Waters (WAT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $376.82 | Market Cap: $22.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Waters (WAT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $376.82Market Cap: $22.4 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 28x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Key risksWAT key risks include [1] substantial execution and integration challenges stemming from its large-scale acquisition of BD's Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions unit. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 28x |
| Key risksWAT key risks include [1] substantial execution and integration challenges stemming from its large-scale acquisition of BD's Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions unit. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WAT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide factual information about Waters Corporation (WAT) stock movements or the reasons for a 25% change during this future period. However, based on available news and financial reporting that projects into 2025, Waters Corporation has reported its Q2 2025 financial results and provided guidance for Q3 and the full year 2025. Additionally, there is news regarding a planned merger with BD's bioscience and diagnostics businesses expected to close around the end of Q1 2026, which is anticipated to impact Waters' market size and growth. Here are some of the key points that, hypothetically, *could* influence Waters' stock performance in late 2025, based on the type of information available for future projections: 1. 1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results and Upbeat Full-Year Guidance: Waters Corporation exceeded its Q2 2025 sales and EPS guidance, reporting 9% sales growth and 12% non-GAAP EPS growth year-over-year. The company subsequently raised its full-year 2025 constant currency sales growth guidance to 5.5%-7.5% and non-GAAP EPS guidance to $12.95-$13.05, reflecting strong execution, robust instrument replacement trends, and growth in key areas like GLP-1s, PFAS, and generics. This positive financial outlook could drive investor confidence and stock appreciation. 2. 2. Q3 2025 Earnings Performance Exceeding Expectations: Waters Corporation exceeded Q3 2025 expectations with an EPS of $3.40 versus a $3.21 forecast and revenue of $800M versus a $781M forecast, leading to a 4.46% stock increase. Revenue grew 8% year-over-year, with particularly strong performance in the pharmaceutical sector. This continued strong performance beyond previous guidance would positively impact the stock. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WAT Return | 6% | 51% | -8% | -4% | 13% | 2% | 62% |
| Peers Return | 44% | 43% | -17% | -10% | -0% | 2% | 57% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WAT Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 80% | 40% | 45% | 43% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WAT Max Drawdown | -31% | 0% | -28% | -31% | -14% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -8% | -32% | -30% | -7% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, TMO, DHR, RVTY, MTD. See WAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 267 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 582 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -61.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 162.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 708 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TMO, MTD, CRL, BRKR, AVRT
In The Past
Waters's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| 09192025 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 25.3% | 25.3% | -4.3% |
| 05312023 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.4% | 22.5% | -5.8% |
| 07312022 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.5% | -24.1% | -31.5% |
| 02292020 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.6% | 40.5% | -16.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| 09192025 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 25.3% | 25.3% | -4.3% |
| 05312023 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.4% | 22.5% | -5.8% |
| 07312022 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.5% | -24.1% | -31.5% |
| 02292020 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.6% | 40.5% | -16.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Waters
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 299.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 33.6 |
| Rev LTM | 5,365 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,276 |
| FCF LTM | 989 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,098 |
| CFO LTM | 1,246 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,326 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 33.6 |
| P/S | 5.3 |
| P/EBIT | 22.5 |
| P/E | 29.0 |
| P/CFO | 23.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -3.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -75.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.7% |
| 8/4/2025 | -1.6% | -3.1% | 2.1% |
| 5/6/2025 | -2.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| 2/12/2025 | -5.8% | -6.7% | -10.1% |
| 11/1/2024 | 19.8% | 19.5% | 19.8% |
| 7/31/2024 | 2.6% | 1.0% | 4.1% |
| 5/7/2024 | 1.9% | 9.2% | -4.0% |
| 2/6/2024 | 1.7% | -1.4% | 7.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% |
| Median Negative | -4.3% | -4.7% | -9.4% |
| Max Positive | 19.8% | 19.5% | 19.8% |
| Max Negative | -6.8% | -9.1% | -18.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |