Franco-Nevada (FNV)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $208.45 | Market Cap: $40.2 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Franco-Nevada (FNV)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $208.45Market Cap: $40.2 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -17% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 28x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 33x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85% | Key risksFNV key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration in a handful of major assets that are vulnerable to operational and geopolitical disruptions and [2] a lack of direct control over those mining operations, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -17% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 28x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 33x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55% |
| Key risksFNV key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration in a handful of major assets that are vulnerable to operational and geopolitical disruptions and [2] a lack of direct control over those mining operations, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FNV Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period (8/31/2025 to today) is in the future, and therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of Franco-Nevada's stock movement for this period.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FNV Return | 22% | 11% | -0% | -18% | 7% | 79% | 114% |
| Peers Return | 64% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 94% | 381% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FNV Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 52% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 77% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FNV Max Drawdown | -15% | -15% | -19% | -23% | -5% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -15% | -25% | -16% | -17% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RGLD, NEM, AEM, GOLD, OR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FNV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 489 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -27.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 286 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -58.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 142.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 203 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to B, FSM, NEM, AEM, AU
In The Past
Franco-Nevada's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| NEM, AEM Beat Franco-Nevada Stock on Price & Growth | Actionable | ||
| Wait For A Dip To Buy Franco-Nevada Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Would You Still Hold Franco-Nevada Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return | ||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Franco-Nevada Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 8.0% in 2024 and -3.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| AEM, AU Look Smarter Buy Than Franco-Nevada Stock | October 30th, 2025 | ||
| Better Bet Than Franco-Nevada Stock: Pay Less To Get More From AEM, AU | October 2nd, 2025 | ||
| FNV Shares Rally 15% In A Month, Wait For A Dip To Buy The Stock | September 25th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FNV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Franco-Nevada
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 133.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 27.4 |
| Rev LTM | 6,057 |
| Op Inc LTM | 821 |
| FCF LTM | 288 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 27 |
| CFO LTM | 957 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 779 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 30.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 38.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 9.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 58.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 46.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 62.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 58.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 27.4 |
| P/S | 11.7 |
| P/EBIT | 23.0 |
| P/E | 37.1 |
| P/CFO | 18.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 37.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 82.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 124.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 24.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 70.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 53.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3172023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3172022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |