Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Resource Scarcity & Critical Materials. Themes include Precious Metals Exploration, Mining Technology & Innovation, and Sustainable Mining & ESG.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 151%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
4   Key risks
DC key risks include [1] its complete dependence on achieving exploration and development success to transition from its current status as a pre-revenue company.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Resource Scarcity & Critical Materials. Themes include Precious Metals Exploration, Mining Technology & Innovation, and Sustainable Mining & ESG.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 151%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
6 Key risks
DC key risks include [1] its complete dependence on achieving exploration and development success to transition from its current status as a pre-revenue company.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Dakota Gold (DC) stock moved during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Successful Exploration Results: On September 24, 2025, Dakota Gold announced significant progress in its Richmond Hill 2025 Drill Campaign, reporting impressive gold grades from 16 metallurgical drill holes that exceeded the average resource grade. This positive news indicated advancement towards a Feasibility Study completion in early 2027 for its Richmond Hill Oxide Heap Leach Gold Project. 2. Increased Institutional Investment: Several institutional investors substantially increased their holdings in Dakota Gold during the second and third quarters of 2025. For instance, Ameritas Investment Partners Inc. raised its holdings by 130.7% in the second quarter, and GSA Capital Partners LLP acquired a new position in the third quarter.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DC Return-14%-16%151%
Peers Return41%-14%-6%-1%9%134%185%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DC Win Rate38%42%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%48%52%47%77% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DC Max Drawdown-24%-29%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-28%-32%-22%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven196.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Dakota Gold's stock fell -66.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2022. A -66.2% loss requires a 196.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dakota Gold (DC)

Better Bets than Dakota Gold (DC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dakota Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DCBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameDakota G.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price5.6043.57208.549.7699.45167.5171.51
Mkt Cap0.655.840.23.0109.184.148.0
Rev LTM014,6041,5461,35221,50310,5686,057
Op Inc LTM-286,3281,0694269,3595,2233,146
FCF LTM-262,750-8562266,1223,6451,488
FCF 3Y Avg-301,372-161242,6362,041748
CFO LTM-266,3551,3104559,2245,8373,574
CFO 3Y Avg-294,6601,0563395,6163,8832,469

Growth & Margins

DCBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameDakota G.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM-18.4%41.1%68.1%26.6%35.2%35.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.5%7.7%26.7%23.9%26.0%23.9%
Rev Chg Q-23.2%76.9%38.3%20.0%41.9%38.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.6%15.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%5.6%
Op Mgn LTM-43.3%69.1%31.5%43.5%49.4%43.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-31.6%64.1%22.0%23.9%36.0%31.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.6%0.8%2.9%4.5%3.6%3.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-43.5%84.7%33.7%42.9%55.2%43.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-36.2%81.3%35.4%32.6%45.6%36.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.8%-55.4%16.7%28.5%34.5%18.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.1%4.6%11.7%13.8%22.7%11.7%

Valuation

DCBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameDakota G.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap0.655.840.23.0109.184.148.0
P/S-3.827.82.04.38.04.3
P/EBIT-23.6-36.75.98.916.28.9
P/E-23.515.646.711.912.924.614.2
P/CFO-24.38.832.86.010.014.59.4
Total Yield-4.2%7.8%2.4%8.4%9.0%4.9%6.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.2%0.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.9%-0.4%6.2%3.6%3.9%3.6%
D/E0.0-0.00.10.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.1--0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

DCBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameDakota G.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn39.0%18.4%7.1%18.4%14.5%1.8%16.5%
3M Rtn24.7%48.4%4.0%23.5%26.7%9.6%24.1%
6M Rtn44.3%108.3%24.4%44.6%71.8%37.3%44.5%
12M Rtn151.1%174.0%76.7%112.2%154.1%107.6%131.6%
3Y Rtn83.6%176.1%62.4%162.4%133.8%251.5%148.1%
1M Excs Rtn38.2%17.7%6.3%17.7%13.8%1.1%15.7%
3M Excs Rtn21.2%44.2%1.8%21.6%26.0%7.4%21.4%
6M Excs Rtn31.9%95.9%12.1%32.2%59.4%24.9%32.1%
12M Excs Rtn138.9%154.1%65.0%96.1%140.4%91.6%117.5%
3Y Excs Rtn14.0%110.4%-16.8%87.7%64.0%181.5%75.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Exploration and Evaluation108105120
Total108105120


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,393,684
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.6%
Average Daily Volume659,292
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.15
Basic Shares Quantity112,421,247
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022322202310-KT 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022628202210-K 3/31/2022
33120216022022424B3 3/31/2021