Dakota Gold (DC)
Market Price (12/30/2025): $5.83 | Market Cap: $655.4 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Dakota Gold (DC)
Market Price (12/30/2025): $5.83Market Cap: $655.4 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource Scarcity & Critical Materials. Themes include Precious Metals Exploration, Mining Technology & Innovation, and Sustainable Mining & ESG. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -8.0% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 170% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3% | ||
| Key risksDC key risks include [1] its complete dependence on achieving exploration and development success to transition from its current status as a pre-revenue company. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource Scarcity & Critical Materials. Themes include Precious Metals Exploration, Mining Technology & Innovation, and Sustainable Mining & ESG. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -8.0% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 170% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3% |
| Key risksDC key risks include [1] its complete dependence on achieving exploration and development success to transition from its current status as a pre-revenue company. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Continued high-grade gold assay results from the Richmond Hill Oxide Heap Leach Gold Project. The company consistently reported significant gold mineralization in its drill campaigns at Richmond Hill, including multiple high-grade intercepts in expansion and metallurgical drilling in October, November, and December 2025.
2. Advancement of the Richmond Hill project towards development. Dakota Gold progressed with feasibility work and permitting for the Richmond Hill project, with a feasibility study targeted for early 2027 and production in late 2029. This included the completion of drilling and pump installation for water wells required for permitting.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.4% change in DC stock from 9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 9292025 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.70 | 5.80 | 23.40% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112.04 | 112.42 | -0.34% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DC | 23.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 22.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 2.6% | 34.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 57.2% change in DC stock from 6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 6302025 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.69 | 5.80 | 57.18% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 97.56 | 112.42 | -15.23% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DC | 57.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.6% | 21.1% |
| Sector (XLB) | 4.7% | 32.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 169.8% change in DC stock from 12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12292024 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.15 | 5.80 | 169.77% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 93.60 | 112.42 | -20.11% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DC | 169.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.6% | 11.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | 9.3% | 20.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 90.2% change in DC stock from 12/30/2022 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12302022 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.05 | 5.80 | 90.16% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | � | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70.85 | 112.42 | -58.67% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
12/30/2023 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DC | 121.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.9% | 19.9% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.5% | 25.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DC Return | - | - | -56% | -14% | -16% | 183% | -10% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 151% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DC Win Rate | - | - | 33% | 42% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DC Max Drawdown | - | - | -59% | -24% | -29% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/29/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -66.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 196.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Dakota Gold's stock fell -66.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2022. A -66.2% loss requires a 196.1% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- A junior gold explorer, like a focused, early-stage Newmont for the historic Homestake District.
- Think of it as a regional gold prospecting firm, similar to how Barrick Gold identifies new deposits, but on a smaller scale in South Dakota.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Gold Exploration and Resource Development: Focuses on discovering and advancing high-grade gold deposits, primarily within the Black Hills of South Dakota, to define economically viable gold resources.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dakota Gold Corp. (symbol: DC) is a gold exploration and development company. Its primary business is focused on identifying, exploring, and delineating gold resources in the Black Hills of South Dakota. As an early-stage exploration and development company, Dakota Gold does not currently engage in commercial gold production or the sale of gold products.
Therefore, Dakota Gold does not have traditional "major customers" in the sense of selling a product (like gold ore, refined gold, or gold-related services) to other companies or individuals. Its business model at this stage involves:
- Investors: The company primarily raises capital through equity offerings to fund its exploration programs. Its "market" in this context is the investment community interested in natural resource opportunities.
- Potential Strategic Partners or Acquirers: In the long term, if Dakota Gold successfully proves a commercially viable gold deposit, it might seek to enter into joint ventures with larger mining companies or become an acquisition target for companies looking to expand their gold reserves and production. These entities would be considered strategic partners or eventual acquirers rather than traditional customers.
Given its stage of operations, Dakota Gold does not sell primarily to other companies or individuals, and thus the requested categories of customers do not apply in the conventional sense.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- N.K.S. Drilling Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Robert Quartermain, Chief Executive Officer and Co-ChairmanDr. Robert Quartermain was appointed CEO of Dakota Gold in October 2024. He founded Pretium Resources Inc. in October 2010, serving as its Executive Chairman, and previously was President and Chief Executive Officer of Silver Standard Resources Inc. (now SSR Mining Inc.) for 25 years from 1985 to 2010. Under his leadership, Pretium Resources developed the Brucejack Mine into Canada's fourth-largest gold mine, which was subsequently acquired by Newcrest Mining in March 2022 for $2.8 billion. He also significantly grew Silver Standard's market capitalization from $2 million to over $2 billion. Dr. Quartermain was inducted into the Canadian Mining Hall of Fame in 2022.
Shawn Campbell, Chief Financial Officer and TreasurerShawn Campbell serves as the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Dakota Gold Corp. He has extensive experience in the mining industry, including many years working with Goldcorp, where he gained experience at the Wharf Mine.
Jack Henris, President and Chief Operating OfficerJack Henris joined Dakota Gold as President and Chief Operating Officer (COO) effective June 1, 2025. He brings over 35 years of experience in the mining industry and is a graduate of the South Dakota School of Mines and Technology with a Bachelor's Degree in Geological Engineering. Prior to joining Dakota Gold, Mr. Henris served as Chief Operating Officer for Hycroft Mining. His career also includes roles as General Manager, Mine Manager, and Chief Mine Engineer at Newmont Mining, Senior Mining Consultant at Stantec, and Vice President of Mining and Geotechnical for Goldcorp. He possesses experience in heap leach and underground gold operations, including permitting, and previously worked at the Homestake Mine.
Stephen O'Rourke, Co-Chairman and Managing DirectorDr. Stephen O'Rourke serves as Co-Chairman and Director of Dakota Gold, and as of October 30, 2024, also assumed the position of Managing Director in support of the CEO. Previously, he was President of global petroleum exploration for BHP Billiton (BHPB) and a member of its senior management team, holding key roles such as Vice President of Development Planning and Vice President of Appraisal and Petroleum Engineering. Before BHPB, he held various senior technical and management roles for Shell Oil Co. Dr. O'Rourke is a founding partner of Strategic Management Partners LLC, a consulting firm specializing in energy, minerals, and business development. He is also a Non-Executive Lead Director of RESPEC, an engineering consulting firm.
James Berry, Vice President ExplorationJames Berry is the Vice President Exploration for Dakota Gold. He has over 30 years of experience as an exploration and production geologist in the mining industry, specializing in gold, silver, nickel, copper, and platinum-group element commodities for both underground and open pit deposits. His career includes positions with Asarco LLC, Homestake Mining Company of California, Goldcorp Inc., Barrick Gold Corporation, Romarco Minerals Inc., OceanaGold Corporation, Nickel Creek Platinum Corp., and Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation. He worked at the Homestake Mine for many years and also at the Wharf Mine.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Dakota Gold (DC) are primarily associated with the inherent uncertainties of mineral exploration and development, volatility in commodity prices, and stringent regulatory and environmental factors.
Exploration, Development, and Operational Success: As an exploration and development company, Dakota Gold currently generates no revenue and incurs net losses. Its future success is entirely dependent on its ability to successfully explore, define economic mineral resources, secure necessary financing, obtain permits, and ultimately develop its projects into producing mines. There is significant risk that the company may not achieve further exploration success, which could materially impact its valuation.
Commodity Price Volatility: Dakota Gold's business is highly susceptible to fluctuations in the market price of gold and silver. Adverse changes in these commodity prices could significantly impact the economic viability of its projects, its future revenue, and overall profitability.
Regulatory and Environmental Risks: The mining industry is subject to extensive governmental regulations, including restrictions on production, taxation, and environmental controls. Changes in these regulations, delays in obtaining permits and licenses, potential environmental lawsuits, and increased land reclamation requirements can significantly affect Dakota Gold's operations, costs, and project timelines.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Dakota Gold (DC) operates in the gold exploration and development sector, focusing on projects within the Homestake District in South Dakota, U.S.A.. Their primary products are related to the exploration and future production of gold. The addressable market for Dakota Gold's main products and services is the global gold mining market. This market was valued at approximately USD 267.87 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow, with estimates suggesting it will exceed USD 250 billion in 2025 and reach around USD 402.34 billion by 2034. North America is a significant region within this market, projected to hold a 46.1% share by 2035.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Dakota Gold (DC) over the next 2-3 years:
- Commencement of Commercial Production at the Richmond Hill Project: Dakota Gold is currently an exploration and development company with no generated revenue. The most significant driver of future revenue will be the successful transition of its Richmond Hill Oxide Heap Leach Gold Project to commercial production. The company is actively advancing this project, with expectations to begin production as early as 2029. A feasibility study for Richmond Hill is targeted for completion in early 2027, and an Initial Assessment in July 2025 demonstrated robust economics for the project.
- Increased Gold Production Volume from Richmond Hill: Once operational, the volume of gold extracted and processed from the Richmond Hill project will directly drive revenue growth. The project is seen as having significant potential, with an estimated early-stage gold production of approximately 150,000 ounces per year, which could generate over $100 million in free cash flow annually. Ongoing drill campaigns are aimed at expanding and infilling higher-grade zones, which has the potential to increase Measured, Indicated, and Inferred resources.
- Advancement and Potential Future Production from the Maitland Gold Project: While Richmond Hill is the near-term focus, Dakota Gold is also outlining a high-grade underground gold resource at the Maitland Gold Project. Continued exploration success and resource delineation at Maitland could lead to its eventual development and contribute to revenue diversification and growth beyond the initial years of Richmond Hill's operation, though it is a longer-term driver than Richmond Hill.
- Favorable Gold Prices: As a gold exploration and development company, Dakota Gold's future revenue, once production commences, will be highly sensitive to the market price of gold. Fluctuations in gold prices can significantly impact the company's revenues and profitability. Analyst reports suggest that strong project progress and gold price tailwinds are factors in the company's valuation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Dakota Gold Corp. did not effect any share repurchases in the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024.
Share Issuance
- On March 31, 2022, a merger with Dakota Territory Resource Corp. resulted in the issuance of 35,209,316 shares of Dakota Gold common stock.
- On March 20, 2025, Dakota Gold announced the pricing of a public offering of 12.4 million shares of common stock, expected to generate approximately $35 million in gross proceeds. The net proceeds from this offering are intended for working capital and general corporate purposes.
- On July 24, 2025, the company filed a registration to offer up to $250 million in mixed securities, including common stock, preferred stock, and warrants, to secure additional capital for operations and potential expansion.
Inbound Investments
- On October 12, 2023, Dakota Gold announced a strategic partnership with Orion Mine Finance, which included an equity investment of $17 million.
- On June 26, 2024, Orion made an additional investment of $6 million, with a potential to increase to $9 million. This funding supports the company's gold exploration in the Homestake district.
- A non-binding financial proposal from Orion Mine Finance for up to $300 million, announced October 12, 2023, could provide a financial pathway to a commercial gold operation.
Capital Expenditures
- For the fiscal year 2023, proposed cash exploration expenditures amounted to $26.5 million, with $15.5 million allocated to drilling, field programs, met testing, and data compilation, and $6.3 million for property acquisition.
- In 2024, the company completed 117 drill holes, totaling 146,691 feet of core, primarily focused on the Maitland and Richmond Hill projects. The planned exploration program for 2024 was $30 million.
- Anticipated capital expenditures for 2025 are up to $25 million for exploration and resource development drilling. The initial capital requirement for the Richmond Hill Oxide Heap Leach Gold Project is projected at $384 million, with construction expected in 2028 and production targeted by 2029, focusing on ore preparation, heap leach pad & ponds, and Merrill Crowe & Refinery.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to DC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.4% | -1.4% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 51.0% | 51.0% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.6% | 30.6% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Dakota Gold
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 159.0 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/05/2022 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.75 | $3.96 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 22.0% | 46.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 69.4% | 60.2% |
| Downside Capture | 160.89 | 30.79 |
| Upside Capture | 236.48 | 125.00 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 21.9% | 11.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.45 | 1.01 | 1.19 | 0.84 | 0.36 | 0.72 |
| Up Beta | 2.21 | 1.42 | 1.09 | 0.69 | 0.18 | 0.60 |
| Down Beta | 0.53 | -0.61 | -0.81 | -0.32 | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| Up Capture | 361% | 143% | 227% | 190% | 79% | 60% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 71 | 128 | 355 |
| Down Capture | 235% | 163% | 203% | 108% | 28% | 97% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 15 | 23 | 48 | 107 | 357 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullSEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/20/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/22/2023 | 10-KT (12/31/2022) |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q (09/30/2022) |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q (06/30/2022) |
| 03/31/2022 | 06/28/2022 | 10-K (03/31/2022) |
| 12/31/2021 | 06/02/2022 | 424B3 (12/31/2021) |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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