Tearsheet

Cisco Systems (CSCO)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $77.89 | Market Cap: $308.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Cisco Systems (CSCO)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $77.89
Market Cap: $308.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
 
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CSCO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 13.2% stock movement for Cisco Systems (CSCO) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Strong Q1 Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings.

Cisco reported higher-than-expected revenue and adjusted profit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, announced around November 12, 2025. Adjusted earnings rose to $1.00 per share, exceeding estimates, while revenue increased to $14.9 billion, also surpassing expectations. 2. Robust Demand for AI Infrastructure.

The company experienced significant demand for its artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure products and solutions, particularly from hyperscalers. AI orders from hyperscalers accelerated to $1.3 billion in Q1 FY26, with Cisco projecting at least $4.2 billion in AI orders from hyperscalers for fiscal year 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CSCO Return-3%46%-22%9%21%35%94%
Peers Return24%44%-23%81%56%23%375%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CSCO Win Rate42%75%33%58%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate48%58%28%50%55%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CSCO Max Drawdown-30%-1%-36%-3%-9%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-4%-35%-5%-4%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ANET, VRT, NTAP, FIEE, CSCO. See CSCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCSCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven856 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven375 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven624 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2906 days1480 days

Compare to ANET, VRT, NTAP, FIEE, CSCO


In The Past

Cisco Systems's stock fell -38.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -38.6% loss requires a 62.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Cisco Systems (CSCO)

Better Bets than Cisco Systems (CSCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CSCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
CSCO_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022CSCOCisco SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
33.0%38.8%-0.9%
CSCO_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020CSCOCisco SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
44.0%60.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
CSCO_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022CSCOCisco SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
33.0%38.8%-0.9%
CSCO_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020CSCOCisco SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
44.0%60.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cisco Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CSCOANETVRTNTAPFIEEMedian
NameCisco Sy.Arista N.Vertiv NetApp FiEE  
Mkt Price77.76128.55182.54115.991.89115.99
Mkt Cap308.0161.769.723.3-115.7
Rev LTM56,6548,4489,6966,59008,448
Op Inc LTM12,5043,6231,7481,436-11,748
FCF LTM13,2884,0461,3651,658-11,658
FCF 3Y Avg14,1782,9111,0151,380-11,380
CFO LTM14,1934,1411,5601,838-11,838
CFO 3Y Avg14,9862,9641,1781,563-11,563

Growth & Margins

CSCOANETVRTNTAPFIEEMedian
NameCisco Sy.Arista N.Vertiv NetApp FiEE  
Rev Chg LTM5.3%27.8%28.8%3.3%-99.5%5.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.4%29.4%21.4%0.8%-65.6%3.4%
Rev Chg Q7.6%27.5%29.0%1.2%-17.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%6.3%6.6%0.3%35,994.4%6.3%
Op Mgn LTM22.1%42.9%18.0%21.8%-3,292.4%21.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.5%40.8%15.3%20.2%-1,146.9%20.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.3%0.6%0.1%1,197,542.8%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM25.1%49.0%16.1%27.9%-1,599.2%25.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.7%41.7%14.5%24.4%-535.9%24.4%
FCF/Rev LTM23.5%47.9%14.1%25.2%-1,599.2%23.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.3%41.0%12.5%21.5%-536.4%21.5%

Valuation

CSCOANETVRTNTAPFIEEMedian
NameCisco Sy.Arista N.Vertiv NetApp FiEE  
Mkt Cap308.0161.769.723.3-115.7
P/S4.921.75.93.2-5.4
P/EBIT21.750.637.814.6-29.7
P/E27.054.655.718.3-40.8
P/CFO19.444.336.911.7-28.2
Total Yield6.0%1.8%1.9%7.4%-4.0%
Dividend Yield2.3%0.0%0.1%2.0%-1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.4%2.5%3.2%6.6%-4.8%
D/E0.10.00.10.1-0.1
Net D/E0.0-0.10.0-0.0--0.0

Returns

CSCOANETVRTNTAPFIEEMedian
NameCisco Sy.Arista N.Vertiv NetApp FiEE  
1M Rtn7.5%-16.3%1.0%2.3%-24.1%1.0%
3M Rtn15.1%-8.9%45.3%-2.0%-32.5%-2.0%
6M Rtn21.8%35.1%62.8%11.9%-28.4%
12M Rtn33.8%21.9%39.7%-8.3%-27.9%
3Y Rtn72.1%287.1%1,176.1%92.0%-189.6%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%-17.5%-0.3%1.1%-25.4%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn11.1%-15.8%41.5%-7.7%-40.2%-7.7%
6M Excs Rtn6.3%19.6%47.4%-3.5%-13.0%
12M Excs Rtn20.8%12.0%30.5%-17.4%-16.4%
3Y Excs Rtn2.6%211.3%1,214.0%-0.3%-106.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity53,535,244
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.5%
Average Daily Volume28,643,603
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.87
Basic Shares Quantity3,961,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025903202510-K 7/26/2025
4302025520202510-Q 4/26/2025
1312025218202510-Q 1/25/2025
103120241119202410-Q 10/26/2024
7312024905202410-K 7/27/2024
4302024521202410-Q 4/27/2024
1312024220202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023907202310-K 7/29/2023
4302023524202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023221202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221122202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022908202210-K 7/30/2022
4302022525202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022222202210-Q 1/29/2022
103120211123202110-Q 10/30/2021