Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 73%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
  Key risks
ASIX key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to industry cyclicality due to its smaller scale and [2] unplanned operational disruptions at its vertically integrated manufacturing sites.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 73%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0%
6 Key risks
ASIX key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to industry cyclicality due to its smaller scale and [2] unplanned operational disruptions at its vertically integrated manufacturing sites.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASIX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -23% stock movement of AdvanSix (ASIX) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Q2 2025 Revenue Miss and Negative Free Cash Flow: AdvanSix announced its second-quarter 2025 earnings on August 1, 2025, reporting a 10% year-over-year decline in revenue, which missed forecasts. This revenue shortfall, despite an earnings per share beat, contributed to a pre-market stock decline and signaled investor concerns. The company also reported negative free cash flow of -$7 million for the quarter, a significant drop from a positive $17 million in Q2 2024.

2. Challenging Market Conditions and Pricing Pressure: Throughout the period, AdvanSix faced persistent weak market conditions, particularly in its Nylon Solutions segment due to global oversupply, and lower net pricing in Chemical Intermediates. Elevated raw material input costs, specifically for natural gas and sulfur, also negatively impacted profit margins.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASIX Return0%137%-18%-20%-3%-42%-12%
Peers Return15%44%-4%2%-14%-12%23%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASIX Win Rate58%75%42%33%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate62%63%48%40%45%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASIX Max Drawdown-57%-1%-33%-36%-29%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-3%-22%-18%-22%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CC, CF, NTR, EMN, DOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASIXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven136.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-58.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven684 days120 days

Compare to MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN


In The Past

AdvanSix's stock fell -57.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2022. A -57.7% loss requires a 136.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AdvanSix (ASIX)

Better Bets than AdvanSix (ASIX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASIX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AdvanSix

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASIXCCCFNTREMNDOWMedian
NameAdvanSix Chemours CF Indus.Nutrien Eastman .Dow  
Mkt Price16.3511.6179.0163.3063.9323.0743.19
Mkt Cap0.41.712.730.77.316.410.0
Rev LTM1,4915,8376,73626,6249,02440,9137,880
Op Inc LTM51722,0973,5781,190472831
FCF LTM0-121,7102,132395-1,120198
FCF 3Y Avg8-2511,5742,449511903707
CFO LTM1232652,6334,1531,0081,5621,285
CFO 3Y Avg127702,6094,7891,1953,6451,902

Growth & Margins

ASIXCCCFNTREMNDOWMedian
NameAdvanSix Chemours CF Indus.Nutrien Eastman .Dow  
Rev Chg LTM-5.1%0.0%12.6%0.3%-3.4%-5.3%-1.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.3%-5.8%-13.5%-10.6%-5.9%-11.3%-9.4%
Rev Chg Q-6.0%-0.9%21.1%12.3%-10.6%-8.3%-3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.6%-0.2%4.5%2.5%-2.8%-2.2%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM3.4%1.2%31.1%13.4%13.2%1.2%8.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%1.8%33.2%13.7%12.6%3.5%8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.3%-0.4%1.9%2.0%-1.2%-0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM8.3%4.5%39.1%15.6%11.2%3.8%9.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%1.2%38.5%17.0%12.9%8.3%10.6%
FCF/Rev LTM0.0%-0.2%25.4%8.0%4.4%-2.7%2.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%-4.3%22.3%8.7%5.5%1.9%3.7%

Valuation

ASIXCCCFNTREMNDOWMedian
NameAdvanSix Chemours CF Indus.Nutrien Eastman .Dow  
Mkt Cap0.41.712.730.77.316.410.0
P/S0.30.42.11.10.80.40.6
P/EBIT9.929.86.58.86.7138.39.4
P/E10.0-7.410.515.810.3-14.410.1
P/CFO4.29.05.56.97.210.47.0
Total Yield13.3%-9.3%11.9%10.1%12.3%3.7%11.0%
Dividend Yield3.3%4.2%2.3%3.7%2.6%10.6%3.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.9%-8.1%10.1%9.0%5.3%1.2%3.3%
D/E0.81.90.20.50.71.20.7
Net D/E0.71.60.10.50.60.90.7

Returns

ASIXCCCFNTREMNDOWMedian
NameAdvanSix Chemours CF Indus.Nutrien Eastman .Dow  
1M Rtn13.4%3.2%-2.1%11.1%12.7%8.0%9.6%
3M Rtn-20.9%-31.9%-5.6%13.1%-1.9%-4.6%-5.1%
6M Rtn-29.7%6.9%-20.3%3.5%-12.2%-16.7%-14.4%
12M Rtn-43.9%-33.8%-6.7%42.3%-29.9%-38.9%-31.8%
3Y Rtn-55.1%-57.7%-10.9%-2.7%-12.7%-44.6%-28.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.6%2.5%-2.8%10.3%11.9%7.3%8.8%
3M Excs Rtn-22.9%-34.6%-6.8%12.3%-3.9%-4.2%-5.5%
6M Excs Rtn-42.1%-5.5%-32.7%-8.9%-24.6%-29.0%-26.8%
12M Excs Rtn-56.5%-47.8%-20.7%25.9%-42.6%-50.4%-45.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-125.5%-125.7%-82.6%-76.0%-84.6%-114.5%-99.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Plant Nutrients478    
Chemical Intermediates401512545369298
Nylon357485423285350
Caprolactam298320316216285
Ammonium Sulfate 629401288363
Total1,5341,9461,6851,1581,297


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,366,837
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202516.6%
Average Daily Volume430,017
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.18
Basic Shares Quantity26,927,305
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/7/2025-15.3%-9.7%-11.1%
8/1/2025-4.6%-8.6%7.6%
5/2/20256.8%9.2%11.1%
2/21/20251.6%-5.6%-21.0%
11/1/20242.0%9.7%16.5%
8/2/20241.9%5.2%11.2%
5/3/2024-14.1%-4.7%-6.7%
2/16/20245.7%2.3%-6.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161213
# Negative81211
Median Positive2.7%5.1%11.2%
Median Negative-8.5%-6.2%-7.9%
Max Positive7.2%9.9%33.2%
Max Negative-16.9%-27.1%-34.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel9032025Sell21.2057112,105653,850Form
1Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel8042025Sell20.1857111,523633,914Form
2Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel7022025Sell24.8557114,189794,802Form
3Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel6042025Sell23.6557113,504769,926Form
4Kintiroglou Achilles B.SVP, General Counsel5012025Sell21.343,23769,078706,909Form