Tearsheet

LyondellBasell Industries (LYB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.14 | Market Cap: $14.9 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals

LyondellBasell Industries (LYB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.14
Market Cap: $14.9 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LYB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -16% stock movement for LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Significant Q3 2025 Net Loss Driven by Asset Write-downs. LyondellBasell reported a GAAP net loss of $890 million for the third quarter of 2025, primarily due to $1.2 billion in non-cash asset write-downs, which overshadowed better-than-expected adjusted earnings per share and revenue.

2. Weak Q4 2025 Outlook. The company provided a challenging outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025, forecasting impacts from year-end seasonality, lower operating rates, increased maintenance activities, and higher energy and feedstock costs in North America. Persistent weak industrial and consumer demand in Europe and pricing pressures in the Advanced Polymer Solutions segment were also noted as contributing factors to an expected challenging Q4.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LYB Return3%5%-1%21%-17%-29%-25%
Peers Return15%22%-16%7%-11%-26%-16%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LYB Win Rate58%42%67%50%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate67%53%43%47%48%28% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LYB Max Drawdown-63%-6%-15%0%-19%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-5%-31%-10%-20%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APD, PPG, DOW, EMN, HUN. See LYB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLYBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven170.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven296 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to APD, PPG, DOW, EMN, HUN


In The Past

LyondellBasell Industries's stock fell -35.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -35.7% loss requires a 55.5% gain to breakeven.

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About LyondellBasell Industries (LYB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LYB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
LYB_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022LYBLyondellBasell IndustriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
28.0%32.6%0.0%
LYB_7312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312020LYBLyondellBasell IndustriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
41.0%66.5%-0.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
LYB_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022LYBLyondellBasell IndustriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
28.0%32.6%0.0%
LYB_7312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312020LYBLyondellBasell IndustriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
41.0%66.5%-0.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LyondellBasell Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LYBAPDPPGDOWEMNHUNMedian
NameLyondell.Air Prod.PPG Indu.Dow Eastman .Huntsman  
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Growth & Margins

LYBAPDPPGDOWEMNHUNMedian
NameLyondell.Air Prod.PPG Indu.Dow Eastman .Huntsman  
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Valuation

LYBAPDPPGDOWEMNHUNMedian
NameLyondell.Air Prod.PPG Indu.Dow Eastman .Huntsman  
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Returns

LYBAPDPPGDOWEMNHUNMedian
NameLyondell.Air Prod.PPG Indu.Dow Eastman .Huntsman  
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Olefins and Polyolefins-Americas (O&P-Americas)11,28014,48010,5025,0325,311
Intermediates and Derivatives (I&D)11,08612,9509,9686,1447,642
Olefins and Polyolefins - Europe, Asia, International (O&P-EAI)10,47913,45512,6857,8098,764
Refining9,71411,8937,1784,3467,599
Advanced Polymer Solutions (APS)3,6984,2025,1333,9034,846
Technology663693707519565
Other-5,813-7,222   
Total41,10750,45146,17327,75334,727


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20,312,715
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.3%
Average Daily Volume5,626,090
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.61
Basic Shares Quantity322,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021