Tearsheet

Origin Agritech (SEED)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $1.16 | Market Cap: $2.7 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Origin Agritech (SEED)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $1.16
Market Cap: $2.7 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -5.3 Mil
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Agricultural Innovation. Themes include Agricultural Biotechnology, Crop Yield Optimization, and Sustainable Agriculture Practices.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -68 Mil
2   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 9944%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2313%
5   Key risks
SEED key risks include [1] significant financial deterioration marked by substantial net losses and negative cash flows, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Agricultural Innovation. Themes include Agricultural Biotechnology, Crop Yield Optimization, and Sustainable Agriculture Practices.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -5.3 Mil
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -68 Mil
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 9944%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2313%
8 Key risks
SEED key risks include [1] significant financial deterioration marked by substantial net losses and negative cash flows, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SEED Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining movements in Origin Agritech's (SEED) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 27, 2025:

<b>1. Origin Agritech secured new licenses for crop seed production and expanded into genetically modified (GMO) crop seed operations in Beijing on October 24, 2025.</b> This strategic move broadens the company's operational scope and its ability to engage in GMO seed production, subject to individual crop registrations.

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<b>2. The company initiated a re-entry into the Northeast China agricultural market in September 2025, marked by a product showcase and technology seminar.</b> This event introduced new nationally approved corn varieties, indicating efforts to expand market reach and product offerings.

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<b>3. Origin Agritech commenced full-scale seed processing operations at its Xinjiang production base on August 21, 2025.</b> This operational enhancement leverages regional resources for efficient corn seed production through a fully automated processing line.

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<b>4. The company held its Annual R&D and Operations Management Conference in November 2025, where it established strategic priorities for 2026.</b> These priorities focused on areas such as AI-integrated biological breeding, operational infrastructure optimization, and market expansion, suggesting a forward-looking growth strategy.

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<b>5. Origin Agritech's pioneering Hi3 Gene Editing Technology was recognized as a "Top 10 Major Progress in Chinese Agricultural Science for 2025" on December 2, 2025.</b> This award highlights the company's advancements in biotechnology and its progress toward the commercialization of innovative agricultural solutions.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.0% change in SEED stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 5.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
926202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)1.121.185.00%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-5.28-5.280.00%
P/S Multiple-0.49-0.515.00%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2.292.290.00%
Cumulative Contribution5.00%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SEED5.0% 
Market (SPY)4.3%33.2%
Sector (XLB)3.8%6.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.5% change in SEED stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 13.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
627202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)1.041.1813.45%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-5.28-5.280.00%
P/S Multiple-0.45-0.5113.45%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2.292.290.00%
Cumulative Contribution13.45%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SEED13.5% 
Market (SPY)12.6%17.7%
Sector (XLB)5.4%5.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -46.1% change in SEED stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -46.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1226202412262025Change
Stock Price ($)2.191.18-46.12%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-5.28-5.280.00%
P/S Multiple-0.95-0.51-46.12%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2.292.290.00%
Cumulative Contribution-46.12%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SEED-46.1% 
Market (SPY)15.8%17.6%
Sector (XLB)9.6%16.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -83.5% change in SEED stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -83.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1227202212262025Change
Stock Price ($)7.171.18-83.54%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-5.28-5.280.00%
P/S Multiple-3.11-0.51-83.54%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2.292.290.00%
Cumulative Contribution-83.54%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SEED-48.0% 
Market (SPY)48.0%13.0%
Sector (XLB)10.5%14.6%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SEED Return183%-53%-3%-68%-7%-42%-77%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SEED Win Rate50%42%50%25%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SEED Max Drawdown-45%-53%-38%-74%-32%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSEEDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1369.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven246.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven90 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-80.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven424.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven429 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven644.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven272 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Origin Agritech's stock fell -93.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -93.2% loss requires a 1369.1% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Origin Agritech (SEED)

Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in crop seed breeding and genetic improvement activities. It develops, produces, and distributes hybrid crop seeds, as well as develops hybrid seed technology. The company also operates an e-commerce platform, which provides range of products, including agricultural seed products that comprise corn, rice, and vegetable seeds; other agricultural inputs, such as fertilizers and agricultural chemicals; foods; household products; and other consumer products to farmers through online and mobile ordering. It has a collaboration agreement with Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the National Maize Improvement Center, China Agricultural University, and Zhejiang University. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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  • The Monsanto of China.
  • Bayer's Crop Science division, but focused on genetically modified corn seeds in China.
  • Corteva Agriscience for the Chinese market.

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  • Hybrid Corn Seeds: Advanced corn seeds developed for improved yield, disease resistance, and adaptability.
  • Biotechnology Corn Seeds: Hybrid corn seeds enhanced with genetically modified traits such as insect resistance and herbicide tolerance.

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Origin Agritech (symbol: SEED) primarily sells its products and services to other companies within the agricultural sector. The company does not publicly disclose specific major customer companies by name in its financial filings, indicating a diversified customer base rather than a reliance on a few large entities.

Based on their business model, Origin Agritech's major customer categories are:

  • Farmers and Agricultural Enterprises: These are the primary end-users of Origin Agritech's corn and rice seeds. These customers are typically large-scale farming operations in China that purchase seeds for cultivation. While many may be privately held or operate as individual farms, they function as businesses within the agricultural supply chain.
  • Seed Distributors: Origin Agritech utilizes a network of independent distributors who purchase seeds directly from the company. These distributors then resell the seeds through their own sales channels to local farmers and other agricultural entities.
  • Other Seed Companies: The company may also sell its proprietary seeds, germplasm, or finished seed products to other seed companies for various purposes, including further breeding, regional distribution, or to supplement their own product lines.

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Dr. Gengchen Han, Chairman Dr. Gengchen Han is the founder and Executive Chairman of Beijing Origin and its affiliated companies, a position he has held since establishing the business in 1997. He has over 20 years of experience in the research and development of hybrid seed products, particularly corn seed. Dr. Han previously worked for Pioneer Hi-bred International from 1990 to 1996, where he held positions such as Regional Technical Coordinator for Asia/Pacific and Regional Supervisor for China Business. He also served as President and Chief Executive of Origin Agritech at various times in the past. Weibin Yan, Chief Executive Officer and Director Mr. Weibin Yan was appointed CEO and a member of the Board of Directors in August 2024. He was a principal founder of Ausnutria Dairy Corporation Ltd., a company listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and served as its Chairman until September 2023. Under his leadership, Ausnutria became a leading global player in the dairy industry. Mr. Yan also held various executive roles at Yuan Longping High-tech Agriculture Co., Ltd., listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, including Chief Executive Officer from 2004 to April 2010 and Vice Chairman of the Board of Directors from 2010 to January 2016. He previously served as an independent director of Origin Agritech from 2017 to 2018. Chi Kin Cheng (Patrick Cheng), Chief Financial Officer and Director Mr. Chi Kin Cheng was appointed CFO and a Board Director in August 2024. He brings over 30 years of experience in corporate management, investment, and financial control. His career includes leadership roles at several publicly listed companies in Hong Kong across various industries such as natural resources, property investment, manufacturing, and banking. His past roles include Independent Non-Executive Director at Asiasec Properties Limited, Non-Executive Director and former Chairman at Affluent Partners Holdings Limited, Chairman of DeTai Energy Group Limited, and CEO & Executive Director at China Uptown Group Company Limited. Li Yang, Chief Operating Officer and Director Mr. Li Yang was appointed Chief Operating Officer and a Board Director in August 2024. He has over 20 years of extensive experience in investment activities and corporate management. Mr. Yang's career highlights include directorships in several prominent companies listed on Hong Kong stock exchanges, such as Executive Director and former Chairman of Virtual Mind Holding Company Limited, Executive Director of Asia Television Holdings Limited, and Vice Chairman of Leyou Technologies Holdings Limited and China Best Group Holdings Limited. His expertise spans multiple industries, including natural resources, agriculture, and technology.

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The key risks to Origin Agritech's (symbol: SEED) business are primarily financial and operational, stemming from its production activities and its operational structure in China.

  1. Significant Financial Deterioration and Losses: Origin Agritech is facing substantial financial challenges, as evidenced by declining net revenue, increased operating expenses, and significant net losses. For the first half of fiscal year 2025, the company reported a net loss of RMB25.6 million (US$3.6 million), a notable decline from a net profit in the prior year. This financial distress is further compounded by high leverage, negative cash flows, and a significantly reduced cash position.
  2. Production Challenges and Reduced Capacity: A major factor contributing to the company's revenue decline is the halting of production lines at its Xinjiang factory for equipment upgrades and technical renovations. This has resulted in reduced production capacity and decreased sales of some proprietary products.
  3. Operational and Regulatory Risks in China: Origin Agritech operates in China, which exposes it to various legal and operational uncertainties. These include risks associated with regulatory approvals for offshore offerings, the use of Variable Interest Entities (VIEs), potential anti-monopoly regulatory actions, and challenges related to cybersecurity and data privacy. The company's VIE structure, in particular, presents unique risks for investors, as their ownership is not direct in the operational entities, and potential government actions could impact the enforceability of contractual arrangements, potentially diminishing the value of ordinary shares.

