Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $698.42 | Market Cap: $258.8 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $698.42
Market Cap: $258.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 9.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 7.6 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 11 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.0%, Dist 3Y High is -2.0%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 36x

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%

Key risks
TMO key risks include [1] dampened demand from potential cuts in government research funding and new tariffs, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 9.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 7.6 Bil
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 11 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.0%, Dist 3Y High is -2.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 36x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
8 Key risks
TMO key risks include [1] dampened demand from potential cuts in government research funding and new tariffs, Show more.

TMO in ETFs

Weight = TMO's share of each fund

SPY0.39%
VOO0.38%
IVV0.39%
VTI0.34%
ITOT0.35%
IWB0.37%
RSP0.23%
VTV0.95%
+25 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) stock has gained about 20% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceeding fiscal Q3 2026 earnings expectations and raising full-year guidance.

Thermo Fisher Scientific reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $6.68 for fiscal Q3 2026, which ended September 26, 2026, representing a 15% year-over-year increase and surpassing the consensus estimate of $6.40. Revenue for the quarter also grew 9% to $12.14 billion, beating analyst estimates of $11.95 billion. Following these strong results, the company raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to between $47.7 billion and $48.2 billion, and its adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $25.13 to $25.43, signaling confidence in continued robust performance.

2. Robust organic revenue growth and expanded operating margins in fiscal Q3 2026.

The company demonstrated strong underlying business health with organic revenue growth of 6% in fiscal Q3 2026. This growth was complemented by a significant expansion in profitability, as the adjusted operating margin for the quarter increased by 120 basis points to 24.5%. The Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services segment notably contributed to this performance with a reported revenue increase of 15%, including 10% organic growth.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) stock has gained about 20% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceeding fiscal Q3 2026 earnings expectations and raising full-year guidance.

Thermo Fisher Scientific reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $6.68 for fiscal Q3 2026, which ended September 26, 2026, representing a 15% year-over-year increase and surpassing the consensus estimate of $6.40. Revenue for the quarter also grew 9% to $12.14 billion, beating analyst estimates of $11.95 billion. Following these strong results, the company raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to between $47.7 billion and $48.2 billion, and its adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $25.13 to $25.43, signaling confidence in continued robust performance.

2. Robust organic revenue growth and expanded operating margins in fiscal Q3 2026.

The company demonstrated strong underlying business health with organic revenue growth of 6% in fiscal Q3 2026. This growth was complemented by a significant expansion in profitability, as the adjusted operating margin for the quarter increased by 120 basis points to 24.5%. The Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services segment notably contributed to this performance with a reported revenue increase of 15%, including 10% organic growth.

3. Strategic portfolio optimization through significant divestiture and innovative product launches.

During the period, Thermo Fisher Scientific completed the sale of its microbiology business on August 12, 2026, for approximately $1.07 billion, resulting in a $72 million pretax gain. Concurrently, the company continued its focus on innovation by launching several high-impact new products in fiscal Q3 2026, including the Thermo Scientific Orbitrap Isora mass spectrometer and the FDA-cleared EliA CTD 13 Screen for autoimmune diseases.

4. Ongoing share repurchase program.

Thermo Fisher Scientific's commitment to returning value to shareholders was evidenced by its substantial share repurchase activity. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, the company spent $4.00 billion to repurchase 6.9 million common shares, which can positively impact stock valuation by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

5. Positive analyst sentiment and upgraded price targets.

The company's strong performance led to favorable reception from the analyst community. As of November 3, 2026, 18 analysts maintained a "Buy" consensus rating for TMO, with an average price target of $757.44, representing an 8.67% potential upside from the then-current price of $697.00. Multiple firms, such as Morgan Stanley, TD Cowen, and Barclays, raised their price targets in October 2026 following the fiscal Q3 results, reinforcing investor confidence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 21.1% change in TMO stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)573.86694.7621.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)46,33647,3512.2%
Net Income Margin (%)15.0%14.9%-0.7%
P/E Multiple30.636.318.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3713700.3%
Cumulative Contribution21.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TMO21.1% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%34.7%
Sector (XLV)13.7%44.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 45.3% change in TMO stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)478.11694.7645.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)44,55547,3516.3%
Net Income Margin (%)15.0%14.9%-0.7%
P/E Multiple26.736.336.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3743701.1%
Cumulative Contribution45.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TMO45.3% 
Market (SPY)2.6%16.8%
Sector (XLV)27.1%45.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 22.9% change in TMO stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511062026Change
Stock Price ($)565.40694.7622.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)43,73547,3518.3%
Net Income Margin (%)15.0%14.9%-0.6%
P/E Multiple32.536.311.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3783702.2%
Cumulative Contribution22.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TMO22.9% 
Market (SPY)8.7%29.9%
Sector (XLV)29.8%46.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 57.7% change in TMO stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311062026Change
Stock Price ($)440.49694.7657.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)43,52447,3518.8%
Net Income Margin (%)13.1%14.9%13.6%
P/E Multiple29.736.322.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3863704.3%
Cumulative Contribution57.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TMO57.7% 
Market (SPY)81.9%42.1%
Sector (XLV)55.4%60.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TMO Return44%-17%-3%-2%12%20%52%
Peers Return28%-15%-9%1%-2%31%28%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TMO Win Rate75%42%58%50%50%55% 
Peers Win Rate73%40%43%47%48%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TMO Max Drawdown-15%-27%-29%-20%-36%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-33%-34%-20%-37%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DHR, A, ILMN, BDX, WAT. See TMO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTMOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven131 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven124 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-11.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven56 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-24.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1190 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-24.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven35 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven44 days105 days

Compare to DHR, A, ILMN, BDX, WAT

In The Past

Thermo Fisher Scientific's stock fell -25.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTMOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven131 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven124 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-24.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1190 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-24.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven35 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-25.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven411 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-51.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven104.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven888 days1085 days

Compare to DHR, A, ILMN, BDX, WAT

In The Past

Thermo Fisher Scientific's stock fell -25.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) is a global leader in providing an extensive range of scientific products and services. The company essentially equips scientists, researchers, and clinicians with the essential tools and support necessary for scientific discovery, diagnostics, and production across various industries. Operating through distinct segments, Thermo Fisher addresses critical needs within the global scientific and healthcare communities.

The company's core offerings include life sciences solutions, providing reagents, instruments, and consumables vital for biological and medical research, drug and vaccine development, and disease diagnosis. They also specialize in analytical instruments, software, and services used for precise measurement and analysis in laboratories and industrial settings. Furthermore, Thermo Fisher supplies specialty diagnostic products, such as immunodiagnostic kits for allergy, asthma, and autoimmunity testing, alongside a broad portfolio of laboratory products like refrigerators, centrifuges, chemicals, and comprehensive pharmaceutical services.

Thermo Fisher's diverse customer base primarily consists of pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, academic and government research institutions, clinical laboratories, hospitals, and environmental organizations. Their products and services are indispensable for a wide array of applications, spanning cutting-edge scientific research, new drug development, routine clinical diagnostics, and industrial quality control, thereby supporting advancements in health, science, and environmental protection worldwide.

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Here are a few analogies to describe Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO):

  • Amazon for scientific labs: Thermo Fisher Scientific provides a vast catalog of everything a scientific laboratory needs, from basic consumables and reagents to advanced analytical instruments and services, similar to how Amazon is a one-stop-shop for a wide array of goods.

  • Home Depot for scientists: Just as Home Depot provides all the tools, materials, and supplies needed for home building and DIY projects, Thermo Fisher Scientific equips scientists with the essential instruments, chemicals, and equipment required for research, diagnostics, and production.

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  • Life Sciences Reagents, Instruments, and Consumables: Offers essential tools for biological and medical research, drug discovery, vaccine production, and disease diagnosis.
  • Analytical Instruments and Software: Provides instruments, consumables, software, and services for laboratory, production line, and field analysis across various research and industrial markets.
  • Specialty Diagnostic Kits (e.g., ImmunoCAP, EliA): Manufactures immunodiagnostic reagent kits and tests for conditions like allergies, asthma, and autoimmune diseases.
  • Culture Media and Collection Systems: Supplies dehydrated and prepared culture media, as well as collection and transport systems for microbiology and diagnostics.
  • Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) Typing and Testing: Offers specialized typing and testing services critical for the organ transplant market.
  • Laboratory Refrigerators, Freezers, and Storage Tanks: Provides equipment such as ultralow-temperature freezers, refrigerators, and cryopreservation storage tanks for laboratory samples.
  • General Laboratory Equipment: Includes products for temperature control, sample preparation and preservation, centrifugation, and biological safety cabinets.
  • Laboratory Plastics and Chemicals: Supplies essential consumables like various laboratory plastics products and chemicals.
  • Pharma Services: Offers a range of services supporting pharmaceutical research, development, and manufacturing.

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Major Customers of Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

Thermo Fisher Scientific primarily sells its life sciences solutions, analytical instruments, specialty diagnostics, and laboratory products and services to other companies and institutions rather than directly to individuals. Its major customer categories include:

  • Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Companies: These customers utilize Thermo Fisher's offerings for biological and medical research, drug discovery, and the production of drugs and vaccines.
  • Academic and Government Research Institutions: Universities, government laboratories, and other research bodies use the company's instruments, reagents, and laboratory products for scientific research across various fields. This category also encompasses other research and industrial markets.
  • Clinical Laboratories and Healthcare Providers: This category includes hospitals, diagnostic centers, and clinical laboratories that rely on Thermo Fisher for specialty diagnostics (e.g., immunodiagnostic tests) as well as laboratory equipment and consumables for patient care and disease diagnosis.

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Marc N. Casper Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Marc N. Casper has been the Chief Executive Officer of Thermo Fisher Scientific since October 2009 and was elected Chairman of the Board in February 2020. He also served as President from 2009 until March 2026. Casper joined Thermo Fisher in 2001 as President of the Life Sciences sector of Thermo Electron. He was named Senior Vice President in 2003, and in 2005 he assumed responsibility for all of the company's operating divisions. Following the merger that created Thermo Fisher Scientific in 2006, Casper was appointed Executive Vice President and President of its Analytical Technologies business, becoming Chief Operating Officer in 2008. Before joining Thermo Fisher, he served as President, Chief Executive Officer, and a Director of Kendro Laboratory Products. Prior to that, he was President–Americas at clinical diagnostics provider Dade Behring Inc. Casper began his career as a strategy consultant at Bain & Company and later worked for Bain Capital.

Stephen Williamson Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Stephen Williamson will retire from Thermo Fisher Scientific at the end of March 2026, after serving as Chief Financial Officer since 2015. He joined the company in 2001 as Vice President, European Financial Operations, overseeing integration activities across Europe. In 2004, he moved to the U.S. and held various finance leadership roles for the company's operating businesses, becoming Vice President of Financial Operations for Thermo Fisher Scientific in 2008. Before joining Thermo Fisher, Williamson held finance positions at Honeywell International (formerly AlliedSignal), including Chief Financial Officer for Asia-Pacific in Singapore, and other roles in corporate development and operational finance. He began his career with Price Waterhouse in transaction support and audit.

Gianluca Pettiti President and Chief Operating Officer

Gianluca Pettiti will be promoted to President and Chief Operating Officer, effective March 1, 2026. He has been an Executive Vice President since 2021. Pettiti joined Thermo Fisher Scientific through the acquisition of Life Technologies in 2014.

Michael Shafer Executive Vice President

Michael Shafer, currently an Executive Vice President and President of Biopharma Services since April 2024, will take on an expanded role and report directly to the Chief Executive Officer, effective March 1, 2026.

Lisa P. Britt Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Lisa P. Britt joined Thermo Fisher Scientific in March 2017 as Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer, where she is responsible for leading the company's global Human Resources strategy and operations. Prior to Thermo Fisher, she spent six years with Nexeo Solutions, a global distributor of plastics and chemicals, serving as Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer. Before Nexeo, Britt worked for Covidien, a global healthcare products leader, for 13 years, holding several HR senior leadership roles, including Vice President, Global Human Resources.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Thermo Fisher Scientific's business are primarily driven by macroeconomic factors, regulatory and geopolitical developments, and challenges related to its acquisition strategy.

  1. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Funding Challenges: Thermo Fisher Scientific faces significant risk from a challenging macroeconomic environment, including potential cuts in government research funding and cautious spending in academic and government sectors globally. Economic weakness, particularly in China, has dampened demand and contributed to a cautious outlook for the company's growth. Inflationary pressures and fluctuating interest rates can also impact operational costs and profit margins, as well as affect funding for the broader biotech industry, which is a key customer segment for Thermo Fisher. This environment has led to a pullback in global biopharmaceutical spending and cost-cutting measures by the company.

  2. Regulatory Changes and Geopolitical Risks: The company operates in highly regulated industries and is exposed to the risk of adverse regulatory changes, such as U.S. drug price negotiation provisions, which could increase expenses or delay product development. Geopolitical factors, including tariffs and evolving policy changes in key markets like China and the U.S., create uncertainty and can directly impact Thermo Fisher's earnings and financial projections. Furthermore, expanding into emerging markets presents additional risks due to political and financial instability.

  3. Acquisition Integration and Financial Risks: Thermo Fisher Scientific frequently engages in strategic acquisitions to expand its market position and capabilities. However, these acquisitions come with inherent risks, including challenges in successfully integrating acquired businesses and technologies, which can lead to operational difficulties. There are also financial risks associated with these transactions, such as concerns over immediate negative impacts on earnings, increased long-term debt and leverage, and the challenge of generating anticipated returns, especially in a less favorable interest-rate environment.

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Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) operates within several significant addressable markets globally and in the U.S. Here are the estimated market sizes for its main product and service segments:

  • Life Sciences Solutions: This segment offers reagents, instruments, and consumables for biological and medical research, drug and vaccine production, and disease diagnosis. The global life science tools market, which encompasses these offerings, was valued at approximately USD 151.62 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 500.09 billion by 2035. For North America, specifically the U.S., the life science tools market size reached USD 60.00 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to grow to approximately USD 154.33 billion by 2035.
  • Analytical Instruments: Thermo Fisher Scientific's Analytical Instruments segment provides various instruments, consumables, software, and services for laboratory, production line, and field use. The global analytical instrumentation market was valued at USD 58.96 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to USD 98.68 billion by 2034. North America held approximately 34% of the global analytical instrumentation market share in 2025, with the U.S. market reaching USD 14.6 billion in 2025.
  • Specialty Diagnostics: This segment includes immunodiagnostic reagent kits, allergy and asthma tests, autoimmunity tests, culture media, and human leukocyte antigen typing. The global diagnostic tests market, which includes these specialized tests, was valued at USD 286.36 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 545.94 billion by 2032. The U.S. diagnostic tests market alone accounted for 79% of the North American market in 2024.
  • Laboratory Products and Services: This segment offers a broad range of laboratory equipment such as refrigerators, freezers, and biological safety cabinets, along with laboratory plastics, chemicals, and pharma services. The global laboratory supplies market was valued at USD 48.95 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 103.79 billion by 2034. North America led the global laboratory supplies market with a 38% share in 2024. Additionally, the global laboratory equipment service market was valued at USD 20.51 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 64.91 billion by 2034.

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Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Growth in Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology End Markets: Thermo Fisher Scientific anticipates continued strong performance within the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors, which collectively represent approximately 60% of its revenue. This segment delivered high single-digit growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 and mid-single-digit growth for the full year 2025. Positive customer sentiment, particularly in biotech, is expected to translate into increased spending and budgets, supporting sustained growth in these critical markets.
  2. Strategic Acquisitions: The company actively pursues strategic acquisitions to expand its offerings and market presence. A significant driver for future revenue is the definitive agreement to acquire Clario, a digital endpoint data provider, which generated approximately $1.5 billion in revenue in 2025. Additionally, the acquisition of Olink, a high-growth business, is projected to close in the second quarter of 2026 and is expected to enhance Thermo Fisher's endpoint solution capabilities.
  3. New Product Launches and Innovation: Investment in research and development (R&D) and the successful launch of innovative products are key to revenue growth. Recent examples of high-impact product launches include the Orbitrap Astro Zoom mass spectrometer and the DynaDrive bioreactor. Thermo Fisher is also leveraging advanced technologies through a new collaboration with OpenAI to promote scientific innovation and a strategic partnership with NVIDIA to advance scientific instrumentation and accelerate laboratory performance.
  4. Expansion of Service Capabilities and Integrated Solutions: Thermo Fisher is enhancing its comprehensive service capabilities, including integrated clinical research and manufacturing, to accelerate drug development for its customers. The company's bioproduction business has demonstrated excellent growth, and its "Accelerator program" has shown strong customer adoption, contributing to increased revenue from its service offerings.
  5. Reshoring and Increased U.S. Manufacturing Capacity: Significant commitments to reshoring manufacturing operations within the United States, including a $2 billion investment in capacity, are expected to drive above-trend growth from 2027 to 2029. This strategic initiative aims to increase Thermo Fisher's market share in new U.S. facilities and bolster domestic medicine production capabilities.

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Share Repurchases

  • Thermo Fisher Scientific authorized a $5 billion share repurchase program in November 2025.
  • The company executed annual share repurchases of $4 billion in 2024 and $3 billion in 2023.

Share Issuance

  • The number of Thermo Fisher Scientific's shares outstanding has shown a declining trend, with a 1.31% decrease in 2025 from 2024, indicating net share repurchases rather than significant share issuance.

Outbound Investments

  • In November 2025, Thermo Fisher acquired Clario for $9 billion, enhancing its clinical trial supply services.
  • The company completed the acquisition of Solventum's Purification & Filtration business for approximately $4.0-$4.1 billion in September 2025, strengthening its bioproduction offerings and expanding into industrial filtration.
  • Other significant acquisitions include Olink for $3.1 billion in 2024 (announced 2023) and PPD for $17.4 billion in 2021, a contract research organization.

Capital Expenditures

  • Thermo Fisher Scientific's capital expenditures increased in each of the last five fiscal years, from $259.1 million in 2021 to $2.2128 billion in 2025.
  • The average annual capital expenditures from 2021 to 2025 were $1.1013 billion.
  • These expenditures are primarily focused on maintaining existing assets and expanding to new property, plant, and equipment.

Better Bets vs. Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

Peer Outperformance in Life Sciences Tools & Services

TMO has outperformed 89% of its 107 Life Sciences Tools & Services peers over 5Y. Life Sciences Tools & Services ranks 8th of 10 industries in Health Care by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Life Sciences Tools & Services constituents that TMO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
65%
of 124 industry peers · 23.2% return
3Y
73%
of 113 industry peers · 52.8% return
5Y
89%
of 107 industry peers · 14.3% return
No Life Sciences Tools & Services peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten TMO by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Health Care sector, ranked by 5Y. Life Sciences Tools & Services is TMO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Health Care Distributors 6 8.1%55.6%91.6% CAH 507% · MCK 390% · COR 176%
Health Care Services 20 33.3%22.4%7.1% HIMS 212% · RDNT 120% · DGX 100%
Health Care Facilities 25 13.7%21.0%1.0% THC 276% · NHC 212% · EHC 179%
Managed Health Care 8 58.5%-2.5%-2.4% OSCR 80% · HQY 52% · ELV 8%
Health Care Equipment 50 11.3%12.9%-18.2% UFPT 361% · GKOS 294% · TMDX 180%
Pharmaceuticals 61 -9.5%10.3%-37.3% LQDA 975% · XERS 679% · KNSA 537%
Health Care Supplies 11 29.2%17.3%-41.2% LNTH 248% · HAE 61% · MMSI 26%
Life Sciences Tools & Services ← 108 -8.2%-13.1%-74.5% AXGN 264% · MEDP 189% · NTRA 168%
Biotechnology 364 -24.2%-34.6%-81.5% ELVN 1194% · TRVI 1125% · DNTH 995%
Health Care Technology 21 -23.7%-52.4%-82.9% VEEV -5% · DOCS -52%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TMODHRAILMNBDXWATMedian
NameThermo F.Danaher Agilent .Illumina Becton D.Waters  
Mkt Price698.42230.25175.00214.89211.88457.83222.57
Mkt Cap258.4162.049.432.458.245.053.8
Rev LTM47,35125,6087,3724,53823,2504,64415,311
Op Inc LTM8,8635,2181,6399703,3443792,492
FCF LTM7,5965,7271,2671,0572,5093991,888
FCF 3Y Avg7,1615,2411,2578682,7685262,013
CFO LTM9,3246,8591,6091,2303,2625502,436
CFO 3Y Avg8,6926,4881,6301,0163,4876672,558

Growth & Margins

TMODHRAILMNBDXWATMedian
NameThermo F.Danaher Agilent .Illumina Becton D.Waters  
Rev Chg LTM8.3%5.5%8.6%5.8%17.4%52.5%8.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.0%6.9%2.0%0.6%7.1%18.2%5.0%
Rev Chg Q9.1%8.3%8.1%4.2%5.4%113.4%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%2.0%1.9%1.0%1.1%23.2%2.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM10.1%13.1%13.5%21.6%26.1%-55.3%13.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg6.7%1.7%5.3%160.0%10.7%-18.4%6.0%
Op Mgn LTM18.7%20.4%22.2%21.4%14.4%8.2%19.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.2%19.8%22.1%15.1%13.5%21.0%19.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.0%0.7%1.5%-0.5%-7.9%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM19.7%26.8%21.8%27.1%14.0%11.8%20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.6%26.4%23.8%23.0%16.8%20.3%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM16.0%22.4%17.2%23.3%10.8%8.6%16.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.1%21.3%18.3%19.7%13.3%16.1%17.2%

Valuation

TMODHRAILMNBDXWATMedian
NameThermo F.Danaher Agilent .Illumina Becton D.Waters  
Mkt Cap258.4162.049.432.458.245.053.8
P/S5.56.36.77.22.59.76.5
P/Op Inc29.231.130.133.517.4118.730.6
P/EBIT27.431.328.028.122.8126.928.0
P/E36.537.434.336.361.9270.637.0
P/CFO27.723.630.726.417.881.827.0
Total Yield3.0%3.3%3.5%2.8%3.6%0.4%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.6%0.6%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.2%3.2%3.0%4.0%4.8%2.4%3.2%
D/E0.20.20.10.10.30.10.1
Net D/E0.10.10.00.00.30.10.1

Returns

TMODHRAILMNBDXWATMedian
NameThermo F.Danaher Agilent .Illumina Becton D.Waters  
1M Rtn5.5%5.4%3.5%-19.7%17.6%5.0%5.2%
3M Rtn17.7%12.6%20.1%14.3%20.5%12.5%16.0%
6M Rtn50.5%35.0%51.9%51.5%43.6%28.9%47.0%
12M Rtn23.8%10.1%19.5%77.4%55.8%23.4%23.6%
3Y Rtn53.6%18.2%61.9%93.1%11.9%75.6%57.7%
1M Excs Rtn8.1%6.9%5.1%-17.8%16.9%7.7%7.3%
3M Excs Rtn17.4%11.0%18.7%12.9%19.5%12.0%15.1%
6M Excs Rtn46.5%31.1%48.0%47.5%39.7%25.0%43.1%
12M Excs Rtn10.3%-3.8%7.0%62.3%43.5%9.9%10.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-22.0%-58.1%-7.6%25.2%-68.5%8.6%-14.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services23,98423,15723,04122,51114,862
Life Sciences Solutions10,3749,6319,97713,53215,631
Analytical Instruments7,5547,4637,2636,6246,069
Specialty Diagnostics4,6764,5124,4054,7635,659
Elimination of intersegment revenues-2,033-1,885-1,829-2,515-3,010
Total44,55542,87842,85744,91539,211


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Life Sciences Solutions3,7683,5033,4205,5827,817
Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services3,3503,0903,3582,8721,844
Analytical Instruments1,7361,9551,9081,5071,197
Specialty Diagnostics1,2561,1591,1241,0241,280
Cost of revenues adjustments-64-47-95-46-8
Selling, general and administrative expenses adjustments-2078-59-37-144
Restructuring and other costs-362-379-459-114-197
Amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets-1,730-1,952-2,338-2,395-1,761
Total7,7477,3376,8598,39310,028


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Unallocated amounts95,91984,03185,31483,340 
Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services6,4856,1456,3506,42852,639
Life Sciences Solutions3,4462,9823,1863,84522,751
Analytical Instruments3,1702,9442,7262,4659,692
Specialty Diagnostics1,3231,2181,1501,0766,010
Corporate/Other    4,031
Total110,34397,32098,72697,15495,123


