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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include mRNA Technology, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include mRNA Technology, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PFE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points for the movement of Pfizer's stock (PFE) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:



1. Positive Q3 2025 Earnings and Raised EPS Guidance: On November 4, 2025, Pfizer reported solid third-quarter 2025 earnings, with revenues of $16.7 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.87, both beating analyst expectations. The company also raised and narrowed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $3.00 to $3.15, reaffirming its revenue guidance of $61-64 billion. This financial performance, driven by strong operational execution and progress on cost savings, instilled investor confidence.



2. Acquisition of Metsera and Expansion into Obesity Market: Pfizer completed the acquisition of Metsera, an obesity drug startup, on November 13, 2025, after a reported $10 billion fight with Novo Nordisk. This acquisition is seen as a strategic move to accelerate and expand Pfizer's presence in the high-growth therapeutic area of obesity, bolstering its pipeline and offering significant growth opportunities.



Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PFE Return-2%67%-10%-41%-2%2%-15%
Peers Return9%21%27%7%10%19%132%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PFE Win Rate33%75%42%17%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate50%50%69%44%50%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PFE Max Drawdown-27%-8%-28%-47%-11%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-7%-7%-17%-9%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, BMY, LHI. See PFE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPFES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven254 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven727 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1429 days1480 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, BMY, LHI


In The Past

Pfizer's stock fell -57.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/16/2021. A -57.3% loss requires a 134.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Pfizer (PFE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PFE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
PFE_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.4%10.8%-1.6%
PFE_2282023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282023PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.9%-29.9%-33.3%
PFE_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-9.6%-18.6%-19.5%
PFE_2282022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282022PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.1%-10.6%-10.6%
PFE_3312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312020PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.0%15.6%-2.7%
PFE_9302019_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302019PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.3%4.7%-19.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
PFE_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.4%10.8%-1.6%
PFE_2282023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282023PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.9%-29.9%-33.3%
PFE_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-9.6%-18.6%-19.5%
PFE_2282022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282022PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.1%-10.6%-10.6%
PFE_3312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312020PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.0%15.6%-2.7%
PFE_9302019_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302019PFEPfizerMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.3%4.7%-19.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pfizer

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PFELLYJNJMRKBMYLHIMedian
NamePfizer Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Bristol-.Living H. 
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PFELLYJNJMRKBMYLHIMedian
NamePfizer Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Bristol-.Living H. 
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Valuation

PFELLYJNJMRKBMYLHIMedian
NamePfizer Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Bristol-.Living H. 
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Returns

PFELLYJNJMRKBMYLHIMedian
NamePfizer Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Bristol-.Living H. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Biopharma58,23798,98879,55740,724 
Other business activities1,3161,3421,731926 
Consumer Healthcare Business    2,082
Hospital    7,772
Inflammation & Immunology (I&I)    4,733
Internal Medicine    8,790
Oncology    9,014
Rare Disease    2,278
Vaccines    6,504
Total59,553100,33081,28841,65041,173


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity130,660,363
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.2%
Average Daily Volume126,043,706
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.04
Basic Shares Quantity5,685,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022810202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021