Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.74 | Market Cap: $384.6 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Commodity Chemicals
Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.74Market Cap: $384.6 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Commodity Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Nanomaterials, Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -99% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 148% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -90% | ||
| Key risksRYAM key risks include [1] significant import tariffs impacting a substantial portion of its revenue and [2] a high debt burden coupled with challenging financial performance. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Nanomaterials, Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -99% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 148% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -90% |
| Key risksRYAM key risks include [1] significant import tariffs impacting a substantial portion of its revenue and [2] a high debt burden coupled with challenging financial performance. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RYAM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The search results for "Rayonier Advanced Materials RYAM stock price change August 31 2025 to December 18 2025" and "RYAM stock 2.9% movement explained August to December 2025" do not explicitly show a **net** 2.9% movement for RYAM during the specified period. Instead, the information indicates a period of overall decline and significant volatility.
For instance, one source states that "in the past month, the stock has increased 2.06%" as of December 14, 2025. Another mentions a stock price decrease of 2.78% on December 12, 2025. Also, "over the last 12 months, the stock's price has decreased 23.99%, with a year-to-date return of -27.82%". "RYAM stock has fallen by −7.80% compared to the previous week, the month change is a 0.51% rise, over the last year Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. has showed a −26.12% decrease." There is a general mention of a Dow Jones Industrial Average fall of 2.9% due to tariff concerns in a broader economic context, not specific to RYAM or the given timeframe.
Given that a specific 2.9% movement with direct explanatory factors for Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, was not identified in the available information, the key points below highlight significant events and observed stock performance for RYAM during this approximate period.
1. Rayonier Advanced Materials reported a significant revenue miss for Q3 2025.
On November 4, 2025, Rayonier Advanced Materials released its Q3 2025 earnings, reporting revenue of $353 million, which was a 12% decrease compared to the same period last year. This revenue figure also represented a 6.22% shortfall compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $376.4 million. The company's EPS came in at -$0.07, meeting the consensus estimate.
2. The stock experienced a notable decline following the Q3 earnings announcement.
Following the Q3 2025 earnings report on November 4-5, 2025, RYAM's stock price dropped by 7.2% in regular trading and further decreased by 10.41% in premarket trading, indicating investor dissatisfaction with the results and outlook. This contributed to a monthly return of -13.1% for the period preceding November 4, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RYAM Return | 70% | -12% | 68% | -58% | 104% | -31% | 48% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 15% | -16% | 25% | 12% | -28% | 14% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RYAM Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 58% | 50% | 48% | 53% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RYAM Max Drawdown | -75% | -23% | -56% | -72% | -16% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -6% | -28% | -8% | -15% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CE, EMN, IP, PKG, GPK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RYAM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 323.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -75.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 311.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 161 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -88.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 781.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN
In The Past
Rayonier Advanced Materials's stock fell -76.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -76.4% loss requires a 323.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RYAM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.9% | 5.9% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.6% | 0.6% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 45.1% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.6% | 6.6% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.9% | 5.9% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.6% | 0.6% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 45.1% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.6% | 6.6% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Rayonier Advanced Materials
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.0 |
| Rev LTM | 8,898 |
| Op Inc LTM | 909 |
| FCF LTM | 157 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 501 |
| CFO LTM | 1,099 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,271 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.0 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 2.2 |
| P/E | 4.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -13.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -28.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -18.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -25.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -40.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -89.6% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -8.9% | -7.7% | -3.5% |
| 8/5/2025 | 0.8% | 23.8% | 47.8% |
| 5/6/2025 | -6.6% | -4.7% | -8.5% |
| 2/4/2025 | -0.6% | -5.6% | -2.7% |
| 11/5/2024 | 20.9% | 18.1% | 5.3% |
| 8/6/2024 | 30.1% | 30.8% | 36.4% |
| 5/7/2024 | 1.8% | 12.3% | 40.0% |
| 2/27/2024 | -21.2% | -17.7% | 9.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 7.0% | 18.1% | 14.4% |
| Median Negative | -8.2% | -12.3% | -14.1% |
| Max Positive | 34.2% | 66.0% | 131.5% |
| Max Negative | -23.1% | -29.6% | -54.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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