Tearsheet

Xos (XOS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.33 | Market Cap: $19.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Xos (XOS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.33
Market Cap: $19.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -79%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.66
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -193%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.66
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -79%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -193%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XOS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Xos (XOS) stock experienced a -17% movement. Several key factors contributed to this decline, primarily stemming from the company's Q2 and Q3 2025 financial reports and subsequent market sentiment.

1. Sequential Decline in Q3 Revenue: Xos reported Q3 2025 revenue of $16.5 million on 130 units, a decrease from the $18.4 million generated in Q2 2025 from 135 units. This sequential decline, following a record Q2, may have tempered investor enthusiasm.

2. Reaffirmed Higher Full-Year Operating Loss Guidance: The company maintained its previously revised full-year 2025 non-GAAP operating loss guidance in Q3, which had been increased during the Q2 earnings announcement due to anticipated impacts from tariffs and changes in product mix. This sustained outlook for higher operating losses likely weighed on investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XOS Return--69%-86%-40%-59%-29%-99%
Peers Return24%11%11%12%-7%-10%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XOS Win Rate 42%25%33%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate53%43%43%35%33%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XOS Max Drawdown--72%-86%-57%-62%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-7%-19%-9%-16%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXOSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7185.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-1.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2 days148 days

Compare to DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI


In The Past

Xos's stock fell -98.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/22/2021. A -98.6% loss requires a 7185.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Xos (XOS)

Better Bets than Xos (XOS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to XOS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Xos

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XOSDEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameXos Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Price2.35481.82105.1313.209.0612.0212.61
Mkt Cap0.0130.47.80.20.0-0.2
Rev LTM5243,39710,0491181,6381,0521,345
Op Inc LTM-418,6636581537168219
FCF LTM-84,101749-1108-4054
FCF 3Y Avg-493,9866543118-118
CFO LTM-88,5561,0220150-2875
CFO 3Y Avg-478,5221,0505186-186

Growth & Margins

XOSDEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameXos Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Rev Chg LTM-19.2%-20.9%-20.1%3.9%-22.9%--20.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg47.5%-0.6%-3.9%5.4%-9.8%--0.6%
Rev Chg Q18.4%-8.3%-4.7%5.6%-17.8%--4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.9%-2.4%-1.2%1.2%-4.8%--1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-78.8%20.0%6.5%13.2%22.6%6.4%9.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-162.4%22.3%9.2%12.5%6.8%-9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM13.4%-1.2%0.4%0.8%29.6%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-16.2%19.7%10.2%0.1%9.2%-2.7%4.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-125.8%16.5%8.6%4.4%8.7%-8.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-16.5%9.4%7.5%-0.8%6.6%-3.8%2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-133.0%7.8%5.4%2.3%5.6%-5.4%

Valuation

XOSDEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameXos Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Cap0.0130.47.80.20.0-0.2
P/S0.53.20.81.70.0-0.8
P/EBIT-0.614.333.313.30.0-13.3
P/E-0.526.421.313.50.0-13.5
P/CFO-3.016.17.81,682.10.0-7.8
Total Yield-188.5%5.0%5.8%7.4%67,757.1%-5.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.2%1.1%0.0%3,467.9%-1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-121.1%3.4%8.0%0.6%12,421.5%-3.4%
D/E1.70.50.40.01,078.5-0.5
Net D/E1.30.40.3-0.7851.5-0.4

Returns

XOSDEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameXos Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
1M Rtn-11.3%4.3%0.2%-2.9%14.4%8.1%2.2%
3M Rtn-2.9%3.0%-2.3%-17.2%-17.1%4.9%-2.6%
6M Rtn-24.7%-4.5%6.0%-7.4%-0.0%--4.5%
12M Rtn-41.2%6.4%5.7%-39.6%-52.6%--39.6%
3Y Rtn-87.1%12.7%-14.6%22.3%-63.2%--14.6%
1M Excs Rtn-11.3%4.3%0.2%-2.8%14.4%8.2%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-3.2%-3.5%-9.2%-23.7%-24.7%0.8%-6.4%
6M Excs Rtn-39.4%-19.2%-8.8%-22.1%-14.7%--19.2%
12M Excs Rtn-57.9%-8.7%-8.5%-54.1%-66.6%--54.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-162.3%-59.0%-83.8%-42.6%-135.1%--83.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity418,875
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.1%
Average Daily Volume33,081
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.66
Basic Shares Quantity8,287,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023329202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021330202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021