General Mills (GIS)
Market Price (3/31/2026): $37.15 | Market Cap: $19.9 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
General Mills (GIS)
Market Price (3/31/2026): $37.15Market Cap: $19.9 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 6.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 9.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 66% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.2% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% | Key risks[GIS] key risks include [1] margin and earnings volatility driven by commodity prices and the company's own hedging instruments, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 6.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 9.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 66% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.2% |
| Key risks[GIS] key risks include [1] margin and earnings volatility driven by commodity prices and the company's own hedging instruments, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Weak Q3 FY2026 Earnings and Revised Outlook
General Mills reported significantly weaker results for its third quarter ended February 22, 2026, with adjusted diluted EPS falling 37% in constant currency. Quarterly revenue declined 8.4% year-over-year to $4.44 billion, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $4.53 billion. Diluted EPS decreased 50% to $0.56, largely due to higher input costs, lower volume contributions, and increased restructuring costs. This followed a Q2 FY2026 report (released December 17, 2025) that already indicated net sales were down 7% and adjusted diluted EPS was down 21% in constant currency. The company reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook, which had been revised earlier in the period, signaling a subdued forecast for future earnings.
2. Persistent High Input Costs and Volume Declines
The company faced ongoing pressure from elevated input costs and declining sales volumes. Organic net sales in Q3 FY2026 fell 3% as volume decreased despite the benefit of modest pricing. This contributed to a 310-basis-point decline in gross margin for Q3 FY2026, bringing it to 30.8% of net sales. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz in February 2026, further exacerbated the situation by inflating energy and plastic packaging costs.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -20.5% change in GIS stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 46.69 | 37.11 | -20.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 19,156 | 18,777 | -2.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.2% | 13.5% | -11.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.7 | 7.8 | -9.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 541 | 536 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -20.5% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GIS | -20.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | -14.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 4.0% | 58.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.8% change in GIS stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 48.04 | 37.11 | -22.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 19,487 | 18,777 | -3.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.5 | 7.8 | -31.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 548 | 536 | 2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.8% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GIS | -22.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | -17.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.9% | 59.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.7% change in GIS stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 57.73 | 37.11 | -35.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 19,901 | 18,777 | -5.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.1% | 13.5% | 3.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.4 | 7.8 | -36.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 557 | 536 | 3.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -35.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GIS | -35.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.2% | 65.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -47.5% change in GIS stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 70.67 | 37.11 | -47.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 19,367 | 18,777 | -3.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.0% | 13.5% | -10.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.5 | 7.8 | -45.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 596 | 536 | 11.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -47.5% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GIS | -47.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | -0.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 23.2% | 60.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GIS Return | 19% | 28% | -20% | 1% | -24% | -21% | -25% |
| Peers Return | 22% | 5% | -5% | -6% | -2% | 7% | 20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -7% | 70% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GIS Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 52% | 48% | 40% | 45% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GIS Max Drawdown | -7% | -7% | -24% | -3% | -25% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -7% | -12% | -17% | -10% | -13% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PEP, KHC, MDLZ, HSY, TSN. See GIS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/30/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GIS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -20.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 512 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PEP, KHC, MDLZ, HSY, TSN
In The Past
General Mills's stock fell -32.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/12/2023. A -32.1% loss requires a 47.3% gain to breakeven.
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About General Mills (GIS)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for General Mills (GIS):
- General Mills is like Nestlé, but with a stronger American footprint in breakfast cereals, baking goods, and pet food.
- General Mills is like Kraft Heinz, but with a wider range of iconic breakfast and baking products, plus a major pet food brand.
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General Mills (GIS) offers a wide array of branded consumer food products:
- Cereals: Manufactures a variety of ready-to-eat breakfast cereals.
- Yogurt & Dairy Products: Produces refrigerated yogurt and other dairy-based items.
- Baking & Dough Products: Offers refrigerated and frozen dough, dessert and baking mixes, and bakery flour.
- Snacks: Includes snack bars, fruit snacks, salty snacks, and frozen pizza/pizza snacks.
- Soups & Meal Kits: Provides packaged soups and convenient meal kits.
- Ice Cream: Manufactures packaged ice cream and operates ice cream parlors.
- Pet Food: Produces and markets dog and cat food products.
- Foodservice & Commercial Baking Products: Supplies branded and unbranded food products to the foodservice and commercial baking industries.
- Organic Products: Offers a range of organic foods, including frozen and shelf-stable vegetables.
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```htmlJeff Harmening, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
Jeff Harmening joined General Mills in 1994 and has held various leadership roles throughout his career at the company. Before becoming CEO, he served as president and chief operating officer, overseeing the Global Supply Chain, Innovation, Technology, and Quality teams, as well as the company's four global operating segments. He also led the U.S. Retail division, General Mills' largest, and was senior vice president and chief executive officer of Cereal Partners Worldwide, a joint venture between General Mills and Nestlé operating in 130 countries. Under his leadership as CEO, General Mills has focused on brand investment, portfolio reshaping, and digital transformation, including the acquisition of Blue Buffalo to enter the pet food business and expanding the company's natural and organic portfolio.
Kofi Bruce, Chief Financial Officer
Kofi Bruce assumed his role as Chief Financial Officer in February 2020, after serving as Vice President of Financial Operations since September 2019. Prior to that, he was Vice President, Controller. Bruce joined General Mills in 2009 as Vice President, Treasurer. Before joining General Mills, he held various senior management positions at Ecolab and Ford Motor Company.
Dana M. McNabb, Group President, North America Retail
Dana M. McNabb was promoted to Group President, North America Retail, General Mills' largest and most profitable segment, in December 2023. Since 2021, she served as Chief Strategy and Growth Officer, responsible for the company's enterprise growth capabilities. Earlier in her career, McNabb was Group President, Europe & Australia segment, and President of the U.S. Cereal operating unit, where she achieved U.S. cereal category leadership and accelerated growth in net sales and operating profit.
Jaime Montemayor, Chief Digital and Technology Officer
Jaime Montemayor serves as the Chief Digital and Technology Officer at General Mills, with a focus on digital transformation and supply chain efficiency.
Elizabeth Mascolo, Segment President, North America Pet
Elizabeth Mascolo was promoted to Segment President, North America Pet, effective March 16, 2025, and joined General Mills' Senior Leadership Team. She brings 22 years of experience across various General Mills brands and businesses. Her previous roles include Vice President of Strategy and Growth and Vice President of Marketing for the Pillsbury and Cheerios Business Units. She also held an international position as Global Marketing Director at Cereal Partners Worldwide S.A.
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Key Risks to General Mills (GIS):
- Evolving Consumer Preferences and Health Trends: General Mills faces a significant risk from shifting consumer preferences towards healthier, fresher, and less processed food options. While the company offers organic and wellness products, a substantial portion of its portfolio, including cereals, snacks, and baking mixes, could be vulnerable if consumers increasingly move away from traditional packaged goods. This trend necessitates continuous innovation, product reformulation, and marketing investments to remain relevant and competitive.
- Input Cost Volatility and Supply Chain Disruptions: As a major manufacturer of food products, General Mills is exposed to fluctuations in the cost of raw materials (such as grains, dairy, and sweeteners), packaging, and energy, as well as transportation expenses. Geopolitical events, adverse weather conditions, disease outbreaks, and other global supply chain disruptions can lead to significant volatility in these input costs, directly impacting the company's profitability and operational efficiency.
- Intense Competition and Shifting Retail Landscape: The consumer packaged goods industry is highly competitive, with General Mills facing pressure from other large food companies, private label brands, and emerging direct-to-consumer businesses. Additionally, the evolving retail landscape, marked by the growth of e-commerce and the increasing bargaining power of large retailers, can impact product distribution, pricing strategies, and promotional effectiveness, potentially affecting market share and margins.
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The addressable markets for General Mills' main products and services are significant across various regions.
Pet Food
- The global pet food market was valued at approximately USD 128.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 199.50 billion by 2034. Another estimate places the global market at USD 136.6 billion in 2025, reaching USD 197.5 billion by 2034.
- In North America, the pet food market was valued at USD 53.78 billion in 2025 and USD 55.51 billion in 2026.
- The U.S. pet food market was estimated at USD 43.45 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 64.4 billion by 2023. Another source indicates the U.S. market size was USD 41.59 billion in 2025, with projections to reach approximately USD 68.33 billion by 2035.
Baking Mixes (including Cake Mixes)
- The global bakery mixes market is valued at USD 6.8 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 11.2 billion by 2036.
- The global cake mixes market size was estimated at USD 1.49 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 1.97 billion by 2030. Another source states the global cake mixes market size was valued at USD 2.78 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 3.79 billion by 2034.
- North America is the largest market for baking mixes, holding approximately 45% of the global share. North America is projected to lead the baking mixes market with a 37.5% share in 2025.
- North America dominated the global cake mixes market with a revenue share of 34.2% in 2023.
Yogurt
- The global yogurt market size was valued at USD 134.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 203.8 billion by 2034. Another report indicates the global yogurt market size was USD 110.60 billion in 2025, growing to USD 150.83 billion by 2031.
- Europe dominated the global yogurt market with a 38% share in 2024.
- North America represented 24% of the global yogurt market share in 2024.
- The U.S. yogurt market size is projected to rise from USD 9,942.8 million in 2025 to USD 15,204.2 million by 2032. The U.S. market consumption reached 4.6 million tons in 2024. The U.S. flavored yogurt market generated a revenue of USD 7,267.8 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 11,859.1 million by 2030.
Frozen Pizza
- The global frozen pizza market size is expected to increase from USD 16.42 billion in 2025 to USD 28.93 billion by 2031. Another source reports the global market generated USD 20.4 billion in revenue in 2023 and is projected to surpass USD 30.8 billion by 2029.
- The U.S. frozen pizza industry generated sales of approximately USD 7.0 billion in 2024. The U.S. frozen pizza market size was valued at USD 7.21 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 12.28 billion by 2033.
Ice Cream
- The global ice cream market is projected to reach USD 142.3 billion by 2034, growing from USD 92.5 billion in 2024. Other estimates indicate the global ice cream market size was USD 82.70 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 151.96 billion by 2034. Another report states the global market size was USD 80.9 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 105.6 billion by 2034.
- The North American ice cream market size was valued at USD 14.72 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 20.11 billion by 2034.
- The U.S. ice cream market generated a revenue of USD 21,641.2 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 29,995.5 million by 2033. The U.S. market was valued at USD 19.51 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow to USD 22.84 billion by 2031.
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General Mills (GIS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives under its Accelerate strategy:
- Enhanced Brand Remarkability and Consumer-Centric Innovation: General Mills is significantly investing in its brands to deliver "remarkable experiences" to consumers. This includes new product development and launches focusing on key consumer trends such as bold flavors, familiar and fun favorites, and better-for-you options like protein and fiber. The company anticipates a 25% increase in sales from new products in fiscal year 2026. This strategy is a primary lever to restore volume-driven organic net sales growth.
- Expansion in the North America Pet Segment, particularly Fresh Pet Food: Accelerating momentum in the North America Pet business is a key priority. A significant driver for this segment is the strategic investment and national launch of Blue Buffalo into the fast-growing U.S. fresh pet food sub-category. Early results from the "Love Made Fresh" launch have already contributed to the growth of core offerings.
- Restoring Volume-Driven Growth in North America Retail: General Mills is focused on improving its North America Retail segment by investing in consumer value, product news, and innovation to strengthen categories and market share performance. Initiatives include addressing key price cliffs and price gaps in selected categories, which is leading to improved pound growth and market share. The company is also enhancing brand communication with increased investment in new campaigns for global brands such as Old El Paso, Cheerios, Pillsbury, and Nature Valley.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Reshaping: As part of its Accelerate strategy, General Mills is committed to reshaping its portfolio through prudent acquisitions and divestitures. While divestitures can create short-term headwinds, strategic acquisitions are expected to contribute to future revenue. For instance, the North American Whitebridge Pet Brands acquisition provided a 10-point benefit to the North America Pet segment's net sales growth in the first half of fiscal 2026.
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Share Repurchases
- General Mills repurchased approximately 19 million shares of common stock for $1.2 billion in fiscal 2025.
- Share repurchases totaled $2.0 billion in fiscal 2024.
- Proceeds of $2.1 billion from the sale of its North American yogurt business, completed on June 30, 2025, were intended for share repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- In April 2024, General Mills acquired Edgard & Cooper, a pet food business.
- The company completed the acquisition of Whitebridge Pet Brands' North American premium cat feeding and pet treating business for $1.45 billion in February 2025.
- General Mills is making a significant strategic investment to launch Blue Buffalo into the U.S. fresh pet food sub-category in fiscal 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $625.3 million in fiscal year 2025 and peaked at $774.1 million in fiscal year 2024.
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are $620.7 million.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investments in brands, product news, innovation, and brand building, particularly for the Blue Buffalo fresh pet food launch, and a multi-year global transformation initiative aimed at streamlining business processes and optimizing operations.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
| 09262025 | GIS | General Mills | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.3% | -7.3% | -12.0% |
| 12312018 | GIS | General Mills | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 39.9% | 43.1% | -1.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 61.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 34.9 |
| Rev LTM | 31,740 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,266 |
| FCF LTM | 2,509 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,757 |
| CFO LTM | 3,411 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,606 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 34.9 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 19.8 |
| P/E | 28.3 |
| P/CFO | 13.7 |
| Total Yield | 5.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -9.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snacks | 4,327 | 4,432 | 3,961 | 3,574 | 3,530 |
| Cereal | 3,188 | 3,210 | 2,998 | 2,869 | 2,874 |
| Convenient meals | 2,906 | 2,962 | 2,988 | 3,030 | 2,814 |
| Dough | 2,424 | 2,390 | 1,986 | 1,866 | 1,801 |
| Pet | 2,383 | 2,476 | 2,260 | 1,732 | 1,695 |
| Baking mixes and ingredients | 1,996 | 2,037 | 1,844 | 1,696 | 1,674 |
| Yogurt | 1,482 | 1,473 | 1,715 | 2,075 | 2,057 |
| Super-premium ice cream | 729 | 704 | 782 | 820 | 718 |
| Other | 422 | 411 | 458 | 465 | |
| Vegetables and other | 464 | ||||
| Total | 19,857 | 20,094 | 18,993 | 18,127 | 17,627 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $37.11 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 19.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/10/1983 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -36.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $43.34 | $46.68 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -14.4% | -20.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.8% | 23.7% |
| Downside Capture | -0.03 | 0.10 |
| Upside Capture | -146.71 | -31.45 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -8.4% | 6.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.83 | -0.65 | -0.76 | -0.57 | 0.04 | -0.01 |
| Up Beta | 0.91 | 0.31 | 0.15 | -0.17 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| Down Beta | 0.91 | 0.23 | -0.25 | -0.35 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Up Capture | -173% | -127% | -111% | -57% | -12% | -3% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 20 | 30 | 61 | 116 | 364 |
| Down Capture | -199% | -138% | -135% | -100% | -1% | -17% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 21 | 31 | 62 | 132 | 383 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GIS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIS | -34.8% | 23.6% | -1.86 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 3.6% | 13.9% | 0.02 | 64.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.8% | 19.0% | 0.60 | 6.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 48.2% | 27.7% | 1.42 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.5% | 17.6% | 0.83 | -3.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.1% | 16.4% | -0.11 | 38.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -24.0% | 44.3% | -0.49 | -4.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GIS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIS | -6.2% | 21.0% | -0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.8% | 13.2% | 0.30 | 62.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.0% | 17.0% | 0.55 | 9.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.7% | 0.97 | 4.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.2% | 18.8% | 0.53 | -2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.2% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 27.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.6% | 0.29 | -1.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GIS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIS | -1.4% | 21.9% | -0.08 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 62.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 23.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.38 | 0.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 32.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 1.2% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/18/2026 | -3.0% | -5.0% | |
| 12/17/2025 | 3.4% | -0.8% | -4.0% |
| 9/17/2025 | -0.8% | 2.0% | -2.5% |
| 6/25/2025 | -5.1% | -0.4% | -3.2% |
| 3/19/2025 | -2.1% | -4.4% | -5.6% |
| 12/18/2024 | -3.1% | -3.3% | -8.0% |
| 9/18/2024 | 0.7% | -1.0% | -3.9% |
| 6/26/2024 | -4.6% | -6.1% | -1.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.2% | -2.2% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 8.5% | 17.6% |
| Max Negative | -5.2% | -19.2% | -10.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 11/30/2025 | 12/17/2025 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2025 | 09/17/2025 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2025 | 06/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 02/28/2025 | 03/19/2025 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2024 | 12/18/2024 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2024 | 09/18/2024 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2024 | 06/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 02/29/2024 | 03/20/2024 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2023 | 12/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2023 | 09/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2023 | 06/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 02/28/2023 | 03/23/2023 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2022 | 12/20/2022 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2022 | 09/21/2022 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2022 | 06/30/2022 | 10-K |
| 02/28/2022 | 03/23/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 3/18/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | -2.0% | -1.75% | -1.5% | -1.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.0% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Operating Profit Growth | -20.0% | -18.0% | -16.0% | 44.0% | -5.5% | Lowered | Guidance: -12.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 EPS Growth | -20.0% | -18.0% | -16.0% | 44.0% | -5.5% | Lowered | Guidance: -12.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow Conversion | 0.95 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.95 for 2026 | ||
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 12/17/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Organic Net Sales Growth | -1.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.0% for 2026 |
| 2026 Adjusted Operating Profit Growth | -15.0% | -12.5% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: -12.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS Growth | -15.0% | -12.5% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: -12.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow Conversion | 0.95 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.95 for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gallagher, Paul Joseph | Chief Supply Chain Officer | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 48.15 | 1,500 | 72,231 | 2,338,750 | Form |
| 2 | Williams-Roll, Jacqueline | Chief Human Resources Officer | by Trust | Sell | 9232025 | 50.04 | 4,000 | 200,156 | 3,332,227 | Form |
| 3 | Sharma, Pankaj Mn | Segment President | Direct | Sell | 5192025 | 54.12 | 3,643 | 197,159 | 1,789,923 | Form |
| 4 | Harmening, Jeffrey L | Chairman of the Board & CEO | Direct | Sell | 3102025 | 65.00 | 11,379 | 739,635 | 22,967,477 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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