Tearsheet

General Mills (GIS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.3 | Market Cap: $25.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

General Mills (GIS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.3
Market Cap: $25.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GIS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

General Mills (GIS) stock experienced a decline of approximately 5.2% during the period leading up to December 4, 2025, primarily influenced by a weaker-than-expected financial outlook and broader market challenges.

1. Weaker-than-expected earnings outlook for fiscal year 2026. General Mills provided an initial outlook for fiscal year 2026 that indicated organic sales growth ranging from a 1% decline to a 1% increase. This outlook contributed to a notable underperformance of the company's shares.

2. Significant projected declines in operating profit and EPS. The company forecasted a substantial decrease in both operating profit and earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal year 2026, estimating a 10% to 15% decline on a constant currency basis. This projection reflected a more pessimistic EPS decline than previously assessed.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GIS Return14%19%28%-20%1%-25%5%
Peers Return4%1%21%-16%10%-17%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GIS Win Rate50%50%58%42%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate60%46%69%40%56%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GIS Max Drawdown-11%-7%-7%-24%-3%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-11%-6%-27%-7%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KHC, K, CPB, CAG, BRBF. See GIS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGISS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-20.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven24 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven512 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-32.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven277 days1480 days

Compare to KHC, K, CPB, CAG, BRBF


In The Past

General Mills's stock fell -32.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/12/2023. A -32.1% loss requires a 47.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About General Mills (GIS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GIS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.2%-7.2%-7.2%
GIS_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
39.9%43.1%-1.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.2%-7.2%-7.2%
GIS_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
39.9%43.1%-1.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for General Mills

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GISKHCKCPBCAGBRBFMedian
NameGeneral .Kraft He.KellanovaCampbell.Conagra .BRB Foods 
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Growth & Margins

GISKHCKCPBCAGBRBFMedian
NameGeneral .Kraft He.KellanovaCampbell.Conagra .BRB Foods 
Rev Chg LTM-------
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QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
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FCF/Rev LTM-------
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Valuation

GISKHCKCPBCAGBRBFMedian
NameGeneral .Kraft He.KellanovaCampbell.Conagra .BRB Foods 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
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Returns

GISKHCKCPBCAGBRBFMedian
NameGeneral .Kraft He.KellanovaCampbell.Conagra .BRB Foods 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
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3Y Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Snacks4,3274,4323,9613,5743,530
Cereal3,1883,2102,9982,8692,874
Convenient meals2,9062,9622,9883,0302,814
Dough2,4242,3901,9861,8661,801
Pet2,3832,4762,2601,7321,695
Baking mixes and ingredients1,9962,0371,8441,6961,674
Yogurt1,4821,4731,7152,0752,057
Super-premium ice cream729704782820718
Other422411458465 
Vegetables and other    464
Total19,85720,09418,99318,12717,627


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity30,103,516
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.8%
Average Daily Volume6,024,869
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5
Basic Shares Quantity541,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
8312025917202510-Q 8/24/2025
5312025626202510-K 5/25/2025
2282025319202510-Q 2/23/2025
113020241218202410-Q 11/24/2024
8312024918202410-Q 8/25/2024
5312024626202410-K 5/26/2024
2292024320202410-Q 2/25/2024
113020231220202310-Q 11/26/2023
8312023920202310-Q 8/27/2023
5312023628202310-K 5/28/2023
2282023323202310-Q 2/26/2023
113020221220202210-Q 11/27/2022
8312022921202210-Q 8/28/2022
5312022630202210-K 5/29/2022
2282022323202210-Q 2/27/2022
113020211221202110-Q 11/28/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data