Tearsheet

GATX (GATX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $170.745 | Market Cap: $6.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

GATX (GATX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $170.745
Market Cap: $6.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.1%
Key risks
GATX key risks include [1] heightened financial pressures from a significant debt burden and negative free cash flow, Show more.
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.1%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
8 Key risks
GATX key risks include [1] heightened financial pressures from a significant debt burden and negative free cash flow, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GATX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. GATX reported Q3 2025 earnings that missed EPS estimates but beat revenue expectations. GATX announced its Q3 2025 earnings on October 21, 2025, with an EPS of $2.10, missing the consensus estimate of $2.32. However, quarterly revenue rose 8.4% year-over-year to $439.30 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $435.21 million.

2. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 earnings guidance. Despite the mixed Q3 results, GATX reiterated its full-year 2025 earnings guidance of $8.50–$8.90 per diluted share, excluding tax adjustments and other one-time items.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GATX Return3%28%4%15%31%11%131%
Peers Return4%20%-0%41%129%-4%289%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GATX Win Rate50%67%58%58%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%38%57%63%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GATX Max Drawdown-36%-1%-17%-5%-3%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-8%-33%-20%-5%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRN, GBX, AL, FTAI, WLFC. See GATX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGATXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven250 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven218 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven740 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven271.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,480 days1,480 days

Compare to URI, GATX, HRI, MGRC, ANDE


In The Past

GATX's stock fell -32.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/30/2022. A -32.6% loss requires a 48.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About GATX (GATX)

Better Bets than GATX (GATX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GATX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
GATX_6302021_Short_Squeeze06302021GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
18.5%8.7%-3.6%
GATX_12312020_Short_Squeeze12312020GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
7.8%27.9%-1.1%
GATX_4302020_Short_Squeeze04302020GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
16.1%69.2%-8.5%
GATX_6302019_Short_Squeeze06302019GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
7.6%-21.6%-31.9%
GATX_12312017_Short_Squeeze12312017GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
20.9%16.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
GATX_6302021_Short_Squeeze06302021GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
18.5%8.7%-3.6%
GATX_12312020_Short_Squeeze12312020GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
7.8%27.9%-1.1%
GATX_4302020_Short_Squeeze04302020GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
16.1%69.2%-8.5%
GATX_6302019_Short_Squeeze06302019GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
7.6%-21.6%-31.9%
GATX_12312017_Short_Squeeze12312017GATXGATXSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
20.9%16.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for GATX

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GATXTRNGBXALFTAIWLFCMedian
NameGATX Trinity .Greenbri.Air LeaseFTAI Avi.Willis L. 
Mkt Price170.7228.5146.7764.10162.79132.1898.14
Mkt Cap6.12.31.47.216.70.94.2
Rev LTM1,7052,1753,2402,9082,3446892,260
Op Inc LTM521366344601729286444
FCF LTM710-396-15-1,985-1,212-412-404
FCF 3Y Avg602-335-125-2,513-979-210-273
CFO LTM7103842661,751-173277330
CFO 3Y Avg6023692221,723-63262315

Growth & Margins

GATXTRNGBXALFTAIWLFCMedian
NameGATX Trinity .Greenbri.Air LeaseFTAI Avi.Willis L. 
Rev Chg LTM10.7%-33.0%-8.6%6.2%51.4%29.9%8.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.3%11.1%4.6%8.0%66.9%32.0%10.7%
Rev Chg Q8.4%-43.2%-27.9%5.1%43.2%25.4%6.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%-13.7%-8.3%1.2%9.4%5.7%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM30.6%16.8%10.6%20.7%31.1%41.5%25.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.2%13.4%8.2%23.7%24.7%40.1%24.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%1.8%-0.5%-0.5%-0.6%1.2%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM41.6%17.6%8.2%60.2%-7.4%40.2%28.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg39.2%13.8%6.4%63.0%-1.9%50.4%26.5%
FCF/Rev LTM41.6%-18.2%-0.5%-68.3%-51.7%-59.7%-35.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg39.2%-13.2%-3.3%-92.3%-60.0%-33.3%-23.3%

Valuation

GATXTRNGBXALFTAIWLFCMedian
NameGATX Trinity .Greenbri.Air LeaseFTAI Avi.Willis L. 
Mkt Cap6.12.31.47.216.70.94.2
P/S3.71.00.42.47.31.41.9
P/EBIT9.65.33.95.320.73.15.3
P/E20.123.77.07.035.17.613.8
P/CFO8.85.95.44.1-98.73.44.7
Total Yield5.0%8.6%17.1%15.7%3.6%13.9%11.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.3%2.8%1.4%0.7%0.8%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.4%-15.5%-9.6%-48.4%-11.5%-20.6%-13.5%
D/E1.42.61.32.80.22.41.9
Net D/E1.32.61.12.80.22.41.9

Returns

GATXTRNGBXALFTAIWLFCMedian
NameGATX Trinity .Greenbri.Air LeaseFTAI Avi.Willis L. 
1M Rtn12.2%13.8%12.2%1.0%6.5%5.4%9.4%
3M Rtn1.3%3.9%3.7%1.2%-6.3%-12.0%1.3%
6M Rtn12.1%11.0%4.4%14.4%25.7%-6.4%11.6%
12M Rtn7.6%-19.0%-26.9%32.6%26.3%-37.6%-5.7%
3Y Rtn68.4%11.8%49.1%80.1%913.5%143.8%74.3%
1M Excs Rtn11.5%13.0%11.5%0.3%5.8%4.6%8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-2.1%-0.6%-1.1%-0.1%-9.8%-12.9%-1.6%
6M Excs Rtn-0.3%-1.4%-8.0%2.1%13.3%-18.8%-0.8%
12M Excs Rtn-3.7%-31.4%-40.0%20.6%13.7%-47.6%-17.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.1%-62.5%-29.1%7.9%793.8%64.6%-0.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rail North America6,9946,4466,1425,9445,647
Rail International2,1751,7741,7301,7461,487
Engine Leasing1,3551,1071,049706 
Other802745621541207
Identifiable assets from discontinued operations    291
Portfolio Management    654
Total11,32610,0729,5428,9388,285


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity880,636
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.0%
Average Daily Volume169,181
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.21
Basic Shares Quantity35,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/2025-5.8%-8.6%-11.7%
7/29/20251.1%-1.9%8.1%
4/23/2025-4.4%-2.2%-1.8%
1/23/20254.5%6.3%4.8%
10/22/20246.7%6.2%16.3%
7/23/2024-7.7%-5.8%-4.7%
4/23/2024-3.0%-3.1%8.4%
1/23/20245.9%7.7%7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121318
# Negative12116
Median Positive3.9%5.8%6.5%
Median Negative-3.4%-3.1%-6.4%
Max Positive9.4%9.6%18.2%
Max Negative-7.7%-10.0%-11.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021