Tearsheet

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $4.055 | Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $4.055
Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 156%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 152x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Consumption, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
  Key risks
AMBP key risks include [1] a highly leveraged financial structure with negative shareholder equity, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Consumption, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 156%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 152x
6 Key risks
AMBP key risks include [1] a highly leveraged financial structure with negative shareholder equity, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMBP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Ardagh Metal Packaging reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 23, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.08, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.07. The company also exceeded revenue expectations, reporting $1.43 billion against an estimated $1.39 billion, an 8.8% increase year-over-year. This "double beat" on both top and bottom lines was met with a positive market reaction, including an approximate 4.29% pre-market stock gain following the announcement.



2. Upgraded Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA Guidance: Building on the strong Q3 performance, Ardagh Metal Packaging raised its full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $720 million to $735 million. This revised outlook demonstrated management's confidence in the company's continued operational strength and resilient business performance, even amid challenging macroeconomic conditions.



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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.9% change in AMBP stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 123.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)3.834.055.89%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5231.005346.002.20%
Net Income Margin (%)0.13%0.30%123.65%
P/E Multiple326.99151.48-53.67%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)597.70597.700.00%
Cumulative Contribution5.89%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AMBP6.0% 
Market (SPY)4.3%6.1%
Sector (XLB)3.8%41.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.4% change in AMBP stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -75.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)4.074.05-0.40%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5035.005346.006.18%
Net Income Margin (%)0.08%0.30%276.73%
P/E Multiple608.35151.48-75.10%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)597.70597.700.00%
Cumulative Contribution-0.40%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AMBP-0.3% 
Market (SPY)12.6%9.6%
Sector (XLB)5.4%34.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 51.3% change in AMBP stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 37.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)2.684.0551.27%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4845.005346.0010.34%
P/S Multiple0.330.4537.10%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)597.70597.700.00%
Cumulative Contribution51.27%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AMBP51.5% 
Market (SPY)17.0%24.8%
Sector (XLB)10.2%36.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.1% change in AMBP stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 1626.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)3.524.0515.06%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4700.005346.0013.74%
Net Income Margin (%)5.13%0.30%-94.16%
P/E Multiple8.77151.481626.95%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)599.80597.700.35%
Cumulative Contribution15.05%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AMBP33.1% 
Market (SPY)48.4%23.0%
Sector (XLB)11.4%37.0%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMBP Return4%-13%-41%-14%-12%52%-39%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMBP Win Rate75%33%42%42%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMBP Max Drawdown-2%-17%-54%-42%-16%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMBPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven372.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven30 days148 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Ardagh Metal Packaging's stock fell -78.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/13/2021. A -78.8% loss requires a 372.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP)

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Its products are used in various end-use categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters, and wine. The company serves beverage producers. The company is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A.

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  • Essentially **Ball Corporation** for aluminum beverage cans.
  • The **Intel** of beverage cans, supplying essential components (aluminum cans) to major drink brands.
  • Like **International Paper**, but manufacturing aluminum cans for the global beverage industry.

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  • Beverage Cans: Ardagh Metal Packaging produces a wide range of sustainable and infinitely recyclable aluminum beverage cans for various drinks, including soft drinks, beers, energy drinks, and juices.

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Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) Major Customers

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) primarily operates as a **business-to-business (B2B)** company, selling its products (sustainable metal beverage cans) to other companies. Its customers are leading global, national, and regional beverage producers and brand owners around the world. While Ardagh Metal Packaging does not publicly disclose the specific names of its major customers in its financial filings, it has stated that its top five customers accounted for approximately 35% of its revenue in the year ended December 31, 2022. Due to competitive reasons, these specific names are typically not released. However, based on AMBP's market position as a leading global supplier of metal beverage cans, its major customers are likely to include prominent global beverage giants that utilize metal packaging for a significant portion of their product lines. Examples of such companies, which are highly probable customers for AMBP, include: * **The Coca-Cola Company** (Symbol: KO) * **PepsiCo, Inc.** (Symbol: PEP) * **Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV** (Symbol: BUD) * **Heineken N.V.** (Symbol: HEIA.AS on Euronext Amsterdam / HINKF as ADR) * **Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.** (Symbol: KDP) * **Monster Beverage Corporation** (Symbol: MNST)

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  • Novelis Inc. (Parent company: Hindalco Industries Limited, HINDALCO)
  • Constellium SE (CENX)
  • thyssenkrupp Rasselstein GmbH (Parent company: thyssenkrupp AG, TKA)

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Here is the management team of Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP):

Oliver Graham, Chief Executive Officer

Oliver Graham has served as CEO of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. since 2020. Before this, he was CEO of Metal Packaging Europe and Ardagh Group S.A. Commercial Director. Mr. Graham joined Ardagh in 2016 following the acquisition of the metal beverage packaging business from Rexam PLC, where he had been group commercial director. He joined Rexam PLC in 2013 from The Boston Consulting Group, where he was a partner. The acquisition of Rexam PLC's metal beverage packaging business by Ardagh in 2016, a divestiture from the Ball Corporation and Rexam PLC merger, saw him transition to Ardagh.

Stefan Schellinger, Chief Financial Officer

Stefan Schellinger was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. effective September 1, 2024. Prior to joining AMBP, he served as Executive Vice President, Global CFO, and a member of the board of directors of ContourGlobal plc from 2019 to 2023. From 2015 to 2018, he was Group Finance Director and Executive Director of Essentra plc, having initially joined in 2013 as Corporate Development Director. Between 2005 and 2013, Mr. Schellinger spent eight years with Danaher Corporation, holding roles as Corporate Development Director and Finance Director–Emerging Markets. He also worked as a Vice President in investment banking at J.P. Morgan in London and began his career in accountancy at Arthur Andersen in Germany.

Paul Coulson, Director

Paul Coulson is a Director of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. He was instrumental in the transformation of Ardagh Group from a small, single-plant operation into a leading global packaging company, serving as its Chairman from 1998 to 2023. Before his tenure at Ardagh, he established his own accounting firm and then founded Yeoman International in 1980, building it into a significant leasing and structured finance business. He was also involved in the creation and development of other businesses, including Fanad Fisheries and Sterile Technologies, which was sold to Stericycle, Inc. in 2006.

Willie Frick, CPO Ardagh Metal Packaging

Willie Frick serves as the CPO (Chief Procurement Officer) for Ardagh Metal Packaging.

Stephen Lyons, Head of Investor Relations - Ardagh Metal Packaging

Stephen Lyons is the Head of Investor Relations for Ardagh Metal Packaging.

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The key risks to Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) primarily revolve around its financial structure, profitability challenges, and market perception.

  1. High Leverage and Refinancing Challenges: Ardagh Metal Packaging carries a significant debt load, with net leverage reported at 5.3x adjusted EBITDA and projected to remain around 5x by year-end. This high level of debt exposes the company to risks associated with rising interest rates and potential refinancing challenges. The market has expressed skepticism regarding the sustainability of AMBP's dividend due to its elevated leverage and a high payout ratio, even though the company's stable operating model, with over 80% of earnings from long-term contracts, and free cash flow generation are noted to support the dividend. Furthermore, the company has negative shareholder equity, which analysts consider a more severe financial indicator than simply a high debt level.
  2. Profitability and Margin Pressures: AMBP has faced challenges with profitability, experiencing deepening annual losses. While there are forecasts for the company to achieve profitability by 2027 through operational efficiencies, capacity expansion, and strong demand for sustainable packaging, high leverage could limit this upside if raw material price shocks occur. The inability to fully pass through higher input costs or sudden fluctuations in aluminum prices could erode margins and exacerbate cash burn. Additionally, geopolitical tensions pose supply chain disruption risks for metal, and the company has experienced lagging cost recoveries in Europe amidst inflation, alongside pressures from a stronger US dollar.
  3. Market Skepticism and Valuation: Ardagh Metal Packaging trades at distressed valuations partly due to market skepticism regarding its high yield and the perceived fragility of its dividend. The market's concern about a potential dividend interruption and its discounting of future cash flows contribute to the subdued share price relative to peers. This market perception presents a challenge, despite the company's stable fundamentals such as long-term contracts and free cash flow generation.

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Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) primarily manufactures and supplies infinitely recyclable metal beverage cans and ends to brand owners across various categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters, and wine.

The addressable markets for their main products are as follows:

  • Global Beverage Cans Market: The global beverage cans market was valued at USD 39.20 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 59.61 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.5% from 2024 to 2030.
  • Global Food and Beverage Metal Cans Market: This market is expected to grow from USD 53.86 billion in 2024 to USD 108.96 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 7.3%.
  • North America Metal Cans Market: The North American metal cans market size reached USD 13.56 billion in 2025 and is projected to climb to USD 17.12 billion by 2030, reflecting a 4.78% CAGR. Specifically, the North America beverage metal cans market is estimated to grow from US$ 12,003.05 million in 2022 to US$ 15,872.65 million by 2028, at a CAGR of 4.8%.
  • Europe Food and Beverage Metal Cans Market: This market was valued at USD 18.47 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 22.2 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 3.10%. Another estimate indicates the European food and beverage metal cans market was valued at USD 9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 13.53 billion by the end of 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6%.
  • Latin America Food and Beverage Metal Cans Market: The Latin America Food and Beverage Metal Cans Market size was approximately USD 4.72 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to be worth USD 6.30 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 3.28% during the forecast period from 2025. The broader South America metal packaging market is forecast to reach US$12.8 billion by 2026.

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Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key factors:

  1. Increased Demand for Sustainable Packaging: There is a growing consumer preference and regulatory push favoring metal packaging, particularly beverage cans, over plastics due to their recyclability and environmental benefits. Ardagh Metal Packaging anticipates that beverage cans will continue to outperform other packaging types, leading to sustained volume and revenue growth, especially across its key markets in North America and Europe.

  2. Capacity Expansion and Improved Utilization: AMBP has been strategically investing in expanding its production capacity, with new facilities in Germany and the U.S. now fully operational. This increased capacity is designed to meet rising market demand and is expected to result in higher shipment volumes and overall revenue growth through enhanced operational efficiency and plant utilization.

  3. Growth in Key Beverage Categories and Product Innovation: The company is benefiting from positive consumption trends in specific beverage segments, including energy drinks, sparkling waters, carbonated soft drinks, and cocktails. Additionally, product innovation, such as new can formats and premium offerings, is fueling increased demand from both existing and new customers, supporting higher average selling prices and expanded market penetration.

  4. Input Cost Recovery and Operational Efficiencies: Ardagh Metal Packaging's ability to recover higher input costs from customers contributes to revenue stability and growth. Furthermore, ongoing efforts in operational excellence, process optimization, and logistics streamlining are leading to lower production costs and improved margins, which indirectly supports revenue growth by allowing for competitive pricing and sustainable profitability.

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Share Issuance

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) became publicly listed on the New York Stock Exchange in August 2021 through a combination with Gores Holdings V, Inc..
  • Upon listing, its parent company, Ardagh Group, initially retained an 81.85% stake.
  • An exchange offer in October 2021 reduced Ardagh Group's ownership to approximately 75%, increasing AMBP's public float to about 25%.

Inbound Investments

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging was created through a combination with Gores Holdings V, Inc., and began trading on the NYSE in August 2021.

Capital Expenditures

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging's capital expenditures averaged $412.4 million annually for the fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024.
  • Capital expenditures peaked at $679 million in December 2021 and subsequently decreased to $167 million in December 2024.
  • In February 2021, a multi-year business growth investment program was increased to $1.8 billion for the period from 2021 to 2024, targeting growth projects across various regions, including the conversion of a brownfield site in Huron, Ohio, into a new beverage can and ends plant.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to AMBP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.4%-1.4%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
51.0%51.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.6%30.6%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ardagh Metal Packaging

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMBPHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameArdagh M.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price4.0523.3024.36305.0978.02273.0051.19
Mkt Cap2.421.932.5284.9308.64,068.5158.7
Rev LTM5,34655,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM2583,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM-2,80062711,85412,73396,18411,854
FCF 3Y Avg-2,9781,40011,75313,879100,50311,753
CFO LTM-3,6972,91913,48313,744108,56513,483
CFO 3Y Avg-3,6723,89613,49814,736111,55913,498

Growth & Margins

AMBPHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameArdagh M.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM10.3%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q8.8%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM4.8%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.4%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%18.6%

Valuation

AMBPHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameArdagh M.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap2.421.932.5284.9308.64,068.5158.7
P/S0.50.40.94.45.310.02.7
P/EBIT10.66.819.825.122.431.221.1
P/E151.58.7569.736.029.941.038.5
P/CFO-5.911.121.122.537.521.1
Total Yield8.6%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield7.9%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.0%
D/E1.70.50.70.20.10.00.4
Net D/E1.60.30.60.20.00.00.3

Returns

AMBPHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameArdagh M.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn8.1%-3.5%12.1%-1.1%1.4%-2.1%0.1%
3M Rtn5.9%-11.7%2.1%7.9%16.8%7.0%6.4%
6M Rtn-0.4%-3.9%33.8%6.6%15.0%36.1%10.8%
12M Rtn51.3%-26.9%15.5%40.5%34.3%7.3%24.9%
3Y Rtn15.1%-3.6%66.4%141.3%79.3%113.8%72.9%
1M Excs Rtn5.7%-5.5%12.3%-2.2%-0.2%-3.9%-1.2%
3M Excs Rtn1.6%-16.0%-2.2%3.6%12.5%2.7%2.1%
6M Excs Rtn-12.6%-16.1%21.6%-5.7%2.8%23.8%-1.4%
12M Excs Rtn33.3%-42.8%-1.3%25.0%19.7%-8.5%9.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.3%-83.5%-11.7%59.6%-1.4%28.2%-6.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment4,8124,6894,0553,451
Total4,8124,6894,0553,451


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$4.06 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.4 
First Trading Date09/29/2020 
Distance from 52W High-9.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.77$3.60
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA7.8%12.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility35.1%49.9%
Downside Capture16.0937.23
Upside Capture40.8272.35
Correlation (SPY)7.4%24.9%
AMBP Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.150.190.340.500.630.74
Up Beta-1.440.030.091.220.750.83
Down Beta-0.190.100.330.760.610.54
Up Capture67%9%44%11%43%40%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days10173061118356
Down Capture-12%39%36%16%55%94%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days6192653110351

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of AMBP With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 AMBPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return49.5%9.9%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility49.5%19.9%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.960.360.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 36.9%24.5%1.8%14.7%27.2%10.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of AMBP With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 AMBPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-9.9%7.2%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility41.5%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio-0.130.290.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 40.2%34.1%5.2%7.1%33.4%13.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of AMBP With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 AMBPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-9.0%10.1%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility40.7%20.7%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio-0.110.440.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 39.1%33.5%5.0%7.1%32.7%13.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,260,134
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020256.6%
Average Daily Volume997,399
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.27
Basic Shares Quantity597,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025102320256-K 9/30/2025
630202572420256-K 6/30/2025
331202542420256-K 3/31/2025
12312024304202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024102420246-K 9/30/2024
630202472520246-K 6/30/2024
331202442520246-K 3/31/2024
12312023229202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023102620236-K 9/30/2023
630202372720236-K 6/30/2023
331202342720236-K 3/31/2023
12312022303202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022102720226-K 9/30/2022
630202272820226-K 6/30/2022
331202242820226-K 3/31/2022
12312021304202220-F 12/31/2021