics (TRVI)
Market Price (2/21/2026): $10.64Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 122% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2% | ||
| Key risksTRVI key risks include [1] the binary outcome of clinical trials and regulatory approval for its single asset, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 122% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2% |
| Key risksTRVI key risks include [1] the binary outcome of clinical trials and regulatory approval for its single asset, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Profit-Taking Following Significant Rally and Positive Clinical News. Trevi Therapeutics' stock experienced a notable surge, reaching an all-time high of $14.17 on December 10, 2025. This upward movement likely anticipated positive developments such as the successful Q3 2025 earnings report on November 13, 2025, which highlighted a reduced net loss and a strong cash runway, as well as ongoing clinical progress. Once these positive events, including the strategic updates in January 2026 regarding FDA meetings and trial initiations and the publication of Phase 2b data in JAMA, were either announced or fully absorbed by the market, some investors likely engaged in profit-taking, leading to a subsequent decline in the stock price.
2. Extended Timeline and Inherent Risks of Clinical-Stage Development. Despite encouraging clinical trial results and a clear pathway for Haduvio's development, Trevi Therapeutics remains a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company without any products currently generating revenue. The journey from Phase 2 trials to regulatory approval and commercialization, especially for multiple indications, is a lengthy, complex, and capital-intensive process with inherent risks. This extended timeline to potential market entry and profitability, coupled with the uncertainties of late-stage clinical trials and regulatory hurdles, may have contributed to a re-evaluation by investors and a pull-back from the December 2025 peak.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.7% change in TRVI stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.66 | 10.64 | -8.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130 | 145 | -10.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRVI | -8.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 26.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.7% | 14.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 43.7% change in TRVI stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.41 | 10.64 | 43.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 118 | 145 | -18.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRVI | 43.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 17.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 20.8% | 19.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 170.1% change in TRVI stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.94 | 10.64 | 170.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 101 | 145 | -30.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRVI | 170.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 7.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.2% | 19.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 356.7% change in TRVI stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.33 | 10.64 | 356.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 69 | 145 | -52.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRVI | 356.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 12.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.1% | 14.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TRVI Return | -68% | 147% | -31% | 207% | 204% | -16% | 336% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 24% | -1% | 8% | 26% | 7% | 100% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 0% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TRVI Win Rate | 17% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 57% | 52% | 50% | 55% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TRVI Max Drawdown | -72% | -41% | -45% | -3% | -14% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -10% | -18% | -12% | -20% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: REGN, MRK, AMGN, INCY, UTHR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TRVI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 671.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 133 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -70.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 243.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 88 days | 148 days |
Compare to REGN, MRK, AMGN, INCY, UTHR
In The Past
Trevi Therapeutics's stock fell -87.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -87.0% loss requires a 671.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Trevi Therapeutics (TRVI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Trevi Therapeutics (TRVI):
- Think of Trevi as a clinical-stage Vertex Pharmaceuticals, focused on developing treatments for debilitating chronic pruritus (itch) and chronic cough.
- An early-stage Neurocrine Biosciences, specializing in treatments for debilitating chronic symptoms like severe itch and cough.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Haduvio (nalbuphine ER): An investigational oral extended-release formulation of nalbuphine, currently in clinical development for chronic pruritic and neurological conditions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Trevi Therapeutics (TRVI) does not currently have major commercial customers purchasing its product candidates. The company's lead candidate, Haduvio, is still in clinical development and has not yet received regulatory approval for commercial sale. Consequently, Trevi Therapeutics currently generates no revenue from product sales.
If Haduvio were to be approved and commercialized, Trevi Therapeutics would primarily sell its product to other companies within the pharmaceutical supply chain. These potential future major customers would typically include:
-
Pharmaceutical Wholesalers: These companies act as intermediaries, purchasing drugs directly from manufacturers and distributing them to pharmacies, hospitals, and other healthcare providers. Major players in this sector include:
- AmerisourceBergen (Symbol: ABC)
- Cardinal Health (Symbol: CAH)
- McKesson Corporation (Symbol: MCK)
- Hospitals and Integrated Delivery Networks (IDNs): Large healthcare systems and hospital groups that procure medications for use within their extensive networks of facilities and clinics. While often supplied via wholesalers, they are ultimate purchasers within the institutional setting.
- Specialty Pharmacies: These pharmacies focus on dispensing and managing medications for complex, chronic, or rare conditions, often providing specialized support services to patients. Given Trevi's focus on neurological and rare diseases, specialty pharmacies would likely be key distribution partners for Haduvio.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jennifer Good, Co-Founder, President and CEO
Ms. Good is a co-founder of Trevi Therapeutics, serving as President and Chief Executive Officer since its inception in March 2011. She previously served at Penwest Pharmaceuticals Co. from 1997 to 2010, holding various positions including President and Chief Executive Officer, Chief Operating Officer, and Chief Financial Officer. Ms. Good successfully transitioned Penwest from a development-stage company to one generating over $50 million in annual revenues. She also led the negotiations for the sale of Penwest Pharmaceuticals in the fourth quarter of 2010. Ms. Good co-founded Trevi with angel financing and has grown it into a publicly traded company. She currently serves on the board of Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, a publicly-traded biopharmaceutical company, and previously served on the board of Juniper Pharmaceuticals, Inc. until its acquisition by Catalent, Inc. in August 2018.
Lisa Delfini, CFO
Ms. Delfini was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Trevi Therapeutics on August 9, 2021, and will be stepping down on August 22, 2025. She brings 30 years of experience in the financial sector, including helping public and private companies with finance transformation, capital raising activities, and acquisitions. Prior to Trevi, Ms. Delfini served as a Financial Accounting and Advisory Services Partner at Marcum LLP, where she provided advisory services and acted as interim CFO, CAO, or controller for various companies, including those in the pharmaceutical sector. Her background also includes roles as Global Controller for the GE Corporate Technical Center of Excellence and Global Controller for GE Industrial Solutions at General Electric, and a Client Service Partner at Deloitte & Touche LLP.
Thomas Sciascia, M.D., Co-Founder, Chief Scientific Officer
Dr. Sciascia is a co-founder of Trevi Therapeutics. He previously worked with Jennifer Good at Penwest Pharmaceuticals Co., where he served as Chief Medical Officer.
James Cassella, Ph.D., Chief Development Officer
Dr. Cassella serves as the Chief Development Officer for Trevi Therapeutics. He is also mentioned as a director of the company.
Farrell Simon, Pharm.D., Chief Commercial Officer
Dr. Simon is the Chief Commercial Officer at Trevi Therapeutics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Trevi Therapeutics (TRVI) are primarily associated with its status as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with a single lead product candidate.
-
Clinical Trial and Regulatory Risk: Trevi Therapeutics' primary asset, Haduvio (nalbuphine ER), is an investigational therapy in late-stage clinical development, making the success, cost, and timing of its ongoing and planned clinical trials a significant risk. Positive data from earlier-stage trials may not necessarily predict the results of later-stage or pivotal clinical trials in the same or different indications. There is also inherent uncertainty regarding regulatory authorities' views on the clinical trial data and the potential for delays or additional requirements for marketing approval, contributing to a substantial "binary risk" given the company's dependency on this single asset.
-
Competition and Commercial Potential: Despite promising clinical data, Trevi faces competition, particularly from companies like GSK, which has camlipixant (a P2X3 antagonist) in a Phase 3 program for chronic cough. While Haduvio's efficacy may be strong, concerns exist regarding its long-term effectiveness, side effects, and overall commercial potential. Additionally, nalbuphine's opioid nature, despite evidence of low abuse potential, could lead to regulatory caution and impact prescribing decisions, potentially limiting its market adoption.
