Huntsman (HUN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.61 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Commodity Chemicals
Huntsman (HUN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.61Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Commodity Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.4% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 11%, FCF Yield is 13% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 125% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 11%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.4% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 125% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HUN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Unplanned Outage at Rotterdam Facility and Revised Q4 2025 Outlook**
Huntsman experienced an unplanned outage at its Polyurethanes facility in Rotterdam, Netherlands, affecting its larger MDI production line. This event is expected to negatively impact the company's fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA by approximately $10 million, leading Huntsman to revise its Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to the low end of its previously communicated range of $25 million to $50 million. This news, announced on December 1, 2025, caused an immediate post-market stock decline of 4.3%.
**2. Significant Reduction in Quarterly Dividend**
On November 6, 2025, Huntsman announced a substantial reduction in its quarterly cash dividend, decreasing it from $0.25 to $0.0875 per share, payable on December 31, 2025. This decision, representing a 65% reduction in the annualized dividend to $0.35 per share, signaled ongoing pressure on the company's cash flow and earnings stability, likely contributing to negative investor sentiment.
**3. Downward Revisions of FY2025 Revenue and EPS Expectations**
Over the three months leading up to December 2025, market expectations for Huntsman's financial performance in fiscal year 2025 were revised downward. Revenue forecasts for FY2025 were adjusted lower by -0.74%, and EPS estimates for the same period saw a more significant downward revision of -7.79%. These revisions indicate a pessimistic outlook on the company's future earnings potential, which can exert downward pressure on stock price.
**4. Negative Analyst Ratings and Price Target Reductions**
During the specified period, several financial analysts either maintained "underperform" or "sell" ratings or reduced their price targets for Huntsman. For instance, Bank of America reiterated an "underperform" rating and lowered its price target from $9.00 to $8.00 on October 14, 2025, while Mizuho also cut its price objective from $9.00 to $8.00 on October 3, 2025. These adjustments reflect reduced confidence in the stock's future performance from the analyst community.
**5. Continued Net Losses Despite Beating Q3 2025 Estimates**
Huntsman reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 6, 2025, where it exceeded analyst consensus estimates for both earnings per share (EPS of -$0.03 versus anticipated -$0.16) and revenue ($1.46 billion versus expected $1.45 billion). However, the company still posted a net loss of $25 million for the quarter and experienced a year-over-year decline in quarterly sales, indicating ongoing profitability challenges that could temper investor enthusiasm.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HUN Return | 8% | 42% | -19% | -5% | -25% | -39% | -46% |
| Peers Return | 36% | 30% | -6% | 6% | -11% | -11% | 39% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HUN Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 69% | 54% | 44% | 42% | 46% | 25% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HUN Max Drawdown | -46% | -2% | -30% | -15% | -27% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -4% | -23% | -16% | -24% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DOW, ALB, EMN, CBT, NOVS. See HUN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HUN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 199 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 948 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1230.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1929 days | 1480 days |
Compare to DOW, ALB, EMN, CBT, NOVS
In The Past
Huntsman's stock fell -45.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/18/2022. A -45.0% loss requires a 81.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Huntsman Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return | ||
| Huntsman (HUN) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Huntsman (HUN) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Huntsman (HUN) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Huntsman (HUN) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Huntsman (HUN) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Huntsman (HUN) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Huntsman (HUN) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| HUN Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Huntsman Earnings Notes | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 31st, 2025 | ||
| Are The Positives Already Priced In For Huntsman At $30 Levels? | January 12th, 2021 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HUN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 01312020 | HUN | Huntsman | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.3% | 32.8% | -36.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 01312020 | HUN | Huntsman | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.3% | 32.8% | -36.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Huntsman
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 61.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.0 |
| Rev LTM | 5,363 |
| Op Inc LTM | 246 |
| FCF LTM | 160 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 351 |
| CFO LTM | 777 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,195 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.0 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 6.7 |
| P/E | -4.7 |
| P/CFO | 7.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -13.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -40.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -44.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -53.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -115.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polyurethanes | 3,865 | 5,067 | 5,019 | 3,584 | 3,911 |
| Performance Products | 1,178 | 1,713 | 1,485 | 1,023 | 1,158 |
| Advanced Materials | 1,092 | 1,277 | 1,198 | 839 | 1,044 |
| Eliminations | -24 | -34 | -32 | -25 | -79 |
| Textile Effects | 597 | 763 | |||
| Total | 6,111 | 8,023 | 7,670 | 6,018 | 6,797 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polyurethanes | 4,261 | 4,286 | 4,624 | 3,970 | 3,437 |
| Performance Products | 1,170 | 1,155 | 1,207 | 1,062 | 1,125 |
| Advanced Materials | 1,143 | 1,246 | 1,324 | 1,002 | 774 |
| Corporate and other | 674 | ||||
| Corporate and other costs, net | 1,061 | 1,709 | 2,198 | 1,265 | |
| Current assets held for sale | 472 | 1,208 | |||
| Textile Effects | 481 | 511 | |||
| Total | 7,248 | 8,220 | 8,864 | 8,713 | 8,320 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |