Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 73%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 73%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASIX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. AdvanSix reported a significant earnings miss and decline for Q3 2025. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.08 were 92% below forecast, and revenue of $374 million fell 4.84% short of expectations, leading to a 14.33% drop in the stock price during pre-market trading on November 7, 2025. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA for the quarter decreased by $28.4 million compared to the prior year, primarily due to a decline in Chemical Intermediates pricing (net of raw material costs) and lower sales and production volume for Nylon and Chemical Intermediates.

2. Production was negatively impacted by operational disruptions in Q3 2025. AdvanSix's production was significantly affected by both a site-wide electrical outage and a fire, which further contributed to the company's underperformance against market expectations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASIX Return0%137%-18%-20%-3%-44%-16%
Peers Return14%22%-7%30%9%-22%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASIX Win Rate58%75%42%33%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate65%50%50%52%50%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASIX Max Drawdown-57%-1%-33%-36%-29%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-12%-23%-6%-22%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASIXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven136.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-58.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven684 days120 days

Compare to MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN


In The Past

AdvanSix's stock fell -57.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2022. A -57.7% loss requires a 136.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AdvanSix (ASIX)

Better Bets than AdvanSix (ASIX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASIX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AdvanSix

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASIXMEOHNOVSDOWHWKNHUNMedian
NameAdvanSix Methanex Novuster.Dow Hawkins Huntsman  
Mkt Price15.8637.35-23.76137.0710.6123.76
Mkt Cap0.42.9-16.92.81.82.8
Rev LTM1,4913,569040,9131,0455,7802,530
Op Inc LTM51516-1472121-2486
FCF LTM09280-1,1207919939
FCF 3Y Avg8515-90389126126
CFO LTM1231,05701,562123366245
CFO 3Y Avg127803-3,645133332332

Growth & Margins

ASIXMEOHNOVSDOWHWKNHUNMedian
NameAdvanSix Methanex Novuster.Dow Hawkins Huntsman  
Rev Chg LTM-5.1%-3.4%2,000.0%-5.3%11.9%-3.5%-3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.3%-7.7%--11.3%5.3%-11.5%-8.3%
Rev Chg Q-6.0%-0.8%653.9%-8.3%13.5%-5.2%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.6%-0.2%45.2%-2.2%3.3%-1.4%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM3.4%14.4%-392.0%1.2%11.6%-0.4%2.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%9.5%-3.5%11.4%1.2%5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.3%0.8%-54.6%-0.5%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM8.3%29.6%15.6%3.8%11.8%6.3%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%21.9%-8.3%13.8%5.5%8.3%
FCF/Rev LTM0.0%26.0%15.6%-2.7%7.5%3.4%5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%14.2%-1.9%9.2%2.1%2.1%

Valuation

ASIXMEOHNOVSDOWHWKNHUNMedian
NameAdvanSix Methanex Novuster.Dow Hawkins Huntsman  
Mkt Cap0.42.9-16.92.81.82.8
P/S0.30.9-0.43.60.30.4
P/EBIT9.95.7-138.331.0-12.89.9
P/E10.014.4--14.445.6-4.710.0
P/CFO4.22.9-10.430.84.24.2
Total Yield13.3%8.6%-3.7%2.5%-9.9%3.7%
Dividend Yield3.3%1.7%-10.6%0.3%11.3%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.9%17.3%-1.2%4.6%5.7%4.6%
D/E0.81.2-1.20.11.51.2
Net D/E0.71.0-0.90.11.20.9

Returns

ASIXMEOHNOVSDOWHWKNHUNMedian
NameAdvanSix Methanex Novuster.Dow Hawkins Huntsman  
1M Rtn-14.4%0.4%-3.8%5.3%32.5%3.8%
3M Rtn-22.6%6.2%-0.8%-17.6%0.4%0.4%
6M Rtn-31.9%13.6%--13.5%2.8%-3.4%-3.4%
12M Rtn-49.7%-19.6%--41.8%0.4%-42.4%-41.8%
3Y Rtn-58.3%2.8%--44.9%236.1%-56.6%-44.9%
1M Excs Rtn-14.3%0.4%-3.8%5.3%32.5%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-29.1%-4.2%--4.5%-24.0%-6.9%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn-46.6%-1.1%--28.2%-11.9%-18.2%-18.2%
12M Excs Rtn-63.1%-32.4%--55.8%-11.1%-55.3%-55.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-130.7%-73.2%--115.4%163.6%-128.2%-115.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Plant Nutrients478    
Chemical Intermediates401512545369298
Nylon357485423285350
Caprolactam298320316216285
Ammonium Sulfate 629401288363
Total1,5341,9461,6851,1581,297


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,171,759
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202518.5%
Average Daily Volume489,506
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.39
Basic Shares Quantity26,927,305
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel9032025Sell21.2057112,105653,850Form
1Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel8042025Sell20.1857111,523633,914Form
2Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel7022025Sell24.8557114,189794,802Form
3Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel6042025Sell23.6557113,504769,926Form
4Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel5012025Sell21.343,23769,078706,909Form