Tearsheet

Axogen (AXGN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.62 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Axogen (AXGN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.62
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Regenerative Medicine Biomaterials, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 146x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 127x
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 160%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Regenerative Medicine Biomaterials, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 146x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 127x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 160%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AXGN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Axogen's (AXGN) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. FDA Approval of AVANCE® Biologics License Application (BLA)

Axogen announced on December 3, 2025, the FDA approval of its Biologics License Application for AVANCE® (acellular nerve allograft–arwx). This approval clears AVANCE for treating sensory, mixed, and motor peripheral nerve discontinuities in adult and pediatric patients aged 1 month or older, transitioning it from a human tissue product to a biologic. This regulatory milestone clarifies and strengthens Axogen's market position, contributing to investor confidence.

2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

On October 29, 2025, Axogen reported impressive financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company announced revenue of $60.1 million, a 23.5% increase year-over-year, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.12, significantly surpassing analyst estimates of $0.07 or $0.09. Gross margin expanded to 76.6%, and the company achieved a net income of $0.7 million compared to a net loss in the prior-year quarter. This strong financial performance, including a return to profitability, led to a favorable market response and a pre-market stock surge of approximately 9.8% following the announcement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AXGN Return0%-48%7%-32%141%68%55%
Peers Return52%3%-11%-6%-18%41%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AXGN Win Rate50%25%42%33%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%42%40%35%31%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AXGN Max Drawdown-59%-51%-25%-64%-17%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-15%-31%-31%-27%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAXGNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven551.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven734 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven256 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-80.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven400.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven476.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3123 days1480 days

Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN


In The Past

Axogen's stock fell -84.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -84.6% loss requires a 551.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Axogen (AXGN)

Better Bets than Axogen (AXGN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AXGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Axogen

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AXGNAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameAxogen Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Mkt Price28.33149.2621.231.99-102.7628.33
Mkt Cap1.342.43.20.4--2.3
Rev LTM2156,788728199--471
Op Inc LTM41,444-74-9---3
FCF LTM21,088-30--1
FCF 3Y Avg-111,308-112-15---13
CFO LTM71,495354--21
CFO 3Y Avg-11,662-36-12---6

Growth & Margins

AXGNAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameAxogen Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Rev Chg LTM18.7%4.5%27.1%13.0%--15.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.1%0.8%31.8%8.3%--12.7%
Rev Chg Q23.5%10.1%30.4%14.5%--19.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.6%2.4%6.7%3.5%--4.5%
Op Mgn LTM1.8%21.3%-10.1%-4.8%---1.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.2%21.5%-21.8%-11.9%---9.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%-0.1%3.8%1.3%--1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM3.0%22.0%4.8%1.8%--3.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.7%24.6%-7.6%-7.5%---4.1%
FCF/Rev LTM1.0%16.0%-0.5%0.1%--0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%19.4%-21.7%-9.7%---8.2%

Valuation

AXGNAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameAxogen Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Mkt Cap1.342.43.20.4--2.3
P/S3.94.93.01.5--3.4
P/EBIT145.822.2-19.2-42.1--1.5
P/E-395.527.5-14.2-19.1---16.7
P/CFO127.422.462.885.5--74.1
Total Yield-0.3%4.5%-7.0%-5.2%---2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.2%3.7%-11.2%-5.1%---4.7%
D/E0.10.10.30.3--0.2
Net D/E0.00.10.20.1--0.1

Returns

AXGNAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameAxogen Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
1M Rtn21.8%3.2%10.1%30.9%--16.0%
3M Rtn81.5%19.4%33.5%51.9%--42.7%
6M Rtn159.9%30.4%72.9%38.2%--55.5%
12M Rtn96.2%8.0%112.3%12.4%--54.3%
3Y Rtn155.5%-2.0%106.7%-52.0%--52.4%
1M Excs Rtn21.9%3.2%10.1%31.0%--16.0%
3M Excs Rtn78.6%11.1%22.9%44.3%--33.6%
6M Excs Rtn145.2%15.7%58.2%23.5%--40.8%
12M Excs Rtn90.3%-4.5%89.0%-6.0%--42.3%
3Y Excs Rtn99.6%-72.6%50.7%-119.0%---11.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Peripheral nerve repair159139127112107
Total159139127112107


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,616,565
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.3%
Average Daily Volume701,889
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.73
Basic Shares Quantity46,494,598
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021