Xos (XOS)
Market Price (7/7/2026): $2.84 | Market Cap: $32.9 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery
Xos (XOS)
Market Price (7/7/2026): $2.84Market Cap: $32.9 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 26% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -55% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 247% Key risksXOS key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to a history of operating losses and [2] significant execution risk in scaling its limited production to meet delivery targets. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -55% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 247% |
| Key risksXOS key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to a history of operating losses and [2] significant execution risk in scaling its limited production to meet delivery targets. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Xos (XOS) stock has gained about 70% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results and Strategic Product Mix Shift.
Xos reported a significant turnaround in its fiscal Q1 2026 results (period ended March 31, 2026), demonstrating strong operational improvements. The company's revenue surged to $11.2 million, marking an 89.8% increase compared to Q1 2025, driven by a 227.6% rise in unit deliveries to 95 units. Notably, Xos achieved its highest GAAP gross margin in company history at 38.6%, a substantial improvement from 20.6% in Q1 2025, primarily due to a strategic shift towards higher-margin products like powertrain systems and Xos Hubs. The diluted loss per share narrowed to -$0.43, significantly beating analyst estimates of -$0.72 by 40.3%. Additionally, the company recorded its lowest operating loss since going public, improving to $4.7 million (GAAP) from $9.3 million in Q1 2025, while reducing operating expenses by 14.3% year-over-year. This strong financial performance was a key catalyst, with the stock gaining 7.58% on May 14, 2026, the day earnings were published.
2. Expansion and Innovation in High-Capacity Energy Storage Solutions.
Xos significantly expanded its offerings in energy storage, particularly with the launch of the 2.5MWh Power Hub series on June 2, 2026. This new line of containerized, grid-independent energy storage systems targets AI data centers and industrial sites facing grid connection delays, offering rapid deployment within days. The introduction of this high-capacity Power Hub led to a substantial surge in Xos's stock price, with some reports indicating a 234.5% increase on June 2, 2026. Furthermore, the company upgraded its standard Xos Hub platform to a higher capacity of 420-kilowatt hours from 280-kilowatt hours and secured a follow-on purchase order valued at approximately $3 million for 12 Xos Hub units from a leading autonomous fleet operator in June 2026.
Show more
Xos (XOS) stock has gained about 70% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results and Strategic Product Mix Shift.
Xos reported a significant turnaround in its fiscal Q1 2026 results (period ended March 31, 2026), demonstrating strong operational improvements. The company's revenue surged to $11.2 million, marking an 89.8% increase compared to Q1 2025, driven by a 227.6% rise in unit deliveries to 95 units. Notably, Xos achieved its highest GAAP gross margin in company history at 38.6%, a substantial improvement from 20.6% in Q1 2025, primarily due to a strategic shift towards higher-margin products like powertrain systems and Xos Hubs. The diluted loss per share narrowed to -$0.43, significantly beating analyst estimates of -$0.72 by 40.3%. Additionally, the company recorded its lowest operating loss since going public, improving to $4.7 million (GAAP) from $9.3 million in Q1 2025, while reducing operating expenses by 14.3% year-over-year. This strong financial performance was a key catalyst, with the stock gaining 7.58% on May 14, 2026, the day earnings were published.
2. Expansion and Innovation in High-Capacity Energy Storage Solutions.
Xos significantly expanded its offerings in energy storage, particularly with the launch of the 2.5MWh Power Hub series on June 2, 2026. This new line of containerized, grid-independent energy storage systems targets AI data centers and industrial sites facing grid connection delays, offering rapid deployment within days. The introduction of this high-capacity Power Hub led to a substantial surge in Xos's stock price, with some reports indicating a 234.5% increase on June 2, 2026. Furthermore, the company upgraded its standard Xos Hub platform to a higher capacity of 420-kilowatt hours from 280-kilowatt hours and secured a follow-on purchase order valued at approximately $3 million for 12 Xos Hub units from a leading autonomous fleet operator in June 2026.
3. Strategic Entry into New Defense and International Markets.
Xos initiated a strategic expansion into new markets, including the U.S. defense sector and Europe. In May 2026, Xos showcased its Charger Hub mobile EV charging technology at the U.S. Air Force Global Strike Command Commercial Capabilities Showcase, positioning itself as a potential technology partner for defense fleet electrification. This demonstration led to an over 30% surge in Xos shares in after-hours trading on May 12, 2026. Concurrently, Xos announced plans to begin shipping its Xos Hubs to Europe later in 2026, building on initial deliveries earlier in the year. These new market entries provide significant growth vectors beyond its traditional commercial vehicle business.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 71.8% change in XOS stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.63 | 2.80 | 71.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 46 | 51 | 11.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.6 | 56.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 12 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 71.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XOS | 71.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.5% | -9.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 14.7% | -0.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 54.7% change in XOS stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 88.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.81 | 2.80 | 54.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 52 | 51 | -1.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.6 | 88.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 10 | 12 | -16.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 54.7% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XOS | 54.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.5% | -2.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 20.0% | 2.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.3% change in XOS stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.02 | 2.80 | -7.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 49 | 51 | 5.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.6 | 26.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 12 | -30.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.3% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XOS | -7.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.6% | 1.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 27.1% | 4.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -57.1% change in XOS stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.53 | 2.80 | -57.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 34 | 51 | 50.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 0.6 | -41.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 12 | -51.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -57.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XOS | -57.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.5% | 6.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 80.1% | 7.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XOS Return | -69% | -86% | -40% | -59% | -44% | 50% | -99% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 10% | 8% | -8% | -14% | 27% | 46% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XOS Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 53% | 40% | 42% | 43% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XOS Max Drawdown | -80% | -87% | -82% | -78% | -71% | -64% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -36% | -27% | -29% | -36% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DE, AGCO, WNC, GENC, CNH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | XOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.3% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.9% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 666 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 24 days |
In The Past
Xos's stock fell -8.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 9.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | XOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.3% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.9% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 666 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 24 days |
In The Past
Xos's stock fell -8.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 9.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Xos (XOS)
Xos, Inc. (NASDAQ: XOS) is a mobility solutions company headquartered in Los Angeles, California, that specializes in the manufacturing and sale of battery-electric commercial vehicles. Founded in 2020, the company's core mission is to facilitate the transition of commercial fleets away from traditional internal combustion engines to more sustainable and efficient electric alternatives.
The company's main products are its battery-electric commercial trucks, designed for various vocational applications. Beyond the vehicles themselves, Xos provides a comprehensive ecosystem of services crucial for electric fleet adoption and operation. These services include the development and installation of charging infrastructure, ongoing vehicle maintenance, flexible financing options to aid procurement, and dedicated support services for its customers.
Xos primarily serves commercial fleet operators across a range of industries. Its customers are businesses looking to electrify their transportation logistics, whether for last-mile delivery, regional distribution, or other commercial hauling needs, seeking to reduce their environmental footprint and operational costs associated with fuel and maintenance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Tesla for commercial trucks and vans.
Like a commercial-focused Rivian, providing electric delivery vehicles and fleet services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Battery-Electric Commercial Vehicles: Xos manufactures and sells physical vehicles powered by batteries for commercial use.
- Charging Infrastructure: Xos provides services for setting up and managing charging solutions for electric vehicle fleets.
- Vehicle Maintenance: The company offers services for the upkeep and repair of its battery-electric commercial vehicles.
- Financing: Xos provides services to assist customers with the monetary acquisition of their electric vehicles.
- Fleet Transition Support: The company offers general services and support to facilitate the overall transition of fleets to electric vehicles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Xos primarily sells battery-electric commercial vehicles and related services to other companies operating commercial fleets. Its major customers include:
- UniFirst Corporation (NYSE: UNF): A North American leader in the supply and servicing of uniform and workwear programs.
- DHL Supply Chain: The global leader in contract logistics, part of the larger Deutsche Post DHL Group.
- WLR Automotive Group: A franchise group operating service brands like Mister Sparky (electrical), Benjamin Franklin Plumbing, and One Hour Heating & Air Conditioning, utilizing Xos vehicles for their field service fleets.
