Pfizer (PFE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.505 | Market Cap: $145.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Pfizer (PFE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.505Market Cap: $145.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include mRNA Technology, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include mRNA Technology, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PFE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points for the movement of Pfizer's stock (PFE) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Positive Q3 2025 Earnings and Raised EPS Guidance: On November 4, 2025, Pfizer reported solid third-quarter 2025 earnings, with revenues of $16.7 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.87, both beating analyst expectations. The company also raised and narrowed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $3.00 to $3.15, reaffirming its revenue guidance of $61-64 billion. This financial performance, driven by strong operational execution and progress on cost savings, instilled investor confidence.
2. Acquisition of Metsera and Expansion into Obesity Market: Pfizer completed the acquisition of Metsera, an obesity drug startup, on November 13, 2025, after a reported $10 billion fight with Novo Nordisk. This acquisition is seen as a strategic move to accelerate and expand Pfizer's presence in the high-growth therapeutic area of obesity, bolstering its pipeline and offering significant growth opportunities.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PFE Return | -2% | 67% | -10% | -41% | -2% | 2% | -15% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 21% | 27% | 7% | 10% | 19% | 132% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PFE Win Rate | 33% | 75% | 42% | 17% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 69% | 44% | 50% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PFE Max Drawdown | -27% | -8% | -28% | -47% | -11% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -7% | -7% | -17% | -9% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, BMY, LHI. See PFE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PFE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 254 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 727 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1429 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, BMY, LHI
In The Past
Pfizer's stock fell -57.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/16/2021. A -57.3% loss requires a 134.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Could This Fuel The Next Surge in Pfizer Stock | |||
| A Decade of Rewards: $68 Bil From Pfizer Stock | |||
| 3 Forces That Could Shake Pfizer Stock | |||
| Should You Buy Pfizer Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| What Could Send Pfizer Stock Soaring | |||
| How Low Can Pfizer Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Day 9 of Loss Streak for Pfizer Stock with -11% Return (vs. -3.8% YTD) [10/16/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 8 of Loss Streak for Pfizer Stock with -11% Return (vs. -3.1% YTD) [10/15/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 7 of Loss Streak for Pfizer Stock with -10% Return (vs. -2.6% YTD) [10/14/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 6 of Loss Streak for Pfizer Stock with -9.6% Return (vs. -1.8% YTD) [10/13/2025] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| A Decade of Rewards: $68 Bil From Pfizer Stock | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Pfizer Stock Capital Return Hits $68 Bil | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Pfizer Stock Shares $68 Bil Success With Investors | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| How Does Pfizer Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | November 7th, 2025 | ||
| Pfizer Stock To $32? | November 4th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PFE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.4% | 10.8% | -1.6% |
| 02282023 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.9% | -29.9% | -33.3% |
| 08312022 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -9.6% | -18.6% | -19.5% |
| 02282022 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.1% | -10.6% | -10.6% |
| 03312020 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.0% | 15.6% | -2.7% |
| 09302019 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.3% | 4.7% | -19.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.4% | 10.8% | -1.6% |
| 02282023 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.9% | -29.9% | -33.3% |
| 08312022 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -9.6% | -18.6% | -19.5% |
| 02282022 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.1% | -10.6% | -10.6% |
| 03312020 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.0% | 15.6% | -2.7% |
| 09302019 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.3% | 4.7% | -19.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Pfizer
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biopharma | 58,237 | 98,988 | 79,557 | 40,724 | |
| Other business activities | 1,316 | 1,342 | 1,731 | 926 | |
| Consumer Healthcare Business | 2,082 | ||||
| Hospital | 7,772 | ||||
| Inflammation & Immunology (I&I) | 4,733 | ||||
| Internal Medicine | 8,790 | ||||
| Oncology | 9,014 | ||||
| Rare Disease | 2,278 | ||||
| Vaccines | 6,504 | ||||
| Total | 59,553 | 100,330 | 81,288 | 41,650 | 41,173 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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