Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 28x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 33x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 28x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 33x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FNV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FNV Return22%11%-0%-18%7%74%108%
Peers Return37%-20%-6%2%12%167%218%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FNV Win Rate33%50%33%33%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%43%42%48%50%82% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FNV Max Drawdown-15%-15%-19%-23%-5%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-31%-28%-21%-23%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FSM, NEM, AEM, AU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFNVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven489 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven286 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven142.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven203 days1480 days

Compare to B, FSM, NEM, AEM, AU


In The Past

Franco-Nevada's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Franco-Nevada (FNV)

Better Bets than Franco-Nevada (FNV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FNV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Franco-Nevada

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FNVBFSMNEMAEMAUMedian
NameFranco-N.Barrick .Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E.Anglogol. 
Mkt Price202.9340.919.3090.72171.4383.3887.05
Mkt Cap39.170.22.999.586.142.356.2
Rev LTM1,54613,8241,35221,50310,5687,6499,108
Op Inc LTM1,0695,3514269,3595,2232,7934,008
FCF LTM-856-2266,1223,6451,7861,786
FCF 3Y Avg-16-1242,6362,041818818
CFO LTM1,310-4559,2245,8373,0393,039
CFO 3Y Avg1,056-3395,6163,8831,8911,891

Growth & Margins

FNVBFSMNEMAEMAUMedian
NameFranco-N.Barrick .Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E.Anglogol. 
Rev Chg LTM41.1%16.9%68.1%26.6%35.2%54.6%38.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.7%5.9%26.7%23.9%26.0%26.4%24.9%
Rev Chg Q76.9%16.4%38.3%20.0%41.9%77.0%40.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.9%3.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%16.2%7.4%
Op Mgn LTM69.1%38.7%31.5%43.5%49.4%36.5%41.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg64.1%29.4%22.0%23.9%36.0%23.0%26.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%3.2%2.9%4.5%3.6%3.7%3.4%
CFO/Rev LTM84.7%-33.7%42.9%55.2%39.7%42.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg81.3%-35.4%32.6%45.6%32.2%35.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-55.4%-16.7%28.5%34.5%23.3%23.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.6%-11.7%13.8%22.7%12.7%12.7%

Valuation

FNVBFSMNEMAEMAUMedian
NameFranco-N.Barrick .Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E.Anglogol. 
Mkt Cap39.170.22.999.586.142.356.2
P/S27.82.62.04.38.03.03.7
P/EBIT36.76.35.98.916.27.68.2
P/E46.712.911.912.924.612.812.9
P/CFO32.8-6.010.014.57.610.0
Total Yield2.4%9.2%8.4%9.0%4.9%11.3%8.7%
Dividend Yield0.3%1.4%0.0%1.2%0.8%3.5%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.4%-6.2%3.6%3.9%5.2%3.9%
D/E0.00.00.10.10.00.10.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.1-0.0-0.00.0-0.0

Returns

FNVBFSMNEMAEMAUMedian
NameFranco-N.Barrick .Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E.Anglogol. 
1M Rtn10.1%29.7%18.6%15.3%10.2%32.4%17.0%
3M Rtn7.2%50.9%22.0%21.5%15.8%45.4%21.8%
6M Rtn18.4%106.3%25.7%67.5%41.2%81.5%54.3%
12M Rtn67.8%140.5%88.3%122.8%103.0%238.9%112.9%
3Y Rtn46.7%165.2%151.4%109.7%264.8%381.4%158.3%
1M Excs Rtn8.8%28.5%17.4%14.1%8.9%31.2%15.7%
3M Excs Rtn-0.7%38.8%15.5%13.7%7.4%35.1%14.6%
6M Excs Rtn2.9%90.8%10.2%52.0%25.7%66.1%38.9%
12M Excs Rtn55.8%129.3%91.5%112.1%96.1%242.2%104.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-25.4%102.8%86.5%44.3%197.9%308.2%94.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Precious Metals951 1,090928728
Energy208334   
Other mining60    
Mining 982   
Diversified  21092116
Total1,2191,3161,3001,020844


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,253,966
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.3%
Average Daily Volume712,880
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.56
Basic Shares Quantity192,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202581120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024320202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202450120246-K 3/31/2024
12312023315202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202350320236-K 3/31/2023
12312022317202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110720226-K 9/30/2022
630202281020226-K 6/30/2022
331202250420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021317202240-F 12/31/2021