Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.9%, Dist 3Y High is -2.9%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 67%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -71%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Resource & Commodity Markets. Themes include Precious Metals Investment, and Resource Financing Solutions.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 67%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Resource & Commodity Markets. Themes include Precious Metals Investment, and Resource Financing Solutions.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.9%, Dist 3Y High is -2.9%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -71%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RGLD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Royal Gold (RGLD) stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Gold Price Correction in October 2025
Royal Gold's stock experienced a significant decline of 12.86% in October 2025, primarily attributed to a correction in gold prices. After reaching a historical high just under $4,400 per ounce in mid-October, gold prices adjusted downward to the $3,950 per ounce area, negatively impacting precious metals royalty and streaming companies, including Royal Gold.

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss
On November 5, 2025, Royal Gold reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, which included record revenue and operating cash flow. However, the company missed analyst consensus estimates for both earnings per share (EPS) at $2.06 versus an expected $2.30, and revenue at $250.23 million versus an expected $275.11 million. This earnings miss contributed to negative market sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RGLD Return-12%0%9%9%10%53%76%
Peers Return19%-2%-11%26%24%126%268%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RGLD Win Rate25%67%50%42%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate42%42%52%55%50%84% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RGLD Max Drawdown-43%-12%-17%-8%-16%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-12%-28%-14%-18%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IDCC, TFPM, NEM, AEM, B. See RGLD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRGLDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven729 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven36 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven217 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven32 days1480 days

Compare to IDCC, TFPM, NEM, AEM, B


In The Past

Royal Gold's stock fell -40.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/1/2022. A -40.9% loss requires a 69.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Royal Gold (RGLD)

Better Bets than Royal Gold (RGLD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RGLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
IDCC_11142025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11142025IDCCInterDigitalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.1%-3.1%-6.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
9.7%9.7%-7.3%
RGLD_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020RGLDRoyal GoldDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
41.1%8.6%-27.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
IDCC_11142025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11142025IDCCInterDigitalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.1%-3.1%-6.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
9.7%9.7%-7.3%
RGLD_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020RGLDRoyal GoldDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
41.1%8.6%-27.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Royal Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RGLDIDCCTFPMNEMAEMBMedian
NameRoyal Go.InterDig.Triple F.Newmont Agnico E.Barrick . 
Mkt Price200.64341.8432.4889.65169.1840.50129.42
Mkt Cap13.28.86.798.385.069.541.3
Rev LTM85892934421,50310,56813,8245,748
Op Inc LTM5745761939,3595,2235,3512,899
FCF LTM-607590726,1223,645-590
FCF 3Y Avg123831072,6362,041-383
CFO LTM6046732879,2245,837-673
CFO 3Y Avg5034412095,6163,883-503

Growth & Margins

RGLDIDCCTFPMNEMAEMBMedian
NameRoyal Go.InterDig.Triple F.Newmont Agnico E.Barrick . 
Rev Chg LTM28.1%28.8%39.5%26.6%35.2%16.9%28.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.3%27.1%33.5%23.9%26.0%5.9%24.9%
Rev Chg Q30.0%28.0%26.9%20.0%41.9%16.4%27.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.3%4.0%6.1%4.5%9.4%3.9%5.3%
Op Mgn LTM66.9%62.0%56.0%43.5%49.4%38.7%52.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg57.3%48.6%46.4%23.9%36.0%29.4%41.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.2%1.6%4.0%4.5%3.6%3.2%3.4%
CFO/Rev LTM70.4%72.5%83.4%42.9%55.2%-70.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg70.3%62.0%79.2%32.6%45.6%-62.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-70.8%63.6%21.0%28.5%34.5%-28.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%54.2%44.5%13.8%22.7%-22.7%

Valuation

RGLDIDCCTFPMNEMAEMBMedian
NameRoyal Go.InterDig.Triple F.Newmont Agnico E.Barrick . 
Mkt Cap13.28.86.798.385.069.541.3
P/S15.49.617.54.38.02.68.8
P/EBIT23.014.526.28.916.26.315.4
P/E27.517.929.512.924.612.921.2
P/CFO21.813.221.010.014.5-14.5
Total Yield4.5%6.2%3.4%9.0%4.9%9.2%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.9%0.6%0.0%1.2%0.8%1.4%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.0%11.0%3.2%3.6%3.9%-3.6%
D/E0.10.10.00.10.00.00.0
Net D/E0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.0

Returns

RGLDIDCCTFPMNEMAEMBMedian
NameRoyal Go.InterDig.Triple F.Newmont Agnico E.Barrick . 
1M Rtn14.9%-13.8%16.2%10.2%4.3%23.0%12.5%
3M Rtn11.2%20.3%19.3%19.6%14.0%50.0%19.4%
6M Rtn9.6%53.7%33.4%63.2%37.6%103.1%45.6%
12M Rtn36.7%72.6%95.0%119.3%99.3%134.8%97.1%
3Y Rtn83.0%613.5%149.4%102.1%250.1%155.4%152.4%
1M Excs Rtn14.9%-13.8%16.2%10.2%4.4%23.1%12.5%
3M Excs Rtn6.1%13.6%15.3%14.7%8.9%44.0%14.2%
6M Excs Rtn-5.1%38.9%18.7%48.5%22.8%88.4%30.9%
12M Excs Rtn25.1%62.7%82.5%103.8%89.4%122.9%85.9%
3Y Excs Rtn24.9%566.6%118.8%49.2%204.6%109.7%114.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Stream interests418418227360
Royalty interests187185116139
Total606603343499


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,888,888
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202523.3%
Average Daily Volume1,081,157
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.67
Basic Shares Quantity65,761,896
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-KT 12/31/2021