Celanese (CE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $41.855 | Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Celanese (CE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $41.855Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 255% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 22% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 255% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting reasons for Celanese (CE) stock's approximate -12.1% movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Continued Inventory Destocking and Weak Demand: The company reported ongoing inventory destocking issues with its Q2 2025 financial results on August 12, 2025, leading to a significant 13% drop in share price on that day. These destocking pressures, along with generally challenged end-markets, continued to affect volumes into the third quarter of 2025.
2. Significant Q3 2025 GAAP Operating Loss: For the third quarter of 2025, Celanese reported a substantial U.S. GAAP diluted loss per share of ($12.39) and a consolidated operating loss of ($1.3) billion. This was primarily driven by a non-cash goodwill impairment loss of ($1.1) billion in its Engineered Materials segment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CE Return | 8% | 32% | -38% | 56% | -55% | -40% | -62% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 20% | -13% | 6% | -7% | -17% | -0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CE Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 53% | 47% | 42% | 48% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CE Max Drawdown | -52% | -8% | -47% | -2% | -56% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -4% | -31% | -10% | -20% | -42% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APD, DD, DOW, EMN, HUN. See CE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 564.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 798 days | 1480 days |
Compare to APD, DD, DOW, EMN, HUN
In The Past
Celanese's stock fell -49.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/5/2022. A -49.5% loss requires a 97.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 08312022 | CE | Celanese | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.4% | 16.9% | -20.8% |
| 02282022 | CE | Celanese | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -16.5% | -14.5% | -36.2% |
| 06302020 | CE | Celanese | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 49.4% | 79.4% | -2.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 08312022 | CE | Celanese | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.4% | 16.9% | -20.8% |
| 02282022 | CE | Celanese | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -16.5% | -14.5% | -36.2% |
| 06302020 | CE | Celanese | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 49.4% | 79.4% | -2.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Celanese
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.8 |
| Rev LTM | 10,865 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,023 |
| FCF LTM | 297 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 584 |
| CFO LTM | 1,475 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,710 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.8 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 18.4 |
| P/E | -3.1 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 1.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -39.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -33.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -53.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -103.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |