Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -17%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 28x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 33x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%
  Key risks
FNV key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration in a handful of major assets that are vulnerable to operational and geopolitical disruptions and [2] a lack of direct control over those mining operations, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 69%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals Investment, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Precious Metals Royalties & Streams, and US Oilfield Technologies.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -17%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 28x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 33x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%
8 Key risks
FNV key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration in a handful of major assets that are vulnerable to operational and geopolitical disruptions and [2] a lack of direct control over those mining operations, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FNV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period (8/31/2025 to today) is in the future, and therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of Franco-Nevada's stock movement for this period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FNV Return22%11%-0%-18%7%79%114%
Peers Return64%26%1%4%14%94%381%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FNV Win Rate33%50%33%33%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%52%53%52%53%77% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FNV Max Drawdown-15%-15%-19%-23%-5%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-15%-25%-16%-17%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RGLD, NEM, AEM, GOLD, OR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFNVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven489 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven286 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven142.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven203 days1,480 days

Compare to B, FSM, NEM, AEM, AU


In The Past

Franco-Nevada's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Franco-Nevada (FNV)

Better Bets than Franco-Nevada (FNV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FNV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Franco-Nevada

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FNVRGLDNEMAEMGOLDORMedian
NameFranco-N.Royal Go.Newmont Agnico E.Gold.com OR Royal. 
Mkt Price208.54222.2999.45167.5132.7035.50133.48
Mkt Cap40.214.6109.184.10.66.727.4
Rev LTM1,54685821,50310,56811,9442446,057
Op Inc LTM1,0695749,3595,22342171821
FCF LTM-856-6076,1223,645463112288
FCF 3Y Avg-16122,6362,041203327
CFO LTM1,3106049,2245,837475212957
CFO 3Y Avg1,0565035,6163,88333166779

Growth & Margins

FNVRGLDNEMAEMGOLDORMedian
NameFranco-N.Royal Go.Newmont Agnico E.Gold.com OR Royal. 
Rev Chg LTM41.1%28.1%26.6%35.2%20.3%32.7%30.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.7%12.3%23.9%26.0%14.5%15.9%15.2%
Rev Chg Q76.9%30.0%20.0%41.9%35.6%70.6%38.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.9%7.3%4.5%9.4%8.8%13.9%9.1%
Op Mgn LTM69.1%66.9%43.5%49.4%0.4%70.2%58.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg64.1%57.3%23.9%36.0%0.9%58.3%46.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%2.2%4.5%3.6%-0.1%1.8%2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM84.7%70.4%42.9%55.2%4.0%86.9%62.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg81.3%70.3%32.6%45.6%0.1%81.1%58.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-55.4%-70.8%28.5%34.5%3.9%46.0%16.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.6%9.3%13.8%22.7%-0.1%12.5%10.9%

Valuation

FNVRGLDNEMAEMGOLDORMedian
NameFranco-N.Royal Go.Newmont Agnico E.Gold.com OR Royal. 
Mkt Cap40.214.6109.184.10.66.727.4
P/S27.815.44.38.00.131.011.7
P/EBIT36.723.08.916.2-40.523.0
P/E46.727.512.924.686.451.037.1
P/CFO32.821.810.014.51.335.618.2
Total Yield2.4%4.5%9.0%4.9%2.7%2.4%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.9%1.2%0.8%1.5%0.4%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.4%1.0%3.6%3.9%--0.3%1.0%
D/E0.00.10.10.0-0.00.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.0-0.0--0.0-0.0

Returns

FNVRGLDNEMAEMGOLDORMedian
NameFranco-N.Royal Go.Newmont Agnico E.Gold.com OR Royal. 
1M Rtn7.1%20.8%14.5%1.8%29.9%11.3%12.9%
3M Rtn4.0%18.4%26.7%9.6%24.2%0.3%14.0%
6M Rtn24.4%24.7%71.8%37.3%56.1%37.0%37.2%
12M Rtn76.7%55.8%154.1%107.6%24.0%88.6%82.6%
3Y Rtn62.4%114.6%133.8%251.5%8.5%203.9%124.2%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%20.0%13.8%1.1%29.1%10.6%12.2%
3M Excs Rtn1.8%17.1%26.0%7.4%20.0%-1.9%12.3%
6M Excs Rtn12.1%12.3%59.4%24.9%43.7%24.6%24.8%
12M Excs Rtn65.0%41.9%140.4%91.6%7.8%76.6%70.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-16.8%43.1%64.0%181.5%-67.0%132.0%53.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Precious Metals951 1,090928728
Energy208334   
Other mining60    
Mining 982   
Diversified  21092116
Total1,2191,3161,3001,020844


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,201,844
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume568,237
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.63
Basic Shares Quantity192,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202581120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024320202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202450120246-K 3/31/2024
12312023315202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202350320236-K 3/31/2023
12312022317202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110720226-K 9/30/2022
630202281020226-K 6/30/2022
331202250420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021317202240-F 12/31/2021