Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)
Market Price (6/19/2026): $30.04 | Market Cap: $6.2 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)
Market Price (6/19/2026): $30.04Market Cap: $6.2 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.0% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 60% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 79%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Luxury Goods Input, and Commodity Streaming & Royalties. | Key risksTFPM key risks include [1] its lack of control over operational issues at third-party mines, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.0% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 60% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 79%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Luxury Goods Input, and Commodity Streaming & Royalties. |
| Key risksTFPM key risks include [1] its lack of control over operational issues at third-party mines, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant Correction in Precious Metal Prices. Triple Flag Precious Metals experienced a notable decline as gold prices fell by over 10% in March 2026, and silver prices crashed approximately 27% around January 30, 2026, after peaking in late January. This macroeconomic trend significantly impacted TFPM, a precious metals streaming and royalty company, contributing to downward pressure on its stock throughout the period.
2. Cooling Central Bank Gold Demand. A key driver for gold's previous rallies, central bank demand, showed a substantial slowdown in fiscal Q1 2026, with net reported purchases dropping sharply to only 16 tons. This significant reduction in institutional buying likely contributed to the broader weakness and inability of gold prices to sustain upward momentum, directly affecting the sentiment around precious metals-focused companies like TFPM.
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Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant Correction in Precious Metal Prices. Triple Flag Precious Metals experienced a notable decline as gold prices fell by over 10% in March 2026, and silver prices crashed approximately 27% around January 30, 2026, after peaking in late January. This macroeconomic trend significantly impacted TFPM, a precious metals streaming and royalty company, contributing to downward pressure on its stock throughout the period.
2. Cooling Central Bank Gold Demand. A key driver for gold's previous rallies, central bank demand, showed a substantial slowdown in fiscal Q1 2026, with net reported purchases dropping sharply to only 16 tons. This significant reduction in institutional buying likely contributed to the broader weakness and inability of gold prices to sustain upward momentum, directly affecting the sentiment around precious metals-focused companies like TFPM.
3. Geopolitical Factors Failed to Sustain Rally. Despite geopolitical tensions, such as the U.S.-Iran war starting in March 2026, which historically would support safe-haven assets like gold and silver, these events failed to push precious metal prices above their earlier highs. This inability of traditional catalysts to drive a sustained rally signaled underlying weakness in the precious metals market, negatively influencing TFPM's stock performance.
4. Elevated Valuation Despite Decline. Even after the stock's pullback, Triple Flag Precious Metals maintained an elevated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.3 as of June 15, 2026, which was higher than the Metals & Mining industry median of 17.6. This indicates that despite the approximately 25% loss in value, the market may still perceive TFPM as relatively expensive compared to its industry peers, contributing to continued selling pressure or limited buying interest.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.1% change in TFPM stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.23 | 30.05 | -27.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 344 | 453 | 31.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 59.4% | 68.7% | 15.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 41.5 | 19.9 | -52.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 206 | 207 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -27.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFPM | -27.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 62.0% |
| Sector (XLB) | -2.6% | 67.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.8% change in TFPM stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.33 | 30.05 | -9.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 344 | 453 | 31.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 59.4% | 68.7% | 15.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.6 | 19.9 | -40.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 206 | 207 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFPM | -9.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 49.4% |
| Sector (XLB) | 17.0% | 60.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 38.1% change in TFPM stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 3923.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.76 | 30.05 | 38.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 294 | 453 | 54.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.7% | 68.7% | 3923.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 872.1 | 19.9 | -97.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 201 | 207 | -2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 38.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFPM | 38.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 34.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 22.4% | 45.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 119.1% change in TFPM stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 175.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.72 | 30.05 | 119.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 164 | 453 | 175.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 33.9% | 68.7% | 102.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 47.2 | 19.9 | -57.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 192 | 207 | -7.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 119.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TFPM | 119.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 27.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 46.5% | 40.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TFPM Return | - | 21% | -2% | 15% | 123% | -8% | 181% |
| Peers Return | 0% | -15% | -13% | 2% | 138% | -4% | 75% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TFPM Win Rate | - | 80% | 42% | 42% | 75% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 40% | 37% | 53% | 77% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TFPM Max Drawdown | - | - | -30% | -20% | -18% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -44% | -41% | -26% | -21% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FNV, RGLD, OR, MTA, GROY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TFPM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -14.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 17 days | 24 days |
In The Past
Triple Flag Precious Metals's stock fell -4.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 4.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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In The Past
Triple Flag Precious Metals's stock fell -4.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 4.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) operates as a specialized participant in the precious metals industry, primarily focusing on gold. The company functions as a streaming and royalty firm, which means it doesn't directly own or operate mines. Instead, TFPM provides upfront capital financing to mining companies in exchange for the right to receive a portion of future mineral production (known as a "stream") or a percentage of future revenue from a mine (known as a "royalty"). This business model allows TFPM to gain exposure to precious metals production with reduced exposure to the direct operational risks and capital expenditures typically associated with mining.
The core of TFPM's business is building and managing a diversified portfolio of these streams and royalties. Its primary focus is on precious metals, particularly gold and silver, which serve as its main "products" from an investment perspective. Currently, the company boasts a substantial portfolio of 78 assets, consisting of 9 streams and 69 royalties, all tied to various mining projects. These agreements give Triple Flag a long-term financial interest in the output and profitability of the underlying mines.
Triple Flag Precious Metals' primary market is the global precious metals sector, with its "customers" being the mining companies that seek non-dilutive financing for their projects. By providing capital to these miners, TFPM secures its streaming and royalty interests. The company maintains a broad international presence, with assets spanning key mining jurisdictions across Australia, Canada, Colombia, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States, offering investors diversified exposure to precious metals production worldwide.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM):
- Think of TFPM as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) for the mining industry – it owns a diverse portfolio of rights to future gold and silver production from various mines, similar to how a REIT owns income-generating properties without operating them.
- Imagine TFPM as a music publishing company for gold mines – it provides upfront capital to miners in exchange for a percentage of their future gold and silver production, much like a music publisher funds artists for a share of their song royalties.
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- Precious Metals Streams: Financial agreements where the company provides an upfront payment to a mining operator in exchange for the right to purchase a percentage of future metal production at a pre-determined, usually low, price.
- Precious Metals Royalties: Financial agreements where the company provides an upfront payment to a mining operator in exchange for a percentage of future revenue, profit, or production from a mine.
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Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) operates as a gold-focused streaming and royalty company. Its business model involves two primary revenue streams:
- Royalties: TFPM provides upfront capital to mining companies in exchange for a percentage of the revenue or production from a mine. In this scenario, TFPM receives payments from the mining companies, but these mining companies are not TFPM's customers; rather, they are the source of TFPM's royalty revenue.
- Streams: TFPM provides upfront capital to mining companies in exchange for the right to purchase a fixed percentage of future metal production (primarily gold and silver) at a pre-agreed, typically low, fixed price. TFPM then takes physical delivery of these metals and sells them on the open market.
For its streaming business, where TFPM sells physical precious metals, its "customers" are typically other companies operating within the global precious metals market. Triple Flag Precious Metals generally sells into the commodity market and does not disclose specific major customer companies by name or symbol. Instead, its sales are directed to various participants in the precious metals supply chain. The major categories of customers that purchase gold and silver in the global market, and thus would be the ultimate buyers of metals from TFPM's streaming operations, include:
- Precious Metals Refiners: Companies that process and purify raw or semi-refined gold and silver into investment-grade bullion or other standardized forms.
- Bullion Dealers and Banks: Financial institutions and specialized dealers that trade large quantities of physical gold and silver, often serving as intermediaries for investors, central banks, or industrial users.
- Industrial Manufacturers: Companies that utilize gold and silver as raw materials in various manufacturing processes, such as in electronics, jewelry production, dentistry, and other high-tech applications.
Due to the nature of commodity markets, TFPM does not typically have specific, named major customer companies with publicly traded symbols that it sells to directly and exclusively in the way a conventional product-based business might.
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- Equinox Gold Corp. (EQX)
- Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. (601899.SS, 2899.HK)
- CMOC Group Limited (603993.SS, 3993.HK)
- Nevada Copper Corp. (NCU)
- Argonaut Gold Inc. (AR)
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Sheldon Vanderkooy, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Sheldon Vanderkooy was appointed CEO and Director of Triple Flag Precious Metals in September 2024. He is a founding member of Triple Flag, joining in 2016. Prior to his current role, he served as Triple Flag's Chief Financial Officer from 2019 to 2024 and General Counsel from 2019 to 2023. Mr. Vanderkooy played a key role in the company's growth, including its successful US$264 million initial public offering in 2021. Before joining Triple Flag, he held executive roles as Assistant General Counsel at First Quantum Minerals Ltd. and Senior Director, Legal Affairs at Inmet Mining Corporation. He also worked as a corporate partner at Blake, Cassels & Graydon LLP, specializing in mining mergers and acquisitions and financing transactions, and began his career practicing tax law at the same firm. Earlier in his career, he was a Chartered Accountant at Ernst & Young LLP.
