Tearsheet

Cisco Systems (CSCO)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $77.98 | Market Cap: $308.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Cisco Systems (CSCO)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $77.98
Market Cap: $308.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CSCO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 13.3% stock movement for Cisco Systems (CSCO) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 13, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal Year 2026 First Quarter Earnings Exceeded Expectations and Upbeat Guidance.

Cisco reported robust first-quarter fiscal year 2026 results around November 12-13, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.00, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.98. The company's revenue reached $14.88 billion, also exceeding analysts' projections of $14.77 billion. This strong performance was accompanied by an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2026, boosting investor confidence. 2. Significant Growth in Artificial Intelligence (AI) Infrastructure Orders.

A major driver of Cisco's stock surge was the escalating demand for its AI infrastructure solutions. First-quarter fiscal year 2026 AI orders saw a remarkable 50% quarter-over-quarter growth, reaching $1.3 billion. For the full fiscal year 2025, AI infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $2 billion, more than doubling the initial target. This highlights Cisco's strong position in the booming AI market.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CSCO Return-3%46%-22%9%21%37%98%
Peers Return31%77%-19%66%51%11%423%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CSCO Win Rate42%75%33%58%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate57%73%42%65%65%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CSCO Max Drawdown-30%-1%-36%-3%-9%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-6%-32%-8%-7%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPE, ANET, DELL, PANW, FTNT. See CSCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCSCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven856 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven375 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven624 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2906 days1480 days

Compare to ANET, VRT, NTAP, FIEE, CSCO


In The Past

Cisco Systems's stock fell -38.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -38.6% loss requires a 62.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Cisco Systems (CSCO)

Better Bets than Cisco Systems (CSCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CSCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
14.4%14.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.9%11.9%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.4%13.4%0.0%
CSCO_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022CSCOCisco SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
33.0%38.8%-0.9%
CSCO_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020CSCOCisco SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
44.0%60.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
14.4%14.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.9%11.9%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.4%13.4%0.0%
CSCO_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022CSCOCisco SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
33.0%38.8%-0.9%
CSCO_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020CSCOCisco SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
44.0%60.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cisco Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CSCOHPEANETDELLPANWFTNTMedian
NameCisco Sy.Hewlett .Arista N.Dell Tec.Palo Alt.Fortinet  
Mkt Price77.8023.87124.76129.98191.6982.22103.49
Mkt Cap307.831.6156.995.1138.362.1116.7
Rev LTM57,69633,0758,448104,0909,5576,55521,316
Op Inc LTM12,9912,0353,6236,9241,2652,0332,829
FCF LTM12,7332254,0464,4493,6912,0283,868
FCF 3Y Avg13,8791,4712,9114,7813,2311,9193,071
CFO LTM13,7442,4844,1417,0963,9772,4484,059
CFO 3Y Avg14,7364,0862,9647,4743,4282,2313,757

Growth & Margins

CSCOHPEANETDELLPANWFTNTMedian
NameCisco Sy.Hewlett .Arista N.Dell Tec.Palo Alt.Fortinet  
Rev Chg LTM8.9%14.0%27.8%10.8%15.3%14.8%14.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.7%5.9%29.4%0.2%18.1%17.1%11.5%
Rev Chg Q7.5%18.5%27.5%10.8%15.7%14.4%15.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%4.5%6.3%2.6%3.6%3.4%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM22.5%6.2%42.9%6.7%13.2%31.0%17.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.2%7.6%40.8%6.1%10.2%27.6%17.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.8%-0.3%0.2%-0.2%0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM23.8%7.5%49.0%6.8%41.6%37.3%30.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.1%13.6%41.7%7.8%41.1%38.6%32.4%
FCF/Rev LTM22.1%0.7%47.9%4.3%38.6%30.9%26.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.6%5.0%41.0%5.0%38.8%33.3%29.0%

Valuation

CSCOHPEANETDELLPANWFTNTMedian
NameCisco Sy.Hewlett .Arista N.Dell Tec.Palo Alt.Fortinet  
Mkt Cap307.831.6156.995.1138.362.1116.7
P/S5.30.821.70.914.59.77.5
P/EBIT19.713.150.6--28.023.8
P/E29.821.754.618.3123.833.931.9
P/CFO22.410.944.313.434.825.924.2
Total Yield5.5%7.1%1.8%7.0%0.8%2.9%4.2%
Dividend Yield2.1%2.5%0.0%1.5%0.0%0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.0%5.8%2.5%--3.5%4.6%
D/E0.10.90.0--0.00.1
Net D/E0.00.7-0.1---0.00.0

Returns

CSCOHPEANETDELLPANWFTNTMedian
NameCisco Sy.Hewlett .Arista N.Dell Tec.Palo Alt.Fortinet  
1M Rtn5.2%1.7%-7.6%-7.6%-8.7%0.1%-3.7%
3M Rtn17.6%-3.5%-10.5%4.3%-2.3%3.2%0.4%
6M Rtn22.9%37.0%35.1%19.5%-2.3%-18.5%21.2%
12M Rtn35.6%12.3%16.7%11.0%-4.2%-16.6%11.7%
3Y Rtn71.1%58.8%275.2%222.9%138.5%50.3%104.8%
1M Excs Rtn5.5%2.0%-7.2%-7.3%-8.4%0.4%-3.4%
3M Excs Rtn13.6%-7.1%-17.4%-0.3%-8.0%-1.7%-4.4%
6M Excs Rtn8.6%22.7%20.9%5.3%-16.6%-32.7%7.0%
12M Excs Rtn22.8%-1.3%5.9%0.2%-14.8%-28.5%-0.5%
3Y Excs Rtn2.7%-11.7%220.1%156.6%59.2%-14.2%31.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Networking29,22934,570   
Services14,55013,85613,53913,80413,323
Security5,0753,859  3,158
Collaboration4,1134,0524,4724,727 
Observability837661   
End-to-End Security  3,6993,382 
Internet for the Future  5,2764,514 
Optimized Application Experiences  729654 
Other Products  111533
Secure, Agile Networks  23,83122,722 
Applications    5,568
Infrastructure Platforms    27,219
Total53,80456,99851,55749,81849,301


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity51,219,340
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-4.3%
Average Daily Volume21,953,170
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.33
Basic Shares Quantity3,956,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/20254.6%6.0% 
8/13/2025-1.6%-4.7%-5.5%
5/14/20254.8%3.1%4.6%
2/12/20252.1%3.4%-3.2%
11/13/2024-2.1%-2.8%-0.9%
8/14/20246.8%11.0%9.6%
5/15/2024-2.7%-4.5%-8.0%
2/14/2024-2.4%-3.4%-2.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141412
# Negative101012
Median Positive4.6%4.6%6.2%
Median Negative-4.0%-4.7%-6.4%
Max Positive7.1%11.0%14.4%
Max Negative-13.7%-13.0%-24.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251118202510-Q 10/25/2025
7312025903202510-K 7/26/2025
4302025520202510-Q 4/26/2025
1312025218202510-Q 1/25/2025
103120241119202410-Q 10/26/2024
7312024905202410-K 7/27/2024
4302024521202410-Q 4/27/2024
1312024220202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023907202310-K 7/29/2023
4302023524202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023221202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221122202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022908202210-K 7/30/2022
4302022525202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022222202210-Q 1/29/2022