Avient (AVNT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $30.75 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Avient (AVNT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $30.75Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 5.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.1% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Lightweight Composites, Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. | Key risksAVNT key risks include [1] declining organic sales resulting from significant exposure to weak consumer and packaging demand, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 5.0% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Lightweight Composites, Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.1% |
| Key risksAVNT key risks include [1] declining organic sales resulting from significant exposure to weak consumer and packaging demand, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AVNT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Avient's (AVNT) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Missed Revenue Expectations in Q3 2025: On November 5, 2025, Avient announced its third-quarter 2025 sales of $806.5 million, which missed analyst projections of $823.57 million (or $841.5 million). This revenue shortfall was a primary concern for investors and contributed to a negative stock reaction, with shares falling 1.79% in regular trading following a 1.02% decline in pre-market activity.
2. Year-over-Year Sales Decline: Avient's reported third-quarter sales represented a 1% decrease from the $815.2 million recorded in the same quarter of the previous year. This decline indicated underlying organic sales headwinds, even with a favorable 2% impact from foreign exchange rates, suggesting challenges in core business performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AVNT Return | 13% | 41% | -38% | 26% | 1% | -23% | -4% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 19% | -15% | 29% | -17% | -21% | -1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AVNT Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AVNT Max Drawdown | -72% | -5% | -49% | -6% | -14% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -56% | -5% | -31% | -5% | -24% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CE, EMN, LYB, WLK, DD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AVNT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 263.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 251 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 645 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 579.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 375 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FUL, GEVO, FSI, LOOP, VRDE
In The Past
Avient's stock fell -53.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -53.9% loss requires a 117.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AVNT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Avient
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| Rev LTM | 10,595 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,023 |
| FCF LTM | 429 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 601 |
| CFO LTM | 1,198 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,504 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -4.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | -8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 4.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -33.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -18.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -45.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -90.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 0.0% | -4.7% | -1.1% |
| 8/1/2025 | 7.0% | 5.1% | 18.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | 4.3% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| 2/13/2025 | 2.9% | 5.4% | -3.5% |
| 10/31/2024 | -3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | 9.8% | 9.7% | 14.7% |
| 5/7/2024 | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| 2/14/2024 | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.2% | -4.4% | -3.5% |
| Max Positive | 12.3% | 14.7% | 18.5% |
| Max Negative | -18.9% | -16.2% | -23.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |