Tearsheet

National Healthcare (NHC)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $141.29 | Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities

National Healthcare (NHC)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $141.29
Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Key risks
NHC key risks include [1] legal and regulatory liabilities stemming from specific claims of patient abuse, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, and Remote Patient Monitoring.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, and Remote Patient Monitoring.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Key risks
NHC key risks include [1] legal and regulatory liabilities stemming from specific claims of patient abuse, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NHC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for the stock movement (August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, it is not possible to provide key points for a stock movement that has not yet occurred.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NHC Return-21%5%-9%61%19%34%94%
Peers Return64%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NHC Win Rate25%42%42%67%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate63%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NHC Max Drawdown-34%-4%-13%-12%-5%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ENSG, PACS, BKD, ADUS, EHC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNHCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven266 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,362 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-37.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,958 days1,480 days

Compare to ACHC, AMTU, AVG, MCTA, SRTA


In The Past

National Healthcare's stock fell -33.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/18/2021. A -33.8% loss requires a 51.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About National Healthcare (NHC)

Better Bets than National Healthcare (NHC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for National Healthcare

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NHCENSGPACSBKDADUSEHCMedian
NameNational.Ensign PACS Brookdal.Addus Ho.Encompas. 
Mkt Price141.64181.3936.3910.79112.82106.39109.60
Mkt Cap2.210.45.72.62.010.74.1
Rev LTM1,5014,8295,1393,2211,3475,7964,025
Op Inc LTM124402287641231,002206
FCF LTM147492544196403122
FCF 3Y Avg104132--52107304107
CFO LTM1814814722291031,108350
CFO 3Y Avg133385-155115952155

Growth & Margins

NHCENSGPACSBKDADUSEHCMedian
NameNational.Ensign PACS Brookdal.Addus Ho.Encompas. 
Rev Chg LTM22.1%17.5%37.6%3.9%18.8%11.1%18.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.9%18.4%-6.2%13.3%10.9%11.9%
Rev Chg Q12.5%19.8%31.0%3.7%25.0%9.4%16.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%4.7%6.6%0.9%5.7%2.2%3.8%
Op Mgn LTM8.3%8.3%5.6%2.0%9.2%17.3%8.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.2%7.9%-1.1%8.8%16.1%7.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.2%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.1%10.0%9.2%7.1%7.7%19.1%9.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.2%9.2%-4.9%10.0%18.1%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM9.8%1.0%4.9%1.3%7.2%6.9%5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%3.4%--1.8%9.2%5.8%5.8%

Valuation

NHCENSGPACSBKDADUSEHCMedian
NameNational.Ensign PACS Brookdal.Addus Ho.Encompas. 
Mkt Cap2.210.45.72.62.010.74.1
P/S1.52.21.10.81.51.81.5
P/EBIT15.223.719.8-44.416.110.515.6
P/E21.731.733.7-8.423.819.822.7
P/CFO12.121.612.111.219.89.612.1
Total Yield6.4%3.3%3.0%-12.0%4.2%5.7%3.7%
Dividend Yield1.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.7%2.1%--5.5%5.6%3.2%3.2%
D/E0.10.20.62.10.10.20.2
Net D/E-0.10.20.52.00.00.20.2

Returns

NHCENSGPACSBKDADUSEHCMedian
NameNational.Ensign PACS Brookdal.Addus Ho.Encompas. 
1M Rtn12.3%1.5%116.2%2.9%3.5%-4.9%3.2%
3M Rtn21.5%10.4%204.0%36.4%0.8%-14.1%16.0%
6M Rtn36.6%18.2%176.1%58.2%-0.9%-10.5%27.4%
12M Rtn27.4%34.5%178.4%115.8%-12.9%14.1%30.9%
3Y Rtn155.2%91.5%-289.5%9.7%88.4%91.5%
1M Excs Rtn9.4%-1.4%113.3%-0.0%0.6%-7.8%0.3%
3M Excs Rtn14.3%6.7%170.3%28.2%-3.3%-17.6%10.5%
6M Excs Rtn21.1%5.9%172.0%42.7%-13.6%-24.7%13.5%
12M Excs Rtn6.6%16.8%147.9%92.6%-26.7%-2.5%11.7%
3Y Excs Rtn83.4%20.2%-212.9%-64.8%17.0%20.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Inpatient services957912932931894
Homecare and hospice services132129975255
All Other5345454648
Total1,1421,0861,0741,028996


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Inpatient services4210615852
Homecare and hospice services24221923
All Other-100-30-11-6
Total5732514849


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity313,105
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.9%
Average Daily Volume70,609
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.43
Basic Shares Quantity15,484,464
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/7/20251.7%1.3%7.1%
8/8/20254.1%10.3%20.2%
5/9/20256.2%12.6%10.4%
2/27/2025-0.2%0.6%-0.3%
11/12/2024-3.8%-8.7%-9.6%
8/9/20241.4%6.9%0.0%
5/10/2024-1.1%3.4%6.5%
2/16/20244.6%5.8%-0.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151915
# Negative959
Median Positive4.1%3.9%8.2%
Median Negative-2.4%-6.3%-5.9%
Max Positive7.4%13.0%27.1%
Max Negative-3.8%-12.3%-15.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021