Dow (DOW)
Market Price (4/7/2026): $40.42 | Market Cap: $29.0 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Commodity Chemicals
Dow (DOW)
Market Price (4/7/2026): $40.42Market Cap: $29.0 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Commodity Chemicals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 5.1% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.1% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.1% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0% Key risksDOW key risks include [1] a securities class action lawsuit alleging misleading disclosures about declining sales and product oversupply, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 5.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0% |
| Key risksDOW key risks include [1] a securities class action lawsuit alleging misleading disclosures about declining sales and product oversupply, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Dow exceeded Q4 2025 earnings expectations, reporting an adjusted EPS of -$0.34 on January 29, 2026, significantly beating analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.46 by $0.12, or 30.61%. This performance, despite a slight revenue miss, provided an optimistic outlook, with analysts expecting Dow's earnings to grow 35.35% in the next year.
2. The company's ongoing "Transform to Outperform" program and cost-cutting initiatives bolstered investor confidence. Dow successfully reduced costs by over $400 million in 2025 and is targeting $1 billion in total reductions, with an anticipated $1 billion in benefits expected in 2026. Additionally, Dow completed a significant $3 billion partnership with Macquarie Group.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 75.5% change in DOW stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 81.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.11 | 40.56 | 75.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 40,913 | 39,968 | -2.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.7 | 81.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 712 | 718 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 75.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DOW | 75.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 16.0% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.7% | 49.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 81.6% change in DOW stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 92.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.33 | 40.56 | 81.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 41,819 | 39,968 | -4.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.7 | 92.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 710 | 718 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 81.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DOW | 81.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 29.4% |
| Sector (XLB) | 12.7% | 54.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.0% change in DOW stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 35.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.71 | 40.56 | 24.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 42,964 | 39,968 | -7.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.7 | 35.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 705 | 718 | -1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DOW | 24.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 51.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 18.6% | 68.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.6% change in DOW stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 45.88 | 40.56 | -11.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 56,902 | 39,968 | -29.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.7 | 27.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 709 | 718 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DOW | -11.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 46.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | 31.5% | 67.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DOW Return | 7% | -7% | 15% | -23% | -37% | 79% | -1% |
| Peers Return | 19% | -15% | 29% | -17% | -20% | 47% | 27% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DOW Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 25% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 48% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DOW Max Drawdown | -6% | -21% | -2% | -25% | -46% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -31% | -5% | -24% | -40% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LYB, DD, EMN, CE, WLK. See DOW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DOW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 247 days | 148 days |
Compare to LYB, DD, EMN, CE, WLK
In The Past
Dow's stock fell -38.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2022. A -38.5% loss requires a 62.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Dow (DOW)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Dow (DOW):
- Like Cargill for industrial chemicals and plastics, providing the essential building blocks for countless products.
- The Intel of the chemical and materials world, supplying critical components and ingredients that power diverse industries.
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- Polyethylene: A widely used plastic for packaging, films, and various consumer and industrial applications.
- Polyolefin Elastomers & Synthetic Rubbers: Elastic polymers and specialized rubbers (like EPDM) used in diverse industrial, automotive, and construction applications.
- Polyurethane Systems: Integrated solutions and components including aromatic isocyanates, polyether polyols, coatings, adhesives, sealants, elastomers, and composites.
- Industrial Intermediates: Core chemical building blocks such as ethylene oxides, propylene oxide, propylene glycol, and vinyl chloride monomers used in various manufacturing processes.
- Caustic Soda: A fundamental industrial chemical utilized in industries ranging from water treatment to paper production.
- Architectural & Industrial Coatings: Paints and protective coatings for buildings, wood, metal, and other surfaces in various maintenance and protective industries.
- Silicones: Versatile polymers and standalone products used in sealants, adhesives, personal care solutions, and other industrial applications.
- Building & Construction Additives: Materials like cellulose ethers and redispersible latex powders that enhance performance in construction materials.
- Home & Personal Care Solutions: Ingredients and formulations for consumer care products.
- Property & Casualty Insurance and Reinsurance: Financial services providing risk coverage and management solutions.
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Dow Inc. (DOW) sells primarily to other businesses rather than directly to individual consumers. As a global provider of materials science solutions, its products are raw materials, intermediates, and specialty chemicals used by other manufacturing companies across various industries. Due to the broad nature of its business and extensive customer base, Dow does not typically disclose specific individual companies as "major customers" that account for a significant portion of its revenue. However, based on the markets and products described, Dow's major customers are companies operating in the following industrial sectors, for which examples of public companies are provided below:-
Packaging Manufacturers and Converters: These companies utilize Dow's polyethylene, polypropylene, and other plastic resins to produce a wide range of packaging solutions, films, containers, and rigid packaging for consumer and industrial goods.
- Amcor plc (AMCR)
- Berry Global Group, Inc. (BERY)
-
Consumer Goods and Personal Care Product Manufacturers: Companies in this sector incorporate Dow's specialty ingredients, such as silicones, acrylics, and cellulose ethers, into the formulation of finished products like shampoos, lotions, detergents, cosmetics, and other household items.
- The Procter & Gamble Company (PG)
- Unilever PLC (UL)
-
Industrial and Construction Materials Manufacturers/Formulators: These customers use Dow's coatings, adhesives, sealants, polyurethanes, and building materials in the production of automotive components, construction materials (e.g., insulation, paints, sealants), electronics, and various durable goods.
- The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)
- Owens Corning (OC)
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Jim Fitterling, Chair and Chief Executive Officer
Jim Fitterling's career at Dow began in 1984. He has held various sales, marketing, and supply chain positions in the U.S., and served as commercial director for Dow's liquid separations business in Asia. In 1998, he became president and CEO of FilmTec Corporation, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Dow, and global business director for Dow's liquid separations unit. He was named general manager for Dow Thailand and managing director for the SCG-Dow group of joint venture companies in 2000, and later became CEO of The OPTIMAL Group, an affiliate of Malaysia's state-owned oil corporation and Dow. Fitterling was named president and chief operating officer of Dow in 2016, and also served as chief operating officer for the Materials Science Division of DowDuPont. He became CEO of Dow in July 2018 and was elected board chair in April 2020.
Jeffrey Tate, Chief Financial Officer
Jeffrey Tate rejoined Dow as Chief Financial Officer in November 2023. Prior to this, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Leggett & Platt from September 2019 through June 2023. Tate first joined Dow in 1992, and his previous roles at the company include chief audit executive, leading global internal audit and investigation activities, and director of investor relations. He also served as Vice President and Business Finance Director for Dow's Packaging and Specialty Plastics segment. Tate is a Certified Public Accountant and holds a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from the University of Alabama. He is also a member of the Board of Directors for Huntington Bancshares Inc.
Andre Argenton, Chief Technology & Sustainability Officer
Andre Argenton joined Dow in 1999 in Brazil as a research scientist and moved to the U.S. in 2007. Throughout his career, he has held various leadership positions, including director of Core R&D and global R&D director of the Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure business. He previously served as chief sustainability officer (CSO) and vice president of Environment, Health and Safety (EH&S). Argenton earned a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry from the University of Sao Paulo, Brazil. His external commitments include serving on the University of Michigan Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Michigan Erb Institute, and the NYSE Sustainability Advisory Council.
Amy Wilson, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Amy Wilson began her legal career in 1995 as an attorney with Currie Kendall, PLC. She joined Dow's Legal Department in 2000, providing legal counsel to various departments, including Purchasing, Human Resources, and Corporate and Financial Law. In 2006, she moved to Dow's Europe operations in Horgen, Switzerland, where she provided legal counsel to the Performance Plastics and Chemicals businesses and the European Finance function. Wilson was elected Corporate Secretary by the Board of Directors in February 2015 and appointed General Counsel and Corporate Secretary in October 2018. She holds a Bachelor of Arts from Michigan State University and a Juris Doctor degree from the University of Michigan Law School. Wilson serves on the Board of Directors for SBA Communications Corporation, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, MyMichigan Health, and the Board of Trustees for the Charles J. Strosacker Foundation.
Jon Penrice, Global President of Dow MobilityScience™
Jon Penrice is the Global President of Dow MobilityScience™. He joined Dow in Switzerland in 2007, and has held various global business leadership roles, including global general manager for Dow Electrical & Telecommunications. Prior to his current role, he was the vice president for Dow Polyurethane business for Europe, Middle East, Africa, and India. Before joining Dow, Penrice was the global executive vice president for the fibers and apparel business of DuPont, which later became Koch Industries' Invista. He also held other leadership roles for DuPont in consumer-focused businesses such as Lycra® and Teflon®. Penrice graduated from the University of Cambridge, UK, with a degree in Natural Sciences.
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The key risks to Dow Inc.'s business are primarily linked to the cyclical nature of its industry, its reliance on raw materials, and the evolving regulatory landscape.
- Commodity Price Volatility and Feedstock Costs: Dow's financial performance is significantly affected by fluctuations in the prices of raw materials, such as ethylene, propylene, and natural gas liquids, as well as energy costs. These price swings can severely impact the company's profit margins, particularly in its commodity chemical markets, where pricing is often dictated by supply and demand dynamics. For example, recent reports highlight how sharply rising energy, raw material, and logistics costs have led to significant price increases for Dow's products in certain regions.
- Economic Cyclicality and Weak End-Market Demand: As a provider of materials science solutions for industries like packaging, infrastructure, and consumer care, Dow's sales volumes and prices are highly sensitive to overall global economic conditions. Economic downturns, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical uncertainties can lead to reduced demand for its products, impacting revenue and overall profitability. For instance, recent financial reports have indicated net sales declines across operating segments and lower local prices due to weaker industrial demand and macroeconomic challenges.
- Regulatory and Environmental Risks, Including Climate Change Impacts: Dow operates in a heavily regulated chemical industry, facing increasing scrutiny over environmental concerns such as carbon emissions, plastic taxes, and substances like PFAS. Changes in these regulations can lead to substantial compliance costs, operational adjustments, and potential liabilities. Additionally, the company is exposed to physical climate risks, including more frequent and severe weather events (like hurricanes and floods), which can disrupt manufacturing operations and supply chains, particularly in regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast where Dow has significant assets.
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The accelerating global transition towards a circular economy and sustainable materials, including bio-based plastics and advanced recycling technologies, which could diminish demand for Dow's traditional virgin fossil fuel-derived plastics and chemicals.
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Here are the addressable market sizes for Dow's main products and services:- **Polyethylene:** The global polyethylene market size was estimated at USD 171.25 billion in 2025.
- **Polyolefin Elastomers:** The global polyolefin elastomer market size was valued at USD 1.55 billion in 2025.
- **Polyurethane Systems:** The global polyurethane market size was valued at USD 96.11 billion in 2025.
- **Ethylene Oxide:** The global ethylene oxide market size was valued at USD 38.38 billion in 2025.
- **Propylene Oxide:** The global propylene oxide market size was valued at USD 23.0 billion in 2025.
- **Caustic Soda:** The global caustic soda market size is estimated at USD 50.12 billion in 2025.
- **Cellulose Ethers:** The global cellulose ether and derivatives market size was valued at USD 6.88 billion in 2024.
- **Silicones:** The global silicone market size was valued at USD 24.26 billion in 2025.
- **Acrylic Emulsions:** The global acrylic emulsion market was valued at USD 12.4 billion in 2025.
- **Architectural Coatings:** The global architectural coatings market size is projected to be USD 96.12 billion in 2025.
- **Industrial Coatings:** The global industrial coatings market size is projected to reach USD 222.25 billion by 2035.
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Dow Inc. (DOW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market dynamics:
- Volume Growth from Improving Market Demand and Operating Rates: The company anticipates increased sales volumes driven by improving market demand across its diverse end-markets. For instance, Dow reported a 1% year-over-year volume increase in Q1 2024, with a 5% increase excluding Hydrocarbons & Energy, and strategically raised operating rates to capitalize on this improving demand. Management commentary also highlights expected higher-than-expected volumes from new production units in segments like Performance & Specialty Plastics and Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure.
- Strategic Investments and Capacity Expansions: Dow is executing "high-value organic growth investments" and "lower-risk, higher-return growth projects" designed to deliver significant incremental underlying EBITDA by mid-decade, with approximately $1.2 billion of its near-term EBITDA target remaining to be achieved. These investments include capacity additions such as the FCDh unit in Louisiana and alkoxylation capacity in the United States and Europe, targeting attractive segments like consumer nondurables and pharmaceuticals. The mechanical completion of a propylene glycol expansion in Thailand also contributes to increased production capabilities.
- Growth in Circular and Sustainable Solutions: Dow's long-term "Decarbonize & Grow" and "Transform the Waste" strategies are projected to enhance underlying earnings by over $3 billion annually by 2030. A significant aspect of this is the aim to commercialize 3 million metric tons of circular and renewable solutions annually by 2030, including scaling Revoloop recycled resins and advancing recycling partnerships. The strategic Path2Zero project in Fort Saskatchewan, Alberta, an ethylene cracker designed for net-zero emissions, aims to enable differentiated sales of low-to-zero carbon emission products, contributing to revenue growth through sustainable offerings.
- Enhanced Competitive Advantage through Flexible Feedstock and Cost Management: Dow's strategic advantage in leveraging flexible feedstock allows it to compete effectively against higher-cost producers, which is expected to boost long-term profitability. Complementary to this, the company's "Transform to Outperform" strategy and other cost reduction programs, which include plans for at least $1 billion in annualized cost reductions across 2025 and 2026, are set to significantly improve operational efficiency. This improved cost structure and competitive positioning can enable Dow to maintain or gain market share through competitive pricing and free up capital for further growth investments, thereby supporting revenue expansion.
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Capital Allocation Decisions for Dow Inc. (DOW)
Share Repurchases
- In April 2022, Dow's board of directors approved a new share buyback program authorizing the repurchase of up to $3 billion of the company's common stock. This program does not have an expiration date and was in addition to a prior program with approximately $775 million remaining.
- As of February 3, 2026, Dow completed the repurchase of 38,539,462 shares, amounting to $2,069.24 million, under the share buyback program announced in April 2022.
- Since its spin-off in April 2019, Dow has returned a total of $8.4 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
Inbound Investments
- In May 2025, Dow finalized a strategic partnership with Macquarie Asset Management, selling an initial 40% equity stake in Diamond Infrastructure Solutions, a dedicated infrastructure company with select U.S. Gulf Coast assets, for approximately $2.4 billion. Macquarie Asset Management has an option to increase its equity stake to 49%, with potential total proceeds up to approximately $3.0 billion. Dow maintains control as the majority owner.
Outbound Investments
- In July 2022, Dow and the Al-Hejailan Group signed a Memorandum of Understanding to form a joint venture to design, build, and operate a methyl diethanolamine (MDEA) plant in Saudi Arabia. Construction is expected to commence in 2024 and the plant is projected to come online in 2025.
- Dow acquired Circulus, a low-density polyethylene resins manufacturer, in June 2024 to support its circular economy objectives.
- In June 2025, Dow announced an agreement to sell its 50% interest in the DowAksa Advanced Composites Holdings BV joint venture to its partner, Aksa Akrilik Kimya Sanayii A.Ş., for $125 million. This divestiture, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, aligns with Dow's strategy to focus on its core, high-value downstream businesses.
Capital Expenditures
- Dow's capital expenditures were $2.363 billion in 2023 and $2.94 billion in 2024.
- In Q1 2025, Dow announced a significant reduction in planned capital expenditures for 2025, lowering it by $1 billion from an initial plan of $3.5 billion to a projected $2.5 billion, aimed at supporting near-term cash flow.
- A primary focus of Dow's capital expenditures includes a multi-generational plan to decarbonize its global asset base, with approximately $1 billion allocated annually for clean hydrogen, carbon capture, and e-cracking capabilities. Other key areas include "Wave 2" investments (2021-2023) in packaging and specialty plastics to add approximately 1.4 million tonnes/year of polyethylene capacity at existing sites, and investments in silicones, polyurethanes, and ethylene oxide derivatives.
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -0.6% |
| 03272026 | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.1% |
| 03132026 | IP | International Paper | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -4.2% | -4.2% | -9.4% |
| 03062026 | ARIS | Aris Mining | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.9% | -3.9% | -16.7% |
| 03062026 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.8% | 9.8% | -6.0% |
| 12312024 | DOW | Dow | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.6% | -37.4% | -45.7% |
| 09302022 | DOW | Dow | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.1% | 23.8% | -0.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.1 |
| Rev LTM | 10,357 |
| Op Inc LTM | 800 |
| FCF LTM | 200 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 463 |
| CFO LTM | 1,001 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,354 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -7.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -10.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.1 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | -15.7 |
| P/E | -10.6 |
| P/CFO | 19.7 |
| Total Yield | -2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 16.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 55.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 46.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 50.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 19.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 60.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 48.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -61.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packaging & Specialty Plastics | 29,034 | 28,692 | 30,017 | 30,556 | 30,069 |
| Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure | 11,928 | 11,993 | 12,883 | 13,750 | 12,220 |
| Performance Materials & Coatings | 11,170 | 12,080 | 13,028 | 13,810 | 13,915 |
| Corporate | 5,180 | 5,202 | 4,675 | 4,874 | 5,266 |
| Total | 57,312 | 57,967 | 60,603 | 62,990 | 61,470 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.56 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 29.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/29/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -3.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $33.53 | $26.16 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 21.0% | 55.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 49.7% | 51.2% |
| Downside Capture | -0.80 | 0.46 |
| Upside Capture | 140.32 | 102.28 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 14.0% | 48.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.00 | 0.30 | 0.65 | 1.11 | 1.44 | 1.10 |
| Up Beta | -1.52 | 1.19 | 1.86 | 2.20 | 1.61 | 1.33 |
| Down Beta | -0.10 | 1.41 | 1.22 | 1.35 | 1.77 | 1.25 |
| Up Capture | 232% | 122% | 184% | 183% | 103% | 46% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 66 | 119 | 362 |
| Down Capture | -159% | -183% | -156% | 5% | 98% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 30 | 60 | 131 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DOW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOW | 24.2% | 53.0% | 0.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 17.2% | 20.9% | 0.66 | 68.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 19.0% | 0.64 | 51.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 49.6% | 28.0% | 1.44 | 4.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 15.5% | 17.7% | 0.74 | 30.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 16.5% | 0.01 | 46.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 44.0% | -0.35 | 28.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DOW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOW | -3.6% | 32.8% | -0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.8% | 18.9% | 0.26 | 69.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.7% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 49.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 8.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 31.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 41.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.0% | 56.5% | 0.27 | 18.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DOW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOW | 1.9% | 38.4% | 0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.6% | 20.6% | 0.46 | 75.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 59.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 4.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 38.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 52.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 65.9% | 66.9% | 1.05 | 19.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/29/2026 | -2.2% | 16.6% | 11.9% |
| 10/23/2025 | 12.9% | 14.6% | -3.5% |
| 7/24/2025 | -17.5% | -21.2% | -22.0% |
| 4/24/2025 | 2.6% | 5.5% | -1.1% |
| 1/30/2025 | -6.1% | -7.6% | -5.4% |
| 10/24/2024 | -1.0% | -4.2% | -13.0% |
| 7/25/2024 | -0.9% | 2.2% | -1.4% |
| 4/25/2024 | -0.9% | 0.4% | -0.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.1% | -4.2% | -3.2% |
| Max Positive | 12.9% | 16.6% | 14.0% |
| Max Negative | -17.5% | -21.2% | -22.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/04/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/31/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/21/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/22/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/22/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/29/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Additional Near-term Earnings | 2.00 Bil | ||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/23/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Near-term cash support | 6.50 Bil | ||||||
| 2025 Capital Expenditures Reduction | 1.00 Bil | ||||||
| 2026 Targeted cost reductions | 1.00 Bil | ||||||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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