Tearsheet

National Beverage (FIZZ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.62 | Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages

National Beverage (FIZZ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.62
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.0%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
  Key risks
FIZZ key risks include [1] its challenge in achieving volume growth, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, and Organic & Natural Products.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, and Organic & Natural Products.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.0%
7 Key risks
FIZZ key risks include [1] its challenge in achieving volume growth, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FIZZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Missed Second Quarter Earnings and Revenue Expectations. National Beverage (FIZZ) reported second-quarter earnings for fiscal 2026 that fell short of analyst expectations, with earnings per share of $0.50 against an estimated $0.51. Revenue also missed consensus, coming in at $288 million compared to an estimated $304.31 million, marking a 1% year-over-year decline.

2. Decline in Volume Sales. The company experienced a 6.0% decrease in case volume during the second quarter of fiscal 2026, which indicates potential market share loss or increased competition despite improvements in average selling price per case.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FIZZ Return77%13%3%7%-8%-22%58%
Peers Return203%20%12%12%-12%24%397%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FIZZ Win Rate67%50%50%42%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate63%58%50%53%45%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FIZZ Max Drawdown-27%-7%-15%-9%-12%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-11%-19%-15%-19%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PEP, KO, KDP, MNST, CELH. See FIZZ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFIZZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven17 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-68.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven216.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven518 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven786 days1,480 days

Compare to KO, PEP, KDP, COKE, CELH


In The Past

National Beverage's stock fell -57.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -57.5% loss requires a 135.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About National Beverage (FIZZ)

Better Bets than National Beverage (FIZZ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FIZZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
FIZZ_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020FIZZNational BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
53.1%64.3%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
FIZZ_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020FIZZNational BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
53.1%64.3%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for National Beverage

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FIZZPEPKOKDPMNSTCELHMedian
NameNational.PepsiCo Coca-ColaKeurig D.Monster .Celsius  
Mkt Price32.62150.0870.6728.0574.3340.8355.75
Mkt Cap3.5205.5304.138.172.610.555.3
Rev LTM1,20092,36647,66316,1747,9752,12612,075
Op Inc LTM23712,19314,9143,4752,2583432,866
FCF LTM1576,7885,5701,5991,9455241,772
FCF 3Y Avg1606,6456,3841,3361,6422501,489
CFO LTM19111,7557,6032,1282,1805552,154
CFO 3Y Avg19011,9748,3351,8551,8882731,872

Growth & Margins

FIZZPEPKOKDPMNSTCELHMedian
NameNational.PepsiCo Coca-ColaKeurig D.Monster .Celsius  
Rev Chg LTM1.0%0.5%2.8%6.8%7.6%55.1%4.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.1%3.4%4.0%5.9%8.6%57.5%4.9%
Rev Chg Q-1.0%2.7%5.1%10.7%16.8%172.9%7.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%0.7%1.3%2.6%4.1%27.6%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM19.7%13.2%31.3%21.5%28.3%16.1%20.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.9%13.8%29.7%21.8%27.6%16.1%20.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.3%0.7%0.0%1.4%5.7%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM16.0%12.7%16.0%13.2%27.3%26.1%16.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.9%13.0%18.1%12.1%25.3%15.5%15.7%
FCF/Rev LTM13.1%7.3%11.7%9.9%24.4%24.6%12.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.4%7.2%13.9%8.7%22.0%14.0%13.7%

Valuation

FIZZPEPKOKDPMNSTCELHMedian
NameNational.PepsiCo Coca-ColaKeurig D.Monster .Celsius  
Mkt Cap3.5205.5304.138.172.610.555.3
P/S2.92.16.02.18.27.04.4
P/EBIT-19.016.312.229.0184.719.0
P/E18.526.621.921.938.1230.224.3
P/CFO18.116.437.516.330.126.722.4
Total Yield5.4%7.7%7.5%6.4%2.6%0.4%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.9%3.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.1%2.4%3.3%2.9%2.1%2.9%
D/E-0.00.20.50.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.00.10.5-0.00.00.0

Returns

FIZZPEPKOKDPMNSTCELHMedian
NameNational.PepsiCo Coca-ColaKeurig D.Monster .Celsius  
1M Rtn0.2%2.5%0.7%4.0%3.5%1.7%2.1%
3M Rtn-15.0%7.3%6.2%3.8%11.7%-27.5%5.0%
6M Rtn-25.9%18.6%3.6%-14.2%17.6%-7.4%-1.9%
12M Rtn-29.9%-0.0%14.8%-12.5%43.1%39.6%7.4%
3Y Rtn-25.8%-8.1%23.3%-15.7%47.5%12.6%2.2%
1M Excs Rtn-0.6%1.8%-0.0%3.3%2.7%0.9%1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-16.8%6.3%5.7%2.7%13.6%-27.4%4.2%
6M Excs Rtn-38.3%6.2%-8.8%-26.6%5.3%-19.7%-14.3%
12M Excs Rtn-41.2%-12.3%4.2%-24.9%29.8%17.4%-4.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-102.3%-78.4%-47.5%-88.6%-21.0%-62.2%-70.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Development, production, marketing and sale of beverages1,192   
Single Segment 1,1731,1381,072
Total1,1921,1731,1381,072


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,311,946
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202547.7%
Average Daily Volume533,503
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.21
Basic Shares Quantity93,623,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/12/2025   
9/12/2025-1.4%-2.9%-7.6%
7/3/20254.0%-1.3%4.8%
3/7/20254.1%-1.8%3.3%
12/6/20244.2%0.8%-5.9%
9/6/2024-0.5%-1.2%-0.4%
6/27/20241.0%3.7%-4.1%
3/8/2024-2.5%-5.5%-3.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11109
# Negative131415
Median Positive3.5%3.3%8.0%
Median Negative-1.4%-2.9%-3.9%
Max Positive6.1%11.0%17.9%
Max Negative-3.8%-11.0%-14.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251211202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025911202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025702202510-K 5/3/2025
1312025306202510-Q 1/25/2025
103120241205202410-Q 10/26/2024
7312024905202410-Q 7/27/2024
4302024626202410-K 4/27/2024
1312024307202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023907202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023628202310-K 4/29/2023
1312023309202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022629202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022310202210-Q 1/29/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0sheridan stanley michael 4172025Sell43.408,000347,2002,708,507Form
1sheridan stanley michael 1032025Sell42.496,100259,2132,991,918Form
2CONLEE CECIL D 12162024Sell47.012,736128,6192,526,505Form