General Mills (GIS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.3 | Market Cap: $25.1 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
General Mills (GIS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.3Market Cap: $25.1 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GIS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
General Mills (GIS) stock experienced a decline of approximately 5.2% during the period leading up to December 4, 2025, primarily influenced by a weaker-than-expected financial outlook and broader market challenges.
1. Weaker-than-expected earnings outlook for fiscal year 2026. General Mills provided an initial outlook for fiscal year 2026 that indicated organic sales growth ranging from a 1% decline to a 1% increase. This outlook contributed to a notable underperformance of the company's shares.
2. Significant projected declines in operating profit and EPS. The company forecasted a substantial decrease in both operating profit and earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal year 2026, estimating a 10% to 15% decline on a constant currency basis. This projection reflected a more pessimistic EPS decline than previously assessed.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GIS Return | 14% | 19% | 28% | -20% | 1% | -25% | 5% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 1% | 21% | -16% | 10% | -17% | -2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GIS Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 46% | 69% | 40% | 56% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GIS Max Drawdown | -11% | -7% | -7% | -24% | -3% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -11% | -6% | -27% | -7% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KHC, K, CPB, CAG, BRBF. See GIS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GIS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -20.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 512 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 1480 days |
Compare to KHC, K, CPB, CAG, BRBF
In The Past
General Mills's stock fell -32.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/12/2023. A -32.1% loss requires a 47.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GIS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 09262025 | GIS | General Mills | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.2% | -7.2% | -7.2% |
| 12312018 | GIS | General Mills | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 39.9% | 43.1% | -1.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 09262025 | GIS | General Mills | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.2% | -7.2% | -7.2% |
| 12312018 | GIS | General Mills | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 39.9% | 43.1% | -1.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for General Mills
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snacks | 4,327 | 4,432 | 3,961 | 3,574 | 3,530 |
| Cereal | 3,188 | 3,210 | 2,998 | 2,869 | 2,874 |
| Convenient meals | 2,906 | 2,962 | 2,988 | 3,030 | 2,814 |
| Dough | 2,424 | 2,390 | 1,986 | 1,866 | 1,801 |
| Pet | 2,383 | 2,476 | 2,260 | 1,732 | 1,695 |
| Baking mixes and ingredients | 1,996 | 2,037 | 1,844 | 1,696 | 1,674 |
| Yogurt | 1,482 | 1,473 | 1,715 | 2,075 | 2,057 |
| Super-premium ice cream | 729 | 704 | 782 | 820 | 718 |
| Other | 422 | 411 | 458 | 465 | |
| Vegetables and other | 464 | ||||
| Total | 19,857 | 20,094 | 18,993 | 18,127 | 17,627 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 9172025 | 10-Q 8/24/2025 |
| 5312025 | 6262025 | 10-K 5/25/2025 |
| 2282025 | 3192025 | 10-Q 2/23/2025 |
| 11302024 | 12182024 | 10-Q 11/24/2024 |
| 8312024 | 9182024 | 10-Q 8/25/2024 |
| 5312024 | 6262024 | 10-K 5/26/2024 |
| 2292024 | 3202024 | 10-Q 2/25/2024 |
| 11302023 | 12202023 | 10-Q 11/26/2023 |
| 8312023 | 9202023 | 10-Q 8/27/2023 |
| 5312023 | 6282023 | 10-K 5/28/2023 |
| 2282023 | 3232023 | 10-Q 2/26/2023 |
| 11302022 | 12202022 | 10-Q 11/27/2022 |
| 8312022 | 9212022 | 10-Q 8/28/2022 |
| 5312022 | 6302022 | 10-K 5/29/2022 |
| 2282022 | 3232022 | 10-Q 2/27/2022 |
| 11302021 | 12212021 | 10-Q 11/28/2021 |
External Quote Links
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