Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 6.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 6.0%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SLVM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Following a period including its third-quarter 2025 earnings release, Sylvamo (SLVM) experienced notable stock movement, with key factors contributing to shifts in its valuation: 1. 1. Strong Q3 2025 Revenue and Adjusted Earnings: Sylvamo reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $846 million, surpassing analysts' expectations of $840.32 million. Additionally, the company achieved adjusted operating earnings of $1.44 per diluted share, despite missing the diluted EPS consensus estimate of $1.57. 2. 2. Robust Free Cash Flow Generation: The company demonstrated financial strength by generating $33 million in free cash flow during the third quarter of 2025, indicating effective cash management and operational efficiency. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SLVM Return--75%4%65%-38%88%
Peers Return3%-7%-17%-16%17%-47%-58%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SLVM Win Rate-33%67%50%67%20% 
Peers Win Rate37%43%43%47%52%30% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SLVM Max Drawdown---2%-21%-7%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-20%-42%-34%-30%-60% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MERC, SLVM, MAGN, CLW, ITP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSLVMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven134 days464 days

Compare to MERC, SLVM, MAGN, CLW, ITP


In The Past

Sylvamo's stock fell -43.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2022. A -43.4% loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sylvamo (SLVM)

Better Bets than Sylvamo (SLVM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SLVM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sylvamo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SLVMMERCMAGNCLWITPMedian
NameSylvamo Mercer I.Magnera Clearwat.IT Tech . 
Mkt Price48.191.9213.9818.160.2413.98
Mkt Cap1.90.10.50.30.00.3
Rev LTM3,4311,9072,6971,556781,907
Op Inc LTM276-6967-4-10-4
FCF LTM106-62-41-1354-41
FCF 3Y Avg211-104-37-0-0-0
CFO LTM3383419-28419
CFO 3Y Avg43011492811

Growth & Margins

SLVMMERCMAGNCLWITPMedian
NameSylvamo Mercer I.Magnera Clearwat.IT Tech . 
Rev Chg LTM-8.9%-5.8%106.4%23.0%12.3%12.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.3%-4.9%34.5%0.3%-15.0%-0.3%
Rev Chg Q-12.3%-8.8%154.7%1.4%-5.5%-5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.4%-2.3%23.3%0.4%-1.8%-1.8%
Op Mgn LTM8.0%-3.6%2.5%-0.3%-13.1%-0.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.6%-2.6%1.9%2.3%-9.5%1.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-4.0%0.3%-0.4%-3.1%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM9.9%1.8%0.7%-1.8%4.9%1.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.8%0.6%0.1%8.6%9.7%8.6%
FCF/Rev LTM3.1%-3.2%-1.5%-8.7%4.5%-1.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%-5.1%-2.1%1.3%-1.4%-1.4%

Valuation

SLVMMERCMAGNCLWITPMedian
NameSylvamo Mercer I.Magnera Clearwat.IT Tech . 
Mkt Cap1.90.10.50.30.00.3
P/S0.50.10.20.20.00.2
P/EBIT6.0-2.7-13.8-4.5-0.2-2.7
P/E9.8-1.1-3.22.4-0.2-0.2
P/CFO5.25.722.5-12.10.65.2
Total Yield14.4%-79.0%227.1%42.4%-515.7%14.4%
Dividend Yield4.2%10.4%258.3%0.0%0.0%4.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.4%-26.4%-26.6%-5.2%-40.8%-26.4%
D/E0.58.14.81.04.64.6
Net D/E0.47.64.10.91.71.7

Returns

SLVMMERCMAGNCLWITPMedian
NameSylvamo Mercer I.Magnera Clearwat.IT Tech . 
1M Rtn22.8%0.5%58.5%0.3%0.7%0.7%
3M Rtn10.4%-38.9%20.4%-15.4%16.8%10.4%
6M Rtn-7.6%-47.4%14.1%-38.7%27.3%-7.6%
12M Rtn-45.8%-67.6%-30.1%-32.6%5.1%-32.6%
3Y Rtn-5.3%-84.7%-69.7%-53.7%-61.6%-61.6%
1M Excs Rtn22.8%0.6%58.5%0.3%0.7%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn3.7%-45.2%11.7%-22.5%15.6%3.7%
6M Excs Rtn-22.3%-62.1%-0.6%-53.4%12.5%-22.3%
12M Excs Rtn-59.6%-81.7%-45.3%-46.6%-10.7%-46.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-71.2%-157.5%-143.9%-124.5%-132.6%-132.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,647,237
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202522.0%
Average Daily Volume742,709
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.22
Basic Shares Quantity40,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021302202210-K 12/31/2021