Hershey (HSY)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $197.65 | Market Cap: $40.1 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Hershey (HSY)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $197.65Market Cap: $40.1 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.7% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 45x Short seller reportGrizzly Reports report on 10/23/2024. Key risksHSY key risks include [1] eroding profitability and increased leverage from volatile cocoa prices and [2] reputational damage from product safety litigation, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 45x |
| Short seller reportGrizzly Reports report on 10/23/2024. |
| Key risksHSY key risks include [1] eroding profitability and increased leverage from volatile cocoa prices and [2] reputational damage from product safety litigation, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat and Upbeat 2026 Financial Outlook.
The Hershey Company reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025 on February 5, 2026, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.71, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $1.40 by $0.31. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $3.09 billion against estimates of $2.97 billion. Furthermore, the company provided an optimistic fiscal year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $8.20 to $8.52, significantly above analyst projections of $7.15, and forecast net sales growth of 4% to 5%. This strong performance and positive future outlook bolstered investor confidence.
2. Increased Shareholder Returns Through a Dividend Hike.
On February 5, 2026, Hershey's Board of Directors approved a 6% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to $1.452 per share from $1.37. This action signaled the company's solid financial position and commitment to returning capital to shareholders, thereby enhancing the stock's attractiveness.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.3% change in HSY stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 180.79 | 197.68 | 9.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,489 | 11,693 | 1.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.8% | 7.6% | -36.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.0 | 45.4 | 68.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 203 | 203 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HSY | 9.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 9.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 4.9% | 54.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.2% change in HSY stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 85.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 184.41 | 197.68 | 7.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,295 | 11,693 | 3.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.5% | 7.6% | -44.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.5 | 45.4 | 85.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 203 | 203 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.2% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HSY | 7.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 4.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 4.8% | 51.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 19.1% change in HSY stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 200.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 165.93 | 197.68 | 19.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,202 | 11,693 | 4.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.8% | 7.6% | -61.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.1 | 45.4 | 200.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 203 | 203 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 19.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HSY | 19.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 12.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.9% | 50.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.1% change in HSY stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 235.55 | 197.68 | -16.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,419 | 11,693 | 12.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.8% | 7.6% | -52.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.4 | 45.4 | 54.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 205 | 203 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HSY | -16.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 8.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 17.7% | 51.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HSY Return | 30% | 22% | -18% | -7% | 11% | 12% | 50% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 18% | -10% | -7% | -7% | 1% | 9% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HSY Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 58% | 42% | 43% | 45% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HSY Max Drawdown | -5% | -0% | -21% | -7% | -15% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -9% | -22% | -12% | -14% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MDLZ, TR, GIS, KHC, SJM. See HSY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HSY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -45.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 763 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MDLZ, TR, GIS, KHC, SJM
In The Past
Hershey's stock fell -35.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/1/2023. A -35.0% loss requires a 53.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Hershey (HSY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- The Coca-Cola of chocolate and candy.
- Like PepsiCo's Frito-Lay, but for both sweet and savory snacks.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Confectionery Products: This category includes a wide range of chocolate and non-chocolate candies, as well as gum and mint refreshment products.
- Pantry Items: Hershey offers various baking ingredients, dessert toppings, beverages, and sundae syrups for home use.
- Snack Items: The company provides a diverse selection of snacks, such as spreads, meat snacks, bars, mixes, popcorn, and protein bars.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Hershey Company (HSY) primarily sells its products to other companies rather than directly to individuals. Its major customers are large retailers and distributors that then sell to consumers. Based on the company's description, key types of customers include:
- Walmart Inc. (WMT) - A leading mass merchandiser and grocery retailer.
- Target Corporation (TGT) - Another major mass merchandiser and general merchandise retailer.
- The Kroger Co. (KR) - One of the largest grocery retailers in the United States.
- CVS Health Corporation (CVS) - A prominent chain drug store operator.
- Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) - A major wholesale club.
- Dollar General Corporation (DG) - A leading dollar store chain.
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Barry Callebaut (BARN.SW)
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Kirk Tanner
President and Chief Executive Officer
Kirk Tanner joined The Hershey Company as President and CEO in August 2025. He brings over 30 years of experience in the food and beverage industry, driving strategic growth for iconic brands. Before joining Hershey, Tanner served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Wendy's. Prior to Wendy's, he spent three decades at PepsiCo, Inc., where he was Chief Executive Officer of PepsiCo Beverages North America, overseeing a $25 billion business that included brands such as Gatorade, Mountain Dew, and Celsius. His career at PepsiCo encompassed numerous leadership roles across various sectors and regions, including President and Chief Operating Officer, North America Beverages, and President, Global Foodservice. Tanner holds a bachelor's degree in accounting from the University of Utah.
Steve Voskuil
Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Steve Voskuil joined Hershey in May 2019 and oversees the company's global finance organization, including financial planning and analysis, accounting and reporting, tax, treasury, internal audit, and investor relations. Before his tenure at Hershey, Voskuil was the Chief Financial Officer at Avanos Medical, a global medical device company, a position he held since 2014. Avanos Medical was previously Halyard Health, Inc., where Voskuil served as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for four years and led its successful spinoff from Kimberly-Clark. This experience involved a significant corporate transaction. He also spent over two decades as a finance executive at Kimberly-Clark, gaining extensive experience in mergers and acquisitions. Voskuil earned a bachelor's degree from the University of Wisconsin, Madison, and a Master of Science in management from Stanford Graduate School of Business.
Rohit Grover
President, International
Rohit Grover is responsible for leading Hershey's international business, including its scale markets, focused emerging markets, and export priorities. Grover has held various senior management roles within The Hershey Company since joining in 1999. Most recently, he served as Vice President and General Manager, Greater China, where he was instrumental in a major turnaround and restructuring of that business. His previous roles include General Manager of Hershey Canada and General Manager of Southeast Asia, and he also spearheaded Hershey's entry into the Middle East region. Grover began his career in marketing at Colgate Palmolive and MTV in India. He holds a Master of Business Administration in Finance and Marketing from the University of Miami and has attended executive programs at the University of Chicago and Harvard Business School.
Jason Reiman
Senior Vice President, Chief Supply Chain Officer
Jason Reiman oversees all global supply chain-related strategies and activities for Hershey, encompassing procurement, manufacturing, quality and regulatory, engineering, logistics, supply chain planning, and network strategy and optimization. A veteran of Hershey for over 20 years, Reiman has held senior executive roles leading all aspects of the supply chain across the company's U.S. and international businesses. Before joining Hershey in 1996, he worked as a supply chain consultant with Manugistics, Inc. Reiman holds a bachelor's degree in business logistics from Penn State University. He serves on the board of directors of the World Cocoa Foundation.
Andrew Archambault
President, U.S. Confection
Andrew Archambault serves as President of Hershey's U.S. Confection business, where he is responsible for leading brand and commercial strategies and execution, P&L oversight, and building the future portfolio to advance the company's vision. He brings nearly three decades of experience leading iconic consumer brands, with deep expertise in business transformation, team development, and customer relationships.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Hershey Company (HSY) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance.The most significant risk is the volatility and elevated cost of key commodities, particularly cocoa. Sky-high cocoa prices have led to a substantial increase in production costs, pressuring operating margins and significantly impacting net income. This commodity inflation is considered a "structural cost shock" that is projected to contract the company's adjusted gross profit margin by a massive 650 to 700 basis points and contribute to a mid-30% range decline in adjusted earnings per share for the full year 2025.
Another crucial risk is the stagnation of sales volumes and evolving consumer preferences. While The Hershey Company has implemented price increases to offset higher costs, its revenue growth has primarily been driven by these price hikes rather than an increase in the quantity of products sold. Sales volumes have reportedly shrunk, and the company faces "growth headwinds" and "top-line stagnation risk." Additionally, a shift in consumer preferences towards healthier options presents a challenge for the traditional confectionery business.
Finally, the company operates in highly competitive markets, which poses a continuous risk to maintaining demand and market share. The competitive landscape means The Hershey Company must consistently offer products that appeal to consumers, and there is a risk that market demand for both new and existing products could decline.
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The emergence of lab-grown cocoa and chocolate alternatives, presenting a potential fundamental disruption to traditional cocoa sourcing and chocolate manufacturing.
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The Hershey Company (HSY) operates within several large addressable markets, primarily in North America. Below are the estimated market sizes for its main products and services:Addressable Markets for The Hershey Company (HSY)
-
Confectionery Products (Chocolate and Non-Chocolate)
- The global confectionery market size was estimated at USD 284.23 billion in 2025.
- In North America, the confectionery market was valued at USD 74.55 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 101.8 billion by 2030.
- In the United States, total confectionery sales (including chocolate, non-chocolate candy, and gum) reached USD 55 billion in 2025.
- Within the U.S. confectionery market, chocolate sales accounted for USD 28.4 billion in 2025.
- Non-chocolate candy sales in the U.S. were USD 22.5 billion in 2025.
-
Gum and Mint Refreshment Products
- In the United States, gum sales accounted for USD 4.1 billion in 2025.
-
Pantry Items (e.g., Baking Ingredients, Spreads, Syrups)
- The U.S. baking ingredients market is projected to reach USD 5,491.4 million (approximately USD 5.49 billion) in 2025, growing to USD 17,991.6 million by 2035.
- The demand for sweet spreads in the USA is projected to be USD 5.9 billion in 2025.
-
Snack Items (e.g., Meat Snacks, Bars, Popcorn)
- The U.S. salty snacks market sales are forecasted to reach USD 31.6 billion in 2026.
- The U.S. meat snacks market size reached USD 4.55 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to grow to USD 8.46 billion by 2035.
- The North America snack bar market size reached USD 14.85 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to approximately USD 32.66 billion by 2035.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Hershey Company (HSY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies: * Strategic Price Increases: Hershey has been implementing price increases across its portfolio to offset higher commodity costs, particularly for cocoa and sugar. These pricing actions are a key lever in managing the business and are expected to continue contributing to net sales growth. * Product Innovation and Portfolio Expansion: The company is focused on accelerating innovation and launching new products. Recent successes, such as Reese's Caramel, have driven market share gains and strong sales. This focus on innovation is a significant part of their strategy to meet consumer demands and drive growth within its confectionery and pantry items. * Growth in the North America Salty Snacks Segment: Hershey's North America Salty Snacks segment has demonstrated robust performance, contributing significantly to overall revenue growth. This growth is fueled by a combination of organic price increases, volume/mix improvements, and strategic acquisitions in the snack category. * International Market Performance and Expansion: The company's International segment continues to be a contributor to revenue. Despite some specific market adjustments, the segment has shown mid-single-digit net sales increases in regions like Europe, AMEA, and India, indicating ongoing opportunities for expansion and growth outside North America.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- A $500 million share repurchase authorization approved in May 2021 was completed by March 31, 2024.
- An additional $500 million share repurchase authorization was approved in December 2023, which commenced after the completion of the earlier program.
- Significant quarterly repurchases include $493.86 million in Q1 2024 and $25.05 million in Q4 2023.
Share Issuance
- Hershey's shares outstanding experienced slight declines, with a 0.05% decrease in 2025, a 1% decrease in 2024, and a 0.5% decrease in 2023, indicating that share repurchases have generally outweighed any new issuances.
Outbound Investments
- In April 2025, Hershey acquired LesserEvil, an organic snack manufacturer, for $750 million to expand its snacking portfolio.
- Hershey acquired Sour Strips in November 2024 for an undisclosed amount.
- In November 2021, the company acquired Dot's Homestyle Pretzels and its co-packer, Pretzel Inc., for $1.2 billion, significantly bolstering its salty snacks segment.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $771.1 million in 2023 and $605.9 million in 2024.
- Projected capital expenditures are between $425 million and $450 million for 2025, and $425 million to $475 million for 2026.
