Franco-Nevada (FNV)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $196.485 | Market Cap: $37.9 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Franco-Nevada (FNV)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $196.485Market Cap: $37.9 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -26% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 41x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -26% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 41x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
FNV Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Unfortunately, I cannot provide an analysis of Franco-Nevada (FNV) stock movement for the period between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025, as this timeframe pertains to future events. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time market data or the ability to predict future stock performance or the specific news and events that will influence it.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FNV Return | 22% | 11% | -0% | -18% | 7% | 69% | 102% |
| Peers Return | 37% | -16% | -6% | 2% | 7% | 99% | 134% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FNV Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 35% | 42% | 45% | 37% | 71% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FNV Max Drawdown | -15% | -15% | -19% | -23% | -5% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -25% | -28% | -17% | -20% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FSM, NAMM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FNV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 489 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -27.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 286 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -58.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 142.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 203 days | 1480 days |
Compare to B, FSM, NAMM, NEM, AEM
In The Past
Franco-Nevada's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| NEM, AEM Beat Franco-Nevada Stock on Price & Growth | Actionable | ||
| Wait For A Dip To Buy Franco-Nevada Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| With Franco-Nevada Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Franco-Nevada Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 8.1% in 2024 and -3.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Franco-Nevada (FNV) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| AEM, AU Look Smarter Buy Than Franco-Nevada Stock | October 30th, 2025 | ||
| Better Bet Than Franco-Nevada Stock: Pay Less To Get More From AEM, AU | October 2nd, 2025 | ||
| FNV Shares Rally 15% In A Month, Wait For A Dip To Buy The Stock | September 25th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FNV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 5.3% | 5.3% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.8% | 1.8% | -7.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 5.3% | 5.3% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.8% | 1.8% | -7.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Franco-Nevada
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 62.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 63.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,568 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,223 |
| FCF LTM | 1,935 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,083 |
| CFO LTM | 3,574 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,469 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 38.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 43.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 29.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 49.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 40.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 22.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 63.5 |
| P/S | 4.6 |
| P/EBIT | 11.1 |
| P/E | 23.0 |
| P/CFO | 12.5 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 58.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 118.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 142.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 45.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 102.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 80.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3172023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3172022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |