Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The search results indicate that today's date is indeed November 18, 2025, and there is news available for ASP Isotopes (ASPI) within the specified timeframe (July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025). This means I can proceed with the request.
Looking at the search results, several articles mention ASPI's stock performance and relevant news during this period. I need to synthesize this information to explain a -20.2% stock movement.
Here's a breakdown of potentially relevant information from the search results:
* **ASPI Stock Price and Performance:**
* ASPI reached its all-time high on Oct 13, 2025, with the price of $14.49 USD.
* On November 14, 2025, the price was $8.11.
* On November 10, 2025, ASPI stock opened at $8.92.
* The stock has a 50-day moving average of $9.65 and a 200-day moving average of $8.69 as of November 11, 2025.
* The month change as of November 18, 2025, is a -38.93% fall. This is close to the -20.2% specified, but the timeframe is slightly different ("month change" vs. "7/31/2025 to today"). I need to calculate the actual change for the specified period.
* According to one forecast (last updated Sep 17, 2025), the stock has a target of $11, predicting a 35.64% increase from the current stock price of $8.
* StockScan shows a generally negative forecast for the next 30 days from the current price of $7.559, with an average analyst price target of $5.3700, representing a -28.96% decrease.
* **Key Events/News:**
* **July 23, 2025:** ASP Isotopes Inc. Announced Pricing of $60 Million Underwritten Registered Direct Offering.
* **August 15, 2025:** ASP Isotopes Misses on Q2 Earnings. Reported revenue of $1.2 million, up 17% YOY, but fell short of Wall Street's $1.6 million forecast. Also reported ($1.03) EPS, missing consensus of ($0.11) by ($0.92).
* **September 9, 2025:** CEO Paul Elliot Mann sold 81,077 shares, valued at $680,236.03. This is below the $5 million threshold, so it will not be included as an explanatory factor.
* **October 13/14, 2025:** ASPI stock saw a 31% intraday rise on Oct. 13 after the company unveiled recent business updates, securing major supply deals, expanding production, and moving into radiopharmaceuticals. These updates caused the stock to reach a fresh 52-week high of $14.49 on Oct. 14.
* **November 5, 2025:** ASP Isotopes' UK Subsidiary, Quantum Leap Energy Ltd., Enters Early Engagement Process with UK Nuclear Regulators.
* **November 7, 2025:** Quantum Leap Energy LLC Announces Private Placement of Convertible Notes Led by American Ventures LLC.
* **November 12, 2025:** ASP Isotopes Announces Quantum Leap Energy's Confidential Submission of Draft Registration Statement for Proposed Initial Public Offering. This also suggests a spin-off.
* **November 17, 2025:** ASP Isotopes to Provide Quarterly Business Update Call on November 21, 2025.
* **November 18, 2025 (today):** ASPI is expected to announce Q3 2025 results before the market opens. Analysts expect ($0.10) EPS and $2.248M in revenue.
To determine the -20.2% movement, I need the stock price on July 31, 2025, and today, November 18, 2025.
From the Nasdaq historical data, I don't have July 31, 2025, directly. However, I have news from July 23, 2025, indicating a $60 million offering. Let's try to find an approximate price for July 31, 2025.
Searching for "ASPI stock price July 31 2025" or "ASPI close price July 31 2025" in my next search.
Let's assume the user's -20.2% is a fact I need to explain. I will use the available news and stock price points around the dates to frame the explanation.
From the search results, I have a clear indication of a significant price high around October 13-14, 2025 ($14.49) and then a drop to around $8.11 on November 14, 2025, and $8.92 on November 10, 2025. The current price on November 18, 2025, is 8.11 USD according to TradingView for a specific moment, and Nasdaq historical quotes also show $8.11 on Nov 14, 2025. MarketBeat says ASPI stock opened at $8.92 on November 11 (Tuesday).
I need to confirm the price around July 31, 2025 to calculate the -20.2%.
Nasdaq historical data snippet starts from November 7, 2025.
Another snippet from Quiver Quantitative on July 23, 2025 mentions "ASP Isotopes Inc. Announces Pricing of $60 Million Underwritten Registered Direct Offering."
And on July 17, 2025: "$ASPI stock is up 7% today. Here's what we see in our data." This does not give a specific price.
Let's try to find a closing price for July 31, 2025, or an approximate value.
If I can't find the exact price for July 31, 2025, I will have to work with the information available and acknowledge the stock's volatility and the events that would contribute to a decline from a higher point.
Given the October 13, 2025 high of $14.49 and the price of around $8.11-$8.92 in mid-November, a significant drop has occurred. The "month change is a -38.93% fall" as of November 18, 2025, suggests a recent steep decline.
Let's assume the user's premise of a -20.2% drop from 7/31/2025 to 11/18/2025 is correct. I will focus on finding the *reasons* for a decline within that period.
Key events causing downward pressure:
1. **Q2 2025 Earnings Miss (August 15, 2025):** The company reported ($1.03) EPS, significantly missing analyst estimates of ($0.11), and revenue of $1.2 million, below the $1.6 million forecast. This clearly signals underperformance and would likely lead to a stock price drop.
2. **Dilution from $60 Million Offering (July 23, 2025):** While providing capital, a direct offering can cause dilution for existing shareholders, putting downward pressure on the stock price.
3. **Uncertainty and Speculative Nature:** The company is described as "pre-commercial stage" and "development stage", with its business still "speculative". Despite positive developments, the inherent risk and lack of consistent profitability can lead to volatility and declines, especially after a run-up.
4. **Cash Burn and Need for Capital:** An article on November 17, 2025, mentions needing to "get updated financials to know the current cash balance and if additional cash burn is incurred with the launch of enrichment." This indicates ongoing concerns about the company's financial health and need for capital, which can negatively impact investor sentiment.
5. **Analyst Outlook:** While some analysts have a "Strong Buy" rating, the StockScan forecast for the next 30 days from November 18, 2025, is "generally negative," with an average price target representing a -28.96% decrease from the current price. This bearish sentiment, particularly after a period of growth, could contribute to a decline.
I have 5 points now. I need to make sure I don't include insider selling unless it exceeds $5 million. The CEO's sale was $680,236.03, so it does not meet the criteria.
Now I need to structure the response with HTML formatting. I will assume the -20.2% figure as given and explain potential reasons.
I need to make sure I cite correctly at the end of each sentence that refers to a search result.
Show more
The search results indicate that today's date is indeed November 18, 2025, and there is news available for ASP Isotopes (ASPI) within the specified timeframe (July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025). This means I can proceed with the request.
Looking at the search results, several articles mention ASPI's stock performance and relevant news during this period. I need to synthesize this information to explain a -20.2% stock movement.
Here's a breakdown of potentially relevant information from the search results:
* **ASPI Stock Price and Performance:**
* ASPI reached its all-time high on Oct 13, 2025, with the price of $14.49 USD.
* On November 14, 2025, the price was $8.11.
* On November 10, 2025, ASPI stock opened at $8.92.
* The stock has a 50-day moving average of $9.65 and a 200-day moving average of $8.69 as of November 11, 2025.
* The month change as of November 18, 2025, is a -38.93% fall. This is close to the -20.2% specified, but the timeframe is slightly different ("month change" vs. "7/31/2025 to today"). I need to calculate the actual change for the specified period.
* According to one forecast (last updated Sep 17, 2025), the stock has a target of $11, predicting a 35.64% increase from the current stock price of $8.
* StockScan shows a generally negative forecast for the next 30 days from the current price of $7.559, with an average analyst price target of $5.3700, representing a -28.96% decrease.
* **Key Events/News:**
* **July 23, 2025:** ASP Isotopes Inc. Announced Pricing of $60 Million Underwritten Registered Direct Offering.
* **August 15, 2025:** ASP Isotopes Misses on Q2 Earnings. Reported revenue of $1.2 million, up 17% YOY, but fell short of Wall Street's $1.6 million forecast. Also reported ($1.03) EPS, missing consensus of ($0.11) by ($0.92).
* **September 9, 2025:** CEO Paul Elliot Mann sold 81,077 shares, valued at $680,236.03. This is below the $5 million threshold, so it will not be included as an explanatory factor.
* **October 13/14, 2025:** ASPI stock saw a 31% intraday rise on Oct. 13 after the company unveiled recent business updates, securing major supply deals, expanding production, and moving into radiopharmaceuticals. These updates caused the stock to reach a fresh 52-week high of $14.49 on Oct. 14.
* **November 5, 2025:** ASP Isotopes' UK Subsidiary, Quantum Leap Energy Ltd., Enters Early Engagement Process with UK Nuclear Regulators.
* **November 7, 2025:** Quantum Leap Energy LLC Announces Private Placement of Convertible Notes Led by American Ventures LLC.
* **November 12, 2025:** ASP Isotopes Announces Quantum Leap Energy's Confidential Submission of Draft Registration Statement for Proposed Initial Public Offering. This also suggests a spin-off.
* **November 17, 2025:** ASP Isotopes to Provide Quarterly Business Update Call on November 21, 2025.
* **November 18, 2025 (today):** ASPI is expected to announce Q3 2025 results before the market opens. Analysts expect ($0.10) EPS and $2.248M in revenue.
To determine the -20.2% movement, I need the stock price on July 31, 2025, and today, November 18, 2025.
From the Nasdaq historical data, I don't have July 31, 2025, directly. However, I have news from July 23, 2025, indicating a $60 million offering. Let's try to find an approximate price for July 31, 2025.
Searching for "ASPI stock price July 31 2025" or "ASPI close price July 31 2025" in my next search.
Let's assume the user's -20.2% is a fact I need to explain. I will use the available news and stock price points around the dates to frame the explanation.
From the search results, I have a clear indication of a significant price high around October 13-14, 2025 ($14.49) and then a drop to around $8.11 on November 14, 2025, and $8.92 on November 10, 2025. The current price on November 18, 2025, is 8.11 USD according to TradingView for a specific moment, and Nasdaq historical quotes also show $8.11 on Nov 14, 2025. MarketBeat says ASPI stock opened at $8.92 on November 11 (Tuesday).
I need to confirm the price around July 31, 2025 to calculate the -20.2%.
Nasdaq historical data snippet starts from November 7, 2025.
Another snippet from Quiver Quantitative on July 23, 2025 mentions "ASP Isotopes Inc. Announces Pricing of $60 Million Underwritten Registered Direct Offering."
And on July 17, 2025: "$ASPI stock is up 7% today. Here's what we see in our data." This does not give a specific price.
Let's try to find a closing price for July 31, 2025, or an approximate value.
If I can't find the exact price for July 31, 2025, I will have to work with the information available and acknowledge the stock's volatility and the events that would contribute to a decline from a higher point.
Given the October 13, 2025 high of $14.49 and the price of around $8.11-$8.92 in mid-November, a significant drop has occurred. The "month change is a -38.93% fall" as of November 18, 2025, suggests a recent steep decline.
Let's assume the user's premise of a -20.2% drop from 7/31/2025 to 11/18/2025 is correct. I will focus on finding the *reasons* for a decline within that period.
Key events causing downward pressure:
1. **Q2 2025 Earnings Miss (August 15, 2025):** The company reported ($1.03) EPS, significantly missing analyst estimates of ($0.11), and revenue of $1.2 million, below the $1.6 million forecast. This clearly signals underperformance and would likely lead to a stock price drop.
2. **Dilution from $60 Million Offering (July 23, 2025):** While providing capital, a direct offering can cause dilution for existing shareholders, putting downward pressure on the stock price.
3. **Uncertainty and Speculative Nature:** The company is described as "pre-commercial stage" and "development stage", with its business still "speculative". Despite positive developments, the inherent risk and lack of consistent profitability can lead to volatility and declines, especially after a run-up.
4. **Cash Burn and Need for Capital:** An article on November 17, 2025, mentions needing to "get updated financials to know the current cash balance and if additional cash burn is incurred with the launch of enrichment." This indicates ongoing concerns about the company's financial health and need for capital, which can negatively impact investor sentiment.
5. **Analyst Outlook:** While some analysts have a "Strong Buy" rating, the StockScan forecast for the next 30 days from November 18, 2025, is "generally negative," with an average price target representing a -28.96% decrease from the current price. This bearish sentiment, particularly after a period of growth, could contribute to a decline.
I have 5 points now. I need to make sure I don't include insider selling unless it exceeds $5 million. The CEO's sale was $680,236.03, so it does not meet the criteria.
Now I need to structure the response with HTML formatting. I will assume the -20.2% figure as given and explain potential reasons.
I need to make sure I cite correctly at the end of each sentence that refers to a search result.
Show less