- These expenditures are primarily focused on expanding core confection capacity, enhancing digital infrastructure, including a new enterprise resource planning (ERP) system, and the Advancing Agility & Automation Initiative to improve supply chain efficiency.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 01312025 | HSY | Hershey | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 28.8% | 34.8% | -3.0% |
| 11302023 | HSY | Hershey | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | -3.5% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.4 |
| Rev LTM | 15,235 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,187 |
| FCF LTM | 1,766 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,021 |
| CFO LTM | 2,319 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,691 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.4 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 13.5 |
| P/E | 18.9 |
| P/CFO | 12.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -24.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -45.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -95.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America Confectionery | 9,119 | 9,123 | 8,536 | 7,682 | 7,085 |
| North America Salty Snacks | 1,136 | 1,093 | 1,029 | 555 | 438 |
| International | 948 | 949 | 853 | 733 | 627 |
| Total | 11,202 | 11,165 | 10,419 | 8,971 | 8,150 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America Confectionery | 2,946 | 3,117 | 2,811 | 2,476 | 2,275 |
| Unallocated mark-to-market losses on commodity derivatives | 460 | -59 | -78 | 24 | -6 |
| North America Salty Snacks | 199 | 158 | 160 | 101 | 76 |
| International | 112 | 148 | 108 | 74 | -0 |
| Costs associated with business realignment activities | -118 | -3 | -4 | -17 | -32 |
| Unallocated corporate expense | -701 | -800 | -736 | -615 | -521 |
| Long-lived and intangible asset impairment charges | -9 | ||||
| Total | 2,898 | 2,561 | 2,261 | 2,044 | 1,783 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $197.68 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 40.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/01/1985 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -16.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $217.49 | $189.97 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -9.1% | 4.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.9% | 26.9% |
| Downside Capture | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Upside Capture | 31.22 | 31.33 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.80 | 0.42 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| Up Beta | 1.97 | 2.16 | 1.19 | 0.28 | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Down Beta | 0.53 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| Up Capture | 29% | 65% | 44% | 20% | 21% | 3% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 19 | 32 | 63 | 129 | 373 |
| Down Capture | 120% | -23% | -46% | -21% | 8% | 38% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 16 | 23 | 31 | 63 | 123 | 378 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HSY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSY | 24.3% | 27.0% | 0.78 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 4.9% | 12.8% | 0.11 | 48.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 5.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | 3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | -8.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 25.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | -10.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HSY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSY | 6.7% | 22.3% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.0% | 13.2% | 0.24 | 57.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 17.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 5.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 0.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 29.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | -1.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HSY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSY | 10.6% | 23.3% | 0.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.1% | 14.7% | 0.35 | 61.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 35.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 8.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 7.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 43.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 6.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/5/2026 | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% |
| 10/30/2025 | -2.4% | -3.1% | 6.4% |
| 7/30/2025 | 1.4% | 1.5% | -1.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | -0.0% | 0.9% | -3.1% |
| 2/6/2025 | 4.4% | 8.3% | 27.9% |
| 11/7/2024 | -2.2% | 4.3% | -0.4% |
| 8/1/2024 | 1.1% | 1.2% | -2.2% |
| 5/3/2024 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 17 | 13 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -3.0% | -1.7% |
| Max Positive | 9.0% | 12.2% | 27.9% |
| Max Negative | -4.4% | -6.2% | -10.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 3/31/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net sales growth | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 4.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Organic net sales growth | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Reported earnings per share growth | 79.0% | 84.0% | 89.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 84.0% for 2026 |
| 2026 Adjusted earnings per share growth | 30.0% | 32.5% | 35.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 32.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Reported EPS | 7.77 | 7.98 | 8.19 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.98 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 8.2 | 8.36 | 8.52 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 8.36 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Effective tax rate | 25.0% | 26.0% | 27.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 26.0% for 2026 |
| 2026 Other expense | 15.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 15.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Interest expense | 200.00 Mil | 205.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 205.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital expenditures | 425.00 Mil | 450.00 Mil | 475.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Advancing Agility & Automation Initiative savings | 100.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 100.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net sales growth | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 50.0% | 1.5% | Higher New | Actual: 3.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Reported EPS | 7.77 | 7.98 | 8.19 | 42.5% | Higher New | Actual: 5.6 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 8.2 | 8.36 | 8.52 | 40.5% | Higher New | Actual: 5.95 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital expenditures | 425.00 Mil | 450.00 Mil | 475.00 Mil | 5.9% | Higher New | Actual: 425.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Interest expense | 200.00 Mil | 205.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 5.1% | Higher New | Actual: 195.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Reported earnings per share growth | 79.0% | 84.0% | 89.0% | -271.4% | 133.0% | Higher New | Actual: -49.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Adjusted earnings per share growth | 30.0% | 32.5% | 35.0% | -189.0% | 69.0% | Higher New | Actual: -36.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 Effective tax rate | 25.0% | 26.0% | 27.0% | ||||
| 2026 Other expense | 15.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Advancing Agility & Automation Initiative savings | 100.00 Mil | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbin-Coker, Cordel | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 184.10 | 130 | 23,933 | 259,307 | Form | |
| 2 | Voskuil, Steven E | SVP, Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 188.51 | 1,500 | 282,765 | 10,145,420 | Form |
| 3 | Schechtman, Natalie | SVP and CHRO | Direct | Buy | 11262025 | 186.29 | 200 | 37,258 | 236,029 | Form |
| 4 | Taffet, Stacy | Chief Growth Officer | Direct | Buy | 11252025 | 186.19 | 200 | 37,238 | 1,744,786 | Form |
| 5 | Tanner, Kirk | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 11252025 | 185.46 | 2,000 | 370,915 | 8,875,986 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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