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$694.76 
Market Cap ($ Bil)257.1 
First Trading Date09/01/1987 
Distance from 52W High-2.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$660.71$552.31
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA5.2%25.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility27.4%29.8%
Downside Capture-0.4543.86
Upside Capture107.4763.64
Correlation (S&P 500)25.5%27.4%
TMO Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.950.810.400.190.610.75
Up Beta3.101.33-0.36-0.160.640.83
Down Beta1.181.150.860.920.750.89
Up Capture111%112%92%46%56%33%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days14273770129381
Down Capture50%4%-19%-70%53%83%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days8162756122371

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TMO
TMO22.9%29.8%0.69-
Sector ETF (XLV)28.6%16.9%1.3146.8%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4030.1%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.0515.1%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-12.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.5119.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-26.9%43.6%-0.6016.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TMO
TMO2.2%27.9%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLV)8.3%15.4%0.3564.6%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4852.7%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.749.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.303.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0447.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%51.6%0.2621.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TMO
TMO17.0%26.7%0.61-
Sector ETF (XLV)12.2%16.8%0.5967.8%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7057.2%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.599.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.339.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2442.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.1%66.3%1.0014.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302026-9.6%
Average Daily Volume2.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity370.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/30/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20261.0%0.8% 
7/23/20268.7%9.5%19.2%
4/23/2026-9.2%-9.3%-12.6%
1/29/2026-2.6%-7.0%-14.3%
10/22/20251.7%-0.1%2.8%
7/23/20259.1%12.8%15.7%
4/23/2025-0.7%-1.7%-8.4%
1/30/20256.8%2.5%-6.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151212
# Negative101312
Median Positive1.7%3.5%3.9%
Median Negative-2.7%-2.9%-6.9%
Max Positive9.1%12.8%19.2%
Max Negative-9.2%-9.3%-14.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20261.0%0.8% 
7/23/20268.7%9.5%19.2%
4/23/2026-9.2%-9.3%-12.6%
1/29/2026-2.6%-7.0%-14.3%
10/22/20251.7%-0.1%2.8%
7/23/20259.1%12.8%15.7%
4/23/2025-0.7%-1.7%-8.4%
1/30/20256.8%2.5%-6.9%
10/23/2024-1.7%-6.6%-12.5%
7/24/20244.1%11.4%10.5%
4/24/20240.5%-1.0%2.8%
1/31/2024-5.0%-1.2%0.5%
10/25/2023-5.5%-2.9%6.4%
7/26/20230.6%-4.4%-4.5%
4/26/2023-2.8%-0.8%-6.9%
2/1/20233.0%2.2%-3.8%
10/26/2022-2.3%0.6%6.3%
7/28/20222.7%1.0%0.6%
4/28/20227.4%8.2%3.8%
2/2/20221.7%-1.1%-6.7%
10/27/20210.6%4.6%4.1%
7/28/2021-0.4%1.3%3.4%
4/29/2021-4.4%-3.7%-2.7%
2/1/20211.1%-3.4%-9.3%
10/21/20200.8%5.2%-2.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151212
# Negative101312
Median Positive1.7%3.5%3.9%
Median Negative-2.7%-2.9%-6.9%
Max Positive9.1%12.8%19.2%
Max Negative-9.2%-9.3%-14.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/30/202610-Q
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/30/202610-Q
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202102/24/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-Q
03/31/202105/07/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/26/202010-K

Insider Activity

Updated 10/30/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Britt, Lisa PSr. VP and Chief HR OfficerDirectSell10302026706.452,8311,999,9608,166,265Form
2Pettiti, GianlucaPresident & COODirectSell9012026614.384,1332,539,23314,263,532Form
3Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8262026627.05275172,43977,707,306Form
4Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8242026626.9210,0006,269,15377,690,701Form
5Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8242026629.2710,0006,292,67077,982,143Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Britt, Lisa PSr. VP and Chief HR OfficerDirectSell10302026706.452,8311,999,9608,166,265Form
2Pettiti, GianlucaPresident & COODirectSell9012026614.384,1332,539,23314,263,532Form
3Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8262026627.05275172,43977,707,306Form
4Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8242026626.9210,0006,269,15377,690,701Form
5Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8242026629.2710,0006,292,67077,982,143Form
6Britt, Lisa PSr. VP and Chief HR OfficerDirectSell8202026613.1211,4407,014,0939,064,457Form
7Shafer, Michael DExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell8132026600.0025,50015,300,00012,596,420Form
8Holmes, Joseph RVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8102026584.81420245,6201,734,754Form
9Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8102026586.10275161,17972,633,121Form
10Casper, Marc NChairman & CEOFloral Park Associates, Inc.Sell8102026586.124,608  Form
11Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8072026574.4710,0005,744,69571,191,340Form
12Casper, Marc NChairman & CEOFloral Park Associates, Inc.Sell8072026574.455,0002,872,2722,647,086Form
13Britt, Lisa PSr. VP and Chief HR OfficerDirectSell8072026580.005,8503,393,0008,574,806Form
14Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell8072026575.2310,0005,752,28271,285,362Form
15Casper, Marc NChairman & CEOFloral Park Associates, Inc.Sell8072026575.235,0002,876,1525,526,813Form
16Pettiti, GianlucaPresident & COODirectSell7282026565.00400226,00013,927,720Form
17Pettiti, GianlucaPresident & COODirectSell4292026462.66400185,06411,590,018Form
18Shafer, Michael DExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell3122026499.401,607802,53610,462,407Form
19Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell3092026514.824,0002,059,26163,798,677Form
20Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell3052026512.405,0002,561,99463,499,201Form
21Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell3052026503.105,0002,515,49562,346,718Form
22Pettiti, GianlucaExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell2112026541.20400216,48011,231,103Form
23Lagarde, MichelExecutive Vice President & COODirectSell12052025563.5622,04612,424,24447,404,925Form
24Lagarde, MichelExecutive Vice President & COODirectSell12042025583.3932,00018,668,52638,200,419Form
25Lagarde, MichelExecutive Vice President & COODirectSell12042025581.9230,00017,457,60017,154,949Form
26Lowery, Frederick MExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell12032025581.946,9124,022,3698,360,949Form
27Lowery, Frederick MExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell12032025597.686,9134,131,7628,587,091Form
28Shafer, Michael DExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell11262025600.0010,7256,435,00011,238,482Form
29Lagarde, MichelExecutive Vice President & COODirectSell11142025594.424,6382,756,92013,956,928Form
30Britt, Lisa PSr. VP and Chief HR OfficerDirectSell11142025588.261,058622,1367,698,758Form
31Pettiti, GianlucaExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell11122025580.002,9751,725,50012,268,289Form
32Britt, Lisa PSr. VP and Chief HR OfficerDirectSell11102025571.6210,2255,844,8508,085,502Form
33Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell10282025566.107,2504,104,24264,401,093Form
34Pettiti, GianlucaExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell10282025574.15400229,66012,144,549Form
35Casper, Marc NChairman & CEODirectSell10282025573.5417,1049,809,86265,247,446Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Arvin Capital Management LP$54.9 Mil12.8%23ADD +64.7%13F
Spinecap SAS$34.2 Mil12.5%15Hold13F
Cryder Capital Partners LLP$185.2 Mil12.1%10Hold13F
C Partners Holding GmbH$32.1 Mil10.1%7ADD +20.2%13F
Lindsell Train Ltd$303.4 Mil9.7%27TRIM -10.5%13F
Tri Locum Partners LP$65.1 Mil9.1%17New13F
Unisphere Establishment$1.0 Bil8.5%50ADD +5.1%13F
EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.$943.2 Mil7.6%37ADD +38.5%13F
Caledonia Investments PLC$55.0 Mil6.4%15Hold13F
Route One Investment Company, L.P.$127.2 Mil5.6%18Hold13F
Wilson Asset Management (International) PTY LTD$18.7 Mil5.3%43ADD +14.3%13F
DKRT Investments Corp.$20.6 Mil5.2%48New13F
Rempart Asset Management Inc.$23.3 Mil4.9%36TRIM -8.7%13F
America First Investment Advisors, LLC$26.0 Mil4.8%41Hold13F
Atle Fund Management AB$14.4 Mil4.7%39TRIM -23.2%13F
Longview Partners (Guernsey) LTD$325.8 Mil4.6%25TRIM -22.0%13F
Weitz Investment Management, Inc.$59.5 Mil4.2%49TRIM -10.3%13F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$63.4 Mil4.1%31TRIM -6.5%13F
Jia Investment Alliance PTE. LTD.$38.7 Mil4.1%24Hold13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$196.6 Mil4.0%41ADD +300.0%13F
Dundas Partners LLP$47.9 Mil3.8%49Hold13F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$168.1 Mil3.6%32TRIM -5.1%13F
Eldred Rock Partners, LLC$14.0 Mil3.6%31New13F
Mirova US LLC$302.3 Mil3.4%42Hold13F
Generation Investment Management LLP$380.2 Mil3.4%29TRIM -30.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
D1 Capital Partners L.P.$356.4 Mil3.2%44New13F
Tri Locum Partners LP$65.1 Mil9.1%17New13F
Spear Holdings RSC Ltd$29.8 Mil3.2%17New13F
PBCay One RSC Ltd$29.8 Mil3.2%17New13F
MKP Capital Management, L.L.C.$29.5 Mil1.0%19New13F
DKRT Investments Corp.$20.6 Mil5.2%48New13F
Petrus Trust Company, LTA$17.2 Mil1.9%27New13F
Eldred Rock Partners, LLC$14.0 Mil3.6%31New13F
Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance CO$7.8 Mil1.9%46New13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$196.6 Mil4.0%41ADD +300.0%13F
Retail Employees Superannuation Pty Ltd as trustee for Retail Employees Superannuation Trust$21.9 Mil3.3%28ADD +149.0%13F
Arvin Capital Management LP$54.9 Mil12.8%23ADD +64.7%13F
Nuance Investments, LLC$14.9 Mil2.1%43ADD +44.3%13F
EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.$943.2 Mil7.6%37ADD +38.5%13F
C Partners Holding GmbH$32.1 Mil10.1%7ADD +20.2%13F
Wilson Asset Management (International) PTY LTD$18.7 Mil5.3%43ADD +14.3%13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$123.1 Mil3.3%41ADD +11.9%13F
Skye Global Management LP$58.2 Mil1.3%44ADD +9.7%13F
Unisphere Establishment$1.0 Bil8.5%50ADD +5.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
BlueSpruce Investments, LP$230.6 Mil5.9%9ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Third Point LLC$29.0 Mil0.4%44ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Sector Gamma AS$12.6 Mil2.9%36ExitedDec 31, 202513F
J. Stern & Co. LLP$27.0 Mil2.6%49TRIM -99.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Generation Investment Management LLP$380.2 Mil3.4%29TRIM -30.4%Mar 31, 202613F
Atle Fund Management AB$14.4 Mil4.7%39TRIM -23.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Longview Partners (Guernsey) LTD$325.8 Mil4.6%25TRIM -22.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Lindsell Train Ltd$303.4 Mil9.7%27TRIM -10.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Weitz Investment Management, Inc.$59.5 Mil4.2%49TRIM -10.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Rempart Asset Management Inc.$23.3 Mil4.9%36TRIM -8.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Haverford Financial Services, Inc.$5.2 Mil1.5%46TRIM -7.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$63.4 Mil4.1%31TRIM -6.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$168.1 Mil3.6%32TRIM -5.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Unisphere Establishment$1.0 Bil8.5%50ADD +5.1%13F
EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.$943.2 Mil7.6%37ADD +38.5%13F
Generation Investment Management LLP$380.2 Mil3.4%29TRIM -30.4%13F
D1 Capital Partners L.P.$356.4 Mil3.2%44New13F
Longview Partners (Guernsey) LTD$325.8 Mil4.6%25TRIM -22.0%13F
Lindsell Train Ltd$303.4 Mil9.7%27TRIM -10.5%13F
Mirova US LLC$302.3 Mil3.4%42Hold13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$196.6 Mil4.0%41ADD +300.0%13F
Cryder Capital Partners LLP$185.2 Mil12.1%10Hold13F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$168.1 Mil3.6%32TRIM -5.1%13F
Route One Investment Company, L.P.$127.2 Mil5.6%18Hold13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$123.1 Mil3.3%41ADD +11.9%13F
Tri Locum Partners LP$65.1 Mil9.1%17New13F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$63.4 Mil4.1%31TRIM -6.5%13F
Weitz Investment Management, Inc.$59.5 Mil4.2%49TRIM -10.3%13F
Skye Global Management LP$58.2 Mil1.3%44ADD +9.7%13F
Caledonia Investments PLC$55.0 Mil6.4%15Hold13F
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TMO Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Conviction is high as core business momentum is accelerating, with organic revenue growth reaching 6% in Q3. The critical pharma and biotech end market strengthened to high-single-digit growth. Management has a consistent record of exceeding its conservative guidance, which suggests the recent negative market reaction to the Q4 outlook is misplaced.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Diversified Consumables & Services

(Volume of instruments sold * ASP) + (Volume of consumables sold * ASP) + (Number & size of service contracts) High-margin, recurring consumables sales tied to a large and growing installed base of instruments, combined with operational leverage from the PPI Business System.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Is the re-acceleration in pharma and biotech spending a durable tailwind for growth?

Evidence points to a strengthening, durable recovery. The company is gaining share in improving end markets, leading to accelerating organic growth and raised full-year guidance.

Mechanism: Capturing accelerating demand in its largest end market drives volume leverage and profit growth. Q3 organic growth hit 6%, pharma/biotech grew high-single-digits, and management raised full-year 2026 organic growth guidance to 4%. This operational momentum is driving 15% adjusted EPS growth and supports continued outperformance against conservative guidance.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Organic revenue growth accelerated to 6% in Q3 2026, up from 5% in Q2.
  • The key pharma and biotech end market accelerated to high-single-digit growth in Q3.
  • Full-year 2026 organic revenue growth guidance was raised to 4%.
  • Adjusted EPS grew 15% in Q3 2026 to $6.68 per share.
  • Management has a consistent record of beating and raising its own financial guidance.
PRIMARY RISK
A False Dawn in the Recovery

The primary risk is that Q3's strength was a temporary peak. The market is focused on the company's Q4 organic growth guidance of 4%, an implied deceleration from Q3's 6% rate. This could signal that the recovery in customer spending is less robust than it appears, particularly with the academic and government market already flat.

Mechanism: A miss on Q4 organic growth or 2027 guidance below 4%.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Q4 2026 organic revenue growth is guided at 4%, a sequential slowdown from Q3's 6%.
  • The academic and government end market was flat in Q3 2026.
  • The business mix is shifting toward the lower-margin Services segment (15.5% margin).
  • Demand depends on customer capital spending, which can be cyclical.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Organic Revenue Growth6% in Q3 2026 - AcceleratingOrganic revenue growth has accelerated for two consecutive quarters, indicating a strengthening recovery. The latest quarter's 6% growth was significantly ahead of the company's prior guidance, which management attributed to outstanding execution and continued strength in end markets.
Pharma & Biotech End Market GrowthHigh single-digit growth in Q3 2026 - AcceleratingThis key end market, which is the company's largest, is showing clear accelerating momentum. Management commentary highlighted that biotech customer activity and confidence are improving, a crucial positive indicator for future growth.
Clinical Research Authorizationsnot quantified in available sources (Q1-Q3 2026)Represents new business wins for the clinical research organization (CRO) business. Strong growth in authorizations is a leading indicator of future revenue growth for this service-based business.
Core Investment Debate

Accelerating Results vs. Conservative Guidance

BULL VIEW

Bulls believe Q3's 6% organic growth and accelerating pharma/biotech demand are the true signals. They see the Q4 guide as typical management conservatism, setting up another beat-and-raise quarter and continued momentum into 2027.

CORE TENSION

Can accelerating pharma/biotech demand (high-single-digit growth) overcome the implied slowdown in the Q4 guide (4% organic)?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The latest evidence favors the bulls. Management commentary confirms strengthening markets and a consistent history of exceeding conservative guidance makes the Q4 outlook appear prudently set.

BEAR VIEW

Bears see the Q4 guide for 4% organic growth as a leading indicator of a slowdown. They believe Q3 strength was lumpy and that underlying demand is decelerating, with the flat academic market being an early warning sign.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
in 2026
Full Year Tax Rate
Watch: The company expects its full-year 2026 GAAP effective tax rate will be between 9% and 11%.
approximately 11.5% in 2026
Full Year Adjusted Tax Rate
Watch: The company expects its full-year 2026 adjusted tax rate will be approximately 11.5%.
1/26/2027
Peer Earnings Signal Market Weakness
Watch: DHR's reported organic growth and commentary on pharma, biotech, and academic end markets.
1/27/2027
Disappointing Forward Guidance
Watch: Full-year 2027 organic growth guidance and specific commentary on the Academic & Government and Pharma & Biotech end markets.
1/27/2027
Restructuring Charges Impact Margins
Watch: The reported amount of restructuring charges in Q4 and any change to the forward-looking estimate or savings targets.
1/27/2027
Company Earnings Report
Watch: Thermo Fisher Scientific is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings.
2/3/2027
Peer Illumina Earnings Report
Watch: Peer company Illumina (ILMN) is scheduled to report earnings.
2/8/2027
Peer Earnings Reports
Watch: Peer companies Becton Dickinson (BDX) and Waters (WAT) are scheduled to report earnings.
No set date
New Tariffs or Trade Restrictions
Watch: Announcements of new U.S. or international tariffs on scientific instruments, consumables, or raw materials relevant to the company.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-10-21
Third Quarter Results Beat Expectations
Details: On October 21, 2026, the company reported Q3 revenue grew 9% to $12.14 billion with 6% organic growth, and adjusted EPS grew 15% to $6.68.
-1.6%
$687.37 -> $676.54
2026-10-05
Proteomics Collaboration Yields Discoveries
Details: On October 5, 2026, the company announced a strategic collaboration with Singaporean research institutions led to the discovery of over 2,500 new genetic-protein associations.
+0.3%
$654.80 -> $656.58
2026-08-27
New Electron Detector Launched
Details: On August 27, 2026, the company introduced the Thermo Scientific EMPAD G2 electron detector to advance materials research through high-speed 4D STEM.
-1.8%
$633.22 -> $621.70
2026-08-12
Microbiology Business Sale Completed
Details: On August 12, 2026, the company completed the sale of its microbiology business to Astorg for approximately $1.075 billion.
-1.5%
$604.54 -> $595.43
2026-07-23
Second Quarter Results Reported
Details: On July 23, 2026, the company reported Q2 revenue growth of 10% to $11.99 billion and adjusted EPS growth of 13% to $6.03 per share.
+7.9%
$526.06 -> $567.82
2026-06-01
Former Executive Named West Pharma CEO
Details: On June 1, 2026, West Pharmaceutical announced that former Thermo Fisher executive Michel Lagarde was named its new CEO, effective August 31.
-2.1%
$491.64 -> $481.23
2026-05-20
Investor Day Highlights Growth Outlook
Details: On May 20, 2026, the company hosted its Investor Day, highlighting its industry leadership, growth outlook, and long-term value creation strategy.
+0.3%
$447.02 -> $448.58
Risk Management
Position Sizing

4% - 6%

NORMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: TMO trades at roughly 25% annualized realized (three-month) volatility versus about 10% for the S&P 500 (2.5x the market). A 4% - 6% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
DHR - Danaher
Higher-Margin Compounder

Offers exposure to the same end markets but with a different operational philosophy and higher reported operating margins (20.4%).

Core Thesis: A high-margin compounder driven by the Danaher Business System.
A - a business partner
Pure-Play Instrument Leader

Provides more concentrated exposure to high-performance analytical instruments with superior operating margins (22.2%), appealing to investors focused on best-in-class technology.

Core Thesis: A technology leader in analytical instruments with strong pharma market exposure.
How Is The Market Pricing TMO?

A diversified life sciences conglomerate leveraging its immense scale, M&A strategy, and 'trusted partner' status to be the essential one-stop-shop for the entire pharma, biotech, and research ecosystem.

Thermo Fisher operates as the foundational infrastructure for the life sciences industry, selling everything from basic lab supplies to high-end analytical instruments and outsourced clinical trial services. Its growth is driven by innovation, deep customer integration, and a disciplined M&A strategy to acquire complementary capabilities like Clario. The company's PPI Business System is a key internal lever for driving productivity and margin expansion to offset unfavorable mix shifts and inflation.

What will confirm the thesis

Sustained or accelerating growth in the pharma and biotech end markets, successful integration and synergy realization from recent acquisitions (Clario, filtration business), and continued margin expansion despite mix headwinds.

What will damage the thesis

A significant downturn in pharma/biotech R&D spending, major issues with acquisition integration, or a sustained inability to offset margin pressure from the growing services business.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Single-quarter fluctuations in the academic and government end market or minor product launches that do not move the needle for a company of this scale.

Repricing Catalyst

The continued strengthening of pharma and biotech end markets, as noted by management in the latest earnings call, combined with strong operational execution and a raised full-year guidance.

What TMO Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q2 2026
Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services
$25.1B TTM (54% of Total) · 23% Margin
What It Is

This segment provides laboratory consumables, equipment, and chemicals, as well as outsourced services for drug development, clinical trials, and commercial drug manufacturing. It serves pharmaceutical, biotech, academic, government, research, industrial, and clinical laboratory markets.

Who Pays & How

Pharmaceutical and biotech companies pay for lab supplies and to outsource complex functions like clinical research and drug manufacturing to improve efficiency, reduce costs, and accelerate innovation.

Transactional sales of laboratory products and contractual revenue from outsourced pharma and clinical research services.
Competition
Competitors include a broad range of manufacturers, third-party distributors, and service providers who may adapt more quickly to new technologies.
The company's moat is its unique combination of self-manufactured and sourced products, extensive service offerings, and unparalleled commercial engine, which allows customers to focus on their core activities.
Life Sciences Solutions
$11.0B TTM (24% of Total) · 61% Margin
What It Is

This segment sells reagents, instruments, and consumables used in biological and medical research, drug and vaccine discovery and production, and disease diagnosis. Customers are in pharmaceutical, biotech, agricultural, clinical, healthcare, academic, and government markets.

Who Pays & How

Research-focused organizations (pharma, biotech, academic, government) pay for the tools needed to conduct biological research, discover new drugs, and develop genomic and proteomic solutions.

Transactional sales of instruments and recurring revenue from related consumables and reagents.
Competition
Competitors are characterized by changing technology and customer demands that require continuing research and development.
The company's moat is its extensive portfolio of products, innovative technologies, and strong brands like Applied Biosystems and Invitrogen.
Analytical Instruments
$7.7B TTM (17% of Total) · 37% Margin
What It Is

This segment provides instruments, consumables, software, and services for a range of applications in pharma, biotech, academic, government, environmental, research, industrial, and clinical laboratory markets. It includes chromatography, mass spectrometry, and electron microscopy.

Who Pays & How

Research and industrial labs pay for high-end analytical instrumentation to perform organic and inorganic sample analysis, chemical analysis, and materials science research.

Transactional sales of high-value instruments, with recurring revenue from supporting consumables, software, and services.
Competition
Competition is aggressive and able in virtually all markets served.
The company's moat is based on technical performance, advances in technology, product differentiation, and a reputation for quality, supported by brands like Thermo Scientific.
Specialty Diagnostics
$4.7B TTM (10% of Total) · 47% Margin
What It Is

This segment offers diagnostic test kits, reagents, culture media, and instruments to customers in healthcare, clinical, pharmaceutical, industrial, and food safety laboratories.

Who Pays & How

Healthcare providers and clinical labs pay for products that increase the speed and accuracy of diagnoses, supporting the clinical diagnosis and monitoring of allergy, asthma, and autoimmune diseases, among others.

Transactional sales of diagnostic test kits, reagents, instruments, and associated consumables.
Competition
Competitors include a broad range of manufacturers and service providers.
The company's moat relies on providing complete blood-test systems and a wide range of diagnostic products that improve patient care in a cost-efficient manner.
TMO Evolution: Price Return by Era
2021 · Pandemic Peak
+42%
2022-2025 · Services-Led Growth and Normalization
-9%
Post-pandemic, revenue from COVID-related segments normalized downwards.
Market Appears To Be Cautiously Supportive
Price structure is strongly bullish. The regime, trend, and proximity to highs all point towards intact institutional trend. Relative to SPY: Strong 63D outperformance but 'relative strength' momentum is fading, indicating that money rotation may be maturing. Volume and momentum show mild positive lean. The accumulation signals present but not yet dominant. Earnings history is mildly cautionary. The reaction or drift are negative, and the market is beginning to push back on the thesis.
① Structure
+4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
4 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Trending Up · Golden Cross ▾
2 Momentum Mixed ▾
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Strong Outperformance ▾
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Accumulation ▾
5 Volatility Normal ▾
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Rising ▾
7 Earnings Reaction History Diminishing Reward ▾
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars ▾
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/6/2026