Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International (KNSA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $40.56 | Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International (KNSA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $40.56Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -5.0%, Dist 3Y High is -5.0% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 637x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 595x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -5.0%, Dist 3Y High is -5.0% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 637x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 595x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KNSA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points regarding Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International (KNSA) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
**1. U.S. Orphan Drug Designation for KPL-387.** On October 17, 2025, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals announced that KPL-387, a drug candidate for the treatment of pericarditis, received U.S. Orphan Drug Designation. This designation can potentially accelerate development and provide market exclusivity upon approval.
**2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Revenue Performance.** Kiniksa reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 28, 2025. The company announced revenue of $180.86 million, exceeding analyst consensus estimates of $166.64 million and representing a significant 61.2% increase compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
**3. Positive Analyst Ratings and Raised Price Targets.** Several financial analysts provided favorable coverage for KNSA during this period. Goldman Sachs raised its price target for Kiniksa to $55 from $45 on October 29, 2025. Additionally, Wedbush reiterated an "Outperform" rating for the stock with a $48 price target on December 3, 2025, acknowledging the strong revenue performance.
**4. Upward Revision of FY2025 Revenue Guidance for ARCALYST.** Around October 2025, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals increased its full-year 2025 net product revenue guidance for ARCALYST to a range of $670 million to $675 million. This revised outlook signals robust commercial success for its key product.
**5. Engagement at Investor Conferences.** Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals was scheduled to present at important investor conferences, including the Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference in London on November 12, 2025. These presentations offer opportunities to communicate company progress and strategy to the investment community.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KNSA Return | 60% | -33% | 27% | 17% | 13% | 103% | 262% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 36% | 20% | 3% | 5% | 22% | 134% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KNSA Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 58% | 60% | 42% | 42% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KNSA Max Drawdown | -1% | -41% | -35% | -30% | -4% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -6% | -13% | -21% | -7% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KNSA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 783 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -83.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 490.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2114 days | 120 days |
Compare to LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE
In The Past
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International's stock fell -68.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -68.3% loss requires a 215.4% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KNSA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 102.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 255.2 |
| Rev LTM | 62,786 |
| Op Inc LTM | 22,391 |
| FCF LTM | 10,376 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,927 |
| CFO LTM | 13,077 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,127 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 255.2 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 17.8 |
| P/CFO | 18.4 |
| Total Yield | 8.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 35.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 25.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 20.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 17.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -46.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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