Standard Lithium (SLI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.775 | Market Cap: $974.2 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Standard Lithium (SLI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.775Market Cap: $974.2 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -42% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 235% | ||
| Short seller report | ||
| Key risksSLI key risks include [1] project execution delays and substantial funding requirements as a pre-revenue company, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -42% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 235% |
| Short seller report |
| Key risksSLI key risks include [1] project execution delays and substantial funding requirements as a pre-revenue company, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SLI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Standard Lithium (SLI) stock moved significantly from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Advancement of South West Arkansas (SWA) Project towards Final Investment Decision (FID)
Standard Lithium made significant progress towards a Final Investment Decision for Phase 1 of its South West Arkansas (SWA) Project, targeting year-end 2025. This included the completion of all fieldwork required for the first phase and advancing crucial off-take and project financing discussions. This steady progression towards commercialization likely boosted investor confidence.
2. Positive Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) Results for SWA Project
The company released a Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) for the SWA Project in November 2025, which highlighted a robust 20.2% unlevered pre-tax Internal Rate of Return (IRR). The project targets an initial production of 22,500 tonnes per annum of battery-quality lithium carbonate with 447,000 tonnes of Proven Reserves over a 20-year operational life. The stock reacted positively to this news, gaining 6.91% on the day of publication.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SLI Return | -18% | 1715% | -70% | -32% | -28% | 221% | 614% |
| Peers Return | 136% | 59% | -20% | -45% | -49% | 62% | 34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SLI Win Rate | 17% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 56% | 47% | 31% | 44% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SLI Max Drawdown | -52% | 0% | -70% | -40% | -48% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -9% | -33% | -53% | -62% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALB, LAC, CMP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 598.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 482 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 246.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 606 days | 120 days |
Compare to WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK
In The Past
Standard Lithium's stock fell -85.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/27/2021. A -85.7% loss requires a 598.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SLI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.9% | 5.9% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.6% | 0.6% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 45.1% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.6% | 6.6% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.9% | 5.9% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.6% | 0.6% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 45.1% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.6% | 6.6% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Standard Lithium
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.86 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 622 |
| Op Inc LTM | -0 |
| FCF LTM | 51 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -162 |
| CFO LTM | 90 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 44 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 1,127.8 |
| P/E | -24.7 |
| P/CFO | -7.9 |
| Total Yield | -6.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -16.0% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 52.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 101.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 47.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -48.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 50.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 89.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 32.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -119.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3242025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9242024 | 40-F 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 6-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9222023 | 40-F 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 6-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9232022 | 40-F 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 6-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |