OPAL Fuels (OPAL)


Market Price (9/27/2026): $1.86 | Market Cap: $55.1 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering

OPAL Fuels (OPAL)


Market Price (9/27/2026): $1.86
Market Cap: $55.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction & Engineering

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 34%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 30%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Waste-to-Energy Solutions, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -150%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.17

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 621%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%

Key risks
OPAL key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on volatile environmental credit revenue, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 34%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 30%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Waste-to-Energy Solutions, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -150%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.17
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 621%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%
7 Key risks
OPAL key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on volatile environmental credit revenue, Show more.

OPAL in ETFs

Weight = OPAL's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.00%
IWO0.00%
VTWO0.00%
DFAS0.00%
DFAC0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/1/2026

OPAL Fuels (OPAL) stock has lost about 20% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. OPAL Fuels reported a significant net loss for fiscal Q2 2026. The company announced a net loss of $(4.1) million for the three months ended June 30, 2026, a stark contrast to the net income of $7.6 million reported in the comparable prior-year period. This resulted in a basic and diluted net loss per share of $(0.05) for fiscal Q2 2026, compared to an income of $0.03 in fiscal Q2 2025, which likely disappointed investors despite a 40% increase in Adjusted EBITDA.

2. Persistent concerns regarding Renewable Identification Number (RIN) prices and Q1 performance issues contributed to negative sentiment. While management stated a "flat RIN price environment" in fiscal Q2 2026 compared to the previous year, the company's fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) had already seen a substantial net loss of $5.6 million and a loss per share of $0.09 due to lower environmental attribute revenue and significant RIN price compression. This earlier performance, characterized by a sharp reversal from profitability, likely carried negative sentiment into the subsequent period, indicating ongoing challenges in key revenue drivers for renewable natural gas producers.

Show more
Updated on 9/1/2026

OPAL Fuels (OPAL) stock has lost about 20% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. OPAL Fuels reported a significant net loss for fiscal Q2 2026. The company announced a net loss of $(4.1) million for the three months ended June 30, 2026, a stark contrast to the net income of $7.6 million reported in the comparable prior-year period. This resulted in a basic and diluted net loss per share of $(0.05) for fiscal Q2 2026, compared to an income of $0.03 in fiscal Q2 2025, which likely disappointed investors despite a 40% increase in Adjusted EBITDA.

2. Persistent concerns regarding Renewable Identification Number (RIN) prices and Q1 performance issues contributed to negative sentiment. While management stated a "flat RIN price environment" in fiscal Q2 2026 compared to the previous year, the company's fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) had already seen a substantial net loss of $5.6 million and a loss per share of $0.09 due to lower environmental attribute revenue and significant RIN price compression. This earlier performance, characterized by a sharp reversal from profitability, likely carried negative sentiment into the subsequent period, indicating ongoing challenges in key revenue drivers for renewable natural gas producers.

3. An impairment charge impacted financial results in fiscal Q2 2026. OPAL Fuels recognized a $4.1 million impairment loss during the three months ended June 30, 2026. This loss was primarily related to assets no longer expected to be utilized following the repurposing of a renewable power facility for renewable natural gas operations, directly affecting the company's net income for the quarter.

4. Analyst ratings reflected a bearish outlook for the stock. As of August 28, 2026, Wall Street analysts maintained a consensus "Sell" rating for OPAL Fuels, with two out of three analysts issuing a "Sell" and one a "Hold" rating. This predominantly negative analyst sentiment likely contributed to investor apprehension and a downward pressure on the stock price.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.1% change in OPAL stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269262026Change
Stock Price ($)2.261.85-18.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3373400.9%
Net Income Margin (%)5.7%5.5%-3.8%
P/E Multiple3.32.9-11.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2830-4.5%
Cumulative Contribution-18.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OPAL-18.1% 
Market (SPY)2.2%37.9%
Sector (XLI)-1.3%18.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.5% change in OPAL stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269262026Change
Stock Price ($)2.091.85-11.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3293403.2%
Net Income Margin (%)3.4%5.5%62.4%
P/E Multiple5.32.9-44.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2830-4.6%
Cumulative Contribution-11.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OPAL-11.5% 
Market (SPY)13.0%35.1%
Sector (XLI)-3.3%23.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -21.3% change in OPAL stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120259262026Change
Stock Price ($)2.351.85-21.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3303403.0%
Net Income Margin (%)3.7%5.5%50.5%
P/E Multiple5.52.9-46.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2830-4.6%
Cumulative Contribution-21.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OPAL-21.3% 
Market (SPY)20.9%31.2%
Sector (XLI)13.6%24.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -73.5% change in OPAL stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -95.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239262026Change
Stock Price ($)6.971.85-73.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)21134061.4%
Net Income Margin (%)1.3%5.5%338.0%
P/E Multiple66.32.9-95.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2530-15.1%
Cumulative Contribution-73.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OPAL-73.5% 
Market (SPY)77.8%24.4%
Sector (XLI)64.4%22.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
OPAL Return--7%-24%-39%-31%-22%-76%
Peers Return16%1%1%2%-11%13%22%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OPAL Win Rate-67%58%50%17%33% 
Peers Win Rate62%50%48%60%53%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OPAL Max Drawdown---38%-46%-62%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-30%-26%-27%-38%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CLNE, MNTK, WM, RSG, KMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/25/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventOPALS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-57.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven137.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven43 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-13.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven60 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-22.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven39 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-22.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven5 days427 days

Compare to CLNE, MNTK, WM, RSG, KMI

In The Past

OPAL Fuels's stock fell -57.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 137.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventOPALS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-57.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven137.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven43 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-22.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven39 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-22.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven5 days427 days

Compare to CLNE, MNTK, WM, RSG, KMI

In The Past

OPAL Fuels's stock fell -57.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 137.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About OPAL Fuels (OPAL)

OPAL Fuels Inc. is a vertically integrated company focused on providing sustainable energy solutions primarily for the heavy-duty transportation sector. The company's core business revolves around the production and distribution of Renewable Natural Gas (RNG), a clean alternative to traditional fossil fuels.

In addition to its RNG production, OPAL Fuels designs, develops, constructs, operates, and services fueling stations specifically for trucking fleets that utilize natural gas, helping them transition away from diesel. Expanding its commitment to clean transportation, the company also provides design, development, and construction services for hydrogen fueling stations, positioning itself to support future shifts in sustainable fuel technologies.

The primary customers for OPAL Fuels are trucking fleets within the heavy-duty truck market, seeking to displace diesel fuel with cleaner alternatives like RNG and potentially hydrogen. The company serves as a comprehensive partner for these fleets, offering both the clean fuel and the essential infrastructure required to operate their natural gas vehicles.

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  • ChargePoint for heavy-duty natural gas and hydrogen trucks.
  • Like a green fuel version of Chevron or Shell, dedicated to the heavy-duty truck market.

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  • Renewable Natural Gas (RNG): Production and distribution of renewable natural gas primarily for the heavy-duty truck market.
  • Natural Gas Fueling Station Services: Design, development, construction, operation, and servicing of fueling stations for trucking fleets that use natural gas.
  • Hydrogen Fueling Station Services: Design, development, and construction services for hydrogen fueling stations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

OPAL Fuels Inc. primarily sells its renewable natural gas (RNG) and fueling station development services to other companies (B2B) that operate heavy-duty truck fleets. Its customer base consists of large commercial and municipal entities looking to decarbonize their transportation operations.

Based on publicly available information and the company's focus on large fleet operators, its major customers include:

  • Republic Services, Inc. (Symbol: RSG) - A leading provider of environmental services in the U.S., including solid waste collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal services. Republic Services operates large fleets of heavy-duty vehicles and is a significant partner for OPAL Fuels regarding RNG supply and fueling infrastructure development.
  • Waste Management, Inc. (Symbol: WM) - The largest environmental services company in North America, providing comprehensive waste management services. Waste Management also operates extensive fleets and is a key customer for OPAL's RNG and fueling solutions.

In addition to these major players, OPAL Fuels serves other large-scale logistics and transportation companies, various private and public fleets (e.g., municipal sanitation, package delivery, regional hauling), and other commercial entities that are transitioning to renewable natural gas or hydrogen for their heavy-duty vehicle operations.

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Adam Comora, Co-Chief Executive Officer

Adam Comora has co-led OPAL Fuels since its formation in December 2020. From February 2011 until January 2022, he was with Fortistar, a privately-owned investment firm focused on sustainability challenges, where he notably served as President and Chief Executive Officer of TruStar Energy (now OPAL Fuels' fuel station services segment). Prior to Fortistar, Mr. Comora was a partner at EnTrust Capital, an asset management firm, and an Analyst and Associate at JP Morgan Investment Bank.

Jonathan Maurer, Co-Chief Executive Officer

Jonathan Maurer has co-led OPAL Fuels since its inception in December 2020. He previously spent over thirty years at Fortistar, a privately-owned investment firm that provides capital to build, grow, and manage companies addressing sustainability. At Fortistar, he was Managing Director and Co-Head of its Investment Team, overseeing management and investment activities for renewable natural gas, landfill gas to power, and biomass energy investments, and served on Fortistar's management and investment committees. Before Fortistar, Mr. Maurer was a commercial banker with JP Morgan Chase & Co.

Kazi Hasan, Chief Financial Officer

Kazi Hasan joined OPAL Fuels as Chief Financial Officer in February 2025, bringing over 25 years of extensive financial, operational, and strategic leadership experience in the energy sector. His prior roles include Senior Advisor at Fluence Energy and EVP and Chief Financial Officer at Puget Sound Energy and Cleco Energy Utilities. Mr. Hasan also spent more than two decades at publicly traded AES in various senior global and regional executive roles, including Global Chief Risk Officer. He has a proven track record in corporate development, financial operations, capital raising, growth planning, M&A, and investor relations, having raised over $30 billion in equity and debt. He has also served on the boards of various public and private companies.

David Unger, Executive Vice President

David Unger has been an Executive Vice President at OPAL Fuels since December 2020. He previously served as a Senior Vice President at Fortistar from February 2018 until January 2022. Prior to Fortistar, Mr. Unger worked for 23 years at Waste Management, Inc., where he was instrumental in developing their renewable natural gas (RNG) and compressed natural gas (CNG) monetization lines of business, and developed over 70 renewable energy facilities.

Darrell Birck, Executive Vice President of Biogas

Darrell Birck serves as the Executive Vice President of Biogas at OPAL Fuels. He strengthens the leadership team with his expertise in engineering, construction, and business optimization within the renewable energy industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to OPAL Fuels' business:

  1. Exposure to Regulatory and Policy Changes: OPAL Fuels' profitability is heavily dependent on government incentives and environmental credit programs, such as D3 Renewable Identification Numbers (RINs) and Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) credits, which constitute a significant portion of the company's revenue. Any adverse changes in regulations, reductions in incentive values, or shifts in governmental policy (e.g., under a new administration) could materially impact the market price of these credits, directly affecting OPAL Fuels' revenue and margins.

  2. Commodity Price Volatility: The company is susceptible to the volatility of commodity prices, including natural gas, diesel, and the aforementioned environmental credits. Fluctuations in these prices can impact the cost of operations, the competitiveness of renewable natural gas against conventional fuels, and the overall value of OPAL Fuels' products and environmental attributes, leading to potential instability in future earnings.

  3. Capital Intensity, Project Execution, and Operational Dependencies: OPAL Fuels' growth strategy relies on significant capital investments for developing and expanding its RNG production facilities and fueling station network. The company has experienced historical operating losses, maintains a substantial level of debt, and has expressed a need for liquidity, raising risks of potential capital dilution. Furthermore, delays in project development, increased construction costs, operational hazards inherent in handling flammable materials at RNG facilities, and the company's reliance on agreements with third-party feedstock providers (like landfill and dairy farm owners) and utility companies pose significant operational and financial risks. Disruptions in any of these areas could hinder growth plans, affect cash flows, and impact overall profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The clear emerging threat for OPAL Fuels is the rapid advancement and increasing adoption of **battery-electric heavy-duty trucks**. As major manufacturers such as Tesla, Daimler Truck, and Volvo Trucks continue to develop, produce, and deploy electric semi-trucks, the market for internal combustion engine heavy-duty trucks, including those powered by renewable natural gas (RNG), faces a direct challenge. If battery technology improves in terms of range, charging speed, and cost-effectiveness, and as charging infrastructure expands, battery-electric trucks could significantly reduce the long-term demand for RNG and natural gas fueling stations, directly undermining OPAL Fuels' core business.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

OPAL Fuels Inc. operates in several addressable markets related to renewable natural gas (RNG) and alternative fueling infrastructure, primarily for the heavy-duty truck market in North America.

Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Production and Distribution

The global renewable natural gas (RNG) market was estimated at approximately USD 15.17 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to about USD 30.13 billion by 2033, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.0% from 2025 to 2033. North America, a key region for OPAL Fuels, held the largest share of the global RNG market, approximately 45%, in 2024. Within this market, the transportation fuel segment, which includes heavy-duty trucking, constituted the largest application share, about 56%, in 2024. In the U.S., renewable natural gas (RNG) and compressed natural gas (CNG) currently serve only 2% of the heavy-duty trucking market, indicating a significant addressable growth opportunity. The North American RNG market capacity is projected to reach 604 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd) in 2025.

Natural Gas Fueling Stations

The global natural gas refueling stations market is projected to reach USD 4.1 billion by 2034, growing from USD 2.1 billion in 2024 at a CAGR of 6.8%. North America represents a significant market for natural gas fueling stations, with the U.S. expected to contribute substantially to the regional market's expansion due to continuous investments in infrastructure and technological advancements. As of 2023, the United States had over 700 public compressed natural gas (CNG) fueling stations and approximately 50 liquefied natural gas (LNG) fueling stations, mainly serving the long-haul trucking industry.

Hydrogen Fueling Stations

The global hydrogen fueling station market size was approximately USD 500.74 million in 2025 and is predicted to grow to about USD 2,271.60 million by 2035, with a CAGR of 16.32% from 2026 to 2035. The U.S. hydrogen fueling station market specifically generated USD 83.1 million in revenue in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 458.2 million by 2030, exhibiting a robust CAGR of 32.4% from 2025 to 2030. North America held a dominant share of the global market, accounting for 42.14% in 2025.

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OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. Increased Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Production: The company anticipates continued double-digit growth in RNG production, stemming from new facilities coming online and enhanced operational efficiencies at existing plants. For 2026, OPAL Fuels targets RNG production between 5.4 million and 5.8 million MMBtu.
  2. Expansion of Fuel Station Services and New Fleet Adoption: OPAL Fuels is actively expanding its network of owned fueling stations, which reached 61 by the end of 2025. The company expects improving macro conditions to stimulate deferred truck purchases by fleets, leading to increased adoption of Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) and RNG in heavy-duty trucking, particularly in 2027 and beyond, with 2026 as a pivotal year.
  3. Benefit from 45Z Tax Credits: The extension of the 45Z tax credit through 2029 provides crucial policy stability and financial support for RNG project economics. OPAL Fuels' 2026 guidance includes an estimated $15 million to $20 million from these credits, directly contributing to profitability and revenue.
  4. Operational Improvements and Higher Plant Utilization: Ongoing enhancements in gas collection, plant efficiencies, and operational teams are projected to drive incremental production growth from existing RNG assets. The company aims to increase plant utilization towards a target of 85% to 86%.
  5. Strategic Project Pipeline and Capital Investment: OPAL Fuels maintains a robust pipeline of new project opportunities, including biogas rights and renewable power conversion projects. The company's strengthened liquidity position, supported by new financing facilities, enables disciplined capital allocation for further expansion across its integrated RNG value chain.

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Capital Allocation Decisions for OPAL Fuels (OPAL)

Share Issuance

  • In March 2026, OPAL Fuels LLC issued an initial $120 million of Series A Preferred Units, at $100 per unit, to an affiliate of Fortistar. The investor committed up to an additional $60 million within one year.
  • The newly issued Series A Preferred Units carry a 12% annual dividend that compounds quarterly, and the Fortistar affiliate also received a warrant for up to 3,000,000 Class A common shares.
  • Approximately $100 million of the proceeds from the initial $120 million issuance was used to fully redeem existing Series A preferred units previously held by a NextEra Energy affiliate.

Inbound Investments

  • In March 2026, OPAL Fuels secured a new upsized $180 million Series A preferred stock facility with an affiliate of its majority shareholder, Fortistar.
  • An initial amount of $120 million was issued from this facility at closing in March 2026.

Capital Expenditures

  • OPAL Fuels invested $70.7 million in capital expenditures during fiscal year 2025, primarily for RNG projects under construction and OPAL-owned fueling stations.
  • For the year ended December 31, 2025, the company's portion of capital expenditures in unconsolidated entities (equity method investments) was $19.5 million.
  • As of December 31, 2024, the company anticipated spending approximately $194 million in capital expenditures for the subsequent 12 months, directed towards projects and fuel stations under construction and contributions to equity method investment projects.

Better Bets vs. OPAL Fuels (OPAL)

Peer Outperformance in Construction & Engineering

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Share of Construction & Engineering constituents that OPAL has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
20%
of 35 industry peers · -27.2% return
3Y
6%
of 32 industry peers · -76.8% return
5Y
—
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Construction & Engineering is OPAL's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering ← 31 4.3%110.6%183.4% FIX 2185% · STRL 2110% · CDNL 2055%
Marine Transportation 9 72.3%97.9%148.9% HOS 43005% · ASC 465% · MATX 188%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 5.4%46.5%121.9% CAT 348% · ALSN 240% · WAB 229%
Aerospace & Defense 55 -7.5%70.5%76.3% ATI 980% · FTAI 863% · HWM 615%
Rail Transportation 7 19.3%61.1%50.3% FSTR 137% · CSX 64% · RAIL 53%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 4.4%36.4%47.5% DXPE 535% · AIT 278% · WCC 217%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 72 11.1%53.8%43.7% CRS 1139% · PSIX 1112% · EROC 624%
Diversified Support Services 33 16.3%34.2%31.9% LIME 3297% · TH 422% · WLFC 352%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 33.0%-0.3%24.8% XPO 234% · R 212% · CVLG 133%
Electrical Components & Equipment 41 7.0%58.4%22.0% POWL 2282% · BE 1336% · VRT 954%
Building Products 34 -12.4%2.4%18.2% LMB 633% · GFF 387% · PPIH 315%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 9.4%5.0%-3.2% RCMT 504% · CSW 136% · DD 72%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -32.0%44.0%-5.1% UBER 47% · CAR -5% · LYFT -73%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 4.5%0.8%-8.1% BLBD 173% · DE 109% · GENC 55%
Environmental & Facilities Services 30 -15.4%19.5%-8.6% CECO 895% · ADUR 437% · GEO 335%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -16.9%-26.7%-14.0% HURN 201% · CRAI 76% · GRNQ 69%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -34.1%-15.1%-29.8% EXLS 40% · BR 7% · G -27%
Passenger Airlines 11 19.0%22.6%-33.2% LTM 2741% · UAL 132% · DAL 101%
Office Services & Supplies 9 15.7%19.6%-36.0% PBI 161% · TILE 138% · HNI 49%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -20.3%-22.2%-39.1% CHRW 85% · FDX 74% · EXPD 60%
Human Resource & Employment Services 21 4.2%-19.7%-39.1% BBSI 66% · ADP 46% · PAYX 9%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -22.8%22.3%-45.9% CIX 157% · MG 114% · NL 73%
Airport Services 3 -75.0%-78.5%-68.2% JOBY -37% · ASLE -68% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1OPAL Fuels Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OPALCLNEMNTKWMRSGKMIMedian
NameOPAL Fue.Clean En.Montauk .Waste Ma.Republic.Kinder M. 
Mkt Price1.851.602.93206.83212.1030.7516.84
Mkt Cap0.10.40.4664.365.268.432.8
Rev LTM34044218925,66716,89017,9598,666
Op Inc LTM7-3234,7523,3825,2171,695
FCF LTM-528-833,5732,6533,1581,331
FCF 3Y Avg-572-432,6172,3123,2981,157
CFO LTM3847436,5174,5426,5572,294
CFO 3Y Avg4174475,7684,1556,2042,114

Growth & Margins

OPALCLNEMNTKWMRSGKMIMedian
NameOPAL Fue.Clean En.Montauk .Waste Ma.Republic.Kinder M. 
Rev Chg LTM3.0%5.2%4.3%7.2%3.2%12.5%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.1%-1.1%2.1%8.7%5.4%2.0%3.7%
Rev Chg Q3.7%3.7%19.7%4.0%4.6%10.8%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%0.9%4.9%1.0%1.2%2.5%1.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM56.9%61.7%-78.8%11.0%1.2%18.0%14.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg66.3%0.5%-41.5%10.6%9.6%7.2%8.4%
Op Mgn LTM2.2%-7.3%1.6%18.5%20.0%29.0%10.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.5%-12.7%8.3%18.7%19.9%28.3%13.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%1.0%1.3%0.1%-0.0%0.4%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM11.3%10.5%23.0%25.4%26.9%36.5%24.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.8%17.6%25.2%24.5%25.5%37.9%24.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-15.2%1.9%-44.1%13.9%15.7%17.6%7.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-17.6%0.4%-22.9%11.0%14.2%20.3%5.7%

Valuation

OPALCLNEMNTKWMRSGKMIMedian
NameOPAL Fue.Clean En.Montauk .Waste Ma.Republic.Kinder M. 
Mkt Cap0.10.40.4664.365.268.432.8
P/S0.20.82.225.93.93.83.0
P/Op Inc7.4-10.9138.7139.819.313.116.2
P/EBIT7.0-7.746.4146.620.713.116.9
P/E2.9-3.752.9232.929.819.724.8
P/CFO1.47.69.7101.914.410.410.0
Total Yield34.1%-26.7%1.9%0.6%4.5%8.9%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.2%3.8%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-75.3%1.1%-15.6%1.8%3.4%5.9%1.4%
D/E7.90.90.40.00.20.50.4
Net D/E6.20.50.30.00.20.50.4

Returns

OPALCLNEMNTKWMRSGKMIMedian
NameOPAL Fue.Clean En.Montauk .Waste Ma.Republic.Kinder M. 
1M Rtn-13.1%0.0%62.8%-4.6%-3.3%-2.5%-2.9%
3M Rtn-12.7%-14.4%94.0%-7.9%-1.7%-6.5%-7.2%
6M Rtn-17.0%-38.2%142.1%-7.3%-1.2%-8.0%-7.6%
12M Rtn-27.2%-43.5%45.0%-3.8%-6.0%13.4%-4.9%
3Y Rtn-76.8%-57.2%-68.7%40.2%51.7%113.5%-8.5%
1M Excs Rtn-16.0%-2.1%63.7%-7.0%-5.4%-4.8%-5.1%
3M Excs Rtn-18.0%-19.7%88.7%-13.2%-7.0%-11.8%-12.5%
6M Excs Rtn-37.0%-51.5%114.9%-27.4%-21.4%-27.6%-27.5%
12M Excs Rtn-44.4%-57.2%27.0%-20.8%-22.3%-1.7%-21.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-150.0%-136.3%-144.3%-40.6%-28.8%35.0%-88.5%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Fuel Station Services23518614911850
Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Fuel102896614290
Renewable Power3345554747
Corporate000  
Elimination of intersegment revenues-21-19-14-13-8
Equity Method Investment(s)   -58-14
Other   00
Total349300256236166


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202320222021
Corporate74-22-23
Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Fuel222662
Fuel Station Services18187
Renewable Power125-7
Equity Method Investment(s) 6 
Other  2
Total1273341


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Fuel676636549377216
Fuel Station Services1971791539057
Corporate583515  
Renewable Power2931374344
Other  0  
Corporate and other   8218
Equity Method Investment(s)   5247
Total959881755645381


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.85 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date07/22/2022 
Distance from 52W High-33.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$2.13$2.23
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-13.3%-17.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility63.2%79.2%
Downside Capture270.91221.48
Upside Capture132.66144.07
Correlation (SPY)38.6%32.1%
OPAL Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.862.051.811.801.900.99
Up Beta1.951.710.961.962.180.84
Down Beta6.464.182.852.502.131.14
Up Capture-142%108%142%132%169%33%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days8172856113305
Down Capture181%223%189%155%151%107%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days13243466129398

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OPAL
OPAL-27.8%78.9%-0.08-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.0%17.2%0.5424.9%
Equity (SPY)17.7%13.0%0.9832.2%
Gold (GLD)14.7%29.3%0.4620.6%
Commodities (DBC)44.3%20.7%1.66-1.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%13.6%0.0721.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-25.9%44.8%-0.5420.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OPAL
OPAL-24.8%67.5%-0.25-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.9%17.6%0.5619.4%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.5922.3%
Gold (GLD)19.2%18.8%0.8311.0%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.6%0.436.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.9%18.9%-0.0618.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.2%52.6%0.4113.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OPAL
OPAL-13.3%67.5%-0.25-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.4%20.0%0.5919.4%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7322.3%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.6111.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%18.1%0.386.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.1918.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.8%66.2%1.0313.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120265.4%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity29.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/11/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/202611.6%-7.7%-17.6%
3/16/202627.6%-3.7%13.1%
11/7/20253.5%13.9%27.2%
8/7/2025-2.2%3.1%-6.2%
3/14/202511.1%0.5%-31.2%
11/7/20240.0%-3.6%-6.0%
8/8/2024-3.3%-1.1%-11.1%
5/9/20241.4%-2.7%-9.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive854
# Negative71011
Median Positive2.8%1.9%8.4%
Median Negative-3.3%-3.7%-9.2%
Max Positive27.6%13.9%27.2%
Max Negative-6.2%-13.1%-31.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/202611.6%-7.7%-17.6%
3/16/202627.6%-3.7%13.1%
11/7/20253.5%13.9%27.2%
8/7/2025-2.2%3.1%-6.2%
3/14/202511.1%0.5%-31.2%
11/7/20240.0%-3.6%-6.0%
8/8/2024-3.3%-1.1%-11.1%
5/9/20241.4%-2.7%-9.2%
3/13/2024-1.4%1.0%-2.9%
11/13/20232.1%1.9%1.6%
8/9/2023-3.8%-3.0%-8.3%
5/11/2023-1.2%-12.0%-5.7%
3/7/20230.4%-0.7%3.8%
11/14/2022-6.2%-12.7%-12.6%
8/10/2022-5.6%-13.1%-13.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive854
# Negative71011
Median Positive2.8%1.9%8.4%
Median Negative-3.3%-3.7%-9.2%
Max Positive27.6%13.9%27.2%
Max Negative-6.2%-13.1%-31.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202503/16/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/17/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202303/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202203/29/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202503/16/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/17/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202303/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202203/29/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
03/31/202206/27/2022424B3

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/11/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Inlet Design Capacity UtilizationReported0.750.80.85   
2026 Utilization of Inlet GasReported0.80.850.9   


Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/16/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RNG ProductionReported5.40 Mil5.60 Mil5.80 Mil   
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported95.00 Mil102.50 Mil110.00 Mil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/7/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Inlet Design Capacity UtilizationReported0.750.80.85 0.0%Same NewGuidance: 0.8 for 2025
2026 Utilization of Inlet GasReported0.80.850.9 0.0%Same NewGuidance: 0.85 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 9/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Comora, AdamCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy90820262.0820,00041,6001,060,022Form
2Comora, AdamCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy90220261.9350,00096,500944,978Form
3Nisar, Nadeem DirectBuy90220261.9110,00019,100511,469Form
4Nisar, Nadeem DirectBuy90220261.9810,00019,800510,414Form
5Sutton, Scott McDougald DirectBuy61520261.9550,00097,50097,500Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Comora, AdamCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy90820262.0820,00041,6001,060,022Form
2Comora, AdamCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy90220261.9350,00096,500944,978Form
3Nisar, Nadeem DirectBuy90220261.9110,00019,100511,469Form
4Nisar, Nadeem DirectBuy90220261.9810,00019,800510,414Form
5Sutton, Scott McDougald DirectBuy61520261.9550,00097,50097,500Form
6Dols, Scott V DirectBuy52120262.007,94615,892491,344Form
7Dols, Scott V DirectBuy52120262.064,3468,953489,716Form
8Dols, Scott V DirectBuy52020262.0525,10551,465478,429Form
9Dols, Scott V DirectBuy52020262.0212,60325,458420,716Form
10Nisar, Nadeem DirectBuy52020262.025,00010,100470,226Form
11Nisar, Nadeem DirectBuy51820261.9410,00019,400441,903Form
12Nisar, Nadeem DirectBuy51820262.0510,00020,500446,459Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/26/2026