Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 100%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -720%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Nuclear Medicine, Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 117x
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -429%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -683%
3  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
5  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%
6  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
7  Short seller report
Fuzzy Panda Research report on 11/26/2024.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 100%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Nuclear Medicine, Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -720%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 117x
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -429%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -683%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
9 Short seller report
Fuzzy Panda Research report on 11/26/2024.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASPI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate -38.3% stock movement for ASP Isotopes (ASPI) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Worsening Financial Performance and Deepening Losses

ASP Isotopes reported significant and widening net losses in its Q3 2025 earnings, despite some revenue growth. The net loss from operations amounted to $34.9 million, with total operating expenses increasing to $15.4 million in Q3 2025, up from $5.7 million in Q3 2024. The net loss before non-controlling interests widened to $12.9 million, and the company posted a net loss of $12.87 million, which was 75.3% wider than the $7.36 million loss in Q3 2024. Earnings per share (EPS) also declined to -$0.15 from -$0.12, reflecting persistent financial strain. 2. Significant Equity Dilution from Public Offerings

The company undertook multiple stock issuances during the period, notably a $210.3 million public offering on October 15, 2025, which involved the issuance of 17,167,380 new shares of common stock. This substantial offering, following prior equity raises in June and July 2025, diluted the ownership stake of existing shareholders, putting downward pressure on the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASPI Return---13%153%23%253%
Peers Return8%51%-8%21%-5%-16%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASPI Win Rate--0%50%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate62%55%48%50%45%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASPI Max Drawdown----80%-7%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-58%-10%-23%-10%-31%-46% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MEOH, DOW, HWKN, HUN, GPRE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASPIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven775.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven260 days464 days

Compare to MEOH, DOW, HWKN, HUN, GPRE


In The Past

ASP Isotopes's stock fell -88.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2022. A -88.6% loss requires a 775.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ASP Isotopes (ASPI)

Better Bets than ASP Isotopes (ASPI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASPI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ASP Isotopes

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASPIMEOHDOWHWKNHUNGPREMedian
NameASP Isot.Methanex Dow Hawkins Huntsman Green Pl. 
Mkt Price5.7337.3523.76137.0710.6110.1417.19
Mkt Cap0.42.916.92.81.80.72.3
Rev LTM53,56940,9131,0455,7802,2472,908
Op Inc LTM-33516472121-24-11948
FCF LTM-31928-1,12079199-4324
FCF 3Y Avg-1851590389126-30108
CFO LTM-201,0571,56212336617244
CFO 3Y Avg-128033,64513333258233

Growth & Margins

ASPIMEOHDOWHWKNHUNGPREMedian
NameASP Isot.Methanex Dow Hawkins Huntsman Green Pl. 
Rev Chg LTM99.6%-3.4%-5.3%11.9%-3.5%-13.2%-3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--7.7%-11.3%5.3%-11.5%-13.6%-11.3%
Rev Chg Q17.2%-0.8%-8.3%13.5%-5.2%-22.8%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.0%-0.2%-2.2%3.3%-1.4%-6.3%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-720.3%14.4%1.2%11.6%-0.4%-5.3%0.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-9.5%3.5%11.4%1.2%-3.0%3.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-73.6%0.8%-0.5%-0.4%-0.5%-1.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-429.4%29.6%3.8%11.8%6.3%0.7%5.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-21.9%8.3%13.8%5.5%2.1%8.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-682.8%26.0%-2.7%7.5%3.4%-1.9%0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.2%1.9%9.2%2.1%-1.0%2.1%

Valuation

ASPIMEOHDOWHWKNHUNGPREMedian
NameASP Isot.Methanex Dow Hawkins Huntsman Green Pl. 
Mkt Cap0.42.916.92.81.80.72.3
P/S117.30.90.43.60.30.30.6
P/EBIT-5.45.7138.331.0-12.8-6.30.2
P/E-5.414.4-14.445.6-4.7-3.3-4.0
P/CFO-27.32.910.430.84.237.17.3
Total Yield-18.6%8.6%3.7%2.5%-9.9%-29.8%-3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%10.6%0.3%11.3%0.8%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.4%17.3%1.2%4.6%5.7%-3.0%2.9%
D/E0.21.21.20.11.50.60.9
Net D/E0.11.00.90.11.20.40.7

Returns

ASPIMEOHDOWHWKNHUNGPREMedian
NameASP Isot.Methanex Dow Hawkins Huntsman Green Pl. 
1M Rtn-37.4%0.4%3.8%5.3%32.5%-3.0%2.1%
3M Rtn-28.8%6.2%0.8%-17.6%0.4%-6.1%-2.9%
6M Rtn-35.2%13.6%-13.5%2.8%-3.4%149.8%-0.3%
12M Rtn17.2%-19.6%-41.8%0.4%-42.4%-4.7%-12.1%
3Y Rtn176.8%2.8%-44.9%236.1%-56.6%-71.1%-21.0%
1M Excs Rtn-37.3%0.4%3.8%5.3%32.5%-2.9%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-33.4%-4.2%-4.5%-24.0%-6.9%-14.4%-10.7%
6M Excs Rtn-49.9%-1.1%-28.2%-11.9%-18.2%135.0%-15.0%
12M Excs Rtn-10.3%-32.4%-55.8%-11.1%-55.3%-19.7%-26.0%
3Y Excs Rtn75.3%-73.2%-115.4%163.6%-128.2%-142.0%-94.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,685,049
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.5%
Average Daily Volume6,909,045
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.70
Basic Shares Quantity73,009,938
Short % of Basic Shares25.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025520202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024819202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023410202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023519202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221222202210-Q 9/30/2022
630202211142022424B4 6/30/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ainscow RobertInterim CEO and COO7062033Sell5.7725,000144,2258,969,024Form
1Mann Paul ElliotExecutive Officer7062033Sell7.51112,500844,53859,843,484Form
2Ainscow RobertInterim CEO and COO1182031Sell7.5167,500506,72211,858,755Form