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The recent and ongoing opening of China's genetically modified (GM) crop market, particularly for corn, presents a clear emerging threat to Origin Agritech. While this market liberalization is theoretically an opportunity for SEED, it concurrently ushers in intense competition from vastly larger, globally dominant agricultural biotechnology corporations such as Syngenta (owned by ChemChina) and potentially Bayer. These multinational giants possess significantly greater research and development budgets, broader patent portfolios covering a wider array of traits, well-established distribution networks, and substantially more financial resources. As China streamlines its approval processes and commercialization pathways for GM crops, these powerful competitors are poised to rapidly expand their presence and market share, potentially overwhelming smaller, less resourced domestic players like Origin Agritech. This market shift is analogous to a disruptive innovator (like Netflix or Uber) entering a newly accessible or restructured market, posing a significant challenge to existing, less-resourced players.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Origin Agritech (SEED) primarily operates in China, focusing on crop seed breeding and genetic improvement, with a strong emphasis on genetically modified (GM) corn and soybean seeds, as well as an e-commerce platform for related technical services.

The addressable markets for their main products and services in China are substantial:

  • China Agricultural Biotechnology Market: This market generated a revenue of USD 12,925.7 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 19,152.9 million by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5% from 2025 to 2030.
  • China Corn Seed Market: The market value for corn seeds in China is expected to remain above CNY 30 billion in the future. (Approximately USD 4.13 billion, based on a 7.2622 USD:CNY exchange rate from July 15, 2024). The broader China seed market size is valued at USD 12.26 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 14.12 billion by 2030.
  • China Soybean Seed Market: While specific China soybean *seed* market figures are less direct, the global soybean seed market size reached USD 11.07 billion in 2025 and is forecast to expand to USD 15.05 billion by 2030. Furthermore, the overall China soybean market size is expected to reach USD 153 billion by 2030.

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Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Origin Agritech (SEED) over the next 2-3 years:
  • Commercialization of Gene-Edited Corn Varieties: Origin Agritech is focused on enhancing corn breeding through cutting-edge genetic trait modification and has secured a patent license agreement for advanced gene editing technology. The company is actively pursuing biosafety certifications for its gene-edited corn varieties, which are expected to be secured within 1-2 years, with the aim of swift commercialization. These gene-edited corn varieties, designed for "Smart Plant Architecture" with optimized leaf angles, are anticipated to enable higher planting densities and increased yields.
  • Launch and Commercialization of New GMO Corn Varieties: The company received a GMO safety certificate for its transgenic maize BBL2-2 in May 2024, which offers advanced insect resistance and herbicide tolerance traits. Origin Agritech is advancing four GMO corn hybrids in national trials, with one hybrid likely to receive approval in 2025 and two others in 2026. The BBL2-2 version of its corn variety OY728 could see pilot seed production in 2025 and be ready for sale in 2026, contributing to future revenue.
  • Expansion into New and Re-entered Agricultural Markets in China: Origin Agritech has obtained new crop seed production and operation licenses, enhancing its capabilities to produce, process, package, wholesale, and retail corn seeds. This expansion is complemented by the successful re-entry into the Northeast China agricultural market in September 2025, where new corn varieties were showcased to over 200 dealers and partners. The company is also strategically restructuring its production and sales units to streamline operations and enhance scalability, positioning itself to serve the vital North China Plain and other regions.
  • Introduction and Growth of New Proprietary Hybrid Corn Varieties: The company continues to develop and commercialize new proprietary conventional hybrid corn varieties. For instance, Origin's corn variety Aoyu 728 is projected to generate substantial revenue, with sales volumes expected to cover over 1 million mu and yield approximately $7 million USD in the 2025 season. Other new corn varieties, such as Jinqiao 8, Jingke 4580, and Jingke 317, have received national approvals and are being introduced to the market, further supporting sales growth.

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Share Issuance

  • On September 30, 2025, Origin Agritech announced the sale of 1,234,300 ordinary shares to investors at $1.20 per share, generating an aggregate consideration of $1,481,250.
  • Concurrently, the Board of Directors approved the sale of 2,000,000 ordinary shares to CEO Yan Weibin at $1.20 per share, resulting in gross proceeds of $2,400,000.
  • A new compensation plan for independent directors adopted on September 11, 2025, includes annual issuances of 2,000 shares and 2,000 options to non-employee directors and committee chairmen.

Inbound Investments

  • Origin Agritech secured approximately $3.88 million in new investments on September 30, 2025.
  • This total includes a $2.4 million investment from CEO Weibin Yan for 2,000,000 ordinary shares and $1.48 million from institutional investors, both at $1.20 per share.
  • In October 2020, Origin's Beijing Origin subsidiary received an additional RMB20 million (approximately $2.9 million) from its joint venture partner, Beijing Changping Technology Innodevelop Group, bringing the total funding from this partner to RMB157 million (approximately $23.4 million).

Capital Expenditures

  • The $3.88 million capital infusion from September 2025 is designated for supporting expansion in China's agricultural biotechnology sector, including enhancing research and development capabilities, expanding market penetration, and strengthening distribution networks.
  • The RMB157 million ($23.4 million) funding received in 2020 from the Beijing Changping Technology Innodevelop Group joint venture was allocated to expand seed production and marketing in anticipation of China's move towards GMO-positive policies.
  • In October 2025, the company obtained new licenses for corn seed production and GMO crop seed production, and increased the registered capital of its subsidiary Beijing Origin Seed Ltd. from RMB 30 million to RMB 100 million (approximately $4.2 million to $14 million USD) to boost operational capacity and market presence.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SEED. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.4%-1.4%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
51.0%51.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.6%30.6%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Origin Agritech

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SEEDHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOrigin A.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price1.1823.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap0.021.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM-555,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-683,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM-2,80062711,85412,73396,18411,854
FCF 3Y Avg-2,9781,40011,75313,879100,50311,753
CFO LTM-3,6972,91913,48313,744108,56513,483
CFO 3Y Avg-3,6723,89613,49814,736111,55913,498

Growth & Margins

SEEDHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOrigin A.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM32.5%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-26.6%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.2%
Rev Chg Q-100.0%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-108.8%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%18.6%

Valuation

SEEDHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOrigin A.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap0.021.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S-0.41.04.45.410.04.4
P/EBIT-0.06.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E-0.08.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO-5.911.221.122.537.521.1
Total Yield-2,309.3%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.0%
D/E100.90.50.70.20.10.00.4
Net D/E99.40.30.60.20.00.00.3

Returns

SEEDHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOrigin A.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-16.9%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%-0.4%
3M Rtn5.0%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%6.1%
6M Rtn13.5%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%14.3%
12M Rtn-46.1%-27.3%14.2%39.2%33.7%6.0%10.1%
3Y Rtn-83.5%-3.8%67.7%139.0%79.5%113.4%73.6%
1M Excs Rtn-12.3%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn0.7%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%1.8%
6M Excs Rtn1.2%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%2.1%
12M Excs Rtn-63.2%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-165.1%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment9353465392
Total9353465392


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.18 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date05/05/2004 
Distance from 52W High-54.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.49$1.32
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-21.0%-10.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility119.7%95.0%
Downside Capture418.30137.01
Upside Capture363.2455.45
Correlation (SPY)33.4%17.6%
SEED Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.083.682.541.820.900.79
Up Beta1.990.950.640.600.58-0.17
Down Beta2.420.653.111.680.971.04
Up Capture190%807%338%247%56%37%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days816255397318
Down Capture396%416%233%199%126%109%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12243664136401

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of SEED With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 SEEDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-44.6%9.9%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.3%
Annualized Volatility94.6%19.9%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.220.360.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 16.6%17.7%1.4%2.0%19.6%14.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of SEED With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 SEEDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-36.6%7.2%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility99.1%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio-0.020.290.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 16.5%17.0%5.4%11.5%15.0%10.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of SEED With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 SEEDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-21.7%10.1%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility93.8%20.7%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.150.440.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 15.0%15.8%4.9%11.4%14.4%7.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity91,736
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-44.3%
Average Daily Volume56,096
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.64
Basic Shares Quantity2,292,354
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/2005-2.6%0.0%36.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive011
# Negative100
Median Positive 0.0%36.9%
Median Negative-2.6%  
Max Positive 0.0%36.9%
Max Negative-2.6%  

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
331202562620256-K 3/31/2025
9302024210202520-F 9/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
9302023215202420-F 9/30/2023
331202350920236-K 3/31/2023
9302022214202320-F 9/30/2022
331202251820226-K 3/31/2022
9302021204202220-F 9/30/2021
331202160120216-K 3/31/2021
9302020216202120-F 9/30/2020
331202051820206-K 3/31/2020
9302019302202020-F 9/30/2019
331201971620196-K 3/31/2019
9302018603201920-F 9/30/2018
331201892120186-K 3/31/2018
9302017212201820-F 9/30/2017