Tearsheet

O-I Glass (OI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.165 | Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

O-I Glass (OI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.165
Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.1%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 229%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.5%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
3   Key risks
OI key risks include [1] a substantial debt load that places it in the distressed zone and [2] declining top-line revenue.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.1%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 229%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.5%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
7 Key risks
OI key risks include [1] a substantial debt load that places it in the distressed zone and [2] declining top-line revenue.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Challenging 2024 Performance with an Optimistic 2025 Outlook
O-I Glass experienced a difficult 2024, reporting declines in net sales and earnings before income taxes due to market pressures, lower average selling prices, and reduced sales volumes. However, the company anticipates a stronger 2025, projecting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to increase by 50% to 85% from 2024 levels. Additionally, free cash flow is expected to improve significantly, ranging between $150 million and $200 million in 2025, compared to a use of cash in 2024.

2. Aggressive Implementation of "Fit To Win" Initiative
The company is actively executing its "Fit To Win" initiative, a strategic program designed to drive improved performance and greater value. This initiative aims to enhance operational efficiency and reduce enterprise costs, positioning O-I Glass for future sustainable value creation. Management expects this program to lead to better results in 2025 and beyond.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OI Return0%1%38%-1%-34%40%28%
Peers Return2%-10%-3%5%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OI Win Rate58%50%67%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%53%43%53%53%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OI Max Drawdown-61%-8%-4%-16%-39%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-27%-20%-11%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CCK, SLGN, AMBP, AMCR, ATR. See OI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven400 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven220.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven383 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-66.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven202.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to TGLS, CPSH, CSTE, BALL, ATR


In The Past

O-I Glass's stock fell -43.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -43.6% loss requires a 77.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About O-I Glass (OI)

Better Bets than O-I Glass (OI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for O-I Glass

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OICCKSLGNAMBPAMCRATRMedian
NameO-I GlassCrown Silgan Ardagh M.Amcor AptarGro. 
Mkt Price15.16104.3041.044.158.37123.6328.10
Mkt Cap2.312.04.42.519.48.16.2
Rev LTM6,45512,1416,4265,34617,4013,6636,440
Op Inc LTM5771,6536402581,534524609
FCF LTM691,00865-853306306
FCF 3Y Avg15916243-805297297
CFO LTM5161,338372-1,526565565
CFO 3Y Avg6281,452502-1,366592628

Growth & Margins

OICCKSLGNAMBPAMCRATRMedian
NameO-I GlassCrown Silgan Ardagh M.Amcor AptarGro. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.8%3.3%11.1%10.3%28.4%2.5%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.3%-2.1%0.4%4.5%6.5%3.1%1.8%
Rev Chg Q-1.5%4.2%15.1%8.8%71.3%5.7%7.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%1.1%4.3%2.2%15.9%1.4%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM8.9%13.6%10.0%4.8%8.8%14.3%9.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.3%12.2%10.1%3.4%9.4%13.5%9.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%0.0%-0.1%-0.0%0.0%-0.3%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.0%11.0%5.8%-8.8%15.4%8.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%12.1%8.4%-9.0%16.6%9.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.1%8.3%1.0%-4.9%8.4%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.2%7.6%4.1%-5.3%8.3%5.3%

Valuation

OICCKSLGNAMBPAMCRATRMedian
NameO-I GlassCrown Silgan Ardagh M.Amcor AptarGro. 
Mkt Cap2.312.04.42.519.48.16.2
P/S0.30.90.70.41.12.40.8
P/EBIT6.76.17.810.515.815.69.1
P/E-13.711.814.5149.132.520.917.7
P/CFO3.98.312.3-12.415.612.3
Total Yield-7.3%9.6%8.7%8.7%8.1%6.1%8.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%1.9%8.1%5.1%1.4%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.2%8.2%4.5%-5.1%3.2%4.5%
D/E2.60.61.11.70.80.11.0
Net D/E2.30.51.01.60.80.10.9

Returns

OICCKSLGNAMBPAMCRATRMedian
NameO-I GlassCrown Silgan Ardagh M.Amcor AptarGro. 
1M Rtn18.3%9.8%9.8%15.9%0.6%3.6%9.8%
3M Rtn20.3%10.1%-4.5%15.4%2.6%-7.8%6.3%
6M Rtn12.2%2.3%-22.9%6.1%-4.6%-16.9%-1.2%
12M Rtn41.8%23.5%-22.0%48.4%-8.9%-23.3%7.3%
3Y Rtn-5.7%34.0%-17.7%24.2%-19.0%19.5%6.9%
1M Excs Rtn17.5%9.0%9.1%15.2%-0.2%2.9%9.1%
3M Excs Rtn17.0%8.4%-5.8%11.9%0.9%-9.1%4.7%
6M Excs Rtn-0.2%-10.1%-35.2%-6.3%-17.0%-29.3%-13.6%
12M Excs Rtn21.9%8.9%-34.9%34.6%-21.6%-37.5%-6.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.5%-32.4%-86.4%-43.7%-90.0%-49.7%-63.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment7,1056,8566,3576,0916,691
Total7,1056,8566,3576,0916,691


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,901,552
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.4%
Average Daily Volume2,589,137
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.21
Basic Shares Quantity153,571,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/202514.2%10.8%22.2%
7/29/2025-12.5%-10.2%-9.9%
4/29/20254.2%8.2%8.4%
2/4/20252.8%-0.8%-1.1%
10/29/2024-7.2%-3.9%2.0%
7/30/202415.0%-2.9%10.7%
4/30/2024-15.9%-10.5%-15.6%
2/6/202414.1%13.1%17.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121213
# Negative121211
Median Positive9.6%6.6%10.7%
Median Negative-6.0%-5.8%-9.9%
Max Positive15.0%15.8%29.3%
Max Negative-15.9%-10.5%-24.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Haudrich JohnSVP & Chief Financial Officer8072025Buy13.052,28929,8795,996,575Form
1ABRAHAMS DARROW ASVP, GC & Corporate Secretary8072025Buy13.053,82849,9522,406,886Form
2Hardie GordonPresident & CEO8072025Buy13.108,000104,8056,757,512Form
3AUJOUANNET ARNAUDSVP & Chief Sales & Marketing5092025Sell12.951,23716,0211,831,772Form