Tearsheet

Eastman Chemical (EMN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $63.935 | Market Cap: $7.3 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Eastman Chemical (EMN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $63.935
Market Cap: $7.3 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
  Key risks
EMN key risks include [1] weak demand in key end markets such as building, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
8 Key risks
EMN key risks include [1] weak demand in key end markets such as building, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EMN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

While the request specifies a stock movement of -6.8% for Eastman Chemical (EMN) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, the available information from the search results is primarily composed of future predictions and historical data. As of the latest available information in the search results (December 2025), EMN's stock performance is being analyzed for its future outlook rather than explaining a past decline of -6.8% within the specified future timeframe. Therefore, I cannot provide an explanation for a realized -6.8% stock movement in the future as it has not occurred yet. I can provide the available information about EMN's performance and outlook around the specified period based on the search results.

1. EMN's Stock Price and Outlook in December 2025. As of December 17, 2025, the closing stock price for Eastman Chemical was $63.93. Various analyses around this time indicated a generally bearish sentiment for the stock, with predictions for a potential rise of 5.21% by January 13, 2026, to $68.49 per share. However, the Fear & Greed Index was showing 39 (Fear), and a majority of technical analysis indicators signaled bearish trends.

2. Q2 2025 Financial Results and Impact. Eastman Chemical announced its second-quarter 2025 financial results on July 31, 2025. The company's stock plunged 15.43% following this announcement, as investors reacted to an earnings miss and lowered guidance for the third quarter. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.60, falling short of analyst expectations, and revenue of $2.29 billion, slightly below forecasts. These results reflected ongoing pressures from increased tariffs, customer inventory destocking, and general economic uncertainty.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EMN Return32%24%-30%15%5%-27%-0%
Peers Return8%16%-17%25%-22%-18%-17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EMN Win Rate67%67%33%42%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate65%50%48%47%45%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EMN Max Drawdown-51%-2%-40%-13%-9%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-6%-31%-3%-28%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DOW, CE, LYB, DD, PPG. See EMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEMNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven170 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven542 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven330.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven582 days1,480 days

Compare to APD, DD, DOW, CE, HUN


In The Past

Eastman Chemical's stock fell -44.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/18/2022. A -44.5% loss requires a 80.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Eastman Chemical (EMN)

Better Bets than Eastman Chemical (EMN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EMN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
EMN_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022EMNEastman ChemicalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.3%0.6%-17.2%
EMN_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020EMNEastman ChemicalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.1%85.0%-36.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
EMN_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022EMNEastman ChemicalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.3%0.6%-17.2%
EMN_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020EMNEastman ChemicalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.1%85.0%-36.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Eastman Chemical

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EMNDOWCELYBDDPPGMedian
NameEastman .Dow Celanese Lyondell.DuPont d.PPG Indu. 
Mkt Price63.9323.0741.5743.7640.60103.7242.66
Mkt Cap7.316.44.614.117.023.415.3
Rev LTM9,02440,9139,71035,15413,51815,69014,604
Op Inc LTM1,1904728561,5232,1432,1721,356
FCF LTM395-1,1201,0244631,316715589
FCF 3Y Avg5119039652,0826581,213934
CFO LTM1,0081,5621,3882,3572,0641,4001,481
CFO 3Y Avg1,1953,6451,4333,8501,9861,8241,905

Growth & Margins

EMNDOWCELYBDDPPGMedian
NameEastman .Dow Celanese Lyondell.DuPont d.PPG Indu. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.4%-5.3%-7.3%-6.3%14.0%8.5%-4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.9%-11.3%0.7%-12.9%1.3%-3.5%-4.7%
Rev Chg Q-10.6%-8.3%-8.6%-11.8%7.3%1.2%-8.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.8%-2.2%-2.3%-2.8%1.6%0.3%-2.2%
Op Mgn LTM13.2%1.2%8.8%4.3%15.9%13.8%11.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.6%3.5%9.5%6.9%14.9%13.8%11.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-0.5%-0.6%-1.8%0.1%-0.0%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM11.2%3.8%14.3%6.7%15.3%8.9%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.9%8.3%13.9%9.9%15.9%11.9%12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM4.4%-2.7%10.5%1.3%9.7%4.6%4.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%1.9%9.4%5.2%5.2%7.9%5.4%

Valuation

EMNDOWCELYBDDPPGMedian
NameEastman .Dow Celanese Lyondell.DuPont d.PPG Indu. 
Mkt Cap7.316.44.614.117.023.415.3
P/S0.80.40.50.42.41.50.6
P/EBIT6.7138.3-2.227.546.312.019.7
P/E10.3-14.4-1.560.5-42.323.84.4
P/CFO7.210.43.36.715.816.98.8
Total Yield12.3%3.7%-65.0%12.7%-0.3%6.8%5.3%
Dividend Yield2.6%10.6%1.9%11.1%2.1%2.6%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.3%1.2%11.8%7.2%1.9%4.2%4.7%
D/E0.71.22.90.80.30.30.8
Net D/E0.60.92.60.70.20.30.7

Returns

EMNDOWCELYBDDPPGMedian
NameEastman .Dow Celanese Lyondell.DuPont d.PPG Indu. 
1M Rtn12.7%8.0%12.6%3.3%5.6%8.8%8.4%
3M Rtn-1.9%-4.6%-7.8%-15.9%32.9%-3.3%-4.0%
6M Rtn-12.2%-16.7%-23.5%-21.4%53.4%-2.8%-14.4%
12M Rtn-29.9%-38.9%-39.1%-36.3%29.4%-12.8%-33.1%
3Y Rtn-12.7%-44.6%-57.1%-33.5%58.8%-12.2%-23.1%
1M Excs Rtn11.9%7.3%11.8%2.6%4.8%8.0%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-3.9%-4.2%-9.9%-15.9%29.3%-5.5%-4.9%
6M Excs Rtn-24.6%-29.0%-35.9%-33.8%41.1%-15.2%-26.8%
12M Excs Rtn-42.6%-50.4%-50.3%-47.6%17.2%-25.3%-45.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-84.6%-114.5%-127.1%-103.8%-14.0%-84.7%-94.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Advanced Materials2,9323,207  2,688
Additives & Functional Products2,8343,475  3,273
Chemical Intermediates2,1432,716  2,443
Fibers1,2951,022  869
Other6160   
Total9,21010,580  9,273


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Advanced Materials5,4234,9674,6614,3454,415
Additives & Functional Products4,6914,9624,1886,2386,387
Corporate Assets1,8381,8322,9951,9081,417
Chemical Intermediates1,6001,8602,7032,6142,775
Fibers1,0811,0469729781,014
Total14,63314,66715,51916,08316,008


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,250,684
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.2%
Average Daily Volume1,486,341
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.86
Basic Shares Quantity114,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/20254.9%6.3%4.8%
7/31/2025-19.0%-15.6%-3.1%
4/24/2025-6.2%-5.7%-0.3%
1/30/20257.5%9.3%1.9%
10/31/2024-3.8%-1.5%-0.8%
7/25/20243.7%4.7%3.8%
4/25/2024-0.6%-0.2%4.3%
2/1/2024-2.7%-2.2%3.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81116
# Negative16138
Median Positive3.6%5.5%4.1%
Median Negative-2.1%-1.6%-2.0%
Max Positive7.5%9.3%18.9%
Max Negative-19.0%-15.6%-9.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021