- FedEx Ground Contractors: Xos provides electric vehicles to various independent contractors who operate under the FedEx Ground network for package delivery.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN)
Metalsa
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dakota Semler, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Dakota Semler is a Co-Founder of Xos and has served as CEO and a director since September 2016. Prior to Xos, he was the CEO of Malibu Management Services, a hospitality operator, and Bucket List Experiences, a tour operator company, from 2014 to 2016. He also worked as an independent contractor for TSG Group, a real estate holding company, from 2014 to 2016. Semler grew up working on his family's fleet business and served as a fleet operator, which gave him firsthand insight into the challenges of diesel fleets. He was named in the Forbes 30 Under 30 in Manufacturing & Industry in 2019.
Liana Pogosyan, Vice President Finance and Acting Chief Financial Officer
Liana Pogosyan serves as Xos' Vice President Finance and Acting Chief Financial Officer.
Giordano Sordoni, Chief Operating Officer and Director
Giordano Sordoni is a Co-Founder of Xos and has served as COO and a director of Xos since 2016. Before Xos, he co-founded Calibur Inc., a startup consulting business advising early-stage businesses, from 2015 to 2016. He was also Director of Marketing at Malibu Family Wines, a wine production company, from 2014 to 2016. Sordoni has strong operations management experience and a deep understanding of commercial fleets and the commercial vehicle sector. He also worked internationally in non-profits and venture capital prior to co-founding Xos. Sordoni was named in the Forbes 30 Under 30 in Manufacturing & Industry in 2019.
Sam Saleh Heydari, Chief Technology Officer
Sam Saleh Heydari serves as Xos' Chief Technology Officer.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Xos, Inc. (XOS) are primarily centered around its financial viability, operational challenges, and the highly competitive nature of the electric vehicle market.
-
Ability to Continue as a Going Concern and Liquidity: Xos faces substantial doubt regarding its ability to continue as a going concern for the next 12 months, largely due to its reliance on securing additional capital to fund operations. The company has a tight cash position, a history of losses, and significant debt obligations. The inability to obtain necessary financing could lead to delays in development programs or even bankruptcy.
-
Supply Chain Disruptions and Cost Volatility: Xos, like many EV manufacturers, is vulnerable to supply chain challenges, particularly in sourcing critical components for EV production. These disruptions can impact production schedules, delivery timelines, and costs. Furthermore, tariff headwinds and general supply chain volatility present ongoing risks, requiring the company to implement mitigation strategies such as renegotiating pricing with customers.
-
Intense Competition and Market Adoption: The commercial electric vehicle market is described as brutal and highly competitive. Xos competes with established automotive manufacturers and new entrants in the EV space. Slower-than-expected adoption of electric vehicles by commercial fleets could hinder Xos's growth, and regulatory changes or shifts in government incentives for EVs could also negatively affect demand.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The primary clear emerging threat to Xos is the escalating competition from large, established traditional automotive manufacturers that are rapidly electrifying their commercial vehicle offerings. Companies such as Ford (with its E-Transit and other electric commercial vehicles), General Motors (through its BrightDrop brand and other initiatives), Daimler Truck, and Volvo Trucks are leveraging their immense resources, established manufacturing capabilities, extensive service networks, and deep existing relationships with commercial fleet customers to launch and scale their own battery-electric commercial vehicles. This aggressive entry and expansion by well-capitalized legacy players directly challenges Xos's ability to gain and maintain market share in the nascent electric commercial vehicle industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Xos, Inc. (XOS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives, including increased unit deliveries of its battery-electric commercial vehicles, expansion of its higher-margin powertrain offerings, growth in its mobile charging infrastructure, the launch of Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) technology, and strategic expansion into new markets and customer segments.
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Xos:
- Increased Unit Deliveries of Electric Commercial Vehicles: Xos anticipates continued growth in the delivery of its battery-electric commercial vehicles. The company provided a full-year 2025 guidance for unit deliveries ranging from 320 to 420 units. Xos has demonstrated consistent deliveries, with 130 units shipped in Q3 2025 and 135 units in Q2 2025. The company has established itself as a primary electric vehicle vendor for major last-mile delivery fleets, including UPS and FedEx Ground.
- Expansion of Higher-Margin Powertrain Offerings: Xos is strategically focusing on and expanding its higher-margin powertrain product lines. This includes a significant partnership with Blue Bird to develop all-electric powertrains for their school bus and commercial chassis platforms. The company projects that a shift in its product mix towards these higher-margin solutions, such as powertrains, will contribute to improved margins in 2026.
- Growth in Mobile Charging Infrastructure (Xos Hub): The company's mobile energy storage system, the Xos Hub, is a key growth area. Xos recently expanded its Hub lineup with three new capacity configurations (210 kWh, 420 kWh, and 630 kWh), with customer deliveries commencing in Q1 2026. This expansion aims to provide flexible and rapidly deployable charging solutions for a diverse range of fleet types, from light-duty to heavy-duty commercial vehicles. The new generation of Xos Hubs has already been adopted by utility and public sector entities.
- Launch and Expansion of Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) Technology: Xos plans to begin production of V2G-capable vehicles in April 2026, initially on a major North American electric school bus platform, with a roadmap to extend this bidirectional capability across its entire commercial vehicle and energy solutions portfolio. This technology allows fleet vehicles to discharge stored energy back to the grid, offering new revenue generation opportunities for fleet operators through energy sales and reduced peak demand charges. The global V2G market is projected to grow substantially from $4.3 billion in 2025 to $15 billion by 2030, with commercial fleets being the primary growth segment.
- Expansion into New Markets and Customer Segments: Xos is actively broadening its customer base and market reach. This includes venturing into specialized vehicle markets, such as deploying Winnebago units for mobile medical fleets. The integration of V2G technology into school bus platforms represents a significant new market segment. Furthermore, the expanded Xos Hub product line caters to different vehicle classes, supporting wider market penetration, and Xos has made an initial expansion into the Australian market through a partnership with AUSEV.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Xos went public in August 2021 through a business combination with NextGen Acquisition Corporation, which provided $575 million in gross proceeds, including a $220 million Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) at $10.00 per share. [3, 14, 17]
- In March 2022, Xos entered into a standby equity purchase agreement with Yorkville Advisors Global LP, expecting to receive $125 million in funding through the potential issuance of shares over 36 months. [5]
- During the third quarter of 2025, Xos raised $2.4 million in net proceeds through an at-the-market (ATM) offering program to reinforce liquidity and support growth initiatives. [18]
Inbound Investments
- The business combination that took Xos public in August 2021 included a $220 million PIPE at $10.00 per share, anchored by Janus Henderson Investors and a consortium of truck dealers led by Thompson Truck Centers. [3]
- A standby equity purchase agreement was made with Yorkville Advisors Global LP in March 2022 for expected gross proceeds of $125 million, providing a mechanism for future equity investments into the company. [5]
- In Q3 2025 (around November 2025), Xos amended a $20 million convertible note with Aljomaih Automotive Co., extending principal payments and resulting in Aljomaih becoming Xos's largest shareholder. [11, 18]
Outbound Investments
- In March 2024, Xos acquired ElectraMeccanica, issuing 1,766,388 shares of Xos Common Stock in exchange for all outstanding ElectraMeccanica shares. [7] This acquisition was treated as an asset acquisition to supplement liquidity and expand product offerings, including additional manufacturing facilities. [7, 8]
Capital Expenditures
- Xos operates a manufacturing facility in Byrdstown, Tennessee, which served as the cornerstone of its production, achieving rates of 3 chassis per day in Q3 2025. [11]
- Through the acquisition of ElectraMeccanica, Xos gained additional manufacturing facilities in Mesa, Arizona, and Huntington Beach, California. [8]
- In Q3 2025, Xos recognized a $9.4 million gain from the termination of its Mesa facility lease, which is projected to generate $20.7 million in cash savings through 2033, partially offset by required payments of approximately $2.8 million over 18 months. [11, 18]
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Xos Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Xos Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 5,920 |
| Op Inc LTM | 369 |
| FCF LTM | 277 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 338 |
| CFO LTM | 399 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 546 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -6.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -12.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Developed, marketed, and sold primarily only one class of similar products of electric step vans | 46 | 56 | 45 | ||
| Ancillary revenue | 2 | 0 | |||
| Fleet-as-a-Service | 1 | ||||
| Powertrains & hubs | 2 | 2 | |||
| Stepvans & vehicle incentives | 32 | 3 | |||
| Total | 46 | 56 | 45 | 36 | 5 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Developed, marketed, and sold primarily only one class of similar products of electric step vans | -25 | -50 | -76 |
