Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 170%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 170%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NGD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of New Gold (NGD) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Coeur Mining Acquisition Announcement

On November 3, 2025, Coeur Mining Inc. announced a definitive agreement to acquire New Gold in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately US$7 billion. This deal offered New Gold shareholders a 16% premium over the company's closing price on October 31, 2025, and is expected to create a new, prominent North American precious metals producer. 2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

New Gold reported robust third quarter 2025 operational and financial results on October 28, 2025, which included record production and free cash flow, largely driven by its Rainy River mine. The company surpassed analyst expectations for earnings per share and revenue, indicating strong underlying performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NGD Return149%-32%-35%49%70%224%812%
Peers Return41%-14%-6%-1%9%128%178%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NGD Win Rate75%42%50%58%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%48%52%47%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NGD Max Drawdown-48%-53%-59%-14%-25%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-28%-32%-22%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNGDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven279.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven673 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven126.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven67 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-85.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven579.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2197 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1164.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven729 days1480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

New Gold's stock fell -73.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2021. A -73.7% loss requires a 279.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About New Gold (NGD)

Better Bets than New Gold (NGD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NGD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for New Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NGDBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameNew Gold Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price7.8740.50202.459.5589.65169.1865.08
Mkt Cap6.269.539.02.998.385.054.3
Rev LTM1,24213,8241,5461,35221,50310,5686,057
Op Inc LTM4525,3511,0694269,3595,2233,146
FCF LTM80--8562266,1223,645226
FCF 3Y Avg51--161242,6362,041124
CFO LTM681-1,3104559,2245,8371,310
CFO 3Y Avg428-1,0563395,6163,8831,056

Growth & Margins

NGDBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameNew Gold Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM44.2%16.9%41.1%68.1%26.6%35.2%38.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.2%5.9%7.7%26.7%23.9%26.0%24.5%
Rev Chg Q83.5%16.4%76.9%38.3%20.0%41.9%40.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM20.4%3.9%15.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%7.4%
Op Mgn LTM36.4%38.7%69.1%31.5%43.5%49.4%41.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.5%29.4%64.1%22.0%23.9%36.0%26.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.8%3.2%0.8%2.9%4.5%3.6%3.4%
CFO/Rev LTM54.8%-84.7%33.7%42.9%55.2%54.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.0%-81.3%35.4%32.6%45.6%43.0%
FCF/Rev LTM6.5%--55.4%16.7%28.5%34.5%16.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%-4.6%11.7%13.8%22.7%11.7%

Valuation

NGDBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameNew Gold Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap6.269.539.02.998.385.054.3
P/S4.62.627.82.04.38.04.4
P/EBIT16.76.336.75.98.916.212.5
P/E22.812.946.711.912.924.617.9
P/CFO8.4-32.86.010.014.510.0
Total Yield4.4%9.2%2.4%8.4%9.0%4.9%6.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.2%0.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.6%-0.4%6.2%3.6%3.9%3.6%
D/E0.10.00.00.10.10.00.0
Net D/E0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

NGDBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameNew Gold Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn8.1%23.0%7.8%16.2%10.2%4.3%9.1%
3M Rtn27.8%50.0%6.8%22.8%19.6%14.0%21.2%
6M Rtn67.8%103.1%14.8%41.7%63.2%37.6%52.4%
12M Rtn170.4%134.8%66.7%92.2%119.3%99.3%109.3%
3Y Rtn539.8%155.4%43.6%144.9%102.1%250.1%150.1%
1M Excs Rtn8.1%23.1%7.8%16.2%10.2%4.4%9.2%
3M Excs Rtn22.8%44.0%1.2%20.0%14.7%8.9%17.4%
6M Excs Rtn53.1%88.4%0.1%27.0%48.5%22.8%37.7%
12M Excs Rtn172.6%122.9%53.2%86.2%103.8%89.4%96.6%
3Y Excs Rtn598.8%109.7%-22.8%103.2%49.2%204.6%106.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rainy River505   359
New Afton281   272
Other0    
Total786   631


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rainy River54   5
New Afton39   8
Other-31    
Corporate    -22
Total62   -8


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
New Afton1,101980902750648
Rainy River1,0151,0671,0771,0901,078
Other170196498410432
Total2,2862,2442,4772,2502,158


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,526,229
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.0%
Average Daily Volume35,735,864
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity791,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025102820256-K 9/30/2025
630202572820256-K 6/30/2025
331202543020256-K 3/31/2025
12312024224202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024102920246-K 9/30/2024
630202473020246-K 6/30/2024
331202443020246-K 3/31/2024
12312023221202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023102520236-K 9/30/2023
630202372720236-K 6/30/2023
331202342620236-K 3/31/2023
12312022224202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110320226-K 9/30/2022
630202280420226-K 6/30/2022
331202250320226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202240-F 12/31/2021