Tearsheet

HP (HPQ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.21 | Market Cap: $23.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

HP (HPQ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.21
Market Cap: $23.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Future of Work. Themes include Endpoint Protection, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Future of Work. Themes include Endpoint Protection, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HPQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, HP Inc. (HPQ) experienced a notable stock decline of approximately 10.8%, with recent performance indicating a 12.90% decrease over three months. Several key factors contributed to this downward movement:

1. Disappointing Q1 Fiscal 2026 Guidance: Despite reporting better-than-expected financial results for its fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, HP's stock fell due to a weaker-than-anticipated non-GAAP earnings forecast for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which missed analyst consensus estimates.

2. Announcement of Job Cuts and Restructuring: HP revealed plans for a significant restructuring initiative, including the reduction of its global workforce by 4,000 to 6,000 employees over the next few years. This move is part of a strategy to achieve approximately $1 billion in cost savings by fiscal 2028 but also involves absorbing about $650 million in restructuring charges.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HPQ Return24%57%-26%16%12%-20%49%
Peers Return21%34%-31%66%17%79%292%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HPQ Win Rate50%67%50%75%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate58%65%37%67%65%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HPQ Max Drawdown-36%-2%-33%-2%-7%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-6%-40%-4%-17%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAPL, INTC, DELL, MSI, WDC. See HPQ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHPQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven261 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven487 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven109.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven381 days1480 days

Compare to AAPL, INTC, DELL, MSI, WDC


In The Past

HP's stock fell -38.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2022. A -38.8% loss requires a 63.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About HP (HPQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HPQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for HP

Peers to compare with:

Financials

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Valuation

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Returns

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Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity67,133,721
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202516.6%
Average Daily Volume11,345,180
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.92
Basic Shares Quantity947,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025828202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025228202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241213202410-K 10/31/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024228202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231218202310-K 10/31/2023
7312023911202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023531202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023301202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221206202210-K 10/31/2022
7312022902202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022307202210-Q 1/31/2022
103120211209202110-K 10/31/2021

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET