Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 46x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 325x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 91x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Investment in Precious Metals. Themes include Gold as an Inflation Hedge / Store of Value, Diversification & Alternative Assets, and Mining Productivity & Returns.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 228%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 92%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.1%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Investment in Precious Metals. Themes include Gold as an Inflation Hedge / Store of Value, Diversification & Alternative Assets, and Mining Productivity & Returns.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.1%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 46x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 325x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 91x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 228%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 92%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GROY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Increases. Several financial institutions issued positive ratings and increased price targets for Gold Royalty during the period. Scotiabank raised its price objective from $3.30 to $4.00 and gave an "outperform" rating in October 2025. Raymond James Financial also set a $4.50 price target with an "outperform" rating in October 2025. Additionally, Maxim Group initiated coverage in September 2025 with a "buy" rating and a $6.00 price objective. Zacks Research upgraded Gold Royalty to a "Strong Buy" in late October 2025.

2. Significant Growth in Q3 2025 Revenue. Gold Royalty reported a substantial increase in its third-quarter 2025 earnings, with quarterly sales reaching US$4.15 million, up from US$2.06 million in the prior year. This reflects strong revenue growth from the company's operations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GROY Return---52%-36%-18%245%-13%
Peers Return41%-14%-6%-1%9%128%178%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GROY Win Rate-67%25%25%50%90% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%48%52%47%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GROY Max Drawdown---56%-47%-20%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-28%-32%-22%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGROYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven445.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Gold Royalty's stock fell -81.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/24/2021. A -81.7% loss requires a 445.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gold Royalty (GROY)

Better Bets than Gold Royalty (GROY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GROY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Gold Royalty

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GROYBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameGold Roy.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price4.1640.50202.459.5589.65169.1865.08
Mkt Cap0.769.539.02.998.385.054.3
Rev LTM1413,8241,5461,35221,50310,5686,057
Op Inc LTM-05,3511,0694269,3595,2233,146
FCF LTM5--8562266,1223,645226
FCF 3Y Avg-25--161242,6362,041124
CFO LTM7-1,3104559,2245,8371,310
CFO 3Y Avg1-1,0563395,6163,8831,056

Growth & Margins

GROYBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameGold Roy.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM86.3%16.9%41.1%68.1%26.6%35.2%38.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg80.9%5.9%7.7%26.7%23.9%26.0%24.9%
Rev Chg Q101.4%16.4%76.9%38.3%20.0%41.9%40.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM16.9%3.9%15.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%7.4%
Op Mgn LTM-2.1%38.7%69.1%31.5%43.5%49.4%41.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-129.4%29.4%64.1%22.0%23.9%36.0%26.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM11.9%3.2%0.8%2.9%4.5%3.6%3.4%
CFO/Rev LTM50.2%-84.7%33.7%42.9%55.2%50.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-37.3%-81.3%35.4%32.6%45.6%35.4%
FCF/Rev LTM31.8%--55.4%16.7%28.5%34.5%28.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-425.4%-4.6%11.7%13.8%22.7%11.7%

Valuation

GROYBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameGold Roy.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap0.769.539.02.998.385.054.3
P/S45.62.627.82.04.38.06.2
P/EBIT325.36.336.75.98.916.212.5
P/E-103.012.946.711.912.924.612.9
P/CFO90.9-32.86.010.014.514.5
Total Yield-1.0%9.2%2.4%8.4%9.0%4.9%6.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.2%0.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.8%-0.4%6.2%3.6%3.9%3.6%
D/E0.10.00.00.10.10.00.0
Net D/E0.10.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

GROYBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameGold Roy.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn14.6%23.0%7.8%16.2%10.2%4.3%12.4%
3M Rtn10.3%50.0%6.8%22.8%19.6%14.0%16.8%
6M Rtn114.4%103.1%14.8%41.7%63.2%37.6%52.4%
12M Rtn227.6%134.8%66.7%92.2%119.3%99.3%109.3%
3Y Rtn50.1%155.4%43.6%144.9%102.1%250.1%123.5%
1M Excs Rtn14.6%23.1%7.8%16.2%10.2%4.4%12.4%
3M Excs Rtn10.2%44.0%1.2%20.0%14.7%8.9%12.5%
6M Excs Rtn99.7%88.4%0.1%27.0%48.5%22.8%37.7%
12M Excs Rtn208.9%122.9%53.2%86.2%103.8%89.4%96.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-11.8%109.7%-22.8%103.2%49.2%204.6%76.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,346,010
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-9.6%
Average Daily Volume3,428,842
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.56
Basic Shares Quantity170,913,113
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202580620256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024320202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202481320246-K 6/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381020236-K 6/30/2023
331202351120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022327202320-F 12/31/2022
93020221227202220-F 9/30/2022
630202281520226-K 6/30/2022
331202251620226-K 3/31/2022
1231202121420226-K 12/31/2021