Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -26%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 41x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -26%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 41x
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

FNV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Unfortunately, I cannot provide an analysis of Franco-Nevada (FNV) stock movement for the period between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025, as this timeframe pertains to future events. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time market data or the ability to predict future stock performance or the specific news and events that will influence it.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FNV Return22%11%-0%-18%7%69%102%
Peers Return37%-16%-6%2%7%99%134%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FNV Win Rate33%50%33%33%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate42%35%42%45%37%71% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FNV Max Drawdown-15%-15%-19%-23%-5%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-25%-28%-17%-20%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FSM, NAMM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFNVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven489 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven286 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven142.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven203 days1480 days

Compare to B, FSM, NAMM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Franco-Nevada's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Franco-Nevada (FNV)

Better Bets than Franco-Nevada (FNV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FNV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.6%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.1%-25.1%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.3%5.3%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%-7.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.6%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.1%-25.1%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.3%5.3%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%-7.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Franco-Nevada

Financials

FNVBFSMNAMMNEMAEMMedian
NameFranco-N.Barrick .Fortuna .Namib Mi.Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price196.9637.038.351.5587.80168.1162.41
Mkt Cap38.063.52.6-96.384.463.5
Rev LTM1,54613,8241,352-21,50310,56810,568
Op Inc LTM1,0695,351426-9,3595,2235,223
FCF LTM-856-226-6,1223,6451,935
FCF 3Y Avg-16-124-2,6362,0411,083
CFO LTM1,310-455-9,2245,8373,574
CFO 3Y Avg1,056-339-5,6163,8832,469

Growth & Margins

FNVBFSMNAMMNEMAEMMedian
NameFranco-N.Barrick .Fortuna .Namib Mi.Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM41.1%16.9%68.1%-26.6%35.2%35.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.7%5.9%26.7%-23.9%26.0%23.9%
Rev Chg Q76.9%16.4%38.3%-20.0%41.9%38.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.9%3.9%5.4%-4.5%9.4%5.4%
Op Mgn LTM69.1%38.7%31.5%-43.5%49.4%43.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg64.1%29.4%22.0%-23.9%36.0%29.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%3.2%2.9%-4.5%3.6%3.2%
CFO/Rev LTM84.7%-33.7%-42.9%55.2%49.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg81.3%-35.4%-32.6%45.6%40.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-55.4%-16.7%-28.5%34.5%22.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.6%-11.7%-13.8%22.7%12.7%

Valuation

FNVBFSMNAMMNEMAEMMedian
NameFranco-N.Barrick .Fortuna .Namib Mi.Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap38.063.52.6-96.384.463.5
P/S24.54.61.9-4.58.04.6
P/EBIT32.411.15.5-9.216.111.1
P/E41.323.011.1-13.424.523.0
P/CFO29.0-5.6-10.414.512.5
Total Yield2.8%5.2%9.0%-8.6%4.9%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.8%0.0%-1.2%0.8%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.4%-6.2%-3.6%3.9%3.8%
D/E0.00.00.1-0.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.1--0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

FNVBFSMNAMMNEMAEMMedian
NameFranco-N.Barrick .Fortuna .Namib Mi.Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn-3.3%11.1%-4.0%-41.1%-3.3%-3.7%-3.5%
3M Rtn11.3%54.5%14.4%-45.4%27.1%26.4%20.4%
6M Rtn24.2%110.0%54.9%-76.7%58.9%58.9%
12M Rtn74.5%127.4%78.4%-118.8%122.4%118.8%
3Y Rtn49.0%156.1%142.7%-115.1%283.6%142.7%
1M Excs Rtn-10.0%2.3%-13.8%-47.0%-12.2%-11.0%-11.6%
3M Excs Rtn7.7%49.1%11.6%-49.3%23.3%21.8%16.7%
6M Excs Rtn11.2%97.0%41.9%-63.6%45.9%45.9%
12M Excs Rtn60.5%109.9%69.4%-102.9%108.7%102.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-25.9%80.1%96.8%-42.1%230.4%80.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Precious Metals951 1,090928728
Energy208334   
Other mining60    
Mining 982   
Diversified  21092116
Total1,2191,3161,3001,020844


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,977,202
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-6.5%
Average Daily Volume1,105,118
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.69
Basic Shares Quantity192,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202581120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024320202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202450120246-K 3/31/2024
12312023315202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202350320236-K 3/31/2023
12312022317202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110720226-K 9/30/2022
630202281020226-K 6/30/2022
331202250420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021317202240-F 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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