Tearsheet

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $202.34 | Market Cap: $487.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $202.34
Market Cap: $487.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.4%
 
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 24 Bil, FCF LTM is 19 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 24 Bil, FCF LTM is 19 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.4%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JNJ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JNJ Return11%11%6%-9%-5%44%64%
Peers Return10%34%23%-1%12%14%129%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JNJ Win Rate50%58%58%50%42%80% 
Peers Win Rate48%58%65%38%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JNJ Max Drawdown-23%-2%-7%-16%-7%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-7%-10%-23%-8%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, ABBV, MRK, PFE, BMY. See JNJ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJNJS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-21.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven705 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven597 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-35.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1319 days1480 days

Compare to LLY, ABBV, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

Johnson & Johnson's stock fell -21.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/25/2022. A -21.7% loss requires a 27.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

Better Bets than Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JNJ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
JNJ_4302024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302024JNJJohnson & JohnsonMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
12.5%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
JNJ_4302024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302024JNJJohnson & JohnsonMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
12.5%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Johnson & Johnson

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JNJLLYABBVMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameJohnson .Eli LillyAbbVie Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price202.481,014.49228.71100.8925.7051.95151.69
Mkt Cap487.6910.9404.6251.7146.1105.8328.2
Rev LTM92,14953,25859,64464,23562,78648,03461,215
Op Inc LTM24,14622,88214,36622,39115,41711,42018,904
FCF LTM18,679-5019,68413,04910,37615,30214,176
FCF 3Y Avg17,814-15620,01213,6858,92713,59813,642
CFO LTM24,20410,93820,86017,06513,07716,62116,843
CFO 3Y Avg23,2097,23020,96217,50612,12714,84616,176

Growth & Margins

JNJLLYABBVMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameJohnson .Eli LillyAbbVie Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM5.1%36.8%7.4%1.7%3.9%1.3%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.1%23.4%1.2%2.9%-13.2%1.0%2.0%
Rev Chg Q6.8%37.6%9.1%3.7%-5.9%2.8%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%8.7%2.3%1.0%-1.6%0.7%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM26.2%43.0%24.1%34.9%24.6%23.8%25.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.4%35.6%27.0%23.7%19.4%19.0%25.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.7%1.8%0.6%3.7%-1.4%2.9%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM26.3%20.5%35.0%26.6%20.8%34.6%26.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.4%17.8%37.0%28.2%18.9%31.7%27.3%
FCF/Rev LTM20.3%-0.1%33.0%20.3%16.5%31.9%20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.3%0.5%35.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%21.1%

Valuation

JNJLLYABBVMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameJohnson .Eli LillyAbbVie Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap487.6910.9404.6251.7146.1105.8328.2
P/S4.812.96.93.32.31.94.1
P/EBIT13.838.690.29.112.29.213.0
P/E17.849.6171.511.014.715.216.5
P/CFO18.462.619.612.311.15.515.4
Total Yield8.4%2.7%3.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield2.7%0.7%2.8%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.4%0.1%6.2%5.5%5.5%13.2%5.5%
D/E0.10.10.20.20.40.60.2
Net D/E0.10.10.20.10.30.40.1

Returns

JNJLLYABBVMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameJohnson .Eli LillyAbbVie Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn9.0%12.0%5.9%20.3%5.8%14.0%10.5%
3M Rtn14.0%36.8%8.1%21.2%6.6%12.8%13.4%
6M Rtn33.6%33.0%23.9%32.6%15.1%11.5%28.3%
12M Rtn38.7%23.2%34.1%3.2%9.2%-6.6%16.2%
3Y Rtn24.1%181.3%55.7%0.3%-39.7%-26.5%12.2%
1M Excs Rtn7.8%10.8%4.7%19.0%4.5%12.7%9.3%
3M Excs Rtn8.4%33.9%2.6%14.5%-0.7%5.9%7.2%
6M Excs Rtn18.1%17.5%8.5%17.1%-0.4%-3.9%12.8%
12M Excs Rtn21.4%14.4%16.8%-9.4%-6.7%-22.4%3.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.3%112.2%-11.9%-71.9%-111.5%-98.2%-59.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Innovative Medicine54,75952,56351,68045,57242,198
MedTech30,40027,42727,06022,95925,963
Consumer Health  15,03514,05313,898
Total85,15979,99093,77582,58482,059


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
MedTech74,71070,95653,37249,57849,462
Innovative Medicine58,32458,43664,37666,15856,292
General corporate34,52430,74939,18931,80325,356
Discontinued operations 27,237   
Consumer Health  25,08127,35526,618
Total167,558187,378182,018174,894157,728


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20,122,322
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.0%
Average Daily Volume7,257,724
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.77
Basic Shares Quantity2,408,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023731202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022216202310-K 1/1/2023
93020221027202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021217202210-K 1/2/2022