| Total | -25 | -50 | -76 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/08/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -62.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.25 | $3.78 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -13.8% | -25.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 485.7% | 248.5% |
| Downside Capture | -645.88 | 53.01 |
| Upside Capture | -149.56 | 24.55 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -8.9% | 1.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -5.31 | -4.61 | -3.09 | -0.59 | 0.25 | 0.74 |
| Up Beta | 10.08 | 6.59 | 3.48 | 2.82 | 1.82 | 1.18 |
| Down Beta | 12.03 | 1.92 | -1.43 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 1.39 |
| Up Capture | -571% | -226% | -90% | -28% | 18% | 6% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 34 | 64 | 121 | 331 |
| Down Capture | -1772% | -1602% | -1346% | -282% | 41% | 86% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 19 | 26 | 54 | 113 | 387 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XOS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOS | -12.5% | 248.5% | 0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 26.7% | 16.5% | 1.25 | 4.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.2% | 12.5% | 1.32 | 1.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.7% | 27.8% | 0.75 | -1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.2% | 18.6% | 0.90 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.4% | 13.8% | 0.61 | -2.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.6% | 42.7% | -1.23 | -2.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XOS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOS | -60.7% | 143.4% | -0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.3% | 17.6% | 0.64 | 11.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 12.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.1% | 18.3% | 0.80 | -0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.5% | 0.27 | 6.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 11.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.2% | 53.6% | 0.45 | 7.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XOS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOS | -37.2% | 137.1% | -0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.5% | 20.1% | 0.64 | 11.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 12.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.62 | 0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.8% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 6.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 11.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.3% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 8.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/17/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/14/2026 | 7.6% | 3.0% | 72.2% |
| 3/26/2026 | -18.0% | -15.1% | -18.0% |
| 11/13/2025 | -3.6% | -14.7% | -15.5% |
| 8/13/2025 | 8.3% | -14.0% | -31.2% |
| 5/14/2025 | -6.4% | -11.5% | -18.3% |
| 3/28/2025 | -12.5% | -13.1% | 12.8% |
| 11/13/2024 | -14.4% | -25.7% | -30.8% |
| 8/13/2024 | -0.2% | 7.0% | -8.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -14.2% | -19.0% |
| Max Positive | 30.9% | 50.4% | 72.2% |
| Max Negative | -18.0% | -34.5% | -42.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/14/2026 | 7.6% | 3.0% | 72.2% |
| 3/26/2026 | -18.0% | -15.1% | -18.0% |
| 11/13/2025 | -3.6% | -14.7% | -15.5% |
| 8/13/2025 | 8.3% | -14.0% | -31.2% |
| 5/14/2025 | -6.4% | -11.5% | -18.3% |
| 3/28/2025 | -12.5% | -13.1% | 12.8% |
| 11/13/2024 | -14.4% | -25.7% | -30.8% |
| 8/13/2024 | -0.2% | 7.0% | -8.1% |
| 5/15/2024 | 14.2% | 7.0% | -5.4% |
| 3/21/2024 | 2.6% | -10.3% | -34.7% |
| 11/9/2023 | 30.9% | 50.4% | -25.5% |
| 8/10/2023 | -11.9% | -34.5% | -25.9% |
| 3/29/2023 | -0.9% | 15.3% | -0.8% |
| 11/10/2022 | -4.5% | -24.3% | -42.1% |
| 8/11/2022 | -3.5% | -10.0% | -19.0% |
| 5/5/2022 | -3.7% | -14.3% | 5.5% |
| 1/31/2022 | 5.7% | -3.9% | 4.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -14.2% | -19.0% |
| Max Positive | 30.9% | 50.4% | 72.2% |
| Max Negative | -18.0% | -34.5% | -42.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/30/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/30/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/30/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 03/09/2023 | 10-Q/A |
| 03/31/2021 | 03/09/2023 | 10-Q/A |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 40.00 Mil | 45.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 45.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP operating loss | -13.30 Mil | -12.60 Mil | -11.90 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: -12.60 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Unit Deliveries | 350 | 425 | 500 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 425 for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 40.00 Mil | 45.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | -22.4% | Lower New | Actual: 58.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP operating loss | 11.90 Mil | 12.60 Mil | 13.30 Mil | -50.9% | Lower New | Actual: 25.65 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Unit Deliveries | 350 | 425 | 500 | 14.9% | Higher New | Actual: 370 for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/13/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 50.20 Mil | 58.00 Mil | 65.80 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 58.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Non-GAAP operating loss | 24.40 Mil | 25.65 Mil | 26.90 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 25.65 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Unit Deliveries | 320 | 370 | 420 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 370 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bernstein, Stuart N | Direct | Sell | 7022026 | 2.89 | 2,000 | 5,780 | 237,148 | Form | |
| 2 | Ostermann, Dietmar | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 4.45 | 3,351 | 14,916 | 354,284 | Form | |
| 3 | Bernstein, Stuart N | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 5.26 | 4,000 | 21,025 | 441,834 | Form | |
| 4 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 5.24 | 280,040 | 1,468,503 | 6,089,375 | Form | |
| 5 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 6.06 | 119,960 | 726,504 | 8,728,643 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bernstein, Stuart N | Direct | Sell | 7022026 | 2.89 | 2,000 | 5,780 | 237,148 | Form | |
| 2 | Ostermann, Dietmar | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 4.45 | 3,351 | 14,916 | 354,284 | Form | |
| 3 | Bernstein, Stuart N | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 5.26 | 4,000 | 21,025 | 441,834 | Form | |
| 4 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 5.24 | 280,040 | 1,468,503 | 6,089,375 | Form | |
| 5 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 6.06 | 119,960 | 726,504 | 8,728,643 | Form | |
| 6 | Bernstein, Stuart N | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 2.00 | 4,921 | 9,845 | 176,169 | Form | |
| 7 | Bernstein, Stuart N | Direct | Sell | 4022026 | 1.64 | 4,071 | 6,694 | 154,698 | Form | |
| 8 | Jackson, Alice K | Direct | Sell | 12302025 | 1.85 | 5,000 | 9,239 | 191,220 | Form | |
| 9 | Jackson, Alice K | Direct | Sell | 12302025 | 1.93 | 5,000 | 9,655 | 209,485 | Form | |
| 10 | Richardson, Michael Paul | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 2.14 | 2,869 | 6,143 | 186,832 | Form | |
| 11 | Ostermann, Dietmar | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 2.14 | 3,826 | 8,184 | 177,426 | Form | |
| 12 | Richardson, Michael Paul | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 2.04 | 2,869 | 5,843 | 183,565 | Form | |
| 13 | Ostermann, Dietmar | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 2.04 | 3,826 | 7,790 | 176,672 | Form | |
| 14 | Richardson, Michael Paul | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 2.05 | 2,870 | 5,897 | 191,091 | Form | |
| 15 | Ostermann, Dietmar | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 2.05 | 3,826 | 7,854 | 185,966 | Form | |
| 16 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 12092025 | 2.52 | 12,983 | 32,698 | 3,931,955 | Form | |
| 17 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9152025 | 2.39 | 7,922 | 18,934 | 3,762,524 | Form | |
| 18 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 2.39 | 11,768 | 28,097 | 3,777,503 | Form | |
| 19 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 2.35 | 6,195 | 14,535 | 3,739,772 | Form | |
| 20 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 2.28 | 6,825 | 15,535 | 3,642,141 | Form | |
| 21 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 2.29 | 11,686 | 26,727 | 3,675,191 | Form | |
| 22 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 2.30 | 5,479 | 12,625 | 3,729,597 | Form | |
| 23 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 2.28 | 13,110 | 29,836 | 3,696,097 | Form | |
| 24 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 2.48 | 19,333 | 47,876 | 4,054,355 | Form | |
| 25 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 2.62 | 24,593 | 64,412 | 4,338,618 | Form | |
| 26 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 2.89 | 19,731 | 57,001 | 4,856,596 | Form | |
| 27 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 8282025 | 3.00 | 20,398 | 61,196 | 5,102,732 | Form | |
| 28 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 8282025 | 3.04 | 28,384 | 86,214 | 5,228,131 | Form | |
| 29 | Emerald, Green Trust | Direct | Sell | 8282025 | 3.02 | 41,894 | 126,667 | 5,290,024 | Form | |
| 30 | Bernstein, Stuart N | Direct | Sell | 8202025 | 3.07 | 14,347 | 44,045 | 301,345 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery Resources |
| Farm Equipment |
| AgEquipment Intelligence |
| Implement & Tractor |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.
