Centene (CNC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.75 | Market Cap: $19.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Managed Health Care
Centene (CNC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.75Market Cap: $19.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Managed Health Care
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Centene (CNC) experienced a significant stock movement of 33.6% between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Centene's Reaffirmation of its 2025 Adjusted EPS Outlook in September 2025.
On September 11, 2025, Centene reaffirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) forecast of approximately $1.75, which surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.62. This announcement provided market certainty and led to an approximate 4% jump in the stock in pre-market trading.
2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceeding Analyst Expectations.
Centene reported its third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, 2025, with adjusted diluted EPS of $0.50, significantly beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate for a loss of $0.21. The company's revenues also exceeded expectations, contributing to a positive market reaction.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNC Return | -5% | 37% | -0% | -10% | -18% | -36% | -38% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 33% | 16% | -3% | -19% | -19% | 19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNC Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 57% | 57% | 43% | 45% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNC Max Drawdown | -28% | -3% | -10% | -25% | -24% | -58% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -8% | -13% | -20% | -24% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UNH, CI, HUM, MOH, ELV. See CNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 597 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 113.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1005 days | 1480 days |
Compare to UNH, CI, HUM, MOH, ELV
In The Past
Centene's stock fell -37.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -37.0% loss requires a 58.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 07312025 | CNC | Centene | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 48.9% | 48.9% | -3.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 07312025 | CNC | Centene | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 48.9% | 48.9% | -3.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Centene
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | LONDON SARAH | Chief Executive Officer | 8112025 | Buy | 25.50 | 19,230 | 490,365 | 21,554,512 | Form |
| 1 | Samuels Theodore R. II | 7292025 | Buy | 27.62 | 9,000 | 248,580 | 883,840 | Form | |
| 2 | Greco Thomas | 12192024 | Buy | 59.75 | 17,000 | 1,015,750 | 1,153,713 | Form | |
| 3 | Dallas H James | 12172024 | Buy | 59.01 | 1,693 | 99,904 | 99,904 | Form | |
| 4 | BLUME JESSICA L. | 12172024 | Buy | 59.48 | 250 | 14,870 | 14,870 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |