Standard Lithium (SLI)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.77 | Market Cap: $937.8 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Standard Lithium (SLI)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.77Market Cap: $937.8 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 30%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 26% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -54% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 181%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 190% | ||
| Short seller report |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 30%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -54% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 181%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 190% |
| Short seller report |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SLI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025, Standard Lithium (SLI) experienced a significant stock movement, largely driven by several key advancements in its project development and financial strategy.
1. Positive Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) for the South West Arkansas (SWA) Project: Standard Lithium announced the completion of a positive Definitive Feasibility Study for its South West Arkansas Project in November 2025. This study highlighted the project's attractiveness and cost-competitiveness, advancing it significantly towards a Final Investment Decision (FID). The SWA Project is projected to have an initial production capacity of 22,500 tonnes per annum of battery-quality lithium carbonate.
2. Maiden Inferred Resource for the Franklin Project in East Texas: The company also announced a Maiden Inferred Resource for its Franklin Project in East Texas. This project boasts some of the highest reported lithium-in-brine grades in North America, highlighting a strong foundation for future scalable production in the Smackover formation and expanding Standard Lithium's portfolio of high-quality lithium assets.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SLI Return | -18% | 1715% | -70% | -32% | -28% | 223% | 620% |
| Peers Return | 28% | 15% | 14% | -4% | -3% | 41% | 120% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SLI Win Rate | 17% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 34% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SLI Max Drawdown | -52% | 0% | -70% | -40% | -48% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -6% | -9% | -13% | -12% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 598.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 482 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 246.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 606 days | 120 days |
Compare to WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK
In The Past
Standard Lithium's stock fell -85.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/27/2021. A -85.7% loss requires a 598.9% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Standard Lithium Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SLI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.0% | 1.0% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.7% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 9.9% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.0% | 1.0% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.7% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 9.9% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Standard Lithium
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -8 |
| FCF LTM | -24 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -40 |
| CFO LTM | -5 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 29.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -12.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -3.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | -4.4 |
| P/E | -4.8 |
| P/CFO | -18.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 50.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 100.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 22.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 25.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 36.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 85.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 36.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3242025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9242024 | 40-F 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 6-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9222023 | 40-F 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 6-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9232022 | 40-F 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 6-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |