RPM International (RPM)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $104.98 | Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
RPM International (RPM)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $104.98Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% | Key risksRPM key risks include [1] potential failure to execute its critical MAP 2025 strategic initiative, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% |
| Key risksRPM key risks include [1] potential failure to execute its critical MAP 2025 strategic initiative, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RPM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, RPM International's stock experienced an approximate decline of 15.7%. Key factors contributing to this movement include a series of analyst price target reductions, flat year-over-year earnings per share for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, and lingering concerns from a challenging prior quarter amidst a mixed economic environment.
1. Multiple Analyst Price Target Reductions
Throughout November and December 2025, several prominent analysts reduced their price targets for RPM International. For instance, Evercore ISI Group lowered its price target from $145.00 to $125.00 on November 11, 2025, representing a significant 13.79% decrease. In December, UBS, Mizuho, and Citigroup also reduced their price targets for the company's stock, signaling a more cautious outlook on its valuation. While some analysts maintained "Outperform" or "Buy" ratings, these reductions in projected share value likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. Flat Year-over-Year Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Per Share
RPM International reported its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, for the period ending August 31, 2025, on October 1, 2025. Despite an increase in sales to $2.11 billion from $1.97 billion in the prior year, the diluted earnings per share (EPS) remained flat year-over-year at $1.77. This lack of EPS growth, following strong performance in the preceding quarter, may have disappointed investors who were anticipating continued upward momentum in earnings, thereby exerting downward pressure on the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RPM Return | 21% | 13% | -2% | 17% | 12% | -11% | 56% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 40% | -19% | 27% | -1% | -8% | 40% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RPM Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 65% | 42% | 50% | 57% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RPM Max Drawdown | -39% | -13% | -25% | -18% | -7% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -6% | -31% | -8% | -11% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SHW, PPG, CSL, AXTA, FUL. See RPM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RPM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 157 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 207 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 171.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 762 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MMM, SHW, PPG, DOW, EMN
In The Past
RPM International's stock fell -25.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -25.5% loss requires a 34.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| RPM International Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can RPM International Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| RPM International vs T-Mobile US: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| RPM International vs Newmont: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| RPM International vs DuPont de Nemours: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does RPM International Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than RPM Stock: Pay Less Than RPM International To Get More From DIS, MRK | |||
| Better Bet Than RPM Stock: Pay Less Than RPM International To Get More From NEU, TGLS | |||
| Better Bet Than RPM Stock: Pay Less Than RPM International To Get More From NEU | |||
| RPM Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Chemicals Stocks Likely To Outperform: RPM, IOSP, CF, NGVT | June 23rd, 2020 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RPM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 47.0% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.2% | 24.2% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 47.0% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.2% | 24.2% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RPM International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 103.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.7 |
| Rev LTM | 6,342 |
| Op Inc LTM | 973 |
| FCF LTM | 615 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 823 |
| CFO LTM | 922 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,007 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.7 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 12.5 |
| P/E | 21.4 |
| P/CFO | 15.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -56.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Segment | 2,283 | 2,385 | 2,406 | 2,387 | 2,067 |
| Construction Products Group (CPG) Segment | 2,160 | 2,206 | 2,160 | 1,815 | 1,623 |
| Performance Coatings Group (PCG) Segment | 1,164 | 1,210 | 1,116 | 1,051 | 926 |
| Specialty Products Group (SPG) Segment | 734 | 805 | 839 | 773 | 728 |
| Corporate/Other | 245 | 176 | 187 | 227 | 287 |
| Total | 6,587 | 6,782 | 6,708 | 6,253 | 5,631 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/24/2025 | 8.6% | 5.1% | 10.1% |
| 4/8/2025 | -9.1% | -0.8% | 3.0% |
| 1/7/2025 | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| 7/25/2024 | 6.8% | 9.5% | 3.1% |
| 4/4/2024 | -5.8% | -6.6% | -8.2% |
| 1/4/2024 | -3.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| 10/4/2023 | 6.3% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| 7/26/2023 | 11.2% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -2.2% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 11.2% | 20.9% | 27.2% |
| Max Negative | -13.1% | -9.3% | -9.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10012025 | 10-Q 8/31/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7242025 | 10-K 5/31/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4082025 | 10-Q 2/28/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1072025 | 10-Q 11/30/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10022024 | 10-Q 8/31/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7252024 | 10-K 5/31/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4042024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1042024 | 10-Q 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10042023 | 10-Q 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7262023 | 10-K 5/31/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4062023 | 10-Q 2/28/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1052023 | 10-Q 11/30/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10052022 | 10-Q 8/31/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7252022 | 10-K 5/31/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4062022 | 10-Q 2/28/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1052022 | 10-Q 11/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |