Tearsheet

PepsiCo (PEP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $147.85 | Market Cap: $202.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages

PepsiCo (PEP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $147.85
Market Cap: $202.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PEP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for PepsiCo (PEP) stock analysis, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, lies in the future. As such, it is not possible to provide factual key points explaining a hypothetical 0.6% stock movement for this future period. However, based on available information for future expectations and recent past performance for the year 2025, here are some relevant points: 1. PepsiCo's Q3 2025 Earnings: PepsiCo reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 9, 2025. The company announced net revenues increased by 2.6% year-over-year to $23.9 billion, and organic revenues were up 1.3%. Net income attributable to PepsiCo dropped to $2.6 billion from $2.9 billion in the prior-year quarter. GAAP earnings per share decreased 11% to $1.90, while Core EPS was $2.29, down 2% on a constant currency basis. Revenue and earnings for Q3 2025 beat expectations.

2. Stock Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings: Following the Q3 2025 earnings announcement, PepsiCo's stock rose by 1.49% in pre-market trading, reaching $140.33. The stock remained "green" in premarket hours on the day of the earnings release.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PEP Return12%21%7%-3%-8%1%29%
Peers Return7%7%13%-8%-1%-11%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PEP Win Rate58%58%50%58%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%48%58%42%53%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PEP Max Drawdown-23%-13%-11%-11%-8%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-11%-8%-21%-8%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KO, MDLZ, KDP, CPB, CAG. See PEP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPEPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-19.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven284 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1485 days1480 days

Compare to KO, MDLZ, KDP, CPB, CAG


In The Past

PepsiCo's stock fell -19.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/12/2023. A -19.4% loss requires a 24.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PepsiCo (PEP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PEP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PepsiCo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PEPKOMDLZKDPCPBCAGMedian
NamePepsiCo Coca-ColaMondelez.Keurig D.Campbell.Conagra . 
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Growth & Margins

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Valuation

PEPKOMDLZKDPCPBCAGMedian
NamePepsiCo Coca-ColaMondelez.Keurig D.Campbell.Conagra . 
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Returns

PEPKOMDLZKDPCPBCAGMedian
NamePepsiCo Coca-ColaMondelez.Keurig D.Campbell.Conagra . 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA)27,62626,21325,27622,55921,730
Frito-Lay North America (FLNA)24,91423,29119,60818,18917,078
Europe13,23412,72413,03811,92211,728
Latin America (LatAm)11,6549,7798,1086,9427,573
Africa, Middle East and South Asia (AMESA)6,1396,4386,0784,5733,651
Asia Pacific, Australia and New Zealand and China region (APAC)4,8034,7874,6153,4452,919
Quaker Foods North America (QFNA)3,1013,1602,7512,7422,482
Corporate unallocated expenses 0 00
Total91,47186,39279,47470,37267,161


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Frito-Lay North America (FLNA)6,7556,1355,6335,3405,258
PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA)2,5845,4262,4421,9372,179
Latin America (LatAm)2,2521,6271,3691,0331,141
Africa, Middle East and South Asia (AMESA)807666858600671
Europe767-1,3801,2921,3531,327
Asia Pacific, Australia and New Zealand and China region (APAC)713537673590477
Quaker Foods North America (QFNA)492604578669544
Corporate unallocated expenses-2,384-2,103-1,683-1,442-1,306
Total11,98611,51211,16210,08010,291


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,304,418
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202513.9%
Average Daily Volume6,985,149
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.76
Basic Shares Quantity1,369,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%