Eastman Chemical (EMN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $63.935 | Market Cap: $7.3 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Eastman Chemical (EMN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $63.935Market Cap: $7.3 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 5.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% | Key risksEMN key risks include [1] weak demand in key end markets such as building, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 5.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Key risksEMN key risks include [1] weak demand in key end markets such as building, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EMN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
While the request specifies a stock movement of -6.8% for Eastman Chemical (EMN) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, the available information from the search results is primarily composed of future predictions and historical data. As of the latest available information in the search results (December 2025), EMN's stock performance is being analyzed for its future outlook rather than explaining a past decline of -6.8% within the specified future timeframe. Therefore, I cannot provide an explanation for a realized -6.8% stock movement in the future as it has not occurred yet. I can provide the available information about EMN's performance and outlook around the specified period based on the search results.
1. EMN's Stock Price and Outlook in December 2025.
As of December 17, 2025, the closing stock price for Eastman Chemical was $63.93. Various analyses around this time indicated a generally bearish sentiment for the stock, with predictions for a potential rise of 5.21% by January 13, 2026, to $68.49 per share. However, the Fear & Greed Index was showing 39 (Fear), and a majority of technical analysis indicators signaled bearish trends.
2. Q2 2025 Financial Results and Impact.
Eastman Chemical announced its second-quarter 2025 financial results on July 31, 2025. The company's stock plunged 15.43% following this announcement, as investors reacted to an earnings miss and lowered guidance for the third quarter. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.60, falling short of analyst expectations, and revenue of $2.29 billion, slightly below forecasts. These results reflected ongoing pressures from increased tariffs, customer inventory destocking, and general economic uncertainty.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EMN Return | 32% | 24% | -30% | 15% | 5% | -27% | -0% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 16% | -17% | 25% | -22% | -18% | -17% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EMN Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 50% | 48% | 47% | 45% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EMN Max Drawdown | -51% | -2% | -40% | -13% | -9% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -55% | -6% | -31% | -3% | -28% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DOW, CE, LYB, DD, PPG. See EMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EMN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 106.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 170 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 542 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 330.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 582 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to APD, DD, DOW, CE, HUN
In The Past
Eastman Chemical's stock fell -44.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/18/2022. A -44.5% loss requires a 80.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EMN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| 11302022 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.3% | 0.6% | -17.2% |
| 02292020 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.1% | 85.0% | -36.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| 11302022 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.3% | 0.6% | -17.2% |
| 02292020 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.1% | 85.0% | -36.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Eastman Chemical
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.3 |
| Rev LTM | 14,604 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,356 |
| FCF LTM | 589 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 934 |
| CFO LTM | 1,481 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,905 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.3 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 19.7 |
| P/E | 4.4 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -33.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -23.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -45.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -94.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials | 2,932 | 3,207 | 2,688 | ||
| Additives & Functional Products | 2,834 | 3,475 | 3,273 | ||
| Chemical Intermediates | 2,143 | 2,716 | 2,443 | ||
| Fibers | 1,295 | 1,022 | 869 | ||
| Other | 6 | 160 | |||
| Total | 9,210 | 10,580 | 9,273 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials | 5,423 | 4,967 | 4,661 | 4,345 | 4,415 |
| Additives & Functional Products | 4,691 | 4,962 | 4,188 | 6,238 | 6,387 |
| Corporate Assets | 1,838 | 1,832 | 2,995 | 1,908 | 1,417 |
| Chemical Intermediates | 1,600 | 1,860 | 2,703 | 2,614 | 2,775 |
| Fibers | 1,081 | 1,046 | 972 | 978 | 1,014 |
| Total | 14,633 | 14,667 | 15,519 | 16,083 | 16,008 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| 7/31/2025 | -19.0% | -15.6% | -3.1% |
| 4/24/2025 | -6.2% | -5.7% | -0.3% |
| 1/30/2025 | 7.5% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| 10/31/2024 | -3.8% | -1.5% | -0.8% |
| 7/25/2024 | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| 4/25/2024 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 4.3% |
| 2/1/2024 | -2.7% | -2.2% | 3.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 11 | 16 |
| # Negative | 16 | 13 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.1% | -1.6% | -2.0% |
| Max Positive | 7.5% | 9.3% | 18.9% |
| Max Negative | -19.0% | -15.6% | -9.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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