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Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $48.79 | Market Cap: $99.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $48.79
Market Cap: $99.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 1.0%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 1.0%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

BMY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Bristol-Myers Squibb reported robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025 on October 30, 2025. The company exceeded analyst expectations with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.63, beating the consensus estimate of $1.52. Additionally, revenue reached $12.22 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $11.75 billion. This positive earnings surprise contributed significantly to the stock's upward movement.

2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Revenue Guidance. Following the better-than-expected third-quarter results, Bristol-Myers Squibb's management raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook. The new guidance range was set between $47.5 billion and $48.0 billion, an increase from its prior projections. This upward revision in guidance signaled increased confidence from the company's leadership regarding its future performance and market trajectory.

3. Exceptional Performance of the Growth Portfolio. The company's "Growth Portfolio," which includes key drugs such as Opdivo, Reblozyl, Breyanzi, and Camzyos, demonstrated significant strength in Q3 2025. Sales from this portfolio surged by an impressive 18% year-over-year, reaching $6.9 billion, effectively offsetting the anticipated decline in sales from legacy products facing patent expiration.

4. Strategic Acquisition of Orbital Therapeutics. Bristol-Myers Squibb announced a definitive agreement to acquire Orbital Therapeutics, a move aimed at enhancing its pipeline with innovative in-vivo CAR-T and RNA platforms. This strategic acquisition underscores the company's commitment to developing next-generation therapies and expanding its presence in advanced treatment modalities.

5. Positive Regulatory Milestone for Breyanzi. In August 2025, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted Bristol-Myers Squibb's supplemental biologics license application for Breyanzi, granting it Priority Review. This application is for Breyanzi as a potential treatment for adult patients with relapsed or refractory marginal zone lymphoma, with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal date of December 5, 2025, indicating a potential near-term label expansion.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BMY Return0%3%19%-26%16%-10%-5%
Peers Return12%25%10%18%1%10%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BMY Win Rate42%42%75%25%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%48%47%43%47%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BMY Max Drawdown-27%-12%-1%-30%-20%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-6%-14%-8%-9%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, ZTS, BGM. See BMY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBMYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven476 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven743 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1084 days1480 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, ZTS, BGM


In The Past

Bristol-Myers Squibb's stock fell -40.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -40.2% loss requires a 67.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)

Better Bets than Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BMY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.2%-9.2%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.4%2.4%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.6%-25.6%-25.6%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.6%13.6%-7.0%
BMY_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025BMYBristol-Myers SquibbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.9%14.9%-0.3%
BMY_4302024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302024BMYBristol-Myers SquibbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.7%19.9%-8.8%
BMY_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312023BMYBristol-Myers SquibbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.7%7.4%-20.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.2%-9.2%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.4%2.4%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.6%-25.6%-25.6%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.6%13.6%-7.0%
BMY_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025BMYBristol-Myers SquibbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.9%14.9%-0.3%
BMY_4302024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302024BMYBristol-Myers SquibbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.7%19.9%-8.8%
BMY_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312023BMYBristol-Myers SquibbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.7%7.4%-20.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Bristol-Myers Squibb

Financials

BMYLLYJNJMRKZTSBGMMedian
NameBristol-.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Zoetis BGM  
Mkt Price48.631,021.37195.2592.93121.169.18107.05
Mkt Cap99.0917.1470.2231.953.7-231.9
Rev LTM48,03453,25892,14964,2359,397-53,258
Op Inc LTM11,42022,88224,14622,3913,536-22,391
FCF LTM15,302-5018,67913,0492,240-13,049
FCF 3Y Avg13,598-15617,81413,6852,013-13,598
CFO LTM16,62110,93824,20417,0652,916-16,621
CFO 3Y Avg14,8467,23023,20917,5062,686-14,846

Growth & Margins

BMYLLYJNJMRKZTSBGMMedian
NameBristol-.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Zoetis BGM  
Rev Chg LTM1.3%36.8%5.1%1.7%2.7%-2.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.0%23.4%6.1%2.9%5.5%-5.5%
Rev Chg Q2.8%37.6%6.8%3.7%0.5%-3.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%8.7%1.7%1.0%0.1%-1.0%
Op Mgn LTM23.8%43.0%26.2%34.9%37.6%-34.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.0%35.6%26.4%23.7%36.8%-26.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.9%1.8%1.7%3.7%0.1%-1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM34.6%20.5%26.3%26.6%31.0%-26.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.7%17.8%26.4%28.2%29.8%-28.2%
FCF/Rev LTM31.9%-0.1%20.3%20.3%23.8%-20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg29.0%0.5%20.3%22.0%22.3%-22.0%

Valuation

BMYLLYJNJMRKZTSBGMMedian
NameBristol-.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Zoetis BGM  
Mkt Cap99.0917.1470.2231.953.7-231.9
P/S2.117.25.13.65.7-5.1
P/EBIT9.951.614.510.015.1-14.5
P/E16.466.518.712.220.2-18.7
P/CFO6.083.819.413.618.4-18.4
Total Yield11.2%2.1%7.9%11.7%6.5%-7.9%
Dividend Yield5.1%0.5%2.6%3.5%1.6%-2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.2%0.1%4.4%5.5%2.6%-4.4%
D/E0.50.00.10.20.1-0.1
Net D/E0.30.00.10.10.1-0.1

Returns

BMYLLYJNJMRKZTSBGMMedian
NameBristol-.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Zoetis BGM  
1M Rtn11.0%25.7%2.3%9.7%-15.3%-4.4%6.0%
3M Rtn3.1%49.6%12.6%13.4%-20.6%21.2%13.0%
6M Rtn9.0%39.9%32.6%26.7%-23.9%-20.3%17.9%
12M Rtn-12.6%26.8%31.5%-2.2%-30.7%40.4%12.3%
3Y Rtn-27.3%193.3%24.4%1.3%-14.6%-1.3%
1M Excs Rtn10.5%22.6%1.1%9.5%-15.4%-0.6%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn-2.7%41.2%6.9%7.0%-25.6%16.8%6.9%
6M Excs Rtn-4.8%26.0%18.7%12.9%-37.8%-34.2%4.0%
12M Excs Rtn-26.9%11.4%17.7%-16.6%-42.6%18.7%-2.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-106.6%109.6%-52.9%-75.9%-84.1%--75.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Eliquis12,20611,78910,7629,1687,929
Opdivo9,0098,2497,5236,9927,204
Revlimid6,0979,97812,82112,1061,299
Orencia3,6013,4643,3063,1572,977
Pomalyst/Imnovid3,4413,4973,3323,070322
Yervoy2,2382,1312,0261,6821,489
Sprycel1,9302,1652,1172,1402,110
Other Growth products1,211    
Reblozyl1,008717551274 
Abraxane1,0048111,1811,247166
Other Legacy products962    
Opdualag627252   
Abecma472388164  
Zeposia43425013412 
Breyanzi36418287  
Camzyos23124   
Sotyktu1708   
Augtyro10   
Cobenfy0    
Krazati0    
Inrebic 8574555
Mature and other brands 2,0451,9002,217 
Onureg 1247317 
Empliciti  334381357
Baraclude    555
Other Brands    1,674
Vidaza    58
Total45,00646,15946,38542,51826,145


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity32,070,775
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520255.6%
Average Daily Volume17,797,730
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.80
Basic Shares Quantity2,036,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20257.1%9.1% 
7/31/2025-5.8%-2.5%2.0%
4/24/20250.3%3.4%-3.1%
2/6/2025-3.8%-6.0%2.3%
10/31/20245.9%5.0%12.5%
7/26/202411.4%6.4%6.3%
4/25/2024-8.5%-9.5%-15.0%
2/2/20240.1%0.1%4.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121311
# Negative121113
Median Positive2.2%3.5%2.3%
Median Negative-3.4%-2.6%-3.2%
Max Positive11.4%9.1%12.5%
Max Negative-8.5%-9.5%-15.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Elkins David VEVP, Chief Financial Officer9032025Sell47.3356,0002,650,4807,922,048Form
1Hickey BenjaminPresident, RayzeBio Org.5132025Sell38.01973,702 Form
2Hirawat SamitEVP,Chief Med.Offr.,Drug Dev.4292025Buy47.584,250202,2153,973,572Form
3BOERNER CHRISTOPHER S.Chief Executive Officer2212025Buy55.052,000110,0965,759,452Form
4Hirawat SamitEVP,Chief Med.Offr.,Drug Dev.2192025Buy54.841,823100,0003,506,058Form