-
Financial Risk (Profitability and Dilution): Trevi Therapeutics is currently unprofitable and is not projected to achieve profitability within the next three years. As a pre-revenue, single-asset company, its valuation carries inherent risk. Although the company has a cash runway extending into 2028 or 2029, there remains a risk of future shareholder dilution from additional capital raises, a concern exacerbated by prior offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The following are clear emerging threats to Trevi Therapeutics:
-
Competition from Dupixent (dupilumab) in Prurigo Nodularis: Sanofi and Regeneron's Dupixent received FDA approval in September 2023 for the treatment of adult patients with prurigo nodularis. Dupixent is an established biologic with significant market presence and robust commercial infrastructure, directly competing with Trevi Therapeutics' Haduvio (nalfurafine ER), which is in development for the same indication. The ongoing commercialization and market penetration of Dupixent present a substantial challenge to Haduvio's potential market share and commercial success.
-
Competition from Nemolizumab in Prurigo Nodularis: Nemolizumab, an anti-IL-31 receptor A antibody developed by Amgen and Maruho, is currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for prurigo nodularis. Positive results have been reported from these trials, indicating its potential to become another direct competitor in the treatment of prurigo nodularis. Its potential approval and subsequent launch would further intensify the competitive landscape for Trevi's Haduvio in its lead indication.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Haduvio (nalbuphine ER)
- For chronic cough in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF):
- The addressable market in the U.S. includes approximately 140,000 to 150,000 patients with IPF, of whom up to 85% experience chronic cough.
- Analyst estimates for Haduvio's peak sales for chronic cough in IPF are around $650 million. Some analysts believe the market opportunity could potentially exceed $1 billion.
- The 2022 therapeutic market for cough in IPF across the 7 major markets (U.S., EU5) was approximately $154 million, with anticipated significant growth.
- For refractory chronic cough (RCC):
- The addressable market in the U.S. affects approximately 2 to 3 million patients.
- Analyst estimates for Haduvio's peak sales for RCC are around $650 million. If successful, the drug could achieve peak sales exceeding $500 million annually in the U.S. alone for chronic cough indications, which include RCC.
- For chronic pruritus, including prurigo nodularis: null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Trevi Therapeutics (TRVI) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily driven by the advancement and potential commercialization of its investigational therapy, Haduvio (oral nalbuphine ER), across multiple indications with significant unmet medical needs. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:- Advancement and Potential Market Approval of Haduvio for Chronic Cough in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF): Haduvio has demonstrated positive results in its Phase 2b CORAL trial for chronic cough in IPF, showing statistically significant reductions in cough frequency and improvements in quality of life. Trevi Therapeutics plans to request an End-of-Phase 2 meeting with the FDA in the fourth quarter of 2025 and aims to initiate the Phase 3 program in the first half of 2026. The market for IPF-related chronic cough is estimated to be over $1.5 billion, with no FDA-approved therapies currently available, representing a substantial opportunity for Haduvio's potential market entry and subsequent revenue generation. GlobalData projects that Haduvio could generate $31 million for the company in the US by the end of 2027 if it reaches the market.
- Advancement and Potential Market Approval of Haduvio for Refractory Chronic Cough (RCC): The company reported positive Phase 2a RIVER trial results in March 2025, with Haduvio showing a statistically significant 57% placebo-adjusted reduction in 24-hour cough frequency in patients with RCC. Trevi intends to discuss the next steps with the FDA for this program. Refractory chronic cough affects approximately 2-3 million adults in the U.S., and there are no approved therapies for this condition, indicating a significant market opportunity for Haduvio.
- Advancement and Potential Market Approval of Haduvio for Prurigo Nodularis (PN): Trevi Therapeutics has reported positive results from its Phase 2b/3 PRISM trial and its open-label extension study for prurigo nodularis, demonstrating efficacy and a consistent safety profile over 52 weeks. The company is preparing for an end-of-Phase 2 meeting with the FDA to discuss the subsequent development steps for this program. Successful navigation of regulatory pathways for PN could lead to another significant revenue stream for Trevi Therapeutics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In June 2025, Trevi Therapeutics priced an underwritten public offering of 20,010,000 shares of its common stock at $5.75 per share, generating approximately $115.1 million in gross proceeds, which included the full exercise of the underwriters' option to purchase additional shares.
- In December 2024, the company announced the pricing of an underwritten offering of 12,500,000 shares of common stock at $4.00 per share, with the aim of raising $50 million before deducting underwriting costs.
Inbound Investments
- The $50 million underwritten offering in December 2024 saw participation from notable healthcare investment firms, including Adage Capital Partners LP, Frazier Life Sciences, and Vivo Capital.
- As of November 2025, Trevi Therapeutics had 312 institutional owners and shareholders holding a total of 126,485,454 shares, with significant increases in stakes by major firms such as Alliancebernstein L.P., Rubric Capital Management LP, and Orbimed Advisors LLC.
Capital Expenditures
- For the trailing twelve months ended June 2025, Trevi Therapeutics reported capital expenditures of -$7,000.
- As of November 3, 2025, the capital expenditure was reported as $0.00 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| TRVI Stock Falls -15% With A 7-day Losing Spree On Technical Breakdown | 01/07/2026 | |
| Trevi Therapeutics Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 248.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 50.6 |
| Rev LTM | 9,742 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,612 |
| FCF LTM | 2,547 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,292 |
| CFO LTM | 3,268 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,940 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 50.6 |
| P/S | 5.5 |
| P/EBIT | 12.7 |
| P/E | 16.2 |
| P/CFO | 15.1 |
| Total Yield | 6.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 36.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 35.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 29.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 25.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -17.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.64 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/07/2019 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $11.51 | $9.14 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -7.5% | 16.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 67.0% | 74.7% |
| Downside Capture | 131.41 | 40.78 |
| Upside Capture | 79.30 | 116.87 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 26.1% | 8.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.22 | 1.13 | 1.52 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.62 |
| Up Beta | 3.84 | 5.29 | 5.47 | 1.18 | 0.31 | 0.53 |
| Down Beta | -0.83 | -0.18 | 0.02 | -0.55 | -0.33 | 0.79 |
| Up Capture | -239% | -39% | 67% | 224% | 139% | 68% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 15 | 23 | 64 | 120 | 349 |
| Down Capture | 119% | 238% | 139% | 126% | 33% | 66% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 24 | 35 | 58 | 124 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRVI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRVI | 134.8% | 74.8% | 1.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 8.6% | 17.3% | 0.32 | 18.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 19.4% | 0.53 | 8.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 74.5% | 25.6% | 2.15 | 0.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 16.9% | 0.25 | 3.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.1% | 16.7% | 0.24 | 12.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.6% | 44.9% | -0.68 | 0.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRVI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRVI | 27.0% | 88.5% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.6% | 14.5% | 0.34 | 14.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 14.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.6% | 17.1% | 1.08 | -1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 19.0% | 0.46 | 3.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 12.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.2% | 57.1% | 0.35 | 14.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRVI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRVI | 3.5% | 100.9% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 11.3% | 16.5% | 0.57 | 6.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 17.9% | 0.77 | 6.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.8% | 15.6% | 0.79 | -5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 1.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.0% | 20.7% | 0.30 | 4.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 4.9% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -0.8% | -7.1% | 8.3% |
| 8/7/2025 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% |
| 3/18/2025 | 3.8% | 0.8% | -7.0% |
| 11/6/2024 | -6.5% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 2.1% | -1.8% | 11.4% |
| 3/20/2024 | 4.5% | -2.0% | -19.9% |
| 11/9/2023 | -3.3% | 4.1% | -15.1% |
| 8/10/2023 | -0.4% | -11.7% | -5.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.5% | -9.4% | -18.0% |
| Max Positive | 48.3% | 28.8% | 121.6% |
| Max Negative | -8.3% | -22.4% | -31.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/17/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sciascia, Thomas | Chief Scientific Officer | Direct | Sell | 3262025 | 6.60 | 2,631 | 17,365 | 1,461,062 | Form |
| 2 | Good, Jennifer L | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 3252025 | 6.58 | 5,263 | 34,625 | 1,403,365 | Form |
| 3 | Simon, Farrell | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3122025 | 6.75 | 81,313 | 548,878 | 519,089 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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