Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 255%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 22%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69%
3   Key risks
CE key risks include [1] high financial leverage with distress-level indicators suggesting potential bankruptcy risk, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 22%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 255%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69%
7 Key risks
CE key risks include [1] high financial leverage with distress-level indicators suggesting potential bankruptcy risk, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Celanese (CE) stock moved by -12.7% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Disclosure of inventory destocking and related investigation. Celanese stock experienced a 13% drop on September 11, 2025, following a disclosure regarding inventory destocking. This event was accompanied by an investigation into whether Celanese may have misled investors about potentially overloading its customers with excess inventory.

2. Disappointing Q3 2025 financial results. In November 2025, Celanese reported its third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.34, representing a 44% year-over-year decrease. Revenue also declined by 8.6% to $2.42 billion, primarily due to lower volumes across its Engineered Materials and Acetyl Chain segments. The Engineered Materials segment was particularly affected by rapid slowdowns in the automotive and industrial sectors in the Western Hemisphere.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CE Return8%32%-38%56%-55%-41%-63%
Peers Return15%14%-9%21%-10%-20%3%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CE Win Rate67%67%50%50%33%42% 
Peers Win Rate67%53%53%42%43%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CE Max Drawdown-52%-8%-47%-2%-56%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-5%-26%-5%-18%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EMN, DOW, DD, LYB, WLK. See CE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven266 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven564.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven798 days1480 days

Compare to APD, DD, DOW, EMN, HUN


In The Past

Celanese's stock fell -49.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/5/2022. A -49.5% loss requires a 97.9% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Celanese (CE)

Better Bets than Celanese (CE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
CE_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022CECelaneseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.4%16.9%-20.8%
CE_2282022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282022CECelaneseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.5%-14.5%-36.2%
CE_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020CECelaneseDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
49.4%79.4%-2.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
CE_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022CECelaneseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.4%16.9%-20.8%
CE_2282022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282022CECelaneseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.5%-14.5%-36.2%
CE_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020CECelaneseDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
49.4%79.4%-2.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Celanese

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CEEMNDOWDDLYBWLKMedian
NameCelanese Eastman .Dow DuPont d.Lyondell.Westlake  
Mkt Price41.5763.9323.0740.6043.7673.9842.66
Mkt Cap4.67.316.417.014.19.511.8
Rev LTM9,7109,02440,91313,51835,15411,48012,499
Op Inc LTM8561,1904722,1431,523331,023
FCF LTM1,024395-1,1201,316463-365429
FCF 3Y Avg9655119036582,082544780
CFO LTM1,3881,0081,5622,0642,3576741,475
CFO 3Y Avg1,4331,1953,6451,9863,8501,5751,780

Growth & Margins

CEEMNDOWDDLYBWLKMedian
NameCelanese Eastman .Dow DuPont d.Lyondell.Westlake  
Rev Chg LTM-7.3%-3.4%-5.3%14.0%-6.3%-5.3%-5.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.7%-5.9%-11.3%1.3%-12.9%-10.3%-8.1%
Rev Chg Q-8.6%-10.6%-8.3%7.3%-11.8%-9.0%-8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.3%-2.8%-2.2%1.6%-2.8%-2.4%-2.3%
Op Mgn LTM8.8%13.2%1.2%15.9%4.3%0.3%6.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.5%12.6%3.5%14.9%6.9%6.6%8.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-1.2%-0.5%0.1%-1.8%-2.3%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM14.3%11.2%3.8%15.3%6.7%5.9%8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%12.9%8.3%15.9%9.9%12.6%12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM10.5%4.4%-2.7%9.7%1.3%-3.2%2.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.4%5.5%1.9%5.2%5.2%4.1%5.2%

Valuation

CEEMNDOWDDLYBWLKMedian
NameCelanese Eastman .Dow DuPont d.Lyondell.Westlake  
Mkt Cap4.67.316.417.014.19.511.8
P/S0.50.80.42.40.40.90.6
P/EBIT-2.26.7138.346.327.5-14.617.1
P/E-1.510.3-14.4-42.360.5-10.3-5.9
P/CFO3.37.210.415.86.714.78.8
Total Yield-65.0%12.3%3.7%-0.3%12.7%-8.3%1.7%
Dividend Yield1.9%2.6%10.6%2.1%11.1%1.4%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.8%5.3%1.2%1.9%7.2%2.8%4.1%
D/E2.90.71.20.30.80.50.8
Net D/E2.60.60.90.20.70.30.7

Returns

CEEMNDOWDDLYBWLKMedian
NameCelanese Eastman .Dow DuPont d.Lyondell.Westlake  
1M Rtn12.6%12.7%8.0%5.6%3.3%26.4%10.3%
3M Rtn-7.8%-1.9%-4.6%32.9%-15.9%-14.2%-6.2%
6M Rtn-23.5%-12.2%-16.7%53.4%-21.4%5.5%-14.4%
12M Rtn-39.1%-29.9%-38.9%29.4%-36.3%-35.4%-35.8%
3Y Rtn-57.1%-12.7%-44.6%58.8%-33.5%-24.4%-28.9%
1M Excs Rtn11.8%11.9%7.3%4.8%2.6%25.7%9.6%
3M Excs Rtn-9.9%-3.9%-4.2%29.3%-15.9%-13.5%-7.1%
6M Excs Rtn-35.9%-24.6%-29.0%41.1%-33.8%-6.9%-26.8%
12M Excs Rtn-50.3%-42.6%-50.4%17.2%-47.6%-47.5%-47.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-127.1%-84.6%-114.5%-14.0%-103.8%-96.3%-100.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Engineered Materials17,93020,6115,3633,9904,125
Acetyl Chain5,5385,4714,4283,9303,489
Other Activities3,1291901,0862,014885
Eliminations00   
Acetate Tow  1,098975977
Total26,59726,27211,97510,9099,476


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,667,546
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.8%
Average Daily Volume1,971,143
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.40
Basic Shares Quantity109,565,996
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/202514.4%10.7%11.3%
8/11/2025-13.1%-9.1%-6.7%
5/5/20259.6%21.8%22.1%
2/18/2025-21.5%-22.1%-18.1%
11/4/2024-26.3%-36.3%-42.6%
8/1/2024-4.4%-8.1%-5.1%
5/8/2024-1.1%-2.9%-10.3%
2/20/20240.7%0.1%10.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111015
# Negative13149
Median Positive2.6%5.5%11.3%
Median Negative-3.4%-4.0%-11.5%
Max Positive14.4%21.8%22.1%
Max Negative-26.3%-36.3%-42.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021