Bioage Labs (BIOA)
Market Price (8/3/2026): $9.06 | Market Cap: $384.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Bioage Labs (BIOA)
Market Price (8/3/2026): $9.06Market Cap: $384.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -99% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 611% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -47% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -102 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -986% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 119% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 126% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -856%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -859% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -28% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 107% Key risksBIOA key risks include [1] the recent Phase 2 trial failure of its lead obesity drug, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -99% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 611% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -102 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -986% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 119% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 126% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -856%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -859% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -28% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 107% |
| Key risksBIOA key risks include [1] the recent Phase 2 trial failure of its lead obesity drug, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Bioage Labs (BIOA) stock has lost about 45% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Novo Nordisk's Phase 3 Trial Failure Created Significant Scientific Uncertainty.
On July 31, 2026, Bioage Labs (BIOA) stock plunged by 61.73% to 64% after Novo Nordisk's experimental drug ziltivekimab failed to meet its primary endpoint in the Phase 3 ZEUS cardiovascular outcomes trial. This setback for an IL-6 pathway inhibitor, also targeting inflammation for cardiovascular risk, raised significant concerns across the biotech sector about the underlying scientific hypothesis that reducing inflammatory markers like high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) translates into clinical benefit for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Bioage Labs' lead candidate, BGE-102, an NLRP3 inhibitor, shares a similar anti-inflammatory mechanism and is currently in Phase 2 trials for cardiovascular risk, making it highly susceptible to this negative read-through. The failure prompted analysts to question the viability of the inflammation pathway for cardiovascular disease, with some suggesting investors might remove Bioage's NLRP3 opportunity from their valuation models.
2. Widening Net Losses Continued to Pressure Financials.
Bioage Labs reported a net loss of $22.3 million for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026. This represented a 72.87% increase from the $12.9 million net loss reported in fiscal Q1 2025. The loss per share also widened by 44.4% to $0.52 in fiscal Q1 2026, compared to $0.36 in the prior year's quarter. While revenue increased by 91.0% year-over-year to $2.8 million due to collaboration activities, research and development expenses significantly rose to approximately $20.4 million in fiscal Q1 2026, up from $11.1 million in fiscal Q1 2025, largely driven by increased investment in the BGE-102 program. This continued trend of substantial losses, despite beating analyst estimates for EPS, indicates ongoing cash burn for a clinical-stage company without significant commercial revenue.
Show more
Bioage Labs (BIOA) stock has lost about 45% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Novo Nordisk's Phase 3 Trial Failure Created Significant Scientific Uncertainty.
On July 31, 2026, Bioage Labs (BIOA) stock plunged by 61.73% to 64% after Novo Nordisk's experimental drug ziltivekimab failed to meet its primary endpoint in the Phase 3 ZEUS cardiovascular outcomes trial. This setback for an IL-6 pathway inhibitor, also targeting inflammation for cardiovascular risk, raised significant concerns across the biotech sector about the underlying scientific hypothesis that reducing inflammatory markers like high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) translates into clinical benefit for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Bioage Labs' lead candidate, BGE-102, an NLRP3 inhibitor, shares a similar anti-inflammatory mechanism and is currently in Phase 2 trials for cardiovascular risk, making it highly susceptible to this negative read-through. The failure prompted analysts to question the viability of the inflammation pathway for cardiovascular disease, with some suggesting investors might remove Bioage's NLRP3 opportunity from their valuation models.
2. Widening Net Losses Continued to Pressure Financials.
Bioage Labs reported a net loss of $22.3 million for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026. This represented a 72.87% increase from the $12.9 million net loss reported in fiscal Q1 2025. The loss per share also widened by 44.4% to $0.52 in fiscal Q1 2026, compared to $0.36 in the prior year's quarter. While revenue increased by 91.0% year-over-year to $2.8 million due to collaboration activities, research and development expenses significantly rose to approximately $20.4 million in fiscal Q1 2026, up from $11.1 million in fiscal Q1 2025, largely driven by increased investment in the BGE-102 program. This continued trend of substantial losses, despite beating analyst estimates for EPS, indicates ongoing cash burn for a clinical-stage company without significant commercial revenue.
