Tearsheet

Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.79 | Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Precious Metals & Minerals

Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.79
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Precious Metals & Minerals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 56%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Luxury Goods Input, and Commodity Streaming & Royalties.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 56%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Luxury Goods Input, and Commodity Streaming & Royalties.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TFPM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 19.1% stock movement for Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: Triple Flag Precious Metals announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.22, and revenue of $93.5 million, above the $87.46 million consensus. This strong performance included a record adjusted EBITDA of $79 million and record operating cash flow per share of $0.39.

2. Sustained High Precious Metals Prices: The market for precious metals experienced a robust rally throughout 2025, with gold prices surging past $4,300 per ounce in October and silver reaching an all-time high of $54.47 per ounce. This favorable pricing environment significantly benefited Triple Flag, a company highly exposed to gold and silver, driving increased revenue and profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TFPM Return----2%15%119%146%
Peers Return54%326%-35%8%62%84%1282%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TFPM Win Rate--75%42%42%80% 
Peers Win Rate42%28%40%50%43%66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TFPM Max Drawdown----12%-10%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-14%-49%-22%-30%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLG, LODE, TFPM, PPTA, SLSR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTFPMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven186 days464 days

Compare to PLG, LODE, TFPM, PPTA, SLSR


In The Past

Triple Flag Precious Metals's stock fell -30.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/5/2023. A -30.5% loss requires a 44.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)

Better Bets than Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TFPM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Triple Flag Precious Metals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TFPMPLGLODEPPTASLSRMedian
NameTriple F.Platinum.Comstock Perpetua.Solaris . 
Mkt Price32.482.493.4824.787.777.77
Mkt Cap6.70.30.11.91.31.3
Rev LTM34403000
Op Inc LTM193-4-41-24-73-24
FCF LTM72-5-30-3628-5
FCF 3Y Avg107-6-23-27-20-20
CFO LTM287-3-23-3431-3
CFO 3Y Avg209-3-15-26-18-15

Growth & Margins

TFPMPLGLODEPPTASLSRMedian
NameTriple F.Platinum.Comstock Perpetua.Solaris . 
Rev Chg LTM39.5%-49.0%--44.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg33.5%-74.7%--54.1%
Rev Chg Q26.9%--90.3%---31.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.1%--15.3%---4.6%
Op Mgn LTM56.0%--1,487.2%---715.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg46.4%--1,686.4%---820.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.0%--384.7%---190.3%
CFO/Rev LTM83.4%--821.0%---368.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg79.2%--937.9%---429.4%
FCF/Rev LTM21.0%--1,086.8%---532.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg44.5%--1,627.0%---791.2%

Valuation

TFPMPLGLODEPPTASLSRMedian
NameTriple F.Platinum.Comstock Perpetua.Solaris . 
Mkt Cap6.70.30.11.91.31.3
P/S17.5-51.3--34.4
P/EBIT26.2-37.0-2.8-39.5-12.4-12.4
P/E29.5-40.2-2.7-42.0-11.3-11.3
P/CFO21.0-55.3-6.2-27.624.0-6.2
Total Yield3.4%-2.5%-36.9%-2.4%-8.8%-2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.2%-4.0%-253.8%-6.8%-4.2%-4.2%
D/E0.00.00.20.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.5-0.1-0.0

Returns

TFPMPLGLODEPPTASLSRMedian
NameTriple F.Platinum.Comstock Perpetua.Solaris . 
1M Rtn16.2%19.7%18.0%9.4%20.5%18.0%
3M Rtn19.3%48.2%46.8%29.1%46.3%46.3%
6M Rtn33.4%56.6%6.1%45.4%70.4%45.4%
12M Rtn95.0%40.7%-23.0%134.0%151.9%95.0%
3Y Rtn149.4%34.6%-3.4%968.1%39.0%39.0%
1M Excs Rtn16.2%19.7%18.0%9.4%20.5%18.0%
3M Excs Rtn15.3%48.4%32.7%31.8%43.5%32.7%
6M Excs Rtn18.7%41.9%-8.6%30.7%55.7%30.7%
12M Excs Rtn82.5%30.4%-18.7%146.5%130.0%82.5%
3Y Excs Rtn118.8%-21.9%-69.8%1,001.6%-9.2%-9.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,676,412
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202530.7%
Average Daily Volume583,912
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.87
Basic Shares Quantity206,044,876
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202580620256-K 6/30/2025
331202550620256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202480720246-K 6/30/2024
331202450720246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110720236-K 9/30/2023
630202380820236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022330202340-F 12/31/2022