Eban Bari, Chief Financial Officer
Eban Bari was promoted to Chief Financial Officer of Triple Flag Precious Metals, effective September 26, 2024. Before joining Triple Flag, he spent nine years at Barrick Gold, most recently as Senior Director, Financial Reporting, where he oversaw global reporting. His experience also includes internal reporting at Loblaw Companies Ltd., a controllership role at Bell Canada, and an external reporting role at Manulife Financial. Mr. Bari holds a CPA designation in both Canada and the United States (Illinois).
James Dendle, Chief Operating Officer
James Dendle was promoted to Chief Operating Officer of Triple Flag Precious Metals, effective September 26, 2024. He is a geologist with over 10 years of global experience in both the private sector and consultancy services. His background includes expertise in estimating and auditing resources and reserves, as well as multi-disciplinary due diligence and technical studies. Prior to joining Triple Flag, Mr. Dendle was a Senior Consultant at SRK Consulting (UK) Limited, working internationally on a diverse range of operating mines, development, and exploration projects, primarily in base and precious metals.
Steve Bristo, Finance Professional
Steve Bristo is a finance professional with over 15 years of experience in the mining and natural resources sector. He joined Triple Flag in 2016. Before his time at Triple Flag, he worked in Global Mining Research at RBC Capital Markets, where he was part of the equity research team covering base metals mining companies. He has also held roles at Merrill Lynch Canada and the Marquee Group. Mr. Bristo is a CFA charterholder.
Corey Dicker, Director, Legal
Corey Dicker serves as Director, Legal for Triple Flag Precious Metals, bringing multiple years of experience in corporate and securities law within the mining sector. His experience encompasses mergers and acquisitions, public offerings, private offerings, stock exchange listings, special purpose acquisition companies, and other capital markets transactions. Mr. Dicker began his private practice with the Vancouver office of Blake, Cassels & Graydon LLP, a national law firm.
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Key Risks to Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)
- Commodity Price Volatility: As a gold-focused streaming and royalty company, Triple Flag Precious Metals' revenue and profitability are directly tied to the market prices of gold and silver. A significant drop in precious metal prices would decrease the value of the streams and royalties the company receives, negatively impacting its financial performance.
- Reliance on Third-Party Operators and Production Declines: Triple Flag does not operate the mines from which it receives streams and royalties. Consequently, the company is reliant on the operational success and management of third-party mining companies. Risks include technical failures, environmental issues, or other operational disruptions at the mine sites, which could impact the delivery of precious metal streams. Furthermore, production and stream-rate declines at key underlying assets could challenge Triple Flag's growth trajectory and expected revenues.
- Asset Concentration Risk: Despite maintaining a diversified portfolio, Triple Flag Precious Metals has some concentrated exposure to a handful of cornerstone assets. Prolonged underperformance, production declines, or other issues at these significant assets could disproportionately disrupt cash flows from individual streams or royalties, even within a broader portfolio.
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For Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM), a company focused on acquiring and managing precious metals streams and royalties, the addressable markets are the global gold and silver mining industries.
- The global gold mining market was estimated at approximately USD 260.86 billion in 2024.
- The global silver mining market was valued at approximately USD 21.52 billion in 2024.
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For Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM), several key drivers are expected to contribute to future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
- Rising Precious Metal Prices: Triple Flag's business model as a streaming and royalty company is highly leveraged to commodity prices. The direct translation of higher gold and silver prices into increased cash flow and revenue is a significant driver. For example, the average gold price in Q4 2025 was $4,135 per ounce, which was noted to be well below current spot prices approaching $5,000 per ounce, indicating a potential tailwind for revenue in 2026 and beyond.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Investments: The company actively pursues external growth opportunities by investing in new streams and royalties. In 2025 alone, Triple Flag deployed over $350 million into new streams and royalties, including projects like Arcata, Arthur, Johnson Camp Mine, and Minera Florida. These investments are designed to provide immediate or near-to-medium-term cash flow and significant exploration potential, contributing to the company's growth pipeline.
- Growth from Existing Cornerstone Assets: Enhancements and developments at key existing assets are expected to drive future revenue. Northparkes is highlighted as a cornerstone growth asset, with new developments such as the E22 block cave approval and a mill expansion study aiming to increase throughput from 7.6 million to 10 million tons per annum. The recent funding of the E44 Gold Deposit also expands its Northparkes streaming.
- Increased Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs) Production: While a short-term dip in Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs) is projected for 2026 (guidance of 95,000 to 105,000 GEOs) due to mine sequencing at Northparkes and a planned step-down in the Cerro Lindo stream rate, the long-term outlook indicates robust growth. Triple Flag has a clear pathway to achieve 140,000-150,000 GEOs by 2030, representing approximately 45% growth from the midpoint of its 2026 guidance. This growth is anticipated from multiple advancing assets, including Arcata, Kone, Eskay Creek, Era Dorada, and Goldfield.
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Share Repurchases
- Triple Flag Precious Metals was authorized to repurchase up to 10,071,642 common shares, representing 5% of its issued and outstanding shares, under a normal course issuer bid (NCIB) from November 15, 2024, to November 14, 2025.
- Under a previous NCIB, the company was approved to repurchase up to 10,078,488 common shares between November 15, 2023, and November 14, 2024.
- Actual share repurchases amounted to approximately $8.9 million in 2024, $20.7 million in 2023, and $4.1 million in 2022.
Share Issuance
- No significant share issuances (outside of initial public offerings or large M&A that might involve share components) with specific dollar amounts were explicitly detailed in the provided information for the last 3-5 years.
Inbound Investments
- No specific large inbound investments by third parties into Triple Flag Precious Metals as a public company were identified in the provided information over the last 3-5 years. The company operates as a subsidiary of Triple Flag Mining Elliott and Management Co-Invest LP, which implies initial investment at its founding.
Outbound Investments
- In 2025, Triple Flag deployed over $350 million into new deals, including the E44 gold and silver stream at Northparkes.
- In 2022, the company entered into definitive agreements for an A$10 million gross revenue return and an US$80 million gold and silver stream on the Prieska Copper-Zinc Mine with Orion Minerals Ltd.
Capital Expenditures
- Triple Flag Precious Metals, as a streaming and royalty company, typically does not incur significant capital expenditures related to mine development as it does not own or operate the underlying properties.
- Reported capital expenditures were approximately $57.5 million in 2024, $190.9 million in 2023, and $52.3 million in 2022.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| TFPM Stock Surges 16% With A 8-day Winning Spree On Q4 Earnings Beat | 02/28/2026 | |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 05/15/2025 | |
| Should You Buy Triple Flag Precious Metals Stock Despite Its High Valuation? | 02/28/2025 | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | 06/19/2024 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 12/24/2025 |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 32.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.4 |
| Rev LTM | 389 |
| Op Inc LTM | 257 |
| FCF LTM | -44 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 50 |
| CFO LTM | 316 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 223 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 71.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 36.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 83.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 17.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 87.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 48.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 61.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 54.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 72.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 74.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $30.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 6.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/30/2022 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -27.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $32.17 | $32.73 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.6% | -8.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 46.8% | 43.9% |
| Downside Capture | 275.16 | 154.62 |
| Upside Capture | 141.89 | 137.10 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 60.9% | 37.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.08 | 2.20 | 1.79 | 1.56 | 1.06 | 0.60 |
| Up Beta | 1.53 | 0.97 | 1.56 | 1.48 | 1.20 | 0.51 |
| Down Beta | 4.08 | 4.66 | 0.52 | 0.86 | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| Up Capture | 195% | 100% | 126% | 175% | 151% | 69% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 28 | 64 | 140 | 393 |
| Down Capture | 526% | 557% | 286% | 186% | 117% | 90% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 34 | 59 | 109 | 348 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFPM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFPM | 23.4% | 43.8% | 0.60 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 21.2% | 17.5% | 0.94 | 46.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 37.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 73.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 7.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 21.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.3% | 42.4% | -1.02 | 28.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFPM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFPM | 22.5% | 36.4% | 0.81 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 5.9% | 19.0% | 0.20 | 35.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 23.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 61.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 20.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 20.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.6% | 54.2% | 0.41 | 15.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TFPM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFPM | 10.7% | 36.4% | 0.81 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.2% | 20.7% | 0.44 | 35.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 23.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 61.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 20.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 20.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.4% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 15.6% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/28/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 40-F |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/28/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 40-F |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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