3. Broader Biotech Sector De-risking and Pipeline Contraction.
The general sentiment in the biopharma sector during the period reflected a shift towards de-risking and a more selective investment environment. The "State of Emerging Biotech" report, released on June 23, 2026, highlighted a 3.9% decline in the global biopharma R&D pipeline – the first contraction in 15 years. Investors were increasingly concentrating resources on later-stage, clinically validated assets rather than preclinical or early-stage drugs. This broader industry trend made emerging biotech companies, particularly those with early to mid-stage pipelines focused on high-risk mechanisms, more vulnerable to negative news and market skepticism. This backdrop amplified the impact of the Novo Nordisk trial failure on Bioage Labs, as investors became more cautious about speculative early-stage programs.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -46.4% change in BIOA stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.85 | 9.04 | -46.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9 | 10 | 14.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 67.8 | 37.2 | -45.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 42 | -14.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -46.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIOA | -46.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.9% | 13.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 11.3% | 13.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -52.4% change in BIOA stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.99 | 9.04 | -52.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6 | 10 | 74.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 115.1 | 37.2 | -67.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 42 | -15.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -52.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIOA | -52.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.3% | 21.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 5.5% | 19.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 105.5% change in BIOA stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 611.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.40 | 9.04 | 105.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 10 | 611.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 108.7 | 37.2 | -65.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 42 | -15.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 105.5% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIOA | 105.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.2% | 19.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 26.2% | 18.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BIOA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 68.9% | 14.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 26.9% | 15.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BIOA Return | - | - | - | -68% | 128% | 88% | 36% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 30% | 18% | 7% | 33% | 2% | 182% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BIOA Win Rate | - | - | - | 50% | 75% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 67% | 50% | 44% | 64% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BIOA Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -48% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -13% | -15% | -22% | -24% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OPTH, TRLV, LLY, JNJ, MRK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/31/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BIOA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Bioage Labs's stock fell -29.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.4% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | BIOA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Bioage Labs's stock fell -29.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Bioage Labs (BIOA)
Bioage Labs (BIOA) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapeutic product candidates for metabolic diseases, such as obesity, by specifically targeting the biology of human aging. The company utilizes a unique technology platform built on proprietary human datasets. These datasets, derived from serial biobanked samples and health records collected over decades, enable Bioage Labs to identify molecular changes that drive aging and related functional decline, informing the development of novel pharmaceutical products.
The company's lead product candidate, Azelaprag, is an orally available small molecule that has demonstrated promising preclinical results, including the ability to more than double weight loss when combined with GLP-1R agonists. Bioage Labs is currently advancing Azelaprag into two Phase 2 clinical trials for obesity, combining it with tirzepatide (Zepbound) and semaglutide (Wegovy), with the ultimate goal of developing an all-oral combination product. An additional proof-of-concept trial for azelaprag monotherapy in insulin sensitivity is also planned. Beyond Azelaprag, the pipeline includes orally available small molecule NLRP3 inhibitors for neuroinflammation, with an Investigational New Drug (IND) application anticipated in the second half of 2025.
Bioage Labs targets chronic metabolic diseases like obesity and diabetes due to their high prevalence and significant market opportunities, with the global market for GLP-1R agonists alone projected to reach $150 billion by 2031. Through its distinctive approach of modulating biological pathways associated with a longer, healthier human lifespan, the company aims to address major global healthcare challenges and capitalize on these substantial therapeutic markets.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Bioage Labs (BIOA):
- Bioage Labs is like a company developing 'booster packs' for highly successful obesity drugs such as Wegovy and Zepbound, aiming to significantly enhance their weight loss and muscle benefits by targeting the biology of aging.
- Imagine Bioage Labs as a 'performance tuner' for blockbuster weight-loss medications from companies like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, focused on dramatically improving their results through novel insights into aging biology.
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- Azelaprag: An orally available small molecule drug candidate primarily being developed to enhance weight loss in combination with GLP-1R agonists for obesity, and also for improving insulin sensitivity.
- NLRP3 Inhibitors: A class of orally available small molecule brain-penetrant drug candidates in preclinical development for the treatment of diseases driven by neuroinflammation.
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Bioage Labs (BIOA) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the research and development of therapeutic product candidates. As such, the company is currently in the development and clinical trial phase for its drug candidates (e.g., Azelaprag, NLRP3 inhibitors) and has not yet commercialized any products. Therefore, Bioage Labs does not currently have major customers in the traditional sense of selling goods or services.
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Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
Novo Nordisk (NVO)
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Kristen Fortney, Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer, President, and Director
Kristen Fortney co-founded BioAge Labs in April 2015. She holds a Ph.D. in Medical Biophysics from the University of Toronto and completed postdoctoral training at Stanford University as an Ellison/AFAR fellow. Her expertise lies in aging research, systems biology, and bioinformatics, with over a decade of experience in developing bioinformatics approaches for data-driven investigations into aging and age-related diseases. She also serves as an advisor to multiple biotechnology companies. BioAge Labs is described as a venture-backed computational biology startup.
Dov Goldstein, Chief Financial Officer
Dov Goldstein joined BioAge as Chief Financial Officer in November 2021, bringing extensive experience in finance and healthcare. He previously served as Chief Financial and Business Officer at Indapta Therapeutics (2020-2021), CEO at RIGImmune (2018-2020), and CFO of Schrödinger (2017-2018). Notably, he served as CFO of Vicuron Pharmaceuticals from 2000 to 2005, which was acquired by Pfizer for $1.9 billion in 2005. He was also CFO of Loxo Oncology from 2014 to 2015, a company later acquired by Eli Lilly for $8 billion. During his tenure at Vicuron Pharmaceuticals, he raised over $250 million in equity financing. He was also a Managing Partner at Aisling Capital, indicating a pattern of involvement with companies backed by private equity firms. Dov Goldstein holds an M.D. from Yale School of Medicine, an M.B.A. from Columbia Business School, and a B.S. in Biological Sciences from Stanford University.
Eric Morgen, Co-Founder, Chief Operating Officer and Director
Eric Morgen co-founded BioAge Labs with Kristen Fortney in 2015. Prior to BioAge, he was on the faculty at the University of Toronto, where his research focused on biomarker discovery and characterization in high-dimensional datasets from human cohorts. He also possesses a strong background in machine learning.
Paul Rubin, Chief Medical Officer & EVP, Research
Paul Rubin has over 35 years of experience in the biotechnology industry, having led 12 compounds to U.S. approval, including Lunesta® and Xopenex®, with five of these led from discovery through approval. He previously held roles as Executive Vice President Research and Development at miRagen Therapeutics, Inc., Chief Medical Officer at XOMA Corporation, and Executive Vice President Research and Development at Sepracor, Inc.
Peng Leong, Chief Business Officer & Therapeutic Area Head, Brain Aging
Peng Leong is responsible for identifying and executing strategic transactions at BioAge, playing a key role in building the company's pipeline through actions such as in-licensing Azelaprag from Amgen and establishing research collaborations with Lilly and Novartis. His prior experience includes serving as Chief Business Officer of Kazia Therapeutics, where he managed strategy and business development and in-licensed paxalisib. He has been involved in the acquisition or sale of over US$1 billion in pharmaceutical product rights through various roles, including at Merck KGaA and DRI Healthcare. Earlier in his career, he worked in healthcare investment banking at CIBC World Markets and Piper Jaffray, where he contributed to raising over US$1.4 billion for more than 20 biotechnology companies. Peng Leong holds a Ph.D. in Biochemistry from the University of Toronto and an MBA from the University of California, Berkeley.
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- Risk of Clinical Trial Failure or Unpredictability of Later-Stage Results: Bioage Labs explicitly states that "While the results of these preclinical studies and early clinical trials have demonstrated the potential use of azelaprag for the treatment of metabolic disease, they may not be predictive of the results of later-stage clinical trials." The company's lead product candidate, Azelaprag, is currently in or planning Phase 2 clinical trials, including the STRIDES trial with tirzepatide, a trial with semaglutide, and an insulin sensitivity proof-of-concept trial. The success of these trials is critical for the product's viability and market success, and there is no guarantee that Azelaprag will perform as well in later stages as it did in early studies. A previous obesity drug candidate faced a halted clinical trial due to safety concerns, resulting in a significant stock drop and investor lawsuits. Failure to achieve positive outcomes in these later-stage trials would severely impact the company's prospects.
- Market Competition and Adoption Risk in the Metabolic Disease Landscape: Bioage Labs is targeting the highly competitive metabolic disease market, particularly obesity. This market is currently dominated by well-established glucagon-like-peptide-1 receptor (GLP-1R) agonists such as Zepbound® (tirzepatide) from Eli Lilly and Company, and Wegovy® (semaglutide) from Novo Nordisk. Bioage's strategy involves developing azelaprag as a combination therapy to enhance the effects of GLP-1R agonists. However, the company faces the risk that its combination product may not achieve sufficient differentiation, demonstrate superior efficacy, or gain significant market acceptance against these powerful existing monotherapies or future competing combination therapies.
- Regulatory Approval Risk: As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Bioage Labs' product candidates, including Azelaprag and its NLRP3 inhibitors, are subject to rigorous regulatory scrutiny from agencies like the FDA. Even if clinical trials demonstrate positive results, there is no guarantee of regulatory approval. Delays or issues in obtaining necessary approvals could significantly hinder the company's ability to bring its products to market, as highlighted by the statement regarding their NLRP3 inhibitor: "We anticipate submitting an Investigational New Drug application (IND) for an NLRP3 inhibitor in the second half of 2025 and, if cleared, initiating a Phase 1 clinical trial in the first half of 2026."
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For Bioage Labs (BIOA), the expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are primarily centered around the advancement and expansion of its clinical pipeline:
- Positive Clinical Trial Results for Azelaprag in Combination with GLP-1R Agonists for Obesity: The ongoing STRIDES clinical trial assessing azelaprag with tirzepatide is anticipated to report topline results in the third quarter of 2025. Additionally, the second Phase 2 trial combining azelaprag with semaglutide is expected to initiate in the first half of 2025, with topline results projected in the second half of 2026. Successful outcomes from these trials are critical as they target the substantial and growing global market for GLP-1R agonists, potentially leading to an all-oral combination product for obesity.
- Expansion of Azelaprag's Indications to Include Insulin Sensitivity: Bioage Labs plans to initiate an insulin sensitivity proof-of-concept trial of azelaprag monotherapy in the first half of 2025, with topline results expected in the second half of 2025. Positive results from this trial would validate azelaprag's potential for indication expansion, opening up another significant market opportunity beyond obesity.
- Advancement of the NLRP3 Inhibitor Program into Clinical Trials: The company anticipates submitting an Investigational New Drug (IND) application for an orally available, small molecule brain-penetrant NLRP3 inhibitor in the second half of 2025. If cleared, a Phase 1 clinical trial is expected to commence in the first half of 2026. The successful progression of this program into clinical development would diversify Bioage Labs' pipeline and establish a new potential revenue stream in the neuroinflammation therapeutic area.
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Share Issuance
- BioAge Labs priced an upsized underwritten public offering of 5,897,435 shares of common stock at $19.50 per share on January 21, 2026, expected to generate approximately $115.0 million in gross proceeds.
- The company granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 884,615 shares of common stock in connection with the January 2026 offering.
- A registration statement for the resale of up to 2,227,124 shares of common stock by a selling stockholder was filed, from which the company itself would not receive proceeds.
Inbound Investments
- Institutional investors collectively hold a 43% ownership stake in BioAge Labs.
- Private equity firms hold a 20% stake in the company.
- Significant institutional shareholders include AH Capital Management, L.L.C., Sofinnova Investments, and Octagon Capital Advisors LP.
Capital Expenditures
- In the last 12 months, BioAge Labs reported capital expenditures of approximately $633,000.
- Net proceeds from the January 2026 public offering are intended to fund, among other things, capital expenditures.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Bioage Labs Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Bioage Labs Stock Rockets 52% With 8-Day Winning Streak | 12/13/2025 | |
| With Bioage Labs Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 69.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 161.8 |
| Rev LTM | 33,469 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,559 |
| FCF LTM | 5,296 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 958 |
| CFO LTM | 9,084 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,712 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 31.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 22.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of extending healthy human life by targeting molecular causes of aging | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Business of extending healthy human life by targeting molecular causes of aging | -93 | -78 |
| Total | -93 | -78 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Business of extending healthy human life by targeting molecular causes of aging | -81 | -71 |
| Total | -81 | -71 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Business of extending healthy human life by targeting molecular causes of aging | 26 | 28 |
| Total | 26 | 28 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $9.04 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/26/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -64.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $20.26 | $16.43 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -55.4% | -45.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 150.5% | 106.7% |
| Downside Capture | 143.13 | 125.47 |
| Upside Capture | -154.43 | 189.06 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 45.6% | 28.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.99 | 1.27 | 1.51 | 1.77 | 1.60 | 0.26 |
| Up Beta | 2.91 | 5.01 | 4.54 | 3.43 | 2.05 | 0.11 |
| Down Beta | -1.13 | 1.55 | 1.07 | 0.82 | 0.52 | 0.25 |
| Up Capture | -839% | -251% | -117% | 14% | 299% | 47% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 20 | 31 | 58 | 129 | 230 |
| Down Capture | 258% | 87% | 138% | 170% | 120% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 23 | 32 | 67 | 121 | 221 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIOA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIOA | 105.1% | 106.5% | 1.31 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 22.8% | 15.9% | 1.10 | 18.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 18.8% | 12.9% | 1.07 | 19.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.6% | 28.1% | 0.74 | 17.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 30.2% | 19.7% | 1.22 | -7.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.7% | 13.9% | 0.69 | 14.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -46.8% | 43.0% | -1.34 | 20.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIOA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIOA | 17.6% | 92.1% | 0.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.9% | 15.0% | 0.22 | 16.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.6% | 17.1% | 0.56 | 16.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.5% | 0.75 | 14.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.0% | 19.5% | 0.35 | -3.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 14.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.4% | 53.3% | 0.43 | 19.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BIOA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIOA | 8.5% | 92.1% | 0.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.9% | 16.6% | 0.48 | 16.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 16.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.3% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 14.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 18.0% | 0.32 | -3.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 14.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.6% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 19.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/12/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/8/2026 | 1.0% | 5.0% | -13.0% |
| 11/6/2025 | -2.8% | 3.3% | 61.4% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.2% | 5.3% | 9.9% |
| 5/6/2025 | 2.8% | 1.0% | 12.4% |
| 3/20/2025 | 2.5% | -11.4% | -8.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 7.6% | -5.4% | -2.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 4.2% | 12.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -8.4% | -8.2% |
| Max Positive | 7.6% | 5.3% | 61.4% |
| Max Negative | -2.8% | -11.4% | -13.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/8/2026 | 1.0% | 5.0% | -13.0% |
| 11/6/2025 | -2.8% | 3.3% | 61.4% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.2% | 5.3% | 9.9% |
| 5/6/2025 | 2.8% | 1.0% | 12.4% |
| 3/20/2025 | 2.5% | -11.4% | -8.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 7.6% | -5.4% | -2.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 4.2% | 12.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -8.4% | -8.2% |
| Max Positive | 7.6% | 5.3% | 61.4% |
| Max Negative | -2.8% | -11.4% | -13.0% |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/27/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/8/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 BGE-102 Phase 2 Cardiovascular Risk Trial Initiation | |||||||
| 2026 BGE-102 Phase 2 Cardiovascular Risk Trial Data | |||||||
| 2026 BGE-102 Phase 1b/2a DME Trial Initiation | |||||||
| 2027 BGE-102 Phase 1b/2a DME Trial Data | |||||||
| 2026 APJ Program IND Filing | |||||||
| 2029 Cash Runway | Affirmed | Guidance: 0 for 2029 | |||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2029 Cash Runway | Affirmed | Guidance: 0 for 2029 | |||||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/1/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barton, Shane | Principal Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 25.19 | 20,216 | Form | ||
| 2 | Barton, Shane | Principal Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 25.21 | 42,350 | Form | ||
| 3 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 17.81 | 8,820 | Form | ||
| 4 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 20.30 | 7,433 | Form | ||
| 5 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 2032026 | 18.75 | 7,433 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barton, Shane | Principal Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 25.19 | 20,216 | Form | ||
| 2 | Barton, Shane | Principal Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 25.21 | 42,350 | Form | ||
| 3 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 17.81 | 8,820 | Form | ||
| 4 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 20.30 | 7,433 | Form | ||
| 5 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 2032026 | 18.75 | 7,433 | Form | ||
| 6 | Goldstein, Dov A MD | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1152026 | 19.70 | 27,000 | 531,828 | 441,378 | Form |
| 7 | Fortney, Kristen | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1152026 | 18.12 | 233,107 | 4,223,036 | 17,698,701 | Form |
| 8 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 12.85 | 7,433 | Form | ||
| 9 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 12.00 | 18,000 | Form | ||
| 10 | Rubin, Paul D | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 10.19 | 68,897 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 3, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| a16z Capital Management, L.L.C. | $56.5 Mil | 4.4% | 16 | Hold | 13F |
| Pivotal bioVenture Partners Investment Advisor LLC | $11.4 Mil | 4.1% | 13 | Hold | 13F |
| Octagon Capital Advisors LP | $30.6 Mil | 3.4% | 29 | ADD +9.4% | 13F |
| Sands Capital Alternatives, LLC | $13.8 Mil | 3.3% | 21 | Hold | 13F |
| Cormorant Asset Management, LP | $50.6 Mil | 2.5% | 46 | ADD +41.7% | 13F |
| Active Manager |
|---|
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| a16z Capital Management, L.L.C. | $56.5 Mil | 4.4% | 16 | Hold | 13F |
| Cormorant Asset Management, LP | $50.6 Mil | 2.5% | 46 | ADD +41.7% | 13F |
| Octagon Capital Advisors LP | $30.6 Mil | 3.4% | 29 | ADD +9.4% | 13F |
| Sands Capital Alternatives, LLC | $13.8 Mil | 3.3% | 21 | Hold | 13F |
| Pivotal bioVenture Partners Investment Advisor LLC | $11.4 Mil | 4.1% | 13 | Hold | 13F |
Industry Resources
| Health Care Resources |
| U.S. National Library of Medicine |
| ClinicalTrials.gov |
| Modern Healthcare |
| Healthcare Dive |
| Fierce Healthcare |
| Health Affairs |
| Health Data Management |
| FDA Tracker |
| Pharmaceuticals Resources |
| Fierce Pharma |
| Pharm Exec |
| Endpoints News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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