Tearsheet

Eton Pharmaceuticals (ETON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.49 | Market Cap: $443.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Eton Pharmaceuticals (ETON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.49
Market Cap: $443.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 103%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 103%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ETON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -4.7% stock movement for Eton Pharmaceuticals (ETON) from late August 2025 to early December 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss: Eton Pharmaceuticals reported a Q3 2025 GAAP EPS of $(0.07) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.04, which significantly missed analyst forecasts by 63.64%. While revenue exceeded expectations, the EPS miss likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Shift to Net Loss in Q3 2025: The company recorded a net loss of $1.9 million, or $(0.07) per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2025. This marked a decline from a net income of $0.6 million, or $0.02 per diluted share, in the prior year period, indicating a negative shift in profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ETON Return13%-47%-34%55%204%15%113%
Peers Return7%30%20%-3%7%16%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ETON Win Rate58%42%42%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%63%38%47%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ETON Max Drawdown-60%-55%-53%-10%-30%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-7%-11%-23%-10%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventETONS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven398.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven755 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven160.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven145 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven380 days120 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

Eton Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -79.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -79.9% loss requires a 398.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Eton Pharmaceuticals (ETON)

Better Bets than Eton Pharmaceuticals (ETON)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ETON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Eton Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ETONLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameEton Pha.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price16.501,033.56205.33102.2725.5750.9676.61
Mkt Cap0.4928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
Rev LTM7053,25892,14964,23562,78648,03458,022
Op Inc LTM-322,88224,14622,39115,41711,42018,904
FCF LTM13-5018,67913,04910,37615,30211,712
FCF 3Y Avg8-15617,81413,6858,92713,59811,262
CFO LTM2110,93824,20417,06513,07716,62114,849
CFO 3Y Avg117,23023,20917,50612,12714,84613,487

Growth & Margins

ETONLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameEton Pha.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM102.8%36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%1.3%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg60.9%23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%1.0%4.5%
Rev Chg Q117.5%37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%2.8%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM20.9%8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%0.7%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-3.8%43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%23.8%25.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.4%35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%19.0%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.4%1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%2.9%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM30.3%20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%34.6%26.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.6%17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%31.7%24.0%
FCF/Rev LTM18.7%-0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%31.9%19.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.9%0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%18.1%

Valuation

ETONLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameEton Pha.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap0.4928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
P/S8.312.94.83.32.31.94.1
P/EBIT-218.138.613.89.112.29.210.7
P/E-87.549.617.811.014.715.215.0
P/CFO27.462.618.412.311.15.515.4
Total Yield-1.1%2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%13.2%4.9%
D/E0.10.10.10.20.40.60.2
Net D/E-0.00.10.10.10.30.40.1

Returns

ETONLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameEton Pha.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn-8.1%15.5%10.9%24.0%3.7%10.7%10.8%
3M Rtn-5.4%40.3%16.1%22.7%5.0%8.8%12.4%
6M Rtn-2.7%35.5%35.9%33.3%13.2%9.2%23.2%
12M Rtn39.6%28.0%38.9%4.1%7.3%-8.9%17.7%
3Y Rtn407.7%182.4%25.7%1.6%-40.3%-28.3%13.7%
1M Excs Rtn-8.1%15.5%11.0%24.0%3.7%10.8%10.9%
3M Excs Rtn-13.0%34.0%10.2%17.5%0.7%5.3%7.8%
6M Excs Rtn-17.4%20.7%21.1%18.6%-1.6%-5.6%8.5%
12M Excs Rtn8.4%17.4%23.0%-9.2%-8.9%-23.2%-0.3%
3Y Excs Rtn396.2%116.6%-46.0%-69.7%-111.4%-99.3%-57.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment32    
Licensing revenue 1019 0
Product sales and royalties 11300
Total32212201


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,782,591
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.7%
Average Daily Volume356,986
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.79
Basic Shares Quantity26,893,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024318202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Gruber James R.Chief Financial Officer8202025Sell16.1639,082631,5653,317,632Form