Tearsheet

Montauk Renewables (MNTK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.88 | Market Cap: $269.1 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Montauk Renewables (MNTK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.88
Market Cap: $269.1 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -152%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -31%
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%
4   Key risks
MNTK key risks include [1] heavy revenue dependence on volatile and policy-driven RIN markets, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -152%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.8%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -31%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%
7 Key risks
MNTK key risks include [1] heavy revenue dependence on volatile and policy-driven RIN markets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MNTK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Montauk Renewables (MNTK) experienced an -11.6% stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Significant Decrease in Q3 2025 Net Income and Operating Income. Montauk Renewables reported a substantial decline in its third-quarter 2025 financial results. Net income decreased by 69.5% to $5.2 million from $17.0 million in Q3 2024, and operating income fell by 80.4% to $4.4 million compared to $22.7 million in the prior year's third quarter.

2. Lower RIN Pricing and Reduced Revenues. Total revenues in Q3 2025 were $45.3 million, a 31.3% decrease from $65.9 million in Q3 2024. This decline was primarily attributed to a 31.4% decrease in the average realized Renewable Identification Number (RIN) price, which fell to $2.29 in Q3 2025 from $3.34 in Q3 2024. The company also experienced a 21.9% decrease in total RINs available for sale due to EPA Biogas Regulatory Reform Rule (BRRR) rules affecting RIN generation timing.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MNTK Return8%-19%-55%-53%
Peers Return-20%-13%-12%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MNTK Win Rate45%50%50%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate47%50%43%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MNTK Max Drawdown-9%-45%-62%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-49%-55% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OPAL, CLNE, AMRC, GEVO, AMTX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMNTKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven235.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FUL, GEVO, FSI, LOOP, SHW


In The Past

Montauk Renewables's stock fell -70.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/14/2022. A -70.2% loss requires a 235.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Montauk Renewables (MNTK)

Better Bets than Montauk Renewables (MNTK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MNTK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
MNTK_3312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312023MNTKMontauk RenewablesDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.8%-47.1%-52.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
MNTK_3312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312023MNTKMontauk RenewablesDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.8%-47.1%-52.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Montauk Renewables

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MNTKOPALCLNEAMRCGEVOAMTXMedian
NameMontauk .OPAL Fue.Clean En.Ameresco Gevo Aemetis  
Mkt Price1.902.102.2529.132.091.362.09
Mkt Cap0.30.10.51.50.50.10.4
Rev LTM1613294221,884121201265
Op Inc LTM-4-1-90102-28-48-16
FCF LTM-53-7430-399-86-31-64
FCF 3Y Avg-25-72-17-490-98-34-53
CFO LTM314194-19-52-158
CFO 3Y Avg454472-18-52-917

Growth & Margins

MNTKOPALCLNEAMRCGEVOAMTXMedian
NameMontauk .OPAL Fue.Clean En.Ameresco Gevo Aemetis  
Rev Chg LTM-17.5%7.3%2.0%12.2%675.8%-30.9%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.5%13.3%2.1%3.7%849.1%0.2%2.9%
Rev Chg Q-31.3%-0.8%1.2%5.0%2,073.5%-27.3%0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-11.4%-0.2%0.3%1.4%50.8%-10.0%0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-2.8%-0.2%-21.3%5.4%-23.3%-23.9%-12.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.3%1.0%-15.8%5.7%-421.7%-18.9%-7.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-10.7%-1.7%-1.2%0.2%37.3%-4.5%-1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM19.1%12.5%22.4%-1.0%-43.2%-7.5%5.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.1%14.9%17.1%-1.7%-247.9%-5.8%6.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-33.2%-22.5%7.1%-21.2%-70.9%-15.6%-21.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.8%-26.6%-3.9%-32.8%-506.3%-17.0%-21.8%

Valuation

MNTKOPALCLNEAMRCGEVOAMTXMedian
NameMontauk .OPAL Fue.Clean En.Ameresco Gevo Aemetis  
Mkt Cap0.30.10.51.50.50.10.4
P/S1.80.21.30.94.00.71.1
P/EBIT-39.7--3.213.5-16.1-2.3-3.2
P/E-31.35.6-2.728.1-10.8-1.6-2.2
P/CFO9.41.56.0-92.7-9.3-9.5-3.9
Total Yield-3.2%17.9%-37.0%3.6%-9.3%-61.3%-6.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.8%--1.5%-25.3%-27.3%-23.2%-23.2%
D/E0.3-0.71.10.32.50.7
Net D/E0.2-0.31.00.22.40.3

Returns

MNTKOPALCLNEAMRCGEVOAMTXMedian
NameMontauk .OPAL Fue.Clean En.Ameresco Gevo Aemetis  
1M Rtn7.3%-0.7%4.2%-6.3%9.4%-24.4%1.7%
3M Rtn-7.3%0.5%-14.4%0.3%2.0%-37.6%-3.5%
6M Rtn-8.7%-36.0%14.2%80.9%51.4%-36.4%2.8%
12M Rtn-51.9%-36.9%-17.0%21.8%33.1%-54.4%-27.0%
3Y Rtn-83.2%-70.5%-61.4%-51.7%4.0%-67.2%-64.3%
1M Excs Rtn6.6%-1.4%3.4%-7.0%8.7%-25.2%1.0%
3M Excs Rtn-18.7%-4.1%-17.7%-8.2%-1.3%-45.2%-12.9%
6M Excs Rtn-21.0%-48.4%1.8%68.5%39.1%-48.8%-9.6%
12M Excs Rtn-63.8%-50.2%-29.9%5.4%24.6%-65.9%-40.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-152.4%-133.5%-129.1%-119.6%-59.6%-137.2%-131.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)1561961328384
Renewable Electricity Generation (REG)1817151720
Corporate0-8102
Total175206148100106


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)59    
Renewable Electricity Generation (REG)-1    
Corporate-35    
Total24    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)177152150160136
Corporate100127784124
Renewable Electricity Generation (REG)7353585383
Total350332286253244


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,128,551
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.0%
Average Daily Volume223,009
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.06
Basic Shares Quantity143,126,354
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-15.9%5.6%-12.3%
8/6/2025-6.2%-1.4%-0.5%
3/13/2025-12.6%-27.0%-25.6%
11/12/2024-20.8%-22.2%-21.2%
8/8/2024-20.0%-16.4%-21.9%
3/14/2024-15.7%-17.3%-19.4%
11/9/2023-36.8%-10.8%-17.3%
8/9/202311.0%11.1%10.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive443
# Negative111112
Median Positive7.0%8.2%28.5%
Median Negative-14.3%-16.4%-18.4%
Max Positive11.0%11.1%30.3%
Max Negative-36.8%-27